Prediction and verification of survival in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer based on an integrated radiomics nomogram

The value of radiomics-based CT combined with machine learning in the diagnosis of occult vertebral fractures

PURPOSE

To develop and evaluate the performance of radiomics-based computed tomography (CT) combined with machine learning algorithms in detecting occult vertebral fractures (OVFs).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

128 vertebrae including 64 with OVF confirmed by magnetic resonance imaging and 64 corresponding control vertebrae from 57 patients who underwent chest/abdominal CT scans, were included. The CT radiomics features on mid-axial and mid-sagittal plane of each vertebra were extracted. The fractured and normal vertebrae were randomly divided into training set and validation set at a ratio of 8:2. Pearson correlation analyses and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator were used for selecting sagittal and axial features, respectively. Three machine-learning algorithms were used to construct the radiomics models based on the residual features. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to verify the performance of model.

RESULTS

For mid-axial CT imaging, 6 radiomics parameters were obtained and used for building the models. The logistic regression (LR) algorithm showed the best performance with area under the ROC curves (AUC) of training and validation sets of 0.682 and 0.775. For mid-sagittal CT imaging, 5 parameters were selected, and LR algorithms showed the best performance with AUC of training and validation sets of 0.832 and 0.882. The LR model based on sagittal CT yielded the best performance, with an accuracy of 0.846, sensitivity of 0.846, and specificity of 0.846.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning based on CT radiomics features allows for the detection of OVFs, especially the LR model based on the radiomics of sagittal imaging, which indicates it is promising to further combine with deep learning to achieve automatic recognition of OVFs to reduce the associated secondary injury.

Association between Contrast-Enhanced Computed Tomography Radiomic Features, Genomic Alterations and Prognosis in Advanced Lung Adenocarcinoma Patients

Non-invasive methods to assess mutational status, as well as novel prognostic biomarkers, are warranted to foster therapy personalization of patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study investigated the association of contrast-enhanced Computed Tomography (CT) radiomic features of lung adenocarcinoma lesions, alone or integrated with clinical parameters, with tumor mutational status (EGFR, KRAS, ALK alterations) and Overall Survival (OS). In total, 261 retrospective and 48 prospective patients were enrolled. A Radiomic Score (RS) was created with LASSO-Logistic regression models to predict mutational status. Radiomic, clinical and clinical-radiomic models were trained on retrospective data and tested (Area Under the Curve, AUC) on prospective data. OS prediction models were trained and tested on retrospective data with internal cross-validation (C-index). RS significantly predicted each alteration at training (radiomic and clinical-radiomic AUC 0.95-0.98); validation performance was good for EGFR (AUC 0.86), moderate for KRAS and ALK (AUC 0.61-0.65). RS was also associated with OS at univariate and multivariable analysis, in the latter with stage and type of treatment. The validation C-index was 0.63, 0.79, and 0.80 for clinical, radiomic, and clinical-radiomic models. The study supports the potential role of CT radiomics for non-invasive identification of gene alterations and prognosis prediction in patients with advanced lung adenocarcinoma, to be confirmed with independent studies.

Clinical characteristics and cancer-specific survival analysis of double primary cancer patients with lung cancer as the first primary cancer

The objective of this study is to explore the prognostic factors of double primary cancer patients with lung cancer as the first primary cancer (FPC). The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database is a database established by the National Institutes of Research for cancer registration purposes, which collects relatively complete demographic characteristics and clinical data for assessing the epidemiological characteristics of cancer worldwide. Clinical data on patients with a clear histopathological diagnosis of double primary with lung cancer as the FPC were identified and collected from the SEER database from 2010 to 2015. Survival curves were plotted by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Independent prognostic factors of patients were analyzed by COX proportional risk model. Clinical data were collected from a total of 9306 patients, including 6516 patients in the modeling group and 2790 patients in the validation group. When we retrieved that the FPC was lung cancer, we found that the most common site of the second primary cancer was located in the respiratory system (54.0%). In addition, the most common site of first primary lung cancer in patients with double primary cancer was the right upper lobe (33.3%). A total of 14 independent prognostic factors were included, and the constructed survival nomogram had high accuracy and clinical applicability. The nomogram established in this study can help to raise awareness of clinical workers and the importance of such diseases, and guide the treatment and follow-up strategies.

Radiomics-Based Deep Learning Prediction of Overall Survival in Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Using Contrast-Enhanced Computed Tomography

Simple Summary

The five-year survival rate of non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), which accounts for 85% of all lung cancer cases, is only 10–20%. A reliable prediction model of overall survival (OS) that integrates imaging and clinical data is required. Overall, 492 patients with NSCLC from two hospitals were enrolled in this study. The compensation method was applied to reduce the variation of imaging features among different hospitals. We constructed a deep learning prediction model, DeepSurv, based on computed tomography radiomics and key clinical features to generate a personalized survival curve for each patient. The results of DeepSurv showed a good performance in discriminating high and low risk of survival. Furthermore, the generated personalized survival curves could be intuitively applied for individual OS prediction in clinical practice. We concluded that the proposed prediction model could benefit physicians, patients, and caregivers in managing NSCLC and facilitate personalized medicine.

Abstract

Patient outcomes of non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) vary because of tumor heterogeneity and treatment strategies. This study aimed to construct a deep learning model combining both radiomic and clinical features to predict the overall survival of patients with NSCLC. To improve the reliability of the proposed model, radiomic analysis complying with the Image Biomarker Standardization Initiative and the compensation approach to integrate multicenter datasets were performed on contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) images. Pretreatment CECT images and the clinical data of 492 patients with NSCLC from two hospitals were collected. The deep neural network architecture, DeepSurv, with the input of radiomic and clinical features was employed. The performance of survival prediction model was assessed using the C-index and area under the curve (AUC) 8, 12, and 24 months after diagnosis. The performance of survival prediction that combined eight radiomic features and five clinical features outperformed that solely based on radiomic or clinical features. The C-index values of the combined model achieved 0.74, 0.75, and 0.75, respectively, and AUC values of 0.76, 0.74, and 0.73, respectively, 8, 12, and 24 months after diagnosis. In conclusion, combining the traits of pretreatment CECT images, lesion characteristics, and treatment strategies could effectively predict the survival of patients with NSCLC using a deep learning model.

Form Factors as Potential Imaging Biomarkers to Differentiate Benign vs. Malignant Lung Lesions on CT Scans

Indeterminate lung nodules detected on CT scans are common findings in clinical practice. Their correct assessment is critical, as early diagnosis of malignancy is crucial to maximise the treatment outcome. In this work, we evaluated the role of form factors as imaging biomarkers to differentiate benign vs. malignant lung lesions on CT scans. We tested a total of three conventional imaging features, six form factors, and two shape features for significant differences between benign and malignant lung lesions on CT scans. The study population consisted of 192 lung nodules from two independent datasets, containing 109 (38 benign, 71 malignant) and 83 (42 benign, 41 malignant) lung lesions, respectively. The standard of reference was either histological evaluation or stability on radiological followup. The statistical significance was determined via the Mann-Whitney U nonparametric test, and the ability of the form factors to discriminate a benign vs. a malignant lesion was assessed through multivariate prediction models based on Support Vector Machines. The univariate analysis returned four form factors (Angelidakis compactness and flatness, Kong flatness, and maximum projection sphericity) that were significantly different between the benign and malignant group in both datasets. In particular, we found that the benign lesions were on average flatter than the malignant ones; conversely, the malignant ones were on average more compact (isotropic) than the benign ones. The multivariate prediction models showed that adding form factors to conventional imaging features improved the prediction accuracy by up to 14.5 pp. We conclude that form factors evaluated on lung nodules on CT scans can improve the differential diagnosis between benign and malignant lesions.