The A.L.A.N. score identifies prognostic classes in advanced biliary cancer patients receiving first-line chemotherapy. Eur J Cancer. 2019;117:84-90. [PMID: 31276980 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejca.2019.05.030]

Development of a nomogram to predict survival in advanced biliary tract cancer

The prognosis of advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC) patients remains poor due to limited efficacy of chemotherapy and difficulties in management. Thus, prediction of survival is crucial for the clinical management of advanced BTC. The aim was to develop and validate a nomogram to predict 6-month and 12-month survival in advanced BTC patients treated with chemotherapy. A multivariable Cox regression model was used to construct a nomogram in a training set (JCOG1113, a phase III trial comparing gemcitabine plus S-1 [GS] and gemcitabine plus cisplatin, n = 351). External validity of the nomogram was assessed using a test set (JCOG0805, a randomized, phase II trial comparing GS and S-1 alone, n = 100). Predictive performance was assessed in terms of discrimination and calibration. The constructed nomogram included lymph node metastasis, liver metastasis, carbohydrate antigen 19-9, carcinoembryonic antigen, albumin, and C-reactive protein. Uno's concordance index was 0.661 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.629-0.696) in the training set and 0.640 (95% CI 0.566-0.715) in the test set. The calibration plots for 6-month and 12-month survival showed good agreement in the two analysis sets. The present nomogram can facilitate prediction of the prognosis of advanced BTC patients treated with chemotherapy and help clinicians' prognosis-based decision-making.

Combined Serum ALBUMIN with Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predicts the Prognosis of Biliary Tract Cancer after Curative Resection

BACKGROUND

The mainstay treatment of biliary tract cancer is complete tumor resection. Prior to surgery, risk stratification may help to predict and plan treatment approaches. In this study, we investigated the possibility of combining serum albumin concentrations and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios (NLR) to create a score as ANS to predict the prognoses of biliary tract cancer before surgery.

METHODS

This study retrospectively collected serum albumin concentration, neutrophil, and lymphocyte data measured in biliary tract cancer patients slated to receive complete tumor resections within two weeks before surgery. From January 2013 to December 2019, 268 biliary tract cancer patients who had received tumor resections at our hospital were categorized into 3 ANS groups: ANS = 0 (high albumin and low NLR), ANS = 1 (low albumin or high NLR), and ANS = 2 (low albumin and high NLR).

RESULTS

Five-year survival rates were 70.1%, 47.6%, and 30.8% in the ANS = 0, 1, and 2 groups, respectively. The median overall survival time for the ANS = 0 group could not be determined by the end of the study, while those for ANS = 1 and ANS = 2 groups were 54.90 months and 16.62 months, respectively. The results of our multivariate analysis revealed that ANS could be used as an independent predictor of overall and recurrent-free survival. A high ANS was also correlated with other poor prognostic factors.

CONCLUSIONS

The ANS devised for this study can be used to predict postoperative survival in patients with BTC and to guide treatment strategies.

A Systematised Literature Review of Real-World Treatment Patterns and Outcomes in Unresectable Advanced or Metastatic Biliary Tract Cancer

BACKGROUND

Biliary tract cancers are rare aggressive malignancies typically diagnosed when the disease is metastatic or unresectable, precluding curative treatment.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to identify treatment guidelines, real-world treatment patterns, and outcomes for unresectable advanced or metastatic biliary tract cancers in adult patients.

METHODS

Databases (MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews) were systematically searched between 1 January, 2000 and 25 November, 2021, and supplemented by hand searches. Eligible records were (1) treatment guidelines and (2) observational studies reporting real-world treatment outcomes, for unresectable advanced or metastatic biliary tract cancers. Only studies performed in the UK, Germany, France, Australia, Canada and South Korea were extracted, to moderate the number of records for synthesis while maintaining representation of a wide range of biliary tract cancer incidences.

RESULTS

A total of 66 relevant unique full-text records were extracted, including 16 treatment guidelines and 50 observational studies. Among guidelines, chemotherapies were most strongly recommended at first line (1L); the combination of gemcitabine and cisplatin (GEMCIS) was recommended as the standard of care in 1L. Recommendations for systemic chemotherapy in the second line (2L) conflicted because of uncertainties around survival benefit. Guidelines on further lines of treatment included a range of locoregional modalities and stenting or best supportive care without providing clear recommendations because of data paucity. Fifty observational studies reporting real-world treatment outcomes were extracted, of which 25 (50%) and 9 (18%) reported outcomes in 1L and 2L, respectively; 22 (44%) reported outcomes for treatments described as 'palliative'. In 1L, outcomes for systemic chemotherapy were most frequently described (23/25 studies), and GEMCIS was the most common systemic chemotherapy used (10/23 studies) in line with guidelines. Median overall survival with 1L systemic chemotherapy was < 12 months in most studies (16/23; range 4.7-22.3 months). Most 2L studies (10/11) described outcomes for systemic chemotherapy, most commonly for fluoropyrimidine-based regimen (5/10 studies). Median overall survival with 2L systemic chemotherapy was < 12 months in 5/10 studies (range 4.9-21.5 months). Median progression-free survival was reported more rarely than median overall survival. Some studies with small sample sizes or specifically selected patient populations (e.g. higher performance status, or patients who had already responded to treatment) achieved higher median overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

At the time of this review, treatment options for unresectable advanced or metastatic biliary tract cancers confer poor real-world survival. For over a decade, GEMCIS remained the 1L standard of care, highlighting the lack of therapeutic innovation in this indication and the urgent unmet need for novel treatments with improved outcomes in this aggressive condition. Additional observational studies are needed to further understand the effectiveness of currently available treatments, as well as newly available therapies including the addition of immunotherapy in the evolving treatment landscape.

The potential of high-order features of routine blood test in predicting the prognosis of non-small cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Numerous studies have demonstrated that the high-order features (HOFs) of blood test data can be used to predict the prognosis of patients with different types of cancer. Although the majority of blood HOFs can be divided into inflammatory or nutritional markers, there are still numerous that have not been classified correctly, with the same feature being named differently. It is an urgent need to reclassify the blood HOFs and comprehensively assess their potential for cancer prognosis.

METHODS

Initially, a review of existing literature was conducted to identify the high-order features (HOFs) and classify them based on their calculation method. Subsequently, a cohort of patients diagnosed with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) was established, and their clinical information prior to treatment was collected, including low-order features (LOFs) obtained from routine blood tests. The HOFs were then computed and their associations with clinical features were examined. Using the LOF and HOF data sets, a deep learning algorithm called DeepSurv was utilized to predict the prognostic risk values. The effectiveness of each data set's prediction was evaluated using the decision curve analysis (DCA). Finally, a prognostic model in the form of a nomogram was developed, and its accuracy was assessed using the calibration curve.

RESULTS

From 1210 documents, over 160 blood HOFs were obtained, arranged into 110, and divided into three distinct categories: 76 proportional features, 6 composition features, and 28 scoring features. Correlation analysis did not reveal a strong association between blood features and clinical features; however, the risk value predicted by the DeepSurv LOF- and HOF-models is significantly linked to the stage. Results from DCA showed that the HOF model was superior to the LOF model in terms of prediction, and that the risk value predicted by the blood data model could be employed as a complementary factor to enhance the prognosis of patients. A nomograph was created with a C-index value of 0.74, which is capable of providing a reasonably accurate prediction of 1-year and 3-year overall survival for patients.

CONCLUSIONS

This research initially explored the categorization and nomenclature of blood HOF, and proved its potential in lung cancer prognosis.

Heterogeneity of Cholangiocarcinoma Immune Biology

Cholangiocarcinomas (CCAs) are aggressive tumors arising along the biliary tract epithelium, whose incidence and mortality are increasing. CCAs are highly desmoplastic cancers characterized by a dense tumor microenvironment (TME), in which each single component plays a fundamental role in shaping CCA initiation, progression and resistance to therapies. The crosstalk between cancer cells and TME can affect the recruitment, infiltration and differentiation of immune cells. According to the stage of the disease and to intra- and inter-patient heterogeneity, TME may contribute to either protumoral or antitumoral activities. Therefore, a better understanding of the effect of each immune cell subtype may open the path to new personalized immune therapeutic strategies for the management of CCA. In this review, we describe the role of immune cells in CCA initiation and progression, and their crosstalk with both cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) and the cancer-stem-cell-like (CSC) niche.

Second-Line Chemotherapy in Elderly Patients with Advanced Biliary Tract Cancer: A Multicenter Real-World Study

Objectives: The ABC-06 and the NIFTY trials recently established the role of second-line chemotherapy (2L) in patients with advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC). Our real-world study aimed to explore 2L in BTC patients aged ≥ 70 years old and to compare their outcomes with younger subjects. Methods: Institutional registries across three academic medical centers were retrospectively reviewed. The Kaplan−Meier methods were used to estimate survival, and the log-rank test was used to make comparisons. Results: A total of 190 BTC patients treated with 2L were identified and included in the analysis. Among them, 52 (27.3%) were aged ≥ 70 years (range 70−87 years). No statistically significant differences in both median overall survival (mOS) and median progression-free survival (mPFS) were recorded between the elderly and younger patients. Absolute lymphocyte count < 1000/mmc (p < 0.001) and albumin level < 3 g/dL (p < 0.001) were independently associated with worse prognoses. Conclusions: The results of this real-world study suggest that for patients aged ≥ 70 years, 2L could be equally effective for younger patients with survival outcomes aligned to those from the ABC-06 and NIFTY trials. The delivery of 2L should be carefully evaluated and monitored in this patient subset.

Multicentre match-paired analysis of advanced biliary cancer long-term survivors: The BILONG study

BACKGROUND

Advanced biliary cancers (ABC) are aggressive malignancies with a median overall survival (mOS) <12 months when treated with first-line chemotherapy. Nevertheless, a subset of patients experiencing longer survival has been described in the updated analysis of ABC-02 trial. We aimed to provide a real-world description of ABC long-term survivors (LS), identifying which factors impact on survival.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with ABC at three Institutions between 2002 and 2019, and who survived ≥18 months, were retrospectively identified. We compared them with a control cohort (C) with a mOS <18 months, matched on age, gender, ECOG PS, disease status, primary tumor site, prior surgery, and treatment modality. Their clinical features, treatments, and outcome were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 78 patients was included, 39 in each group. Both LS and C cohorts had superimposable baseline characteristics, without significant differences. mOS was 29 (95%CI 24.6-33.5) and 9 months (95%CI 6.6-12.9) in the two groups, respectively. After performing a logistic regression analysis, three factors were significantly associated with long-term outcome: low neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR < 3) (Odds Ratio [OR] 0.38), achievement of objective response to treatment (OR 0.16), and the number of lines received (OR 0.29).

CONCLUSIONS

We described a considerable subset of ABC experiencing long-term survival with conventional chemotherapy in a real-world scenario. Beyond clinical factors, we identified low NLR as a prognostic determinant that may allow for a more accurate selection of long survivors. While waiting for a deeper molecular characterization of this subgroup, we propose NLR as a stratification factor for daily practice and clinical trials.

Development and Multicentre Validation of the Modena Score to Predict Survival in Advanced Biliary Cancers Undergoing Second-Line Chemotherapy

Background

The role of second-line chemotherapy in advanced biliary cancers (ABCs) has only recently been established in phase III randomized trial and the optimal selection of patients most likely to benefit from it remains challenging.

Methods

A cohort of 98 ABC treated second-line chemotherapy was used as a developmental dataset to identify covariates independently associated with overall survival (OS). Kaplan–Meier analysis was used to investigate the association between variables and OS and those retaining statistically significance were combined in a multiplexed score.

Results

The following pretreatment variables were independently associated with OS: ECOG PS > 0, peritoneal disease, LDH > 430 UI/L, albumin <3.5 gr/dL, gamma-GT >100 UI/L, sodium <140 mEq/L, absolute lymphocyte count <1000/mmc, and PFS to first-line <6 months. Based on these results, a scoring system was developed that identified three subgroups with statistically different OS: low-risk (mOS 18 months), intermediate-risk (mOS 9.4 months) and high-risk (mOS 2.9 months) (p < 0.001). The prognostic model was both internally and externally validated in a multicentre cohort of 120 ABCs.

Conclusion

The Modena score is a multiplexed scoring system capable of accurately risk-stratified ABCs treated with second-line chemotherapy. Based on its reproducibility, usability and generalizability, it has the potential for assisting therapeutic decision-making in the clinic and risk-stratification in future trials.

Actionable tests and treatments for patients with gastrointestinal cancers and historically short median survival times

BACKGROUND

Patients have difficult unmet needs when standard chemotherapy produces a median survival of less than 1 year or many patients will experience severe toxicities. Blood tests can predict their survival.

METHODS

Analyses evaluate predictive blood tests to identify patients who often survive 1 and 2 years. A four-test model includes: albumin, absolute neutrophil count, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, and lymphocyte-monocyte ratio. Individual tests include: alkaline phosphatase, lymphocytes, white blood count, platelet count, and hemoglobin. Eligible patients have advanced: resistant 3rd line colorectal, and both resistant and new pancreatic and intrahepatic bile duct cancers. Eligibility characteristics include: biopsy-proven, measurable metastatic disease, NCI grade 0-2 blood tests, Karnofsky Score 100-50, and any adult age. Drugs are given at 1/4-1/3 of their standard dosages biweekly: gemcitabine, irinotecan, fluorouracil, leucovorin, and day 2 oxaliplatin every 2 weeks. In case of progression, Docetaxel is added (except colon cancer), with or without Mitomycin C, and next cetuximab (except pancreatic and KRAS BRAF mutation cancers). Bevacizumab is substituted for cetuximab in case of another progression or ineligibility. Consent was written and conforms with Helsinki, IRB, and FDA criteria (FDA #119005).

RESULTS

Median survival is 14.5 months. Of 205 patients, 60% survive 12, and 37% survive 24 months (95% CI ± 8%). Survival is > 24, 13, and 3.8 months for patients with 0, 1-2, and 3-4 unfavorable tests, respectively. Individual "favorable and unfavorable" tests predict long and short survival. Neither age nor prior therapy discernibly affects survival. Net rates of clinically significant toxicities are less than 5%.

CONCLUSION

Treatments reproduce predictable, greater than 12 and 24-month chances of survival for the aged and for patients with drug-resistant tumors. Evaluation of blood tests may change practice, expand eligibility, and personalize treatments. Findings support investigation of drug combinations and novel dosages to reverse resistance and improve safety.

Third-line chemotherapy in advanced biliary cancers (ABC): pattern of care, treatment outcome and prognostic factors from a multicenter study

OBJECTIVES

Here, we aim at describing the pattern of care, survival outcome and prognostic factors of ABC patients (pts) receiving third-line chemotherapy.

METHODS

Institutional registries across three academic medical centers were retrospectively reviewed. Kaplan-Meier estimators were used to calculate survival, the log-rank test to make comparisons, and the Cox proportional hazard models to assess the progostic impact of variables.

RESULTS

Among 101 pts included in the analysis. 68 (67.3%), 19 (18.8%) and 14 (13.8%) had intrahepatic and extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma and gallbladder cancer, respectively. Atotal of 63 (62.3%) pts received monochemotherapy, while 38 (37.6%) were treated with adoublet. The median OS and PFS were 5 and 3 months, respectively. Disease control rate was achieved in 23 (22.7%) pts, with 2 (2%) partial responses. Grade 3-4 treatment-related adverse events were reported in 22 (21.7%) pts. At multivariate analysis, ECOG PS (p < 0.001), tumor burden (p = 0.01) and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (p =0.02) were independent predictors of survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Third-line chemotherapy displayed limited activity in this real-world cohort, although prognostic factors have been identified that may assist in treatment decision. The results of this multicenter experience, highlight the need for more effective therapies and provide a benchmark for future trials in this setting.

A prognostic model in patients with advanced biliary tract cancer receiving first-line chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

Standard treatment of advanced biliary tract cancer (aBTC) is represented by first-line chemotherapy (CT1). However, some patients do not gain any benefit from CT1, contributing to the overall dismal prognosis of aBTC. The present study aimed to devise a prognostic model in aBTC patients receiving CT1.

METHODS

A large panel of clinical, laboratory, and pathology variables, available before the start of CT1, were retrospectively assessed in a multi-centric cohort to determine their prognostic value on univariate and multivariate regression analysis. The variables that showed a significant correlation with overall survival (OS) were computed in a three-tier prognostic score. External validation of the prognostication performance was carried out.

RESULTS

Clinical histories of 935 patients (median OS 10.3 months), with diagnosis dates ranging from 2001 to 2017, were retrieved from 14 institutions. According to multivariate analysis, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, carbohydrate antigen 19.9, albumin levels, and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio were strongly associated with OS (p <0.01). The prognostic score could generate a highly significant stratification (all between-group p values ≤0.001) into groups of favorable (comprising 51.5% of the sample), intermediate (39.2%), and poor prognosis (9.3%): median OS was 12.7 (CI_95% 11.0-14.4), 7.1 (CI_95% 5.8-8.4), and 3.2 months (CI_95% 1.7-4.7), respectively. This OS gradient was replicated in the validation set (129 patients), with median OS of 12.7 (CI_95% 11.0-14.3), 7.5 (CI_95% 6.1-8.9), and 1.4 months (CI_95% 0.1-2.7), respectively (all between-group p values ≤0.05).

CONCLUSION

A prognostic score, derived from a limited set of easily-retrievable variables, efficiently stratified a large population of unselected aBTC patients undergoing CT1. This tool could be useful to clinicians, to ascertain the potential benefit from CT1 at the start of treatment.

Establishment of a Pretreatment Nomogram to Predict the 6-Month Mortality Rate of Patients with Advanced Biliary Tract Cancers Undergoing Gemcitabine-Based Chemotherapy

Simple Summary

The development of a simple tool that uses pretreatment clinical factors to predict the 6-month mortality rate of patients with advanced biliary tract cancer is critical in order to assist physicians in evaluating treatment options and outcomes. We established a nomogram including four independent pretreatment factors—gender, monocyte to lymphocyte ratio, alkaline phosphatase, and liver metastasis—based on data from 202 patients undergoing gemcitabine-based chemotherapy. The performance of this nomogram for 6-month mortality-risk prediction was promising and feasible, providing clinicians and patients with additional information for evaluating therapeutic options.

Abstract

Background: The estimation of mortality risk among patients diagnosed with advanced cancer provides important information for clinicians and patients in clinical practice. Currently, gemcitabine-based chemotherapy regimens are the standard treatment for patients with advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC). We aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the 6-month mortality rate among patients with advanced BTC to help physicians evaluate treatment options and outcomes. Patients: We conducted a retrospective analysis to evaluate the 6-month mortality rate among patients with advanced BTC who underwent gemcitabine-based chemotherapy from 2012 to 2018. Data regarding pretreatment factors and the clinical response to treatment were collected. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent factors for nomogram creation. Results: A total of 202 advanced BTC patients who were treated with gemcitabine-based chemotherapy were included in this analysis. No difference in survival was identified between patients undergoing gemcitabine monotherapy and those treated with gemcitabine combined with other cytotoxic agents. The univariate analysis revealed 10 significant factors, while the multivariate analysis identified four independent factors, including gender, monocyte to lymphocyte ratio (MLR), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and liver metastasis, which were used to establish the nomogram. The performance of this nomogram for the prediction of 6-month mortality risk was found to be promising and feasible based on logistic regression. Conclusion: A nomogram based on four independent pretreatment factors, including gender, MLR, ALP, and liver metastasis, was established to predict the 6-month mortality risk in patients with advanced BTC; it can provide clinicians and patients with additional information when evaluating treatment outcomes.

Systemic Inflammatory Markers Combined with Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocyte Density for the Improved Prediction of Response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have reported the utility of systemic inflammatory markers and CD8+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) separately in predicting response to chemoradiotherapy (CRT) in rectal cancer; however, the efficacy of combining these markers remains unclear.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to elucidate the predictive efficacy of systemic inflammatory markers combined with CD8+ TIL density on response to neoadjuvant CRT in locally advanced rectal cancer.

METHODS

Ten systemic inflammatory markers and CD8+ TIL density were assessed in 267 patients with rectal cancer using pretreatment clinical data and biopsy samples. Response to CRT was determined using the Dworak tumor regression grade (TRG), with good responders classified as TRG3-4.

RESULTS

Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed high areas under the curve for the lymphocyte-to-C-reactive protein ratio (LCR) and neutrophil × monocyte (N × M) value (0.58 and 0.62, respectively). In the multivariate analysis, LCR, N × M value, and CD8+ TIL density were independently associated with good responders (p = 0.016, 0.005, and 0.002, respectively). Stratified analysis with these three markers showed a positive correlation between TRG3-4 ratio and the number of positive predictive factors (8.2%, 20.0%, 34.2%, and 59.1% in patients with 0, 1, 2, and 3 predictors, respectively). Overall and disease-free survival were significantly worse in patients with zero factors present compared with those with one to three factors present.

CONCLUSIONS

LCR, N × M value, and CD8+ TIL density are independently associated with response to CRT. Assessing local TIL density along with systemic inflammatory markers may be useful for selecting a multimodal neoadjuvant approach in rectal cancer therapy.

Factors associated with 5-year survival of combined hepatocellular and cholangiocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Combined hepatocellular and cholangiocarcinoma (HCC/CC) is a rare primary hepatic malignancy which carries a poor prognosis due to its aggressive nature. Few centers have enough cases to draw definitive conclusions and there is limited understanding of prognosis. Given the rarity of HCC/CC, an analysis of large national cancer database was needed to obtain larger number of HCC/CC cases.

AIM

To identify associated factors for 5-year survival of HCC/CC.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study of The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database obtained from SEER*Stat 8.3.6 software. Previously defined histology code 8180 for the International Classification of Disease for Oncology, 3rd edition was used to identify HCC/CC cases from 2004 to 2015. We collected demographics, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) stage, treatment, tumor size, and survival data. These data were converted to categorical variables. The Shapiro-Wilk normality test was used to assess normal distribution. Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare continuous variables without normal distribution, and t-test was used to compare continuous variables with a normal distribution. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve analyzed 5-year survival. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze factors associated with 5-year survival. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression was done on 5-year survival. We defined P < 0.05 was statistically significant.

RESULTS

We identified 497 patients with the following characteristics: Mean age 62.4 years (SD: 11.3), 149 (30.0%) were female, racial distribution was: 276 (55.5%) white, 53 (10.7%) black, 84 (16.9%) Asian and Pacific Islander (API), 77 (15.5%) Hispanic, and 7 (1.4%) others or unknown. Stage I/II disease occurred in 41.5% and tumor size < 50 mm was seen in 35.6% of patients. Twenty-four (4.8%) received locoregional therapy (LRT), 119 (23.9%) underwent resection, and 50 (10.1%) underwent liver transplantation. The overall median survival was 6 mo [Interquartile range (IQR): 1-22]. After multivariate logistic regression, tumor size < 50 mm [Odds ratios (OR): 2.415, P = 0.05], resection (OR: 12.849, P < 0.01), and transplant (OR: 27.129, P < 0.01) showed significance for 5-year survival. Age > 60, sex, race, AJCC stages, metastasis, and LRT were not significant. However, API vs white showed significant OR of 2.793 (CI: 1.120-6.967). Cox proportional hazard regression showed AJCC stages, tumor size < 50 mm, LRT, resection, and transplant showed significant hazard ratio.

CONCLUSION

HCC/CC patients with tumor size < 50 mm, resection, and transplant were associated with an increase in 5-year survival. API showed advantageous OR and hazard ratios over white, black.

Molecular Features and Targeted Therapies in Extrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma: Promises and Failures

Biliary tract cancers (BTCs) include a heterogenous group of aggressive malignancies with limited therapeutic options. According to their anatomical location, these hepatobiliary tumors are usually classified into intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA), extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (eCCA), and gallbladder cancer (GBC). Unfortunately, BTCs are often diagnosed when already metastatic, and although the advent of genomic sequencing has led to a deeper understanding of iCCA pathogenesis, very little data are currently available about the molecular landscape of eCCA. Moreover, despite novel systemic treatments emerging in BTC, the grim prognosis of eCCA patients has not changed in the past decade, and no targeted therapies have been approved so far. The aim of the current review is to provide an overview regarding molecular features and potential targeted therapies in eCCA, together with novel therapeutic approaches and future directions of translational and clinical research on this highly aggressive disease that poses many unanswered questions.

Risk Stratification in Advanced Biliary Tract Cancer: Validation of the A.L.A.N. Score

Background

In addition to the clinical parameters, immune-inflammatory markers have emerged as prognostic factors in patients with advanced biliary tract cancer (ABC). The recently proposed A.L.A.N. score combines both in an easily applicable manner. The aim of this study was to perform the first external evaluation of this score.

Methods

All patients from our clinical registry unit who had unresectable ABC underwent first-line chemotherapy from 2006 to 2018 and met the inclusion criteria of the original study were included (n =  74). The A.L.A.N. score comprises the following parameters: actual neutrophil count, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, albumin, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (A.L.A.N.). Univariate and multivariate hazard regression analyses were performed to evaluate the score's parameters regarding overall survival (OS). The concordance index (C-index) and integrated Brier score (IBS) were calculated to evaluate the score's predictive performance.

Results

Low, intermediate, and high A.L.A.N. scores corresponded to median OS of 21.9, 11.4, and 4.3 months, respectively, resulting in a significant risk stratification (log-rank p=0.017). In multivariate analysis, a high-risk A.L.A.N. score remained an independent predictor of poor survival (p=0.016). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio was not a significant factor for poor OS in the analyses in the cohort. The score's ability to predict individual patient survival was only moderate with a C-index of 0.63.

Conclusions

The A.L.A.N. score can be used to identify risk groups with a poor prognosis prior to the start of chemotherapy. However, the ability of the score to predict individual patient outcome was only moderate; thus, it may only serve as a minor component in the complex interdisciplinary discussion.

The prognostic nutritional index predicts survival and response to first-line chemotherapy in advanced biliary cancer

BACKGROUND

An accurate risk-stratification is key to optimize the benefit-to-risk ratio of palliative treatment in advanced biliary cancer. We aimed at assessing the impact of the prognostic nutritional index (PNI) on survival and treatment response in advanced biliary cancer (ABC) receiving first-line chemotherapy.

METHODS

Medical records of ABC treated with standard chemotherapy at the Modena Cancer Centre were retrospectively reviewed for variables deemed of potential interest, including the PNI. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to investigate the association between the covariates and overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

114 ABC fulfilled the inclusion criteria and made up the training cohort. A PNI cut-off value of 36.7 was established using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. At both the univariate and the multivariate analysis, low PNI value (<36.7) was associated with shorter OS (P = .0011), together with increased NLR (P = .0046) and ECOG >1 (P < .0001). The median OS was 5.4 vs 12.1 months in the low- vs high PNI-group. Moreover, a PNI value >36.7 resulted in a higher disease control in patients treated with gemcitabine/platinum combination (61.4% vs 34.3%). These results were validated in an independent cohort of 253 ABC.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated and externally validated a prognostic role for the PNI in ABC treated with first-line chemotherapy. Although the PNI turned out to be predictive in the subset of patients receiving platinum/gemcitabine combination, future prospective confirmation is needed.