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van 't Veer LJ, Meershoek-Klein Kranenbarg E, Duijm-de Carpentier M, Van de Velde CJH, Kleijn M, Dreezen C, Menicucci AR, Audeh W, Liefers GJ. Selection of Patients With Early-Stage Breast Cancer for Extended Endocrine Therapy: A Secondary Analysis of the IDEAL Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA Netw Open 2024; 7:e2447530. [PMID: 39602119 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.47530] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2024] Open
Abstract
Importance There is a need for biomarkers that predict late recurrence risk and extended endocrine therapy (EET) benefit among patients with early-stage breast cancer (EBC). MammaPrint, a 70-gene expression risk-of-recurrence assay, has been found to project significant EET benefit in patients with assay-classified low-risk tumors. Objective To determine the test's utility in identifying which patients with EBC in the IDEAL (Investigation on the Duration of Extended Adjuvant Letrozole) trial could benefit from 5-year vs 2.5-year letrozole treatment. Design, Setting, and Participants This secondary analysis of the IDEAL randomized clinical trial evaluated postmenopausal women with hormone receptor-positive EBC who were assigned to either 2.5 or 5 years of EET, with 10 years of follow-up after randomization. A 70-gene assay was used to classify tumors as high, low, or ultralow risk. Adverse event (AE) frequency and treatment compliance were evaluated. Statistical analyses were performed from April 2022 to September 2024. Interventions After 5 years of endocrine therapy, patients were randomized to 2.5 or 5 years of EET with letrozole. Main Outcomes and Measures Primary end point was distant recurrence (DR). Cox proportional hazard regression models and likelihood ratios tested the interaction between treatment and gene expression assay. Results Among 515 women included (mean [SD] age at randomization, 59.9 [9.5] years), 265 were in the 2.5-year treatment arm and 250 in the 5-year treatment arm. Of these patients, 223 (43.3%) patients with 70-gene assay-classified low-risk tumors had a significant absolute benefit of 10.1% for DR (hazard ratio, 0.32; 95% CI, 0.12-0.87; P = .03). Treatment interaction was not significant for DR. Of patients with either 70-gene assay-classified high-risk tumors (259 [50.3%]) or ultralow risk tumors (33 [6.4%]), 5 years vs 2.5 years of EET was not associated with improved benefit for DR. As expected, rates of AEs and treatment discontinuation were comparable among the different 70-gene assay risk groups in each treatment arm. Conclusions and Relevance This secondary analysis of the IDEAL trial found that the 70-gene assay identified patients with low-risk tumors who could benefit from 5-year vs 2.5-year EET. These findings suggest that this gene expression assay could go beyond guiding neoadjuvant and adjuvant chemotherapy decisions to informing the optimal duration of adjuvant endocrine therapy. Trial Registration EU Clinical Trials Register Eudra CT: 2006-003958-16.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Gerrit-Jan Liefers
- Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
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Baltussen JC, Derks MGM, Lemij AA, de Glas NA, Fiocco M, Linthorst-Niers EMH, Vulink AJE, van Gerven L, Guicherit OR, van Dalen T, Merkus JWS, Lans TE, van der Pol CC, Mooijaart SP, Portielje JEA, Liefers GJ. Association between endocrine therapy and cognitive decline in older women with early breast cancer: Findings from the prospective CLIMB study. Eur J Cancer 2023; 185:1-10. [PMID: 36933518 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejca.2023.02.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/02/2023] [Revised: 02/06/2023] [Accepted: 02/07/2023] [Indexed: 02/19/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Studies investigating the long-term effects of breast cancer treatment on cognition in older women with breast cancer are lacking, even though preserving cognition is highly valued by the older population. Specifically, concerns have been raised regarding the detrimental effects of endocrine therapy (ET) on cognition. Therefore, we investigated cognitive functioning over time and predictors for cognitive decline in older women treated for early breast cancer. METHODS We prospectively enrolled Dutch women aged ≥70 years with stage I-III breast cancer in the observational CLIMB study. The Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) was performed before ET initiation and after 9, 15 and 27 months. Longitudinal MMSE scores were analysed and stratified for ET. Linear mixed models were used to identify possible predictors of cognitive decline. RESULTS Among the 273 participants, the mean age was 76 years (standard deviation 5), and 48% received ET. The mean baseline MMSE score was 28.2 (standard deviation 1.9). Cognition did not decline to clinically meaningful differences, irrespective of ET. MMSE scores of women with pre-treatment cognitive impairments slightly improved over time (significant interaction terms) in the entire cohort and in women receiving ET. High age, low educational level and impaired mobility were independently associated with declining MMSE scores over time, although the declines were not clinically meaningful. CONCLUSION Cognition of older women with early breast cancer did not decline in the first two years after treatment initiation, irrespective of ET. Our findings suggest that the fear of declining cognition does not justify the de-escalation of breast cancer treatment in older women.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joosje C Baltussen
- Department of Medical Oncology, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - Marloes G M Derks
- Department of Medical Oncology, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - Annelieke A Lemij
- Department of Medical Oncology, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA Leiden, the Netherlands; Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - Nienke A de Glas
- Department of Medical Oncology, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - Marta Fiocco
- Mathematical Institute, Leiden University, Niels Bohrweg 1, 2333 CA Leiden, the Netherlands; Department of Biomedical Data Science, Medical Statistics Section, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
| | | | - Annelie J E Vulink
- Department of Medical Oncology, Reinier de Graaf Gasthuis, Reinier de Graafweg 5, 2625 AD Delft, the Netherlands
| | - Leander van Gerven
- Department of Internal Medicine, LangeLand Hospital, Toneellaan 1, 2725 NA Zoetermeer, the Netherlands
| | - Onno R Guicherit
- Department of Surgery, Haaglanden Medical Center, Lijnbaan 32, 2512 VA The Hague, the Netherlands
| | - Thijs van Dalen
- Department of Surgery, Diakonessenhuis, Bosboomstraat 1, 3582 KE Utrecht, the Netherlands
| | - Jos W S Merkus
- Department of Surgery, Haga Hospital, Elst Borst-Eilersplein 275, 2545 AA The Hague, the Netherlands
| | - Titia E Lans
- Department of Surgery, Admiraal de Ruyter Hospital, 's-Gravenpolderseweg 114, 4462 RA Goes, the Netherlands
| | - Carmen C van der Pol
- Department of Surgery, Alrijne Hospital, Simon Smitweg 1, 2353 GA Leiderdorp, the Netherlands
| | - Simon P Mooijaart
- Department of Internal Medicine, Section of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - Johanneke E A Portielje
- Department of Medical Oncology, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - Gerrit-Jan Liefers
- Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Albinusdreef 2, 2333 ZA Leiden, the Netherlands.
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Teslenko I, Trudeau J, Luo S, Watson CJW, Chen G, Truica CI, Lazarus P. Influence of Glutathione-S-Transferase A1*B Allele on the Metabolism of the Aromatase Inhibitor, Exemestane, in Human Liver Cytosols and in Patients Treated With Exemestane. J Pharmacol Exp Ther 2022; 382:327-334. [PMID: 35793834 PMCID: PMC9426760 DOI: 10.1124/jpet.122.001232] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2022] [Accepted: 06/21/2022] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Exemestane (EXE) is used to treat postmenopausal women diagnosed with estrogen receptor positive (ER+) breast cancer. A major mode of metabolism of EXE and its active metabolite, 17β-dihydroexemestane, is via glutathionylation by glutathione-S-transferase (GST) enzymes. The goal of the present study was to investigate the effects of genetic variation in EXE-metabolizing GST enzymes on overall EXE metabolism. Ex vivo assays examining human liver cytosols from 75 subjects revealed the GSTA1 *B*B genotype was associated with significant decreases in S-(androsta-1,4-diene-3,17-dion-6α-ylmethyl)-L-glutathione (P = 0.034) and S-(androsta-1,4-diene-17β-ol-3-on-6α-ylmethyl)-L-gutathione (P = 0.014) formation. In the plasma of 68 ER+ breast cancer patients treated with EXE, the GSTA1 *B*B genotype was associated with significant decreases in both EXE-cysteine (cys) (29%, P = 0.0056) and 17β-DHE-cys (34%, P = 0.032) as compared with patients with the GSTA1*A*A genotype, with significant decreases in EXE-cys (Ptrend = 0.0067) and 17β-DHE-cys (Ptrend = 0.028) observed in patients with increasing numbers of the GSTA1*B allele. A near-significant (Ptrend = 0.060) trend was also observed for urinary EXE-cys levels from the same patients. In contrast, plasma and urinary 17β-DHE-Gluc levels were significantly increased (36%, P = 0.00097 and 52%, P = 0.0089; respectively) in patients with the GSTA1 *B*B genotype. No significant correlations were observed between the GSTM1 null genotype and EXE metabolite levels. These data suggest that the GSTA1*B allele is associated with interindividual differences in EXE metabolism and may play a role in interindividual variability in overall response to EXE. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: The present study is the first comprehensive pharmacogenomic investigation examining the role of genetic variability in GST enzymes on exemestane metabolism. The GSTA1 *B*B genotype was found to contribute to interindividual differences in the metabolism of EXE both ex vivo and in clinical samples from patients taking EXE for the treatment of ER+ breast cancer. Since GSTA1 is a major hepatic phase II metabolizing enzyme in EXE metabolism, the GSTA1*B allele may be an important biomarker for treatment outcomes and toxicities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Irina Teslenko
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, College of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Washington State University, Spokane, Washington (I.T., J.T., S.L., C.J.W.W., G.C., P.L.) and Penn State University, College of Medicine, Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania (C.I.T.)
| | - Julia Trudeau
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, College of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Washington State University, Spokane, Washington (I.T., J.T., S.L., C.J.W.W., G.C., P.L.) and Penn State University, College of Medicine, Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania (C.I.T.)
| | - Shaman Luo
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, College of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Washington State University, Spokane, Washington (I.T., J.T., S.L., C.J.W.W., G.C., P.L.) and Penn State University, College of Medicine, Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania (C.I.T.)
| | - Christy J W Watson
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, College of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Washington State University, Spokane, Washington (I.T., J.T., S.L., C.J.W.W., G.C., P.L.) and Penn State University, College of Medicine, Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania (C.I.T.)
| | - Gang Chen
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, College of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Washington State University, Spokane, Washington (I.T., J.T., S.L., C.J.W.W., G.C., P.L.) and Penn State University, College of Medicine, Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania (C.I.T.)
| | - Cristina I Truica
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, College of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Washington State University, Spokane, Washington (I.T., J.T., S.L., C.J.W.W., G.C., P.L.) and Penn State University, College of Medicine, Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania (C.I.T.)
| | - Philip Lazarus
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, College of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Washington State University, Spokane, Washington (I.T., J.T., S.L., C.J.W.W., G.C., P.L.) and Penn State University, College of Medicine, Division of Hematology and Oncology, Department of Medicine, Hershey, Pennsylvania (C.I.T.)
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Kenzik KM, Rocque G, Williams GR, Cherrington A, Bhatia S. Primary care and preventable hospitalizations among Medicare beneficiaries with non-metastatic breast cancer. J Cancer Surviv 2022; 16:853-864. [DOI: 10.1007/s11764-021-01079-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2021] [Accepted: 06/23/2021] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
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Gagné M, Lauzier S, Lemay M, Loiselle CG, Provencher L, Simard C, Guillaumie L. Women with breast cancer's perceptions of nurse-led telephone-based motivational interviewing consultations to enhance adherence to adjuvant endocrine therapy: a qualitative study. Support Care Cancer 2022; 30:4759-4768. [PMID: 35133477 PMCID: PMC8825251 DOI: 10.1007/s00520-021-06692-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/26/2021] [Accepted: 11/10/2021] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Daily adjuvant endocrine therapy (AET) for 5 or 10 years is the standard of care for women diagnosed with non-metastatic hormone receptor-positive breast cancer. However, many women experience AET-related issues that may hamper quality of life and adherence. Here, we aimed to describe women's perceptions of motivational interviewing (MI)-guided consultations delivered by a trained nurse navigator over the telephone to enhance AET adherence. METHODS Eighteen women who were first prescribed AET for non-metastatic breast cancer in the last 5 years, who self-reported AET-related issues, and who participated in at least two MI-guided consultations over a year were interviewed about their perceptions of the intervention, using a semi-structured interview guide. Audio recordings were transcribed verbatim and analyzed using a thematic analysis approach. RESULTS Three main themes emerged from the data about women's perceptions on MI-guided consultations. These consultations were described as (1) a person-centred experience, (2) providing key information about AET, and (3) supportive of present and future AET experience, by contributing to AET side-effect management, motivation, adherence, calming negative emotions, improving well-being and self-esteem, and making women to feel empowered. CONCLUSIONS Nurse-led telephone-based MI-guided consultations about AET were found to respond to participants' needs and to enhance participants' perceptions of being informed and being supported in experiencing various facets of AET. Telephone-based consultations for AET are perceived as a promising strategy in an increasing virtual care world.
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Affiliation(s)
- Myriam Gagné
- grid.17063.330000 0001 2157 2938Unity Health Toronto (St. Michael’s Hospital), affiliated with the University of Toronto, Toronto, ON Canada
| | - Sophie Lauzier
- grid.411081.d0000 0000 9471 1794Population Health and Optimal Health Practices Research Axis, CHU de Québec Research Center−Université Laval, Québec City, QC Canada ,grid.23856.3a0000 0004 1936 8390Faculty of Pharmacy, Université Laval, Québec City, QC Canada ,grid.498721.1Équipe de recherche Michel-Sarrazin en oncologie psychosociale et soins palliatifs (ERMOS), Québec City, QC Canada
| | - Martine Lemay
- grid.411081.d0000 0000 9471 1794Centre des maladies du sein, CHU de Québec-Université-Laval, Québec City, QC Canada
| | - Carmen G. Loiselle
- grid.14709.3b0000 0004 1936 8649Department of Oncology and Ingram School of Nursing, McGill University, Montreal, QC Canada
| | - Louise Provencher
- grid.23856.3a0000 0004 1936 8390Cancer Research Centre, Université Laval, Québec City, QC Canada
| | - Chantale Simard
- grid.265696.80000 0001 2162 9981Université du Québec à Chicoutimi, Chicoutimi, QC Canada
| | - Laurence Guillaumie
- grid.411081.d0000 0000 9471 1794Population Health and Optimal Health Practices Research Axis, CHU de Québec Research Center−Université Laval, Québec City, QC Canada ,grid.23856.3a0000 0004 1936 8390Faculty of Nursing, Université Laval, Québec City, QC Canada ,grid.23856.3a0000 0004 1936 8390Faculté des Sciences Infirmières, Université Laval Pavillon Ferdinand-Vandry, Local 3443, Québec, Québec G1V 0A6 Canada
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The Patient's Voice: Adherence, Symptoms, and Distress Related to Adjuvant Endocrine Therapy After Breast Cancer. Int J Behav Med 2020; 27:687-697. [PMID: 32495240 DOI: 10.1007/s12529-020-09908-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND While adjuvant endocrine therapy (AET) for early-stage, hormone-sensitive breast cancer confers a 40-50% reduction in recurrence risk, adherence to AET is suboptimal, and no efficacious interventions exist to improve adherence. A qualitative study was conducted to understand patient experiences on AET, motivators and barriers to adherence, side effects, and distress, with the goal of developing a patient-centered, evidence-based intervention. METHOD From November 2017 to November 2018, female patients with early-stage, hormone receptor-positive breast cancer taking AET were recruited. Patients with low and high medication adherence of varying ages, levels of distress, and years taking AET were purposefully enrolled. In-depth semi-structured interviews were conducted, audio recorded, and transcribed. Study staff created a thematic framework, and three independent researchers coded interviews using NVivo 11, achieving high inter-coder agreement (Kappa = .96). RESULTS Thirty interviews were conducted with patients who were, on average, 55.13 years old (SD = 12.37) and had been taking AET for a mean of 1.76 years (SD = 0.75). The sample was stratified by adherence level (low = 20; high = 10). Recurrent themes related to adherence included a commitment to AET to prevent recurrence despite distressing side effects, lack of strategies to cope with symptoms and distress, and desire for emotional support from others taking AET. Patients were highly accepting of a proposed psychosocial intervention to manage AET. CONCLUSION Patients are committed to taking AET to prevent breast cancer recurrence, but need and desire psychosocial support and skills training. Themes from this study are modifiable targets for a psychosocial, evidence-based intervention to promote adherence, coping with side effects, and distress management.
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Noordhoek I, Treuner K, Putter H, Zhang Y, Wong J, Meershoek-Klein Kranenbarg E, Duijm-de Carpentier M, van de Velde CJH, Schnabel CA, Liefers GJ. Breast Cancer Index Predicts Extended Endocrine Benefit to Individualize Selection of Patients with HR + Early-stage Breast Cancer for 10 Years of Endocrine Therapy. Clin Cancer Res 2020; 27:311-319. [PMID: 33109739 DOI: 10.1158/1078-0432.ccr-20-2737] [Citation(s) in RCA: 74] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/14/2020] [Revised: 08/27/2020] [Accepted: 10/21/2020] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Individualized selection of patients with early-stage hormone receptor-positive (HR+) breast cancer for extended endocrine therapy (EET) is required to balance modest gains in outcome with toxicities of prolonged use. This study examined the Breast Cancer Index [BCI; HOXB13/IL17BR ratio (H/I)] as a predictive biomarker of EET benefit in patients from the Investigation on the Duration of Extended Adjuvant Letrozole trial. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN BCI was tested in primary tumor specimens from 908 patients randomized to receive 2.5 versus 5 years of extended letrozole. The primary endpoint was recurrence-free interval. Cox models and likelihood ratios tested the interaction between EET and BCI (H/I). RESULTS BCI (H/I)-high significantly predicted benefit from extended letrozole in the overall cohort [HR 0.42; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.21-0.84; P = 0.011] and any aromatase inhibitor subset [HR 0.34; 95% CI, 0.16-0.73; P = 0.004), whereas BCI (H/I)-low patients did not derive significant benefit (HR 0.95; 95% CI, 0.58-1.56; P = 0.84 and HR 0.90; 95% CI, 0.53-1.55; P = 0.71, respectively) treatment to biomarker interaction was significant (P = 0.045, P = 0.025, respectively). BCI identified approximately 50% of patients with clinically high-risk disease that did not benefit, and with clinically low-risk disease that derived significant benefit, from an additional 2.5 years of EET. CONCLUSIONS BCI (H/I) predicted preferential benefit from 5 versus 2.5 years of EET and identified patients with improved outcomes from completing 10 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy. Findings expand the clinical utility of BCI (H/I) to a broader range of patients and beyond prognostic risk factors as a predictive endocrine response biomarker for early-stage HR+ breast cancer.
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Affiliation(s)
- Iris Noordhoek
- Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - Kai Treuner
- Biotheranostics, Inc., San Diego, California
| | - Hein Putter
- Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - Yi Zhang
- Biotheranostics, Inc., San Diego, California
| | - Jenna Wong
- Biotheranostics, Inc., San Diego, California
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Noordhoek I, Blok EJ, Meershoek-Klein Kranenbarg E, Putter H, Duijm-de Carpentier M, Rutgers EJT, Seynaeve C, Bartlett JMS, Vannetzel JM, Rea DW, Hasenburg A, Paridaens R, Markopoulos CJ, Hozumi Y, Portielje JEA, Kroep JR, van de Velde CJH, Liefers GJ. Overestimation of Late Distant Recurrences in High-Risk Patients With ER-Positive Breast Cancer: Validity and Accuracy of the CTS5 Risk Score in the TEAM and IDEAL Trials. J Clin Oncol 2020; 38:3273-3281. [PMID: 32706636 DOI: 10.1200/jco.19.02427] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Most distant recurrences (DRs) in women with hormone receptor-positive breast cancer occur after 5 years from diagnosis. The Clinical Treatment Score post-5 years (CTS5) estimates DRs after 5 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy (AET). The aim of this study was to externally validate the CTS5 as a prognostic/predictive tool. METHODS The CTS5 categorizes patients who have been disease free for 5 years into low, intermediate, and high risk and calculates an absolute risk for developing DRs between 5 and 10 years. Discrimination and calibration were assessed using data from the TEAM and IDEAL trials. The predictive value of the CTS5 was tested with data from the IDEAL trial. RESULTS A total of 5,895 patients from the TEAM trial and 1,591 patients from the IDEAL trial were included. When assessing the CTS5 discrimination, significantly more DRs were found at 10 years after diagnosis in the CTS5 high- and intermediate-risk groups than in the low-risk group (hazard ratio, 5.7 [95% CI, 3.6 to 8.8] and 2.8 [95% CI, 1.7 to 4.4], respectively). In low- and intermediate-risk patients, the CTS5-predicted DR rates were higher, although not statistically significantly so, than observed rates. However, in high-risk patients, the CTS5-predicted DR rates were significantly higher than observed rates (29% v 19%, respectively; P < .001). The CTS5 was not predictive for extended AET duration. CONCLUSION The CTS5 score as applied to patients treated in the TEAM and IDEAL cohorts discriminates between risk categories but overestimates the risk of late DRs in high-risk patients. Therefore, the numerical risk assessment from the CTS5 calculator in its current form should be interpreted with caution when used in daily clinical practice, particularly in high-risk patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Iris Noordhoek
- Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands.,Department of Medical Oncology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
| | - Erik J Blok
- Department of Internal Medicine, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | | | - Hein Putter
- Department of Medical Statistics, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
| | | | - Emiel J T Rutgers
- Department of Surgery, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Caroline Seynaeve
- Department of Medical Oncology, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - John M S Bartlett
- Diagnostic Development Program, Ontario Institute for Cancer Research, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.,Edinburgh Cancer Research Centre, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Daniel W Rea
- Department of Medical Oncology, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Annette Hasenburg
- Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, University Hospital Mainz, Mainz, Germany
| | - Robert Paridaens
- Department of Medical Oncology, University Hospitals Leuven, Leuven, Belgium
| | | | - Yasuo Hozumi
- Department of Breast and Endocrine Surgery, University of Tsukuba Hospital, Ibaraki, Japan
| | | | - Judith R Kroep
- Department of Medical Oncology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
| | | | - Gerrit-Jan Liefers
- Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
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