First-trimester prediction of preterm prelabour rupture of membranes incorporating cervical length measurement

Peak amplitude of the normalized power spectrum of the electromyogram of the uterus in the low frequency band is an effective predictor of premature birth

The current trends in the development of methods for non-invasive prediction of premature birth based on the electromyogram of the uterus, i.e., electrohysterogram (EHG), suggest an ever-increasing use of large number of features, complex models, and deep learning approaches. These "black-box" approaches rarely provide insights into the underlying physiological mechanisms and are not easily explainable, which may prevent their use in clinical practice. Alternatively, simple methods using meaningful features, preferably using a single feature (biomarker), are highly desirable for assessing the danger of premature birth. To identify suitable biomarker candidates, we performed feature selection using the stabilized sequential-forward feature-selection method employing learning and validation sets, and using multiple standard classifiers and multiple sets of the most widely used features derived from EHG signals. The most promising single feature to classify between premature EHG records and EHG records of all other term delivery modes evaluated on the test sets appears to be Peak Amplitude of the normalized power spectrum (PA) of the EHG signal in the low frequency band (0.125-0.575 Hz) which closely matches the known Fast Wave Low (FWL) frequency band. For classification of EHG records of the publicly available TPEHG DB, TPEHGT DS, and ICEHG DS databases, using the Partition-Synthesis evaluation technique, the proposed single feature, PA, achieved Classification Accuracy (CA) of 76.5% (AUC of 0.81). In combination with the second most promising feature, Median Frequency (MF) of the power spectrum in the frequency band above 1.0 Hz, which relates to the maternal resting heart rate, CA increased to 78.0% (AUC of 0.86). The developed method in this study for the prediction of premature birth outperforms single-feature and many multi-feature methods based on the EHG, and existing non-invasive chemical and molecular biomarkers. The developed method is fully automatic, simple, and the two proposed features are explainable.

Premature rupture of membranes and changes in the vaginal microbiome - Probiotics

Preterm birth affects approximately 15 million women worldwide, of which 30 % is due to preterm premature rupture of membranes (PPROM). The reasons for shortening the duration of pregnancy are seen in genetic, hormonal, immunological and socio-economic conditions. Recent years have provided a lot of evidence on the impact of the microbiota and whole microbiome on pregnant women, suggesting that the microorganisms inhabiting the vagina significantly affect the risk of preterm delivery. The aim of the study was to review studies evaluating the composition of the vaginal microflora and its role in the occurrence of preterm labor caused by PPROM, and to evaluate the potential beneficial effect of probiotics on preventing the development of preterm labor. Vaginal microbial dysbiosis is observed in PPROM, which, due to its association with a high risk of prematurity and infection, increases neonatal morbidity and mortality. Further research on biomarkers for screening, early prognosis and diagnosis of PPROM seems advisable. Probiotics as a potential intervention can prevent the development of pathological vaginal flora, reducing the risk of infection in women planning pregnancy and pregnant women.

Evaluating the predictive efficacy of first trimester biochemical markers (PAPP-A, fβ-hCG) in forecasting preterm delivery incidences

In this investigation, we explored the correlation between first-trimester biochemical markers and the incidence of preterm birth (PTB), irrespective of the cause, spontaneous preterm birth (sPTB), and preterm premature rupture of membranes (pPROM) within a cohort comprising 1164 patients. It was discovered that diminished levels of Pregnancy-Associated Plasma Protein-A (PAPP-A) between 11 and 13 + 6 weeks of gestation significantly contributed to the risk of preterm deliveries both before 35 and 37 weeks, as well as to pPROM instances. Furthermore, women experiencing sPTB before the 37th week of gestation also exhibited lower concentrations of PAPP-A. Moreover, reduced first-trimester concentrations of free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (fb-HCG) were identified as a risk factor for deliveries preceding 37 weeks, pPROM, and sPTB before 35 weeks of gestation. Despite these correlations, the area under the curve for these biochemical markers did not surpass 0.7, indicating their limited diagnostic potential. The most significant discriminatory capability was noted for PAPP-A levels, with a threshold of < 0.71 multiples of the median (MoM) predicting PTB before 37 weeks, yielding an odds ratio of 3.11 (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.97-4.92). For sPTB, the greatest discriminatory potential was observed for PAPP-A < 0.688, providing an OR of 2.66 (95% CI 1.51-4.66). The cut-off points corresponded to accuracies of 76.05% and 79.1%, respectively. In regression analyses, the combined predictive models exhibited low explanatory power with R2 values of 9.2% for PTB and 7.7% for sPTB below 35 weeks of gestation. In conclusion, while certain biochemical markers demonstrated associations with outcomes of preterm birth, their individual and collective predictive efficacies for foreseeing such events were found to be suboptimal.

First-trimester and early-second-trimester transvaginal cervical length before 16 weeks among women with preterm and term birth: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to evaluate the differences in first-trimester and early-second-trimester transvaginal cervical length between patients with spontaneous preterm birth and those with term birth.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed, MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were systematically searched through August 2023.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA

Studies had to include (1) transvaginal cervical length measurement before 16+0 weeks of gestation and (2) transvaginal cervical length measurement in a population of patients who delivered preterm and at term. Abstracts, studies with duplicated data, and those with cervical length measured by transabdominal ultrasound scan were excluded.

METHODS

K.W.C. and J.L. searched for, screened, and reviewed the articles independently. The quality of the studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Mean differences were calculated using a random-effects model and pooled through a meta-analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 5727 published articles were identified. Only 10 studies (which analyzed 22,151 pregnancies) met the inclusion criteria. All studies excluded iatrogenic preterm birth. Transvaginal cervical length was significantly shorter in women with spontaneous preterm birth than in those who delivered at term (mean difference, -0.97; 95% confidence interval, -1.65 to -0.29; P=.005; I2=69%). When a linear technique was used to measure transvaginal cervical length, a significantly shorter transvaginal cervical length was associated with spontaneous preterm birth as opposed to term birth (mean difference, -1.09; 95% confidence interval, -1.96 to -0.21; P=.02; I2=77%). A shorter transvaginal cervical length measured by other techniques was also associated with spontaneous preterm birth before 34 to 35 weeks (mean difference, -1.87; 95% confidence interval, -3.04 to -0.70; P=.002; I2=0%). When studies where interventions were given for a "short" cervix or studies with a mean transvaginal cervical length ≥40 mm were excluded, a significantly shorter transvaginal cervical length was observed among those with spontaneous preterm birth (mean difference, -1.13; 95% confidence interval, -1.89 to -0.37; P=.004; mean difference, -0.86; 95% confidence interval, -1.67 to -0.04; P=.04; respectively). The optimal transvaginal cervical length cutoff was 38 to 39 mm, yielding pooled sensitivity of 0.80, specificity of 0.45, positive likelihood ratio of 1.16, negative likelihood ratio of 0.33, diagnostic odds ratio of 5.12, and an area under the curve of 0.75.

CONCLUSION

Women with spontaneous preterm birth had significantly shorter transvaginal cervical length before 16 weeks of gestation compared with those who delivered at term. The linear method and the 2-line method are acceptable techniques for measuring transvaginal cervical length.