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Julián-Jiménez A, Rubio-Díaz R, González Del Castillo J, Jorge García-Lamberechts E, Huarte Sanz I, Navarro Bustos C, Candel González FJ. Usefulness of the 5MPB-Toledo model to predict bacteremia in patients with urinary tract infections in the emergency department. Actas Urol Esp 2022; 46:629-639. [PMID: 36273760 DOI: 10.1016/j.acuroe.2022.10.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2022] [Accepted: 04/28/2022] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To analyze the usefulness of a new predictive model of bacteremia (5MPB-Toledo) in patients treated for urinary tract infection (UTI) in the emergency department (ED). METHODS Prospective and multicenter observational cohort study of the blood cultures (BC) ordered for patients with UTIs in 65 Spanish ED from November 1, 2019, to March 31, 2020. The predictive ability of the model was analyzed with the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC-ROC). The diagnostic performance was calculated with the chosen cut-off point for sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value. RESULTS A total of 1,499 blood cultures were evaluated. True cases of bacteremia were confirmed in 277 (18.5%). The remaining 1,222 cultures (81.5%) were negative. Ninety-four (6.3%) were considered contaminated. The model's area under the ROC curve was 0.937 (95% CI, 0.926-0.949). The prognostic performance with a model's cut-off value of ≥5 points achieved 97.47% (95% CI, 94.64-98.89) sensitivity, 76.68% (95% CI, 74.18-79.00) specificity, 48.65% (95% CI, 44.42-52.89) positive predictive value and 99.26% (95% CI, 98.41-99.67) negative predictive value. CONCLUSION The 5MPB-Toledo score is useful for predicting bacteremia in patients with UTIs who visit the ED.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Julián-Jiménez
- Servicio de Urgencias, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Toledo, Universidad de Castilla La Mancha, Toledo, Spain.
| | - R Rubio-Díaz
- Servicio de Urgencias, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Toledo, Universidad de Castilla La Mancha, Toledo, Spain
| | | | | | - I Huarte Sanz
- Servicio de Urgencias, Hospital Universitario de Donosti, San Sebastián, Spain
| | - C Navarro Bustos
- Servicio de Urgencias, Hospital Universitario Virgen de la Macarena, Sevilla, Spain
| | - F J Candel González
- Servicio de Microbiología Clínica, Hospital Universitario Clínico San Carlos, IDISSC, Madrid, Spain
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Utilidad del modelo 5MPB-Toledo para predecir bacteriemia en el paciente con infección del tracto urinario en el servicio de urgencias. Actas Urol Esp 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/j.acuro.2022.04.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
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Julián-Jiménez A, García-Lamberechts EJ, González Del Castillo J, Navarro Bustos C, Llopis-Roca F, Martínez-Ortiz de Zarate M, Salmerón PP, Guardiola Tey JM, Álvarez-Manzanares J, Rio JJGD, Sanz IH, Díaz RR, Alonso MÁ, Ordoñez BM, López OÁ, Romero MDMO, Candel González FJ. Validation of a predictive model for bacteraemia (MPB5-Toledo) in the patients seen in emergency departments due to infections. ENFERMEDADES INFECCIOSAS Y MICROBIOLOGIA CLINICA (ENGLISH ED.) 2022; 40:102-112. [PMID: 34992000 DOI: 10.1016/j.eimce.2021.12.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2020] [Revised: 12/12/2020] [Accepted: 12/25/2020] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To validate a simple risk score to predict bacteremia (MPB5-Toledo) in patients seen in the emergency departments (ED) due to infections. METHODS Prospective and multicenter observational cohort study of the blood cultures (BC) ordered in 74 Spanish ED for adults (aged 18 or older) seen from October 1, 2019, to February 29, 2020. The predictive ability of the model was analyzed with the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC-ROC). The prognostic performance for true bacteremia was calculated with the cut-off values chosen for getting the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value. RESULTS A total of 3.843 blood samples wered cultured. True cases of bacteremia were confirmed in 839 (21.83%). The remaining 3.004 cultures (78.17%) were negative. Among the negative, 172 (4.47%) were judged to be contaminated. Low risk for bacteremia was indicated by a score of 0-2 points, intermediate risk by 3-5 points, and high risk by 6-8 points. Bacteremia in these 3 risk groups was predicted for 1.5%, 16.8%, and 81.6%, respectively. The model's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.930 (95% CI, 0.916-0.948). The prognostic performance with a model's cut-off value of ≥5 points achieved 94.76% (95% CI: 92.97-96.12) sensitivity, 81.56% (95% CI: 80.11-82.92) specificity, and negative predictive value of 98.24% (95% CI: 97.62-98.70). CONCLUSION The 5MPB-Toledo score is useful for predicting bacteremia in patients attended in hospital emergency departments for infection.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Ferrán Llopis-Roca
- Servicio de Urgencias, Hospital Universitario de Bellvitge, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Itziar Huarte Sanz
- Servicio de Urgencias, Hospital Universitario de Donosti, Donostia-San Sebastián, Guipúzcoa, Spain
| | - Rafael Rubio Díaz
- Servicio de Urgencias, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Toledo, Toledo, Spain
| | - Marta Álvarez Alonso
- Servicio de Urgencias, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, Fuenlabrada, Madrid, Spain
| | | | - Oscar Álvarez López
- Servicio de Urgencias, Hospital Universitario de Móstoles, Móstoles, Madrid, Spain
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Microbial Identification in the Clinical Microbiology Laboratory Using MALDI-TOF-MS. METHODS IN MOLECULAR BIOLOGY (CLIFTON, N.J.) 2021; 2420:207-216. [PMID: 34905176 DOI: 10.1007/978-1-0716-1936-0_16] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
Abstract
MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry has been applied with huge success to the identification of cultured microorganisms in clinical microbiology laboratories where it has become the reference method because it is simple, fast, and highly reproducible. We describe the different procedures used in the routine for pathogen identification using the Bruker MALDI Biotyper® system.
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Julián-Jiménez A, González Del Castillo J, García-Lamberechts EJ, Huarte Sanz I, Navarro Bustos C, Rubio Díaz R, Guardiola Tey JM, Llopis-Roca F, Piñera Salmerón P, de Martín-Ortiz de Zarate M, Álvarez-Manzanares J, Gamazo-Del Rio JJ, Álvarez Alonso M, Mora Ordoñez B, Álvarez López O, Ortega Romero MDM, Sousa Reviriego MDM, Perales Pardo R, Villena García Del Real H, Marchena González MJ, Ferreras Amez JM, González Martínez F, Martín-Sánchez FJ, Beneyto Martín P, Candel González FJ, Díaz-Honrubia AJ. A bacteraemia risk prediction model: development and validation in an emergency medicine population. Infection 2021; 50:203-221. [PMID: 34487306 DOI: 10.1007/s15010-021-01686-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2021] [Accepted: 08/16/2021] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Design a risk model to predict bacteraemia in patients attended in emergency departments (ED) for an episode of infection. METHODS This was a national, prospective, multicentre, observational cohort study of blood cultures (BC) collected from adult patients (≥ 18 years) attended in 71 Spanish EDs from October 1 2019 to March 31, 2020. Variables with a p value < 0.05 were introduced in the univariate analysis together with those of clinical significance. The final selection of variables for the scoring scale was made by logistic regression with selection by introduction. The results obtained were internally validated by dividing the sample in a derivation and a validation cohort. RESULTS A total of 4,439 infectious episodes were included. Of these, 899 (20.25%) were considered as true bacteraemia. A predictive model for bacteraemia was defined with seven variables according to the Bacteraemia Prediction Model of the INFURG-SEMES group (MPB-INFURG-SEMES). The model achieved an area under the curve-receiver operating curve of 0.924 (CI 95%:0.914-0.934) in the derivation cohort, and 0.926 (CI 95%: 0.910-0.942) in the validation cohort. Patients were then split into ten risk categories, and had the following rates of risk: 0.2%(0 points), 0.4%(1 point), 0.9%(2 points), 1.8%(3 points), 4.7%(4 points), 19.1% (5 points), 39.1% (6 points), 56.8% (7 points), 71.1% (8 points), 82.7% (9 points) and 90.1% (10 points). Findings were similar in the validation cohort. The cut-off point of five points provided the best precision with a sensitivity of 95.94%, specificity of 76.28%, positive predictive value of 53.63% and negative predictive value of 98.50%. CONCLUSION The MPB-INFURG-SEMES model may be useful for the stratification of risk of bacteraemia in adult patients with infection in EDs, together with clinical judgement and other variables independent of the process and the patient.
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Affiliation(s)
- Agustín Julián-Jiménez
- Emergency Department, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Toledo, Universidad de Castilla La Mancha, Toledo, Spain
| | - Juan González Del Castillo
- Emergency Department, Hospital Universitario Clínico San Carlos, Calle Profesor Martín Lagos Calle Profesor Martín Lagos, 28040, Madrid, Spain. .,Health Research Institute (IdISSC), Hospital Universitario San Carlos, Madrid, Spain.
| | - Eric Jorge García-Lamberechts
- Emergency Department, Hospital Universitario Clínico San Carlos, Calle Profesor Martín Lagos Calle Profesor Martín Lagos, 28040, Madrid, Spain.,Health Research Institute (IdISSC), Hospital Universitario San Carlos, Madrid, Spain
| | - Itziar Huarte Sanz
- Emergency Department, Hospital Universitario de Donostia, San Sebastian, Spain
| | | | - Rafael Rubio Díaz
- Emergency Department, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Toledo, Universidad de Castilla La Mancha, Toledo, Spain
| | | | - Ferrán Llopis-Roca
- Emergency Department, Hospital Universitario de Bellvitge, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Ramón Perales Pardo
- Emergency Department, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Albacete, Albacete, Spain
| | | | | | | | | | - Francisco Javier Martín-Sánchez
- Emergency Department, Hospital Universitario Clínico San Carlos, Calle Profesor Martín Lagos Calle Profesor Martín Lagos, 28040, Madrid, Spain.,Health Research Institute (IdISSC), Hospital Universitario San Carlos, Madrid, Spain
| | | | | | - Antonio Jesús Díaz-Honrubia
- Biomedical Technology Center - E.T.S. of Computer Engineers, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
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Julián-Jiménez A, García-Lamberechts EJ, González Del Castillo J, Navarro Bustos C, Llopis-Roca F, Martínez-Ortiz de Zarate M, Piñera Salmerón P, Guardiola Tey JM, Álvarez-Manzanares J, Gamazo-Del Rio JJ, Huarte Sanz I, Rubio Díaz R, Álvarez Alonso M, Mora Ordoñez B, Álvarez López O, Ortega Romero MDM, Candel González FJ. Validation of a predictive model for bacteraemia (MPB5-Toledo) in the patients seen in emergency departments due to infections. Enferm Infecc Microbiol Clin 2021; 40:S0213-005X(21)00009-4. [PMID: 33581861 DOI: 10.1016/j.eimc.2020.12.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2020] [Revised: 12/12/2020] [Accepted: 12/25/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To validate a simple risk score to predict bacteremia (MPB5-Toledo) in patients seen in the emergency departments (ED) due to infections. METHODS Prospective and multicenter observational cohort study of the blood cultures (BC) ordered in 74 Spanish ED for adults (aged 18 or older) seen from from October 1, 2019, to February 29, 2020. The predictive ability of the model was analyzed with the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC-ROC). The prognostic performance for true bacteremia was calculated with the cut-off values chosen for getting the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value. RESULTS A total of 3.843 blood samples wered cultured. True cases of bacteremia were confirmed in 839 (21.83%). The remaining 3.004 cultures (78.17%) were negative. Among the negative, 172 (4.47%) were judged to be contaminated. Low risk for bacteremia was indicated by a score of 0 to 2 points, intermediate risk by 3 to 5 points, and high risk by 6 to 8 points. Bacteremia in these 3 risk groups was predicted for 1.5%, 16.8%, and 81.6%, respectively. The model's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.930 (95% CI, 0.916-0.948). The prognostic performance with a model's cut-off value of ≥ 5 points achieved 94.76% (95% CI: 92.97-96.12) sensitivity, 81.56% (95% CI: 80.11-82.92) specificity, and negative predictive value of 98.24% (95% CI: 97.62-98.70). CONCLUSION The 5MPB-Toledo score is useful for predicting bacteremia in patients attended in hospital emergency departments for infection.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Carmen Navarro Bustos
- Servicio de Urgencias, Hospital Universitario Virgen de la Macarena, Sevilla, España
| | - Ferrán Llopis-Roca
- Servicio de Urgencias, Hospital Universitario de Bellvitge, Barcelona, España
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Itziar Huarte Sanz
- Servicio de Urgencias, Hospital Universitario de Donosti, Donostia-San Sebastián, Guipúzcoa, España
| | - Rafael Rubio Díaz
- Servicio de Urgencias, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Toledo, Toledo, España
| | - Marta Álvarez Alonso
- Servicio de Urgencias, Hospital Universitario de Fuenlabrada, Fuenlabrada, Madrid, España
| | | | - Oscar Álvarez López
- Servicio de Urgencias, Hospital Universitario de Móstoles, Móstoles, Madrid, España
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