Machine learning in diagnosis and disability prediction of multiple sclerosis using optical coherence tomography

Oculomics: Current concepts and evidence

The eye provides novel insights into general health, as well as pathogenesis and development of systemic diseases. In the past decade, growing evidence has demonstrated that the eye's structure and function mirror multiple systemic health conditions, especially in cardiovascular diseases, neurodegenerative disorders, and kidney impairments. This has given rise to the field of oculomics-the application of ophthalmic biomarkers to understand mechanisms, detect and predict disease. The development of this field has been accelerated by three major advances: 1) the availability and widespread clinical adoption of high-resolution and non-invasive ophthalmic imaging ("hardware"); 2) the availability of large studies to interrogate associations ("big data"); 3) the development of novel analytical methods, including artificial intelligence (AI) ("software"). Oculomics offers an opportunity to enhance our understanding of the interplay between the eye and the body, while supporting development of innovative diagnostic, prognostic, and therapeutic tools. These advances have been further accelerated by developments in AI, coupled with large-scale linkage datasets linking ocular imaging data with systemic health data. Oculomics also enables the detection, screening, diagnosis, and monitoring of many systemic health conditions. Furthermore, oculomics with AI allows prediction of the risk of systemic diseases, enabling risk stratification, opening up new avenues for prevention or individualized risk prediction and prevention, facilitating personalized medicine. In this review, we summarise current concepts and evidence in the field of oculomics, highlighting the progress that has been made, remaining challenges, and the opportunities for future research.

Machine learning based algorithms for virtual early detection and screening of neurodegenerative and neurocognitive disorders: a systematic-review

Background and aim

Neurodegenerative disorders (e.g., Alzheimer's, Parkinson's) lead to neuronal loss; neurocognitive disorders (e.g., delirium, dementia) show cognitive decline. Early detection is crucial for effective management. Machine learning aids in more precise disease identification, potentially transforming healthcare. This comprehensive systematic review discusses how machine learning (ML), can enhance early detection of these disorders, surpassing traditional diagnostics' constraints.

Methods

In this review, databases were examined up to August 15th, 2023, for ML data on neurodegenerative and neurocognitive diseases using PubMed, Scopus, Google Scholar, and Web of Science. Two investigators used the RAYYAN intelligence tool for systematic reviews to conduct the screening. Six blinded reviewers reviewed titles/abstracts. Cochrane risk of bias tool was used for quality assessment.

Results

Our search found 7,069 research studies, of which 1,365 items were duplicates and thus removed. Four thousand three hundred and thirty four studies were screened, and 108 articles met the criteria for inclusion after preprocessing. Twelve ML algorithms were observed for dementia, showing promise in early detection. Eighteen ML algorithms were identified for Parkinson's, each effective in detection and diagnosis. Studies emphasized that ML algorithms are necessary for Alzheimer's to be successful. Fourteen ML algorithms were discovered for mild cognitive impairment, with LASSO logistic regression being the only one with unpromising results.

Conclusion

This review emphasizes the pressing necessity of integrating verified digital health resources into conventional medical practice. This integration may signify a new era in the early detection of neurodegenerative and neurocognitive illnesses, potentially changing the course of these conditions for millions globally. This study showcases specific and statistically significant findings to illustrate the progress in the area and the prospective influence of these advancements on the global management of neurocognitive and neurodegenerative illnesses.

Deep learning-based Alzheimer's disease detection: reproducibility and the effect of modeling choices

Introduction

Machine Learning (ML) has emerged as a promising approach in healthcare, outperforming traditional statistical techniques. However, to establish ML as a reliable tool in clinical practice, adherence to best practices in data handling, and modeling design and assessment is crucial. In this work, we summarize and strictly adhere to such practices to ensure reproducible and reliable ML. Specifically, we focus on Alzheimer's Disease (AD) detection, a challenging problem in healthcare. Additionally, we investigate the impact of modeling choices, including different data augmentation techniques and model complexity, on overall performance.

Methods

We utilize Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) data from the ADNI corpus to address a binary classification problem using 3D Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). Data processing and modeling are specifically tailored to address data scarcity and minimize computational overhead. Within this framework, we train 15 predictive models, considering three different data augmentation strategies and five distinct 3D CNN architectures with varying convolutional layers counts. The augmentation strategies involve affine transformations, such as zoom, shift, and rotation, applied either concurrently or separately.

Results

The combined effect of data augmentation and model complexity results in up to 10% variation in prediction accuracy. Notably, when affine transformation are applied separately, the model achieves higher accuracy, regardless the chosen architecture. Across all strategies, the model accuracy exhibits a concave behavior as the number of convolutional layers increases, peaking at an intermediate value. The best model reaches excellent performance both on the internal and additional external testing set.

Discussions

Our work underscores the critical importance of adhering to rigorous experimental practices in the field of ML applied to healthcare. The results clearly demonstrate how data augmentation and model depth-often overlooked factors- can dramatically impact final performance if not thoroughly investigated. This highlights both the necessity of exploring neglected modeling aspects and the need to comprehensively report all modeling choices to ensure reproducibility and facilitate meaningful comparisons across studies.

An analytical review on the use of artificial intelligence and machine learning in diagnosis, prediction, and risk factor analysis of multiple sclerosis

Medical research offers potential for disease prediction, like Multiple Sclerosis (MS). This neurological disorder damages nerve cell sheaths, with treatments focusing on symptom relief. Manual MS detection is time-consuming and error prone. Though MS lesion detection has been studied, limited attention has been paid to clinical analysis and computational risk factor prediction. Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques and Machine Learning (ML) methods offer accurate and effective alternatives to mapping MS progression. However, there are challenges in accessing clinical data and interdisciplinary collaboration. By analyzing 103 papers, we recognize the trends, strengths and weaknesses of AI, ML, and statistical methods applied to MS diagnosis. AI/ML-based approaches are suggested to identify MS risk factors, select significant MS features, and improve the diagnostic accuracy, such as Rule-based Fuzzy Logic (RBFL), Adaptive Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), Artificial Neural Network methods (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Bayesian Networks (BNs). Meanwhile, applications of the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) can enhance MS diagnostic accuracy. By examining established risk factors like obesity, smoking, and education, some research tackled the issue of disease progression. The performance metrics varied across different aspects of MS studies: Diagnosis: Sensitivity ranged from 60 % to 98 %, specificity from 60 % to 98 %, and accuracy from 61 % to 97 %. Prediction: Sensitivity ranged from 76 % to 98 %, specificity from 65 % to 98 %, and accuracy from 62 % to 99 %. Segmentation: Accuracy ranged up to 96.7 %. Classification: Sensitivity ranged from 78 % to 97.34 %, specificity from 65 % to 99.32 %, and accuracy from 71 % to 97.94 %. Furthermore, the literature shows that combining techniques can improve efficiency, exploiting their strengths for better overall performance.

Discrimination of multiple sclerosis using scanning laser ophthalmoscopy images with autoencoder-based feature extraction

OBJECTIVE

Optical coherence tomography (OCT) investigations have revealed that the thickness of inner retinal layers becomes decreased in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients, compared to healthy control (HC) individuals. To date, a number of studies have applied machine learning to OCT thickness measurements, aiming to enable accurate and automated diagnosis of the disease. However, there have much less emphasis on other less common retinal imaging modalities, like infrared scanning laser ophthalmoscopy (IR-SLO), for classifying MS. IR-SLO uses laser light to capture high-resolution fundus images, often performed in conjunction with OCT to lock B-scans at a fixed position.

METHODS

We incorporated two independent datasets of IR-SLO images from the Isfahan and Johns Hopkins centers, consisting of 164 MS and 150 HC images. A subject-wise data splitting approach was employed to ensure that there was no leakage between training and test datasets. Several state-of-the-art convolutional neural networks (CNNs), including VGG-16, VGG-19, ResNet-50, and InceptionV3, and a CNN with a custom architecture were employed. In the next step, we designed a convolutional autoencoder (CAE) to extract semantic features subsequently given as inputs to four conventional ML classifiers, including support vector machine (SVM), k-nearest neighbor (K-NN), random forest (RF), and multi-layer perceptron (MLP).

RESULTS

The custom CNN (85 % accuracy, 85 % sensitivity, 87 % specificity, 93 % area under the receiver operating characteristics [AUROC], and 94 % area under the precision-recall curve [AUPRC]) outperformed state-of-the-art models (84 % accuracy, 83 % sensitivity, 87 % specificity, 92 % AUROC, and 94 % AUPRC); however, utilizing a combination of the CAE and MLP yields even superior results (88 % accuracy, 86 % sensitivity, 91 % specificity, 94 % AUROC, and 95 % AUPRC).

CONCLUSIONS

We utilized IR-SLO images to differentiate between MS and HC eyes, with promising results achieved using a combination of CAE and MLP. Future multi-center studies involving more heterogenous data are necessary to assess the feasibility of integrating IR-SLO images into routine clinical practice.

AI and disability: A systematic scoping review

Background: Artificial intelligence (AI) can enhance life experiences and present challenges for people with disabilities. Objectives: This study aims to investigate the relationship between AI and disability, exploring the potential benefits and challenges of using AI for people with disabilities. Methods: A systematic scoping review was conducted using eight online databases; 45 scholarly articles from the last 5 years were identified and selected for thematic analysis. Results: The review's findings revealed AI's potential to enhance healthcare; however, it showed a high prevalence of a narrow medical model of disability and an ableist perspective in AI research. This raises concerns about the perpetuation of biases and discrimination against individuals with disabilities in the development and deployment of AI technologies. Conclusion: We recommend shifting towards a social model of disability, promoting interdisciplinary collaboration, addressing AI bias and discrimination, prioritizing privacy and security in AI development, focusing on accessibility and usability, investing in education and training, and advocating for robust policy and regulatory frameworks. The review emphasizes the urgent need for further research to ensure that AI benefits all members of society equitably and that future AI systems are designed with inclusivity and accessibility as core principles.

SLO-Net: Enhancing Multiple Sclerosis Diagnosis Beyond Optical Coherence Tomography Using Infrared Reflectance Scanning Laser Ophthalmoscopy Images

Purpose

Several machine learning studies have used optical coherence tomography (OCT) for multiple sclerosis (MS) classification with promising outcomes. Infrared reflectance scanning laser ophthalmoscopy (IR-SLO) captures high-resolution fundus images, commonly combined with OCT for fixed B-scan positions. However, no machine learning research has utilized IR-SLO images for automated MS diagnosis.

Methods

This study utilized a dataset comprised of IR-SLO images and OCT data from Isfahan, Iran, encompassing 32 MS and 70 healthy individuals. A number of convolutional neural networks (CNNs)-namely, VGG-16, VGG-19, ResNet-50, ResNet-101, and a custom architecture-were trained with both IR-SLO images and OCT thickness maps as two separate input datasets. The highest performing models for each modality were then integrated to create a bimodal model that receives the combination of OCT thickness maps and IR-SLO images. Subject-wise data splitting was employed to prevent data leakage among training, validation, and testing sets.

Results

Overall, images of the 102 patients from the internal dataset were divided into test, validation, and training subsets. Subsequently, we employed a bootstrapping approach on the training data through iterative sampling with replacement. The performance of the proposed bimodal model was evaluated on the internal test dataset, demonstrating an accuracy of 92.40% ± 4.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 83.61-98.08), sensitivity of 95.43% ± 5.75% (95% CI, 83.71-100.0), specificity of 92.82% ± 3.72% (95% CI, 81.15-96.77), area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve of 96.99% ± 2.99% (95% CI, 86.11-99.78), and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) of 97.27% ± 2.94% (95% CI, 86.83-99.83). Furthermore, to assess the model generalization ability, we examined its performance on an external test dataset following the same bootstrap methodology, achieving promising results, with accuracy of 85.43% ± 0.08% (95% CI, 71.43-100.0), sensitivity of 97.33% ± 0.06% (95% CI, 83.33-100.0), specificity of 84.6% ± 0.10% (95% CI, 71.43-100.0), AUROC curve of 99.67% ± 0.02% (95% CI, 95.63-100.0), and AUPRC of 99.65% ± 0.02% (95% CI, 94.90-100.0).

Conclusions

Incorporating both modalities improves the performance of automated diagnosis of MS, showcasing the potential of utilizing IR-SLO as a complementary tool alongside OCT.

Translational Relevance

Should the results of our proposed bimodal model be validated in future work with larger and more diverse datasets, diagnosis of MS based on both OCT and IR-SLO can be reliably integrated into routine clinical practice.

Development of oculomics artificial intelligence for cardiovascular risk factors: A case study in fundus oculomics for HbA1c assessment and clinically relevant considerations for clinicians

Artificial Intelligence (AI) is transforming healthcare, notably in ophthalmology, where its ability to interpret images and data can significantly enhance disease diagnosis and patient care. Recent developments in oculomics, the integration of ophthalmic features to develop biomarkers for systemic diseases, have demonstrated the potential for providing rapid, non-invasive methods of screening leading to enhance in early detection and improve healthcare quality, particularly in underserved areas. However, the widespread adoption of such AI-based technologies faces challenges primarily related to the trustworthiness of the system. We demonstrate the potential and considerations needed to develop trustworthy AI in oculomics through a pilot study for HbA1c assessment using an AI-based approach. We then discuss various challenges, considerations, and solutions that have been developed for powerful AI technologies in the past in healthcare and subsequently apply these considerations to the oculomics pilot study. Building upon the observations in the study we highlight the challenges and opportunities for advancing trustworthy AI in oculomics. Ultimately, oculomics presents as a powerful and emerging technology in ophthalmology and understanding how to optimize transparency prior to clinical adoption is of utmost importance.

Modeling and simulation for prediction of multiple sclerosis progression

In light of extensive work that has created a wide range of techniques for predicting the course of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease, this paper attempts to provide an overview of these approaches and put forth an alternative way to predict the disease progression. For this purpose, the existing methods for estimating and predicting the course of the disease have been categorized into clinical, radiological, biological, and computational or artificial intelligence-based markers. Weighing the weaknesses and strengths of these prognostic groups is a profound method that is yet in need and works directly at the level of diseased connectivity. Therefore, we propose using the computational models in combination with established connectomes as a predictive tool for MS disease trajectories. The fundamental conduction-based Hodgkin-Huxley model emerged as promising from examining these studies. The advantage of the Hodgkin-Huxley model is that certain properties of connectomes, such as neuronal connection weights, spatial distances, and adjustments of signal transmission rates, can be taken into account. It is precisely these properties that are particularly altered in MS and that have strong implications for processing, transmission, and interactions of neuronal signaling patterns. The Hodgkin-Huxley (HH) equations as a point-neuron model are used for signal propagation inside a small network. The objective is to change the conduction parameter of the neuron model, replicate the changes in myelin properties in MS and observe the dynamics of the signal propagation across the network. The model is initially validated for different lengths, conduction values, and connection weights through three nodal connections. Later, these individual factors are incorporated into a small network and simulated to mimic the condition of MS. The signal propagation pattern is observed after inducing changes in conduction parameters at certain nodes in the network and compared against a control model pattern obtained before the changes are applied to the network. The signal propagation pattern varies as expected by adapting to the input conditions. Similarly, when the model is applied to a connectome, the pattern changes could give an insight into disease progression. This approach has opened up a new path to explore the progression of the disease in MS. The work is in its preliminary state, but with a future vision to apply this method in a connectome, providing a better clinical tool.

Oculomics: A Crusade Against the Four Horsemen of Chronic Disease

Chronic, non-communicable diseases present a major barrier to living a long and healthy life. In many cases, early diagnosis can facilitate prevention, monitoring, and treatment efforts, improving patient outcomes. There is therefore a critical need to make screening techniques as accessible, unintimidating, and cost-effective as possible. The association between ocular biomarkers and systemic health and disease (oculomics) presents an attractive opportunity for detection of systemic diseases, as ophthalmic techniques are often relatively low-cost, fast, and non-invasive. In this review, we highlight the key associations between structural biomarkers in the eye and the four globally leading causes of morbidity and mortality: cardiovascular disease, cancer, neurodegenerative disease, and metabolic disease. We observe that neurodegenerative disease is a particularly promising target for oculomics, with biomarkers detected in multiple ocular structures. Cardiovascular disease biomarkers are present in the choroid, retinal vasculature, and retinal nerve fiber layer, and metabolic disease biomarkers are present in the eyelid, tear fluid, lens, and retinal vasculature. In contrast, only the tear fluid emerged as a promising ocular target for the detection of cancer. The retina is a rich source of oculomics data, the analysis of which has been enhanced by artificial intelligence-based tools. Although not all biomarkers are disease-specific, limiting their current diagnostic utility, future oculomics research will likely benefit from combining data from various structures to improve specificity, as well as active design, development, and optimization of instruments that target specific disease signatures, thus facilitating differential diagnoses.

Artificial Intelligence for Multiple Sclerosis Management Using Retinal Images: Pearl, Peaks, and Pitfalls

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a complex autoimmune disease characterized by inflammatory processes, demyelination, neurodegeneration, and axonal damage within the central nervous system (CNS). Retinal imaging, particularly Optical coherence tomography (OCT), has emerged as a crucial tool for investigating MS-related retinal injury. The integration of artificial intelligence(AI) has shown promise in enhancing OCT analysis for MS. Researchers are actively utilizing AI algorithms to accurately detect and classify MS-related abnormalities, leading to improved efficiency in diagnosis, monitoring, and personalized treatment planning. The prognostic value of AI in predicting MS disease progression has garnered substantial attention. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) algorithms can analyze longitudinal OCT data to forecast the course of the disease, providing critical information for personalized treatment planning and improved patient outcomes. Early detection of high-risk patients allows for targeted interventions to mitigate disability progression effectively. As such, AI-driven approaches yielded remarkable abilities in classifying distinct MS subtypes based on retinal features, aiding in disease characterization and guiding tailored therapeutic strategies. Additionally, these algorithms have enhanced the accuracy and efficiency of OCT image segmentation, streamlined diagnostic processes, and reduced human error. This study reviews the current research studies on the integration of AI,including ML and DL algorithms, with OCT in the context of MS. It examines the advancements, challenges, potential prospects, and ethical concerns of AI-powered techniques in enhancing MS diagnosis, monitoring disease progression, revolutionizing patient care, the development of patient screening tools, and supported clinical decision-making based on OCT images.

The macular retinal ganglion cell layer as a biomarker for diagnosis and prognosis in multiple sclerosis: A deep learning approach

PURPOSE

The macular ganglion cell layer (mGCL) is a strong potential biomarker of axonal degeneration in multiple sclerosis (MS). For this reason, this study aims to develop a computer-aided method to facilitate diagnosis and prognosis in MS.

METHODS

This paper combines a cross-sectional study of 72 MS patients and 30 healthy control subjects for diagnosis and a 10-year longitudinal study of the same MS patients for the prediction of disability progression, during which the mGCL was measured using optical coherence tomography (OCT). Deep neural networks were used as an automatic classifier.

RESULTS

For MS diagnosis, greatest accuracy (90.3%) was achieved using 17 features as inputs. The neural network architecture comprised the input layer, two hidden layers and the output layer with softmax activation. For the prediction of disability progression 8 years later, accuracy of 81.9% was achieved with a neural network comprising two hidden layers and 400 epochs.

CONCLUSION

We present evidence that by applying deep learning techniques to clinical and mGCL thickness data it is possible to identify MS and predict the course of the disease. This approach potentially constitutes a non-invasive, low-cost, easy-to-implement and effective method.

Prognostic models for predicting clinical disease progression, worsening and activity in people with multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic inflammatory disease of the central nervous system that affects millions of people worldwide. The disease course varies greatly across individuals and many disease-modifying treatments with different safety and efficacy profiles have been developed recently. Prognostic models evaluated and shown to be valid in different settings have the potential to support people with MS and their physicians during the decision-making process for treatment or disease/life management, allow stratified and more precise interpretation of interventional trials, and provide insights into disease mechanisms. Many researchers have turned to prognostic models to help predict clinical outcomes in people with MS; however, to our knowledge, no widely accepted prognostic model for MS is being used in clinical practice yet.

OBJECTIVES

To identify and summarise multivariable prognostic models, and their validation studies for quantifying the risk of clinical disease progression, worsening, and activity in adults with MS.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews from January 1996 until July 2021. We also screened the reference lists of included studies and relevant reviews, and references citing the included studies.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included all statistically developed multivariable prognostic models aiming to predict clinical disease progression, worsening, and activity, as measured by disability, relapse, conversion to definite MS, conversion to progressive MS, or a composite of these in adult individuals with MS. We also included any studies evaluating the performance of (i.e. validating) these models. There were no restrictions based on language, data source, timing of prognostication, or timing of outcome.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

Pairs of review authors independently screened titles/abstracts and full texts, extracted data using a piloted form based on the Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies (CHARMS), assessed risk of bias using the Prediction Model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST), and assessed reporting deficiencies based on the checklist items in Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD). The characteristics of the included models and their validations are described narratively. We planned to meta-analyse the discrimination and calibration of models with at least three external validations outside the model development study but no model met this criterion. We summarised between-study heterogeneity narratively but again could not perform the planned meta-regression.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 57 studies, from which we identified 75 model developments, 15 external validations corresponding to only 12 (16%) of the models, and six author-reported validations. Only two models were externally validated multiple times. None of the identified external validations were performed by researchers independent of those that developed the model. The outcome was related to disease progression in 39 (41%), relapses in 8 (8%), conversion to definite MS in 17 (18%), and conversion to progressive MS in 27 (28%) of the 96 models or validations. The disease and treatment-related characteristics of included participants, and definitions of considered predictors and outcome, were highly heterogeneous amongst the studies. Based on the publication year, we observed an increase in the percent of participants on treatment, diversification of the diagnostic criteria used, an increase in consideration of biomarkers or treatment as predictors, and increased use of machine learning methods over time. Usability and reproducibility All identified models contained at least one predictor requiring the skills of a medical specialist for measurement or assessment. Most of the models (44; 59%) contained predictors that require specialist equipment likely to be absent from primary care or standard hospital settings. Over half (52%) of the developed models were not accompanied by model coefficients, tools, or instructions, which hinders their application, independent validation or reproduction. The data used in model developments were made publicly available or reported to be available on request only in a few studies (two and six, respectively). Risk of bias We rated all but one of the model developments or validations as having high overall risk of bias. The main reason for this was the statistical methods used for the development or evaluation of prognostic models; we rated all but two of the included model developments or validations as having high risk of bias in the analysis domain. None of the model developments that were externally validated or these models' external validations had low risk of bias. There were concerns related to applicability of the models to our research question in over one-third (38%) of the models or their validations. Reporting deficiencies Reporting was poor overall and there was no observable increase in the quality of reporting over time. The items that were unclearly reported or not reported at all for most of the included models or validations were related to sample size justification, blinding of outcome assessors, details of the full model or how to obtain predictions from it, amount of missing data, and treatments received by the participants. Reporting of preferred model performance measures of discrimination and calibration was suboptimal.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

The current evidence is not sufficient for recommending the use of any of the published prognostic prediction models for people with MS in clinical routine today due to lack of independent external validations. The MS prognostic research community should adhere to the current reporting and methodological guidelines and conduct many more state-of-the-art external validation studies for the existing or newly developed models.

Discrimination of multiple sclerosis using OCT images from two different centers

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is one of the most prevalent chronic inflammatory diseases caused by demyelination and axonal damage in the central nervous system. Structural retinal imaging via optical coherence tomography (OCT) shows promise as a noninvasive biomarker for monitoring of MS. There are successful reports regarding the application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the analysis of cross-sectional OCTs in ophthalmologic diseases. However, the alteration of thicknesses of various retinal layers in MS is noticeably subtle compared to other ophthalmologic diseases. Therefore, raw cross-sectional OCTs are replaced with multilayer segmented OCTs for discrimination of MS and healthy controls (HCs).

METHODS

To conform to the principles of trustworthy AI, interpretability is provided by visualizing the regional layer contribution to classification performance with the proposed occlusion sensitivity approach. The robustness of the classification is also guaranteed by showing the effectiveness of the algorithm while being tested on the new independent dataset. The most discriminative features from different topologies of the multilayer segmented OCTs are selected by the dimension reduction method. Support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and artificial neural network (ANN) are used for classification. Patient-wise cross-validation (CV) is utilized to evaluate the performance of the algorithm, where the training and test folds contain records from different subjects.

RESULTS

The most discriminative topology is determined to square with a size of 40 pixels and the most influential layers are the ganglion cell and inner plexiform layer (GCIPL) and inner nuclear layer (INL). Linear SVM resulted in 88% Accuracy (with standard deviation (std) = 0.49 in 10 times of execution to indicate the repeatability), 78% precision (std=1.48), and 63% recall (std=1.35) in the discrimination of MS and HCs using macular multilayer segmented OCTs.

CONCLUSION

The proposed classification algorithm is expected to help neurologists in the early diagnosis of MS. This paper distinguishes itself from other studies by employing two distinct datasets, which enhances the robustness of its findings in comparison with previous studies with lack of external validation. This study aims to circumvent the utilization of deep learning methods due to the limited quantity of the available data and convincingly demonstrates that favorable outcomes can be achieved without relying on deep learning techniques.

Machine learning algorithms to predict intraoperative hemorrhage in surgical patients: a modeling study of real-world data in Shanghai, China

BACKGROUND

Prediction tools for various intraoperative bleeding events remain scarce. We aim to develop machine learning-based models and identify the most important predictors by real-world data from electronic medical records (EMRs).

METHODS

An established database of surgical inpatients in Shanghai was utilized for analysis. A total of 51,173 inpatients were assessed for eligibility. 48,543 inpatients were obtained in the dataset and patients were divided into haemorrhage (N = 9728) and without-haemorrhage (N = 38,815) groups according to their bleeding during the procedure. Candidate predictors were selected from 27 variables, including sex (N = 48,543), age (N = 48,543), BMI (N = 48,543), renal disease (N = 26), heart disease (N = 1309), hypertension (N = 9579), diabetes (N = 4165), coagulopathy (N = 47), and other features. The models were constructed by 7 machine learning algorithms, i.e., light gradient boosting (LGB), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), cathepsin B (CatB), Ada-boosting of decision tree (AdaB), logistic regression (LR), long short-term memory (LSTM), and multilayer perception (MLP). An area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the model performance.

RESULTS

The mean age of the inpatients was 53 ± 17 years, and 57.5% were male. LGB showed the best predictive performance for intraoperative bleeding combining multiple indicators (AUC = 0.933, sensitivity = 0.87, specificity = 0.85, accuracy = 0.87) compared with XGB, CatB, AdaB, LR, MLP and LSTM. The three most important predictors identified by LGB were operative time, D-dimer (DD), and age.

CONCLUSIONS

We proposed LGB as the best Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) algorithm for the evaluation of intraoperative bleeding. It is considered a simple and useful tool for predicting intraoperative bleeding in clinical settings. Operative time, DD, and age should receive attention.

Explainable artificial intelligence toward usable and trustworthy computer-aided diagnosis of multiple sclerosis from Optical Coherence Tomography

BACKGROUND

Several studies indicate that the anterior visual pathway provides information about the dynamics of axonal degeneration in Multiple Sclerosis (MS). Current research in the field is focused on the quest for the most discriminative features among patients and controls and the development of machine learning models that yield computer-aided solutions widely usable in clinical practice. However, most studies are conducted with small samples and the models are used as black boxes. Clinicians should not trust machine learning decisions unless they come with comprehensive and easily understandable explanations.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 216 eyes from 111 healthy controls and 100 eyes from 59 patients with relapsing-remitting MS were enrolled. The feature set was obtained from the thickness of the ganglion cell layer (GCL) and the retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL). Measurements were acquired by the novel Posterior Pole protocol from Spectralis Optical Coherence Tomography (OCT) device. We compared two black-box methods (gradient boosting and random forests) with a glass-box method (explainable boosting machine). Explainability was studied using SHAP for the black-box methods and the scores of the glass-box method.

RESULTS

The best-performing models were obtained for the GCL layer. Explainability pointed out to the temporal location of the GCL layer that is usually broken or thinning in MS and the relationship between low thickness values and high probability of MS, which is coherent with clinical knowledge.

CONCLUSIONS

The insights on how to use explainability shown in this work represent a first important step toward a trustworthy computer-aided solution for the diagnosis of MS with OCT.

Diagnosing Systemic Disorders with AI Algorithms Based on Ocular Images

The advent of artificial intelligence (AI), especially the state-of-the-art deep learning frameworks, has begun a silent revolution in all medical subfields, including ophthalmology. Due to their specific microvascular and neural structures, the eyes are anatomically associated with the rest of the body. Hence, ocular image-based AI technology may be a useful alternative or additional screening strategy for systemic diseases, especially where resources are scarce. This review summarizes the current applications of AI related to the prediction of systemic diseases from multimodal ocular images, including cardiovascular diseases, dementia, chronic kidney diseases, and anemia. Finally, we also discuss the current predicaments and future directions of these applications.

Diagnosis of multiple sclerosis using optical coherence tomography supported by artificial intelligence

BACKGROUND

Current procedures for diagnosing multiple sclerosis (MS) present a series of limitations, making it critically important to identify new biomarkers. The aim of the study was to identify new biomarkers for the early diagnosis of MS using spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (OCT) and artificial intelligence.

METHODS

Spectral domain OCT was performed on 79 patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) (disease duration ≤ 2 years, no history of optic neuritis) and on 69 age-matched healthy controls using the posterior pole protocol that incorporates the anatomic Positioning System. Median retinal thickness values in both eyes and inter-eye difference in healthy controls and patients were evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve analysis in the foveal, parafoveal and perifoveal areas and in the overall area spanned by the three rings. The structures with the greatest discriminant capacity - retinal thickness and inter-eye difference - were used as inputs to a convolutional neural network to assess the diagnostic capability.

RESULTS

Analysis of retinal thickness and inter-eye difference in RRMS patients revealed that greatest alteration occurred in the ganglion cell (GCL), inner plexiform (IPL), and inner retinal (IRL) layers. By using the average thickness of the GCL (AUROC = 0.82) and the inter-eye difference in the IPL (AUROC = 0.71) as inputs to a two-layer convolutional neural network, automatic diagnosis attained accuracy = 0.87, sensitivity = 0.82, and specificity = 0.92.

CONCLUSION

This study adds weight to the argument that neuroretinal structure analysis could be incorporated into the diagnostic criteria for MS.

A Deep Learning Approach for Predicting Multiple Sclerosis

This paper proposes a deep learning model based on an artificial neural network with a single hidden layer for predicting the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis. The hidden layer includes a regularization term that prevents overfitting and reduces the model complexity. The purposed learning model achieved higher prediction accuracy and lower loss than four conventional machine learning techniques. A dimensionality reduction method was used to select the most relevant features from 74 gene expression profiles for training the learning models. The analysis of variance test was performed to identify the statistical difference between the mean of the proposed model and the compared classifiers. The experimental results show the effectiveness of the proposed artificial neural network.

Comprehensible Machine-Learning-Based Models for the Pre-Emptive Diagnosis of Multiple Sclerosis Using Clinical Data: A Retrospective Study in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is characterized by chronic deterioration of the nervous system, mainly the brain and the spinal cord. An individual with MS develops the condition when the immune system begins attacking nerve fibers and the myelin sheathing that covers them, affecting the communication between the brain and the rest of the body and eventually causing permanent damage to the nerve. Patients with MS (pwMS) might experience different symptoms depending on which nerve was damaged and how much damage it has sustained. Currently, there is no cure for MS; however, there are clinical guidelines that help control the disease and its accompanying symptoms. Additionally, no specific laboratory biomarker can precisely identify the presence of MS, leaving specialists with a differential diagnosis that relies on ruling out other possible diseases with similar symptoms. Since the emergence of Machine Learning (ML) in the healthcare industry, it has become an effective tool for uncovering hidden patterns that aid in diagnosing several ailments. Several studies have been conducted to diagnose MS using ML and Deep Learning (DL) models trained using MRI images, achieving promising results. However, complex and expensive diagnostic tools are needed to collect and examine imaging data. Thus, the intention of this study is to implement a cost-effective, clinical data-driven model that is capable of diagnosing pwMS. The dataset was obtained from King Fahad Specialty Hospital (KFSH) in Dammam, Saudi Arabia. Several ML algorithms were compared, namely Support Vector Machine (SVM), Decision Tree (DT), Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), and Extra Trees (ET). The results indicated that the ET model outpaced the rest with an accuracy of 94.74%, recall of 97.26%, and precision of 94.67%.

Diagnostic performance of artificial intelligence in multiple sclerosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The expansion of the availability of advanced imaging methods needs more time, expertise, and resources which is in contrast to the primary goal of the imaging techniques. To overcome most of these difficulties, artificial intelligence (AI) can be used. A number of studies used AI models for multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis and reported diverse results. Therefore, we aim to perform a comprehensive systematic review and meta-analysis study on the role of AI in the diagnosis of MS.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search using four databases including PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and IEEE. Studies that applied deep learning or AI to the diagnosis of MS based on any modalities were considered eligible in our study. The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and area under curve (AUC) were pooled with a random-effects model and 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

After the screening, 41 articles with 5989 individuals met the inclusion criteria and were included in our qualitative and quantitative synthesis. Our analysis showed that the overall accuracy among studies was 94% (95%CI: 93%, 96%). The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 92% (95%CI: 90%, 95%) and 93% (95%CI: 90%, 96%), respectively. Furthermore, our analysis showed 92% precision in MS diagnosis for AI studies (95%CI: 88%, 97%). Also, the overall pooled AUC was 93% (95%CI: 89%, 96%).

CONCLUSION

Overall, AI models can further improve our diagnostic practice in MS patients. Our results indicate that the use of AI can aid the clinicians in accurate diagnosis of MS and improve current diagnostic approaches as most of the parameters including accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and AUC were considerably high, especially when using MRI data.

Application of Deep Learning to Retinal-Image-Based Oculomics for Evaluation of Systemic Health: A Review

The retina is a window to the human body. Oculomics is the study of the correlations between ophthalmic biomarkers and systemic health or disease states. Deep learning (DL) is currently the cutting-edge machine learning technique for medical image analysis, and in recent years, DL techniques have been applied to analyze retinal images in oculomics studies. In this review, we summarized oculomics studies that used DL models to analyze retinal images-most of the published studies to date involved color fundus photographs, while others focused on optical coherence tomography images. These studies showed that some systemic variables, such as age, sex and cardiovascular disease events, could be consistently robustly predicted, while other variables, such as thyroid function and blood cell count, could not be. DL-based oculomics has demonstrated fascinating, "super-human" predictive capabilities in certain contexts, but it remains to be seen how these models will be incorporated into clinical care and whether management decisions influenced by these models will lead to improved clinical outcomes.

Multiple Sclerosis Diagnosis Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning: Challenges and Opportunities

Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a disease that impacts the central nervous system (CNS), which can lead to brain, spinal cord, and optic nerve problems. A total of 2.8 million are estimated to suffer from MS. Globally, a new case of MS is reported every five minutes. In this review, we discuss the proposed approaches to diagnosing MS using machine learning (ML) published between 2011 and 2022. Numerous models have been developed using different types of data, including magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and clinical data. We identified the methods that achieved the best results in diagnosing MS. The most implemented approaches are SVM, RF, and CNN. Moreover, we discussed the challenges and opportunities in MS diagnosis to improve AI systems to enable researchers and practitioners to enhance their approaches and improve the automated diagnosis of MS. The challenges faced by automated MS diagnosis include difficulty distinguishing the disease from other diseases showing similar symptoms, protecting the confidentiality of the patients' data, achieving reliable ML models that are also easily understood by non-experts, and the difficulty of collecting a large reliable dataset. Moreover, we discussed several opportunities in the field such as the implementation of secure platforms, employing better AI solutions, developing better disease prognosis systems, combining more than one data type for better MS prediction and using OCT data for diagnosis, utilizing larger, multi-center datasets to improve the reliability of the developed models, and commercialization.

Cortical lesions, central vein sign, and paramagnetic rim lesions in multiple sclerosis: Emerging machine learning techniques and future avenues

The current diagnostic criteria for multiple sclerosis (MS) lack specificity, and this may lead to misdiagnosis, which remains an issue in present-day clinical practice. In addition, conventional biomarkers only moderately correlate with MS disease progression. Recently, some MS lesional imaging biomarkers such as cortical lesions (CL), the central vein sign (CVS), and paramagnetic rim lesions (PRL), visible in specialized magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) sequences, have shown higher specificity in differential diagnosis. Moreover, studies have shown that CL and PRL are potential prognostic biomarkers, the former correlating with cognitive impairments and the latter with early disability progression. As machine learning-based methods have achieved extraordinary performance in the assessment of conventional imaging biomarkers, such as white matter lesion segmentation, several automated or semi-automated methods have been proposed as well for CL, PRL, and CVS. In the present review, we first introduce these MS biomarkers and their imaging methods. Subsequently, we describe the corresponding machine learning-based methods that were proposed to tackle these clinical questions, putting them into context with respect to the challenges they are facing, including non-standardized MRI protocols, limited datasets, and moderate inter-rater variability. We conclude by presenting the current limitations that prevent their broader deployment and suggesting future research directions.

Retinal imaging with optical coherence tomography in multiple sclerosis: novel aspects

Optical coherence tomography (OCT) is of increasing interest in the clinical assessment of multiple sclerosis (MS) patients beyond the scope of clinical studies. In this narrative review, we discuss novel changes of OCT parameters during acute optic neuritis and the disease course of MS patients. OCT images document the changes of retinal layers during an episode of acute optic neuritis and can therefore provide valuable insights into the pathophysiology. Moreover, MS patients show progredient thinning of retinal layers throughout the disease. The thinning is accelerated through relapses as well as disease progression without relapse. The OCT parameters are also associated with clinical outcome parameters, including disability, cognitive function, and brain atrophy. The impact of disease-modifying therapies on OCT parameters is the subject of ongoing research and depends on the agent used. Additional data are still necessary before OCT parameters can be implemented in the clinical standard of care of MS patients.

Comparison of Machine Learning Methods Using Spectralis OCT for Diagnosis and Disability Progression Prognosis in Multiple Sclerosis

Machine learning approaches in diagnosis and prognosis of multiple sclerosis (MS) were analysed using retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness, measured by optical coherence tomography (OCT). A cross-sectional study (72 MS patients and 30 healthy controls) was used for diagnosis. These 72 MS patients were involved in a 10-year longitudinal follow-up study for prognostic purposes. Structural measurements of RNFL thickness were performed using different Spectralis OCT protocols: fast macular thickness protocol to measure macular RNFL, and fast RNFL thickness protocol and fast RNFL-N thickness protocol to measure peripapillary RNFL. Binary classifiers such as multiple linear regression (MLR), support vector machines (SVM), decision tree (DT), k-nearest neighbours (k-NN), Naïve Bayes (NB), ensemble classifier (EC) and long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network were tested. For MS diagnosis, the best acquisition protocol was fast macular thickness protocol using k-NN (accuracy: 95.8%; sensitivity: 94.4%; specificity: 97.2%; precision: 97.1%; AUC: 0.958). For MS prognosis, our model with a 3-year follow up to predict disability progression 8 years later was the best predictive model. DT performed best for fast macular thickness protocol (accuracy: 91.3%; sensitivity: 90.0%; specificity: 92.5%; precision: 92.3%; AUC: 0.913) and SVM for fast RNFL-N thickness protocol (accuracy: 91.3%; sensitivity: 87.5%; specificity: 95.0%; precision: 94.6%; AUC: 0.913). This work concludes that measurements of RNFL thickness obtained with Spectralis OCT have a good ability to diagnose MS and to predict disability progression in MS patients. This machine learning approach would help clinicians to have valuable information.

Appositeness of Optimized and Reliable Machine Learning for Healthcare: A Survey

Machine Learning (ML) has been categorized as a branch of Artificial Intelligence (AI) under the Computer Science domain wherein programmable machines imitate human learning behavior with the help of statistical methods and data. The Healthcare industry is one of the largest and busiest sectors in the world, functioning with an extensive amount of manual moderation at every stage. Most of the clinical documents concerning patient care are hand-written by experts, selective reports are machine-generated. This process elevates the chances of misdiagnosis thereby, imposing a risk to a patient's life. Recent technological adoptions for automating manual operations have witnessed extensive use of ML in its applications. The paper surveys the applicability of ML approaches in automating medical systems. The paper discusses most of the optimized statistical ML frameworks that encourage better service delivery in clinical aspects. The universal adoption of various Deep Learning (DL) and ML techniques as the underlying systems for a variety of wellness applications, is delineated by challenges and elevated by myriads of security. This work tries to recognize a variety of vulnerabilities occurring in medical procurement, admitting the concerns over its predictive performance from a privacy point of view. Finally providing possible risk delimiting facts and directions for active challenges in the future.

Early Diagnosis of Multiple Sclerosis Using Swept-Source Optical Coherence Tomography and Convolutional Neural Networks Trained with Data Augmentation

BACKGROUND

The aim of this paper is to implement a system to facilitate the diagnosis of multiple sclerosis (MS) in its initial stages. It does so using a convolutional neural network (CNN) to classify images captured with swept-source optical coherence tomography (SS-OCT).

METHODS

SS-OCT images from 48 control subjects and 48 recently diagnosed MS patients have been used. These images show the thicknesses (45 × 60 points) of the following structures: complete retina, retinal nerve fiber layer, two ganglion cell layers (GCL+, GCL++) and choroid. The Cohen distance is used to identify the structures and the regions within them with greatest discriminant capacity. The original database of OCT images is augmented by a deep convolutional generative adversarial network to expand the CNN's training set.

RESULTS

The retinal structures with greatest discriminant capacity are the GCL++ (44.99% of image points), complete retina (26.71%) and GCL+ (22.93%). Thresholding these images and using them as inputs to a CNN comprising two convolution modules and one classification module obtains sensitivity = specificity = 1.0.

CONCLUSIONS

Feature pre-selection and the use of a convolutional neural network may be a promising, nonharmful, low-cost, easy-to-perform and effective means of assisting the early diagnosis of MS based on SS-OCT thickness data.

Feed-forward LPQNet based Automatic Alzheimer's Disease Detection Model

BACKGROUND

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is one of the most commonly seen brain ailments worldwide. Therefore, many researches have been presented about AD detection and cure. In addition, machine learning models have also been proposed to detect AD promptly.

MATERIALS AND METHOD

In this work, a new brain image dataset was collected. This dataset contains two categories, and these categories are healthy and AD. This dataset was collected from 1070 subjects. This work presents an automatic AD detection model to detect AD using brain images automatically. The presented model is called a feed-forward local phase quantization network (LPQNet). LPQNet consists of (i) multilevel feature generation based on LPQ and average pooling, (ii) feature selection using neighborhood component analysis (NCA), and (iii) classification phases. The prime objective of the presented LPQNet is to reach high accuracy with low computational complexity. LPQNet generates features on six levels. Therefore, 256 × 6 = 1536 features are generated from an image, and the most important 256 out 1536 features are selected. The selected 256 features are classified on the conventional classifiers to denote the classification capability of the generated and selected features by LPQNet.

RESULTS

The presented LPQNet was tested on three image datasets to demonstrate the universal classification ability of the LPQNet. The proposed LPQNet attained 99.68%, 100%, and 99.64% classification accuracy on the collected AD image dataset, the Harvard Brain Atlas AD dataset, and the Kaggle AD dataset. Moreover, LPQNet attained 99.62% accuracy on the Kaggle AD dataset using four classes.

CONCLUSIONS

Moreover, the calculated results from LPQNet are compared to other automatic AD detection models. Comparisons, results, and findings clearly denote the superiority of the presented model. In addition, a new intelligent AD detector application can be developed for use in magnetic resonance (MR) and computed tomography (CT) devices. By using the developed automated AD detector, new generation intelligence MR and CT devices can be developed.

Comparison of Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms for Classifying of Home Discharge Possibility in Convalescent Stroke Patients: A Secondary Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Classifying the possibility of home discharge is important during stroke rehabilitation to support decision-making. There have been several studies on supervised machine learning algorithms, but only a few have compared the performance of different algorithms based on the same dataset for the classification of home discharge possibility. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate five supervised machine learning algorithms for the classification of home discharge possibility in stroke patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This was a secondary analysis based on the data of 481 stroke patients from the database of our institution. Five models developed by supervised machine learning algorithms, including decision tree (DT), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), k-nearest neighbors (k-NN), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF) were compared by constructing a classification system based on the same dataset. Several parameters including classification accuracy, area under the curve (AUC), and F1 score (a weighted average of precision and recall) were used for model evaluation.

RESULTS

The k-NN model had the best classification accuracy (84.0%) with a moderate AUC (0.88) and F1 score (87.8). The SVM model also showed high classification accuracy (82.6%) along with the highest AUC (0.91), sensitivity (94.4), negative predictive value (87.5), and negative likelihood ratio (0.088). The DT, LDA, and RF models had high classification accuracies (≥ 79.9%) with moderate AUCs (≥ 0.84) and F1 scores (≥ 83.8).

CONCLUSIONS

Regarding model performance, the k-NN and SVM seemed the best candidate algorithms for classifying the possibility of home discharge in stroke patients.

Analysis of Retinal Layers in Fibromyalgia Patients with Premium Protocol in Optical Tomography Coherence and Quality of Life

PURPOSE

To evaluate the inner retinal layers in fibromyalgia (FM) patients compared to control subjects using posterior pole protocol (PPole) analysis in optical coherence tomography (OCT) and to correlate structural retinal changes with subjective quality of life.

METHODS

Seventy-four eyes of healthy subjects and 55 eyes of those with FM were analyzed. All subjects underwent retinal evaluation using the PPole protocol for Spectralis OCT (Heidelberg Engineering) to obtain measurements of the retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) and the ganglion cell layer (GCL) in the macular area. The EuroQol (EQ-5D) questionnaire and Fibromyalgia Impact Questionnaire (FIQ) were performed to analyze health-related quality of life. Additionally, the FM group was divided into three groups depending on the disease phenotype (atypical, depressive and biological).

RESULTS

: Patients with FM presented with a reduction of the RNFL thickness compared to controls in 17/64 cells of the PPole area, and a reduction of the GCL thickness in 47/64 cells. Depressive FM phenotype showed the greatest number of cells with significant reduction compared with the control group in both RNFL and GCL layers. A correlation between temporal-inferior cells of the GCL and the EuroQol 5D questionnaire results was observed.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with FM present with a reduction of the inner retinal layers in the macular area. This degeneration correlates with disease severity/reduced quality of life in these patients. The PPole protocol for OCT is a non-invasive and fast tool that might help clinicians diagnose and monitor neurodegeneration in FM patients.