Does Sex Modify an Association of Electrophysiological Substrate with Sudden Cardiac Death? The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

Observational study of sudden cardiac arrest risk (OSCAR): Rationale and design of an electronic health records cohort

Background

Out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is a major cause of mortality and improved risk prediction is needed. The Observational Study of Sudden Cardiac Arrest Risk (OSCAR) is an electronic health records (EHR)-based cohort study of patients receiving routine medical care in the Cedars-Sinai Health System (CSHS) in Los Angeles County, CA designed to evaluate predictors of SCA. This paper describes the rationale, objectives, and study design for the OSCAR cohort.

Methods and Results

The OSCAR cohort includes 379,833 Los Angeles County residents with at least one patient encounter at CSHS in each of two consecutive calendar years from 2016 to 2020. We obtained baseline cohort characteristics from the EHR from 2012 until the start of follow-up, including demographics, vital signs, clinical diagnoses, cardiac tests and imaging, procedures, laboratory results, and medications. Follow-up will continue until Dec. 31, 2025, with an expected median follow-up time of ∼ 7 years. The primary outcome is out-of-hospital SCA of likely cardiac etiology attended by Los Angeles County Emergency Medical Services (LAC-EMS). The secondary outcome is total mortality identified using California Department of Public Health - Vital Records death certificates. We will use conventional approaches (diagnosis code algorithms) and artificial intelligence (natural language processing, deep learning) to define patient phenotypes and biostatistical and machine learning approaches for analysis.

Conclusions

The OSCAR cohort will provide a large, diverse dataset and adjudicated SCA outcomes to facilitate the derivation and testing of risk prediction models for incident SCA.

Latent profiles of global electrical heterogeneity: the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos

Aims

Despite the highest prevalence of stroke, obesity, and diabetes across races/ethnicities, paradoxically, Hispanic/Latino populations have the lowest prevalence of atrial fibrillation and major Minnesota code-defined ECG abnormalities. We aimed to use Latent Profile Analysis in the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL) population to obtain insight into epidemiological discrepancies.

Methods and results

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of baseline HCHS/SOL visit. Global electrical heterogeneity (GEH) was measured as spatial QRS-T angle (QRSTa), spatial ventricular gradient azimuth (SVGaz), elevation (SVGel), magnitude (SVGmag), and sum absolute QRST integral (SAIQRST). Statistical analysis accounted for the stratified two-stage area probability sample design. We fitted a multivariate latent profile generalized structural equation model adjusted for age, sex, ethnic background, education, hypertension, diabetes, smoking, dyslipidaemia, obesity, chronic kidney disease, physical activity, diet quality, average RR' interval, median beat type, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) to gain insight into the GEH profiles. Among 15 684 participants (age 41 years; 53% females; 6% known CVD), 17% had an increased probability of likely abnormal GEH profile (QRSTa 80 ± 27°, SVGaz -4 ± 21°, SVGel 72 ± 12°, SVGmag 45 ± 12 mVms, and SAIQRST 120 ± 23 mVms). There was a 23% probability for a participant of being in Class 1 with a narrow QRSTa (40.0 ± 10.2°) and large SVG (SVGmag 108.3 ± 22.6 mVms; SAIQRST 203.4 ± 39.1 mVms) and a 60% probability of being in intermediate Class 2.

Conclusion

A substantial proportion (17%) in the Hispanic/Latino population had an increased probability of altered, likely abnormal GEH profile, whereas 83% of the population was resilient to harmful risk factors exposures.

Association Between Disturbed Serum Phosphorus Levels and QT Interval Prolongation

Introduction

QT interval prolongation is a risk factor for fatal arrhythmias and other cardiovascular complications. QT interval prolongation in patients on hemodialysis (HD) is not well understood. Hypocalcemia is a suspected, but poorly verified etiology in these patients, and the association between serum phosphorus levels and QT interval prolongation is unknown. We sought to determine the prevalence of QT interval prolongation in patients on HD and to verify the association between predialysis serum calcium (Ca) and phosphate (P) levels and QT interval prolongation.

Methods

A cross-sectional study was conducted on adult patients on maintenance HD who were enrolled in the Japanese Society for Dialysis Therapy and Renal Data Registry 2019. After assessing patient characteristics, linear regression analysis was performed with predialysis serum Ca and P levels as exposures and a rate-corrected QT (QTc) interval as the outcome.

Results

A total of 204,530 patients were analyzed with a mean QTc of 451.2 (standard deviation, 36.9) ms. After multivariable analysis, estimated change in QTc (coefficients; 95% confidence interval) per 1 mg/dl increase in serum Ca and P was -2.02 (-3.00 to -1.04) and 5.50 (3.92-7.09), respectively. In the restricted cubic spline curve, estimated change in QTc increased with lower values of serum Ca. The correlation between serum P and QTc showed a U-shaped curve.

Conclusion

Decreased serum Ca levels and decreased and increased serum P levels may be associated with QT interval prolongation in patients on maintenance HD.

Coronary Artery Calcium for Risk Stratification of Sudden Cardiac Death: The Coronary Artery Calcium Consortium

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) is a marker of plaque burden. Whether CAC improves risk stratification for incident sudden cardiac death (SCD) beyond atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk factors is unknown.

OBJECTIVES

SCD is a common initial manifestation of coronary heart disease (CHD); however, SCD risk prediction remains elusive.

METHODS

The authors studied 66,636 primary prevention patients from the CAC Consortium. Multivariable competing risks regression and C-statistics were used to assess the association between CAC and SCD, adjusting for demographics and traditional risk factors.

RESULTS

The mean age was 54.4 years, 33% were women, 11% were of non-White ethnicity, and 55% had CAC >0. A total of 211 SCD events (0.3%) were observed during a median follow-up of 10.6 years, 91% occurring among those with baseline CAC >0. Compared with CAC = 0, there was a stepwise higher risk (P trend < 0.001) in SCD for CAC 100 to 399 (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]: 2.8; 95% CI: 1.6-5.0), CAC 400 to 999 (SHR: 4.0; 95% CI: 2.2-7.3), and CAC >1,000 (SHR: 4.9; 95% CI: 2.6-9.9). CAC provided incremental improvements in the C-statistic for the prediction of SCD among individuals with a 10-year risk <7.5% (ΔC-statistic = +0.046; P = 0.02) and 7.5% to 20% (ΔC-statistic = +0.069; P = 0.003), which were larger when compared with persons with a 10-year risk >20% (ΔC-statistic = +0.01; P = 0.54).

CONCLUSIONS

Higher CAC burden strongly associates with incident SCD beyond traditional risk factors, particularly among primary prevention patients with low-intermediate risk. SCD risk stratification can be useful in the early stages of CHD through the measurement of CAC, identifying patients most likely to benefit from further downstream testing.

Inflammatory MicroRNAs and the Pathophysiology of Endometriosis and Atherosclerosis: Common Pathways and Future Directions Towards Elucidating the Relationship

Emerging data indicates an association between endometriosis and subclinical atherosclerosis, with women with endometriosis at a higher risk for cardiovascular disease later in life. Inflammation is proposed to play a central role in the pathophysiology of both diseases and elevated levels of systemic pro-inflammatory cytokines including macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), and interleukin-6 (IL-6) are well documented. However, a thorough understanding on the mediators and mechanisms which contribute to altered cytokine expression in both diseases remain poorly understood. MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are important post-transcriptional regulators of inflammatory pathways and numerous studies have reported altered circulating levels of miRNAs in both endometriosis and atherosclerosis. Potential contribution of miRNA-mediated inflammatory cascades common to the pathophysiology of both diseases has not been evaluated but could offer insight into common pathways and early manifestation relevant to both diseases which may help understand cause and effect. In this review, we discuss and summarize differentially expressed inflammatory circulating miRNAs in endometriosis subjects, compare this profile to that of circulating levels associated with atherosclerosis when possible, and then discuss mechanistic studies focusing on these miRNAs in relevant cell, tissue, and animal models. We conclude by discussing the potential utility of targeting the relevant miRNAs in the MIF-IL-6-TNF-α pathway as therapeutic options and offer insight into future studies which will help us better understand not only the role of these miRNAs in the pathophysiology of both endometriosis and atherosclerosis but also commonality between both diseases.

Reproducibility of global electrical heterogeneity measurements on 12-lead ECG: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

OBJECTIVE

Vectorcardiographic (VCG) global electrical heterogeneity (GEH) metrics showed clinical usefulness. We aimed to assess the reproducibility of GEH metrics.

METHODS

GEH was measured on two 10-s 12‑lead ECGs recorded on the same day in 4316 participants of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (age 69.4 ± 9.4 y; 2317(54%) female, 1728 (40%) white, 1138(26%) African-American, 519(12%) Asian-American, 931(22%) Hispanic-American). GEH was measured on a median beat, comprised of the normal sinus (N), atrial fibrillation/flutter (S), and ventricular-paced (VP) beats. Spatial ventricular gradient's (SVG's) scalar was measured as sum absolute QRST integral (SAIQRST) and vector magnitude QT integral (VMQTi).

RESULTS

Two N ECGs with heart rate (HR) bias of -0.64 (95% limits of agreement [LOA] -5.68 to 5.21) showed spatial area QRS-T angle (aQRST) bias of -0.12 (95%LOA -14.8 to 14.5). Two S ECGs with HR bias of 0.20 (95%LOA -15.8 to 16.2) showed aQRST bias of 1.37 (95%LOA -33.2 to 35.9). Two VP ECGs with HR bias of 0.25 (95%LOA -3.0 to 3.5) showed aQRST bias of -1.03 (95%LOA -11.9 to 9.9). After excluding premature atrial or ventricular beat and two additional beats (before and after extrasystole), the number of cardiac beats included in a median beat did not affect the GEH reproducibility. Mean-centered log-transformed values of SAIQRST and VMQTi demonstrated perfect agreement (Bias 0; 95%LOA -0.092 to 0.092).

CONCLUSION

GEH measurements on N, S, and VP median beats are reproducible. SVG's scalar can be measured as either SAIQRST or VMQTi.

SIGNIFICANCE

Satisfactory reproducibility of GEH metrics supports their implementation.

Response to cardiac resynchronisation therapy in men and women: a secondary analysis of the SMART-AV randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVES

There is a controversy about whether both sexes' response to cardiac resynchronisation therapy (CRT) is similar. We aimed to assess a causal effect of sex on CRT response.

DESIGN

Secondary analysis of a randomised controlled trial (RCT) data. Doubly robust augmented-inverse-probability-weighted (AIPW) estimation of sex effect on CRT response.

SETTING

The SmartDelay Determined Atrioventricular (AV) Optimisation (SMART-AV) RCT.

PARTICIPANTS

The SMART-AV RCT enrolled New York Heart Association class III-IV patients with heart failure (HF) with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤35% despite optimal medical therapy and QRS duration ≥120 ms, in sinus rhythm. After exclusion of those with missing outcome or covariates, 741 participants (age 66±11 years; 33% female; 78% white; LVEF 28%±9%; 58% ischaemic cardiomyopathy; 75% left bundle branch block; left ventricular end-systolic volume index (LVESVI) 65±30 mL/m²) were included.

INTERVENTIONS

Implanted CRT defibrillator with randomly assigned AV delay as either (1) fixed at 120 ms, or (2) echocardiography-determined, or (3) SmartDelay algorithm-programmed.

OUTCOME

A composite of freedom from death and HF hospitalisation and a >15% reduction in LVESVI at 6 month post-CRT was the endpoint.

RESULTS

The primary endpoint was met by 337 patients (45.5%); 134 were women (55.6% response) and 203 were men (40.6% response); p<0.0001. After conditioning for 33 covariates that included baseline demographic, clinical, ECG, echocardiographic and biomarker characteristics, known predictors of CRT response, logistic regression showed a higher probability for composite CRT response for women versus men (OR 1.79; 95% CI 1.08 to 2.98; p<0.0001), whereas AIPW estimation showed no difference in CRT response (average treatment effect 0.88; 95% CI 0.41 to 1.89; p=0.739). After removing colliders from the model, both logistic regression (OR 1.00; 95% CI 0.69 to 1.44) and AIPW (ATE 1.06; 95% CI 0.96 to 1.16) reported similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

Both sexes' response to CRT is similar. Sex differences in HF substrate, treatment and comorbidities explain sex disparities in CRT outcomes.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier; NCT00677014.

Electrophysiological ventricular substrate of stroke: a prospective cohort study in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

OBJECTIVES

The goal of the study was to determine an association of cardiac ventricular substrate with thrombotic stroke (TS), cardioembolic stroke (ES) and intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH).

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study in 1987-1989 enrolled adults (45-64 years), selected as a probability sample from four US communities (Minneapolis, Minnesota; Washington, Maryland; Forsyth, North Carolina; Jackson, Mississippi). Visit 2 was in 1990-1992, visit 3 in 1993-1995, visit 4 in 1996-1998 and visit 5 in 2011-2013.

PARTICIPANTS

ARIC participants with analysable ECGs and no history of stroke were included (n=14 479; age 54±6 y; 55% female; 24% black). Ventricular substrate was characterised by cardiac memory, spatial QRS-T angle (QRS-Ta), sum absolute QRST integral (SAIQRST), spatial ventricular gradient magnitude (SVGmag), premature ventricular contractions (PVCs) and tachycardia-dependent intermittent bundle branch block (TD-IBBB) on 12-lead ECG at visits 1-5.

OUTCOME

Adjudicated TS included a first definite or probable thrombotic cerebral infarction, ES-a first definite or probable non-carotid cardioembolic brain infarction. Definite ICH was included if it was the only stroke event.

RESULTS

Over a median 24.5 years follow-up, there were 899 TS, 400 ES and 120 ICH events. Cox proportional hazard risk models were adjusted for demographics, cardiovascular disease, risk factors, atrial fibrillation, atrial substrate and left ventricular hypertrophy. After adjustment, PVCs (HR 1.72; 95% CI 1.02 to 2.92), QRS-Ta (HR 1.15; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.28), SAIQRST (HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.07 to 1.34) and time-updated SVGmag (HR 1.19; 95% CI 1.08 to 1.32) associated with ES. Similarly, PVCs (HR 1.53; 95% CI 1.03 to 2.26), QRS-Ta (HR 1.08; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.16), SAIQRST (HR 1.07; 95% CI 1.01 to 1.14) and time-updated SVGmag (HR 1.11; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.19) associated with TS. TD-IBBB (HR 3.28; 95% CI 1.03 to 10.46) and time-updated SVGmag (HR 1.23; 95% CI 1.03 to 1.47) were associated with ICH.

CONCLUSIONS

PVC burden (reflected by cardiac memory) is associated with ischaemic stroke. Transient cardiac memory (likely through TD-IBBB) precedes ICH.

Sex differences in vectorcardiogram of African-Americans with and without cardiovascular disease: a cross-sectional study in the Jackson Heart Study cohort

OBJECTIVES

We hypothesised that (1) the prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) is associated with global electrical heterogeneity (GEH) after adjustment for demographic, anthropometric, socioeconomic and traditional cardiovascular risk factors, (2) there are sex differences in GEH and (3) sex modifies an association of prevalent CVD with GEH.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional, cohort study.

SETTING

Prospective African-American The Jackson Heart Study (JHS) with a nested family cohort in 2000-2004 enrolled residents of the Jackson, Mississippi metropolitan area.

PARTICIPANTS

Participants from the JHS with analysable ECGs recorded in 2009-2013 (n=3679; 62±12 y; 36% men; 863 family units). QRS, T and spatial ventricular gradient (SVG) vectors' magnitude and direction, spatial QRS-T angle and sum absolute QRST integral (SAI QRST) were measured.

OUTCOME

Prevalent CVD was defined as the history of (1) coronary heart disease defined as diagnosed/silent myocardial infarction, or (2) revascularisation procedure defined as prior coronary/peripheral arterial revascularisation, or (3) carotid angioplasty/carotid endarterectomy, or (4) stroke.

RESULTS

In adjusted mixed linear models, women had a smaller spatial QRS-T angle (-12.2 (95% CI -19.4 to -5.1)°; p=0.001) and SAI QRST (-29.8 (-39.3 to -20.3) mV*ms; p<0.0001) than men, but larger SVG azimuth (+16.2(10.5-21.9)°; p<0.0001), with a significant random effect between families (+20.8 (8.2-33.5)°; p=0.001). SAI QRST was larger in women with CVD as compared with CVD-free women or men (+15.1 (3.8-26.4) mV*ms; p=0.009). Men with CVD had a smaller T area (by 5.1 (95% CI 1.2 to 9.0) mV*ms) and T peak magnitude (by 44 (95%CI 16 to 71) µV) than CVD-free men. T vectors pointed more posteriorly in women as compared with men (peak T azimuth + 17.2(8.9-25.6)°; p<0.0001), with larger sex differences in T azimuth in some families by +26.3(7.4-45.3)°; p=0.006.

CONCLUSIONS

There are sex differences in the electrical signature of CVD in African-American men and women. There is a significant effect of unmeasured genetic and environmental factors on cardiac repolarisation.