Does response rate of chemotherapy with molecular target agents correlate with the conversion rate and survival in patients with unresectable colorectal liver metastases?: A systematic review

Locally advanced mid/low rectal cancer with synchronous resectable liver metastases: systematic review of the available strategies and outcome

The management of patients with locally advanced mid/low rectal cancer with resectable liver metastases is complex because of the need to combine the optimal treatment of both tumors. This study aims to review the available treatment strategies and compare their outcome, focusing on radiotherapy (RT) and liver-first approach (LFA). A systematic review was performed in PubMed, Embase, and web sources including articles published between 2000 and 02/2023 and reporting mid-/long-term outcomes. Overall, twenty studies were included (n = 1837 patients). Three- and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates were 51-88% and 36-59%. Although several strategies were reported, most patients received RT (1448/1837, 79%; > 85% neoadjuvant). RT reduced the pelvic recurrence risk (5.8 vs. 13.5%, P = 0.005) but did not impact OS. Six studies analyzed LFA (n = 307 patients). LFA had a completion rate similar to the rectum-first approach (RFA, 81% vs. 79%) but the interval strategy-an LFA variant with liver surgery in the interval between radiotherapy and rectal surgery-had a better completion rate than standard LFA (liver surgery/radiotherapy/rectal surgery, 92% vs. 75%, P = 0.011) and RFA (79%, P = 0.048). Across all series, LFA achieved the best survival rates, and in one paper it led to a survival advantage in patients with multiple metastases. In conclusion, different strategies can be adopted, but RT should be included to decrease the pelvic recurrence risk. LFA should be considered, especially in patients with high hepatic tumor burden, and RT before liver surgery (interval strategy) could maximize its completion rate.

Protocol of the RACB study: a multicenter, single-arm, prospective study to evaluate the efficacy of resection of initially unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma with atezolizumab combined with bevacizumab

BACKGROUND

Although the standard therapy for advanced-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is systemic chemotherapy, the combination of atezolizumab and bevacizumab (atezo + bev) with a high objective response rate may lead to conversion to resection in patients with initially unresectable HCC. This study aims to evaluate the efficacy of atezo + bev in achieving conversion surgery and prolonged progression-free survival (PFS) for initially unresectable HCC.

METHODS

The RACB study is a prospective, single-arm, multicenter, phase II trial evaluating the efficacy of combination therapy with atezo + bev for conversion surgery in patients with technically and/or oncologically unresectable HCC. The main eligibility criteria are as follows: (1) unresectable HCC without a history of systemic chemotherapy, (2) at least one target lesion based on RECIST ver. 1.1, and (3) a Child‒Pugh score of 5-6. The definition of unresectable tumors in this study includes macroscopic vascular invasion and/or extrahepatic metastasis and massive distribution of intrahepatic tumors. Patients will be treated with atezolizumab (1200 mg/body weight) and bevacizumab (15 mg/kg) every 3 weeks. If the patient is considered resectable on radiological assessment 12 weeks after initial chemotherapy, the patient will be treated with atezolizumab monotherapy 3 weeks after combination chemotherapy followed by surgery 3 weeks after atezolizumab monotherapy. If the patient is considered unresectable, the patient will continue with atezo + bev and undergo a radiological assessment every 9 weeks until resectable or until disease progression. The primary endpoint is PFS, and the secondary endpoints are the overall response rate, overall survival, resection rate, curative resection rate, on-protocol resection rate, and ICG retention rate at 15 min after atezo + bev therapy. The assessments of safety and quality of life during the treatment course will also be evaluated. The number of patients has been set at 50 based on the threshold and the expected PFS rate at 6 months after enrollment of 40% and 60%, respectively, with a one-sided alpha error of 0.05 and power of 0.80. The enrollment and follow-up periods will be 2 and 1.5 years, respectively.

DISCUSSION

This study will elucidate the efficacy of conversion surgery with atezo + bev for initially unresectable HCC. In addition, the conversion rate, safety and quality of life during the treatment course will also be demonstrated.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study is registered in the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (jRCTs051210148, January 7, 2022).

Clinical strategy of conversion therapy and surgical treatment for liver metastases from colorectal cancer

Colorectal cancer is one of the common malignant tumors of the digestive system in clinical practice. Due to the anatomical characteristics of the colorectum itself, colorectal cancer is prone to liver metastasis. Approximately 15%-25% of colorectal cancer cases are complicated with liver metastasis at diagnosis, 15%-25% are complicated with liver metastasis after radical resection of colorectal cancer, and 80%-90% with liver metastasis cannot undergo radical resection initially. The 5-year survival rate is less than 5%, and liver metastasis is the main cause of death in patients with colorectal cancer. In recent years, with the clinical application of effective chemotherapy and molecular targeted drugs, as well as the rapid development of surgical techniques, an individualized safe, efficient, fast, treatment plan can be formulated according to patients' age, primary colorectal tumor location, degree of differentiation, Ras and B-Raf gene status, tumor size, number and distribution of metastases in the liver. By shrinking the tumor volume in the liver and increasing the residual liver volume, liver metastatic tumors can undergo surgical resection or disease-free status can be achieved in patients with liver metastasis. As a result, patients with colorectal liver metastases can achieve a 5-year survival rate of 30%-57%, which greatly improves the prognosis after operation. According to the postoperative adverse factors, individualized preventive measures are worked out to reduce the impact of adverse factors and improve the prognosis of patients with colorectal liver metastases. In this paper, we systematically discuss the clinical strategy of conversion therapy and surgical treatment for unresectable colorectal cancer liver metastases by reviewing the relevant domestic and foreign literature, so as to provide a theoretical reference for the selection of clinical treatment and program for patients with unresectable colorectal cancer liver metastases.

Impact of anatomical liver resection on patient survival in KRAS-wild-type colorectal liver metastasis: A multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Liver resection is a standard therapy for colorectal liver metastasis. However, the impact of anatomical resection and nonanatomical resection on the survival in patients with Kirsten rat sarcoma-wild-type and Kirsten rat sarcoma-mutated colorectal liver metastasis remain unclear. We investigated whether anatomical resection versus nonanatomical resection improves survival in colorectal liver metastasis stratified by Kirsten rat sarcoma mutational status.

METHODS

Among 639 consecutive patients with colorectal liver metastasis who underwent primary liver resection between January 2008 and December 2017, 349 patients were excluded due to their unknown Kirsten rat sarcoma mutational status, or due to receiving anatomical resection with concomitant non-anatomical resection, radiofrequency, or R2 resection. Accordingly, 290 patients with colorectal liver metastasis were retrospectively assessed. The relationships between resection types and survival were investigated in Kirsten rat sarcoma-wild-type and -mutated groups.

RESULTS

Anatomical resection was performed in 77/186 (41%) and 44/104 (42%) patients with Kirsten rat sarcoma-wild-type and Kirsten rat sarcoma-mutated genetic statuses, respectively. For both, the clinical-pathologic factors were comparable, except a larger maximum tumor size and surgical margin were observed in anatomical resection cases. Anatomical resection patients had significantly longer recurrence-free survival and overall survival than nonanatomical resection cases in the Kirsten rat sarcoma-wild-type group (recurrence-free survival, P < .001; overall survival, P = .005). No significant recurrence-free survival or overall survival differences were observed between Kirsten rat sarcoma-mutated anatomical resection and non-anatomical resection (recurrence-free survival, P = .132; overall survival, P = .563). Although, intrahepatic recurrence in Kirsten rat sarcoma-wild-type and -mutated colorectal liver metastasis was comparable (P = .973), extrahepatic recurrence was increased in Kirsten rat sarcoma-mutated versus -wild-type colorectal liver metastasis (P < .001).

CONCLUSION

In contrast to Kirsten rat sarcoma-mutated colorectal liver metastasis with higher extrahepatic recurrence after liver resection, local liver control via anatomical resection improved the postoperative survival in patients with Kirsten rat sarcoma-wild-type colorectal liver metastasis.

Chemotherapy (doublet or triplet) plus targeted therapy by RAS status as conversion therapy in colorectal cancer patients with initially unresectable liver-only metastases. The UNICANCER PRODIGE-14 randomised clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) patients have a better prognosis if metastases are resectable. Initially, unresectable liver-only metastases can be converted to resectable with chemotherapy plus a targeted therapy. We assessed which of chemotherapy doublet (2-CTx) or triplet (3-CTx), combined with targeted therapy by RAS status, would be better in this setting.

METHODS

PRODIGE 14 was an open-label, multicenter, randomised Phase 2 trial. CRC patients with initially defined unresectable liver-only metastases received either, 2-CTx (FOLFOX or FOLFIRI) or 3-CTx (FOLFIRINOX), plus bevacizumab/cetuximab by RAS status. The primary endpoint was to increase the R0/R1 liver-resection rate from 50 to 70% with the 3-CTx.

RESULTS

Patients (n = 256) were mainly men with an ECOG PS of 0, and a median age of 60 years. In total, 109 patients (42.6%) had RAS-mutated tumours. After a median follow-up of 45.6 months, the R0/R1 liver-resection rate was 56.9% (95% CI: 48-66) with the 3-CTx versus 48.4% (95% CI: 39-57) with the 2-CTx (P = 0.17). Median overall survival was 43.4 months with 3-CTx versus 40 months with 2-CTx.

CONCLUSION

We failed to increase from 50 to 70% the R0/R1 liver-resection rate with the use of 3-CTx combined with bevacizumab or cetuximab by RAS status in CRC patients with initially unresectable liver metastases.

Application of Tumor Burden Score for predicting conversion outcome in patients with initially unresectable colorectal liver metastases after first-line systemic therapy

BACKGROUND

Patients with initially unresectable colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) could achieve survival benefit from successful conversion therapy. Recently, Tumor Burden Score (TBS) was proposed as a valuable index to predict outcome following resection of CRLM. The study is aimed to investigate the association of TBS with conversion outcome.

METHODS

A total of 234 patients who underwent first-line treatment in our center were enrolled as training cohort. The validation cohort was developed from 89 patients in our previous study. Cut-off value of TBS was calculated to stratify patients into two groups. Significance test and logistic regression model were used to examine the prediction value of TBS for conversion outcome after first-line systemic therapy. Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard model were applied to assess the prognostic value of TBS.

RESULTS

TBS showed good discriminatory power [area under curve (AUC) 0.726, p < 0.001] with cut-off value defined as 14.3 in training cohort, which was validated in the validation cohort. Increasing TBS was related to adverse chemotherapy response and conversion outcome. Low TBS group had three times higher conversion rate than that in high TBS group (57.3% versus 19.0%, p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis indicated that high TBS [odds ratio (OR) = 3.676, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.671-8.429, p = 0.002], first-line treatment response as stable disease (SD) or progressive disease (PD) (OR = 9.247; 95% CI 4.736-18.846, p < 0.001), and absence of targeted therapy (OR = 2.453, 95% CI 1.139-5.455, p = 0.024) were three independent risk factors for failure conversion outcome. High TBS was significantly associated with conversion outcome whatever chemotherapy response, addition of targeted therapy, and Kirsten rat sarcoma viral oncogene homolog (KRAS) status. High TBS was also associated with worse overall survival.

CONCLUSION

TBS should be applied in clinical practice to predict conversion outcome in patients with initially unresectable CRLM.

Surrogate Endpoints in Oncology: Overview of Systematic Reviews and Their Use for Health Decision Making in Mexico

OBJECTIVES

The use of surrogate endpoints (SEs) for cancer drug approval in health systems is common. The objectives of this study were to identify systematic reviews (SRs) that evaluated the correlation of SEs with overall survival (OS) in cancer drugs to analyze the applications of approved cancer drugs with SEs in Mexico and to apply the validation framework proposed by the Institute for Quality and Efficiency in Health Care (IQWiG).

METHODS

An overview of SRs was conducted according to Cochrane Collaboration methodology. Applications for approved cancer drugs with SEs in Mexico were analyzed. The IQWiG validation framework was applied to evaluate the SEs identified in the overview and in the applications in Mexico.

RESULTS

A total of 85 SRs that assessed 192 SEs for different types of cancer were selected. According to the IQWiG model, only 2.5% of the SEs analyzed in the overview and only one of the applications in Mexico could be used as surrogates for OS because the reliability (methodological quality) of the SRs and the strength of the correlation of SEs with OS was mostly low (92%) and low (correlation coefficient r ≤ 0.7; 50.5%), respectively. Of the total number of cancer drugs approved in Mexico, 19.4% used SEs.

CONCLUSIONS

Most SEs for different types of cancer could not be used as surrogates for OS according to the IQWiG model, and their use for the approval of cancer drugs in Mexico is generally not justified.

Identification of an Immune-Related Gene Signature to Improve Prognosis Prediction in Colorectal Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

Despite recent advance in immune therapy, great heterogeneity exists in the outcomes of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. In this study, we aimed to analyze the immune-related gene (IRG) expression profiles from three independent public databases and develop an effective signature to forecast patient's prognosis.

METHODS

IRGs were collected from the ImmPort database. The CRC dataset from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database was used to identify a prognostic gene signature, which was verified in another two CRC datasets from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). Gene function enrichment analysis was conducted. A prognostic nomogram was built incorporating the IRG signature with clinical risk factors.

RESULTS

The three datasets had 487, 579, and 224 patients, respectively. A prognostic six-gene-signature (CCL22, LIMK1, MAPKAPK3, FLOT1, GPRC5B, and IL20RB) was developed through feature selection that showed good differentiation between the low- and high-risk groups in the training set (p < 0.001), which was later confirmed in the two validation groups (log-rank p < 0.05). The signature outperformed tumor TNM staging for survival prediction. GO and KEGG functional annotation analysis suggested that the signature was significantly enriched in metabolic processes and regulation of immunity (p < 0.05). When combined with clinical risk factors, the model showed robust prediction capability.

CONCLUSION

The immune-related six-gene signature is a reliable prognostic indicator for CRC patients and could provide insight for personalized cancer management.

Conversion strategies with chemotherapy plus targeted agents for colorectal cancer liver-only metastases: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

There is no consensus on the optimal systemic conversion therapy in patients with unresectable colorectal cancer liver-only metastases (CRLM) to achieve a complete resection. Interpretation of trials is complicated by heterogeneity of patients caused by emerging prognostic and predictive characteristics, such as RAS/BRAF mutation status, lack of consensus on unresectability criteria and lack of data on clinical outcome of secondary resections. A systematic review was performed of characteristics of study populations and methodology of trials regarding patients with initially unresectable colorectal cancer liver-only metastases.

METHODS

Phase II/III randomised trials, published after 2008, regarding first-line systemic conversion therapy in patients or subgroups of patients with CRLM were included. Data on secondary resection outcomes were collected.

RESULTS

Overall, 20 trials were included for analysis: seven prospective trials in patients with unresectable CRLM and 13 trials in the overall population of unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) with retrospective subgroup analysis of CRLM patients. Fourteen trials did not provide unresectability criteria at baseline, and criteria differed among the remaining studies. Trials and study populations were heterogeneous in prognostic/predictive factors, use of primary end-points, and reporting on long-term clinical outcomes. R0-resection rates in CRLM patients varied between CRLM studies and mCRC studies, with rates of 22-57% and 11-38%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Cross-study comparison of (subgroups of) studies regarding first-line systemic treatment in patients with unresectable CRLM is hampered by heterogeneity in study populations, trial designs, use of (K)RAS/BRAF mutational tumour status, and differences/absence of unresectability criteria. No optimal conversion systemic regimen can be selected from available data. Prospective studies with well-defined criteria of these issues are warranted.

Chemotherapy With or Without Anti-EGFR Agents in Left- and Right-Sided Metastatic Colorectal Cancer: An Updated Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Previous meta-analyses have suggested primary tumor location as a predictive factor for efficacy of anti-epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) therapies in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). However, the recent phase III TAILOR trial addressing this issue was not included in those analyses. This meta-analysis incorporated data from the TAILOR trial to evaluate the efficacy of chemotherapy plus anti-EGFR agents (cetuximab [Cet] or panitumumab [Pani]) versus chemotherapy alone for RAS wild-type (wt) right- and left-sided mCRC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A PubMed-based literature search was conducted to identify randomized controlled trials (RCTs) studying the additional efficacy of Cet/Pani in combination with chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone in RAS wt left- and right-sided mCRC. Study-level pooled analyses of hazard ratios (HRs) for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) and odds ratios (ORs) for objective response rate (ORR) were performed.

RESULTS

Three first-line RCTs (CRYSTAL, PRIME, and TAILOR) and one second-line RCT (20050181) were included. Significant OS benefits from Cet/Pani were observed in the left-sided (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.66-0.86) but not right-sided subgroups (HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.78-1.27). However, the addition of Cet/Pani to chemotherapy significantly improved PFS and ORR in both the left-sided (HR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.57-0.86, and OR, 3.28; 95% CI, 1.95-5.51, respectively) and right-sided subgroups (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.59-0.99, and OR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.08-2.93, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The addition of Cet/Pani to chemotherapy significantly benefits PFS and ORR in patients with RAS wt right-sided mCRC, indicating that anti-EGFR therapies may remain an option for selected patients.

Quantified MRI and 25OH-VitD3 can be used as effective biomarkers for patients with neoadjuvant chemotherapy-induced liver injury in CRCLM?

Background

To evaluate proton-density fat-fraction (PDFF) and intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) techniques, and human 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 (25OH-VitD3) levels, as potential biomarkers in patients with colorectal cancer with liver metastasis (CRCLM). Changes were compared with those related to chemotherapy-associated steatohepatitis (CASH) and sinusoidal obstruction syndrome (SOS).

Methods

63 patients with pathologically confirmed colorectal adenocarcinoma received 4–6 courses of NC before liver resection and underwent magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with iterative decomposition of water and fat with echo asymmetry and least-squares estimation quantification and IVIM sequences. Blood samples were analyzed using CTCAE. Pathological changes of liver tissues outside the metastases were assessed as the gold standard, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were analyzed.

Results

16 cases had CASH liver injury, 14 cases had SOS changes, and 4 cases had CASH and SOS, and 7 showed no significant changes. Consistency between biochemical indices and pathological findings was poor (kappa = 0.246, p = 0.005). The areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) of ALT, AST, ALP, GGT, and TBIL were 0.571–0.691. AUCs of D, FF, and 25OH-VitD3 exceeded 0.8; when considering these markers together, sensitivity was 85.29% and specificity was 93.13%. ANOVA showed statistically significant differences among D, FF, and 25OH-VitD3 for different grades of liver injury (F = 4.64–26.5, p = 0.000–0.016).

Conclusions

D, FF, and 25OH-VitD3 are biomarkers for accurate prediction of NC-induced liver injury in patients with CRCLM, while FF and 25OH-VitD3 might be beneficial to distinguish liver injury grades.

Trial registration

Current Trials was retrospectively registered as ChiCTR1800015242 at Chinese Clinical Trial Registry on March 16, 2018.

Conversion to complete resection with mFOLFOX6 with bevacizumab or cetuximab based on K-RAS status for unresectable colorectal liver metastasis (BECK study): Long-term results of survival

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

To investigate the long-term outcome and entire treatment course of patients with technically unresectable CRLM who underwent conversion hepatectomy and to examine factors associated with conversion to hepatectomy.

METHODS

Recurrence and survival data with long-term follow-up were analyzed in the cohort of a multi-institutional phase II trial for technically unresectable colorectal liver metastases (the BECK study).

RESULTS

A total of 22/12 patients with K-RAS wild-type/mutant tumors were treated with mFOLFOX6 + cetuximab/bevacizumab. The conversion R0/1 hepatectomy rate was significantly higher in left-sided primary tumors than in right-sided tumors (75.0% vs 30.0%, P = .022). The median follow-up was 72.6 months. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate in the entire cohort was 48.1%. In patients who underwent R0/1 hepatectomy (n = 21), the 5-year RFS rate and OS rate were 19.1% and 66.3%, respectively. At the final follow-up, seven patients had no evidence of disease, five were alive with disease, and 20 had died from their original cancer. All 16 patients who achieved 5-year survival underwent conversion hepatectomy, and 11 of them underwent further resection for other recurrences (median: 2, range: 1-4).

CONCLUSIONS

Conversion hepatectomy achieved a similar long-term survival to the results of previous studies in initially resectable patients, although many of them experienced several post-hepatectomy recurrences. Left-sided primary was found to be the predictor for conversion hepatectomy.

Neo-adjuvant Chemotherapy-Induced Neutropenia Is Associated with Histological Responses and Outcomes after the Resection of Colorectal Liver Metastases

BACKGROUND

Neutropenia, the major adverse event in chemotherapy, is associated with favourable clinical outcome in several solid tumours. We aimed to investigate the predictive value of neo-adjuvant chemotherapy (NAC)-induced neutropenia for the pathological response and prognosis in colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) patients.

METHODS

A retrospective review was performed in 141 CRLM patients receiving NAC followed by liver resection. A logistic regression was applied to analyse potential predictors. A Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to analyse survival.

RESULTS

Neutropenia due to NAC was observed in 42.6% (60/141) of all patients, and grade 3/4 neutropenia was noted in 31.7% (19/60). A pathological response (tumour regression grade (TRG) 1-3) was reported in 46.1% (65/141) of patients. Multivariate analysis showed that neutropenia significantly predicted the favourable pathological response (OR = 3.718, 95% CI 1.716-8.329, P = 0.001), as well as targeted therapy, good differentiation and preoperative CEA < 10 ng/ml as independent predictors of favourable histological response. Of the patients, 54.6% (77/141) had postoperative complications, including 28 major complications (28/77, 36.4%). Severe neutropenia significantly predicted postoperative major complications in multivariate analysis (OR = 4.077, 95% CI 1.184-14.038, P = 0.026). Compared to patients without neutropenia, patients with neutropenia had significantly better progression-free survival (PFS) (P = 0.007; mPFS, 10.2 months vs. 6.7 months). Patients with histological response had significantly better PFS than patients with no histological response (P = 0.001; mPFS, 10.0 months vs. 5.5 months). According to multivariate analyses, neutropenia was a significant predictor for better PFS (HR = 0.613, 95% CI 0.406-0.925, P = 0.020) but not OS.

CONCLUSIONS

For CRLM patients receiving NAC followed by liver resection, NAC-induced neutropenia was a significant predictor of favourable pathological response, postoperative major complications and better prognosis, which makes it useful for CRLM patients in guiding treatment approaches and prognosis assessments.

Analysis of response-related endpoints in trials of first-line medical treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Tumor radiologic response after systemic chemotherapy has been used as endpoint of trials of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), which can report the best overall response rate (ORR) and the disease control rate (DCR) by RECIST criteria as well as the early tumor shrinkage (ETS). The present study perform a trial-level analysis to verify whether such response-related endpoints are predictive of overall survival (OS).

METHODS

After a systematic search, randomized clinical trials (RCTs) were selected each time they evaluated the three response endpoints and progression-free survival (PFS). Two arms per trial were selected, and the correlation between the difference in each endpoint and the difference in OS was calculated. The analysis then evaluated the effects of treatment on ∆ORR, or ∆DCR, ∆ETS, ∆PFS, and on ∆OS, using separate linear regressions for each of them, and the proportion of variability explained (R²_trial) on OS for each of the four endpoints was calculated.

RESULTS

The systematic review of the literature led to the selection of 12 RCTs, 7 phase-3 and 5 phase-2. ETS reported a different performance in the entire sample compared to phase-3 trials (R²_trial = 0.172 vs. 0.842), differently from DCR (R²_trial = 0.541 vs. 0.816) and ORR (R²_trial = 0.349 vs. 0.740). Surprisingly, PFS predicted OS with a weak correlation, which was not significant in the subgroup of phase-3 studies (R²_trial = 0.455 vs. 0.466).

CONCLUSION

The results of the present trial-level analysis report a good performance of two response-related endpoints, DCR and ETS, and suggest that they could be differently used depending on the setting of disease and the type of medical treatment.

A Low Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio Before Preoperative Chemotherapy Predicts Good Outcomes After the Resection of Colorectal Liver Metastases

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a marker of inflammation and is associated with poor outcomes. We aimed to evaluate the role of the pretreatment NLR in predicting the outcomes after preoperative chemotherapy in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM).

METHODS

A retrospective review was performed for 183 patients with CRLM. The NLR was measured before chemotherapy, and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to estimate the cutoff value. Logistic regressions were applied to analyze potential predictors of the pathological response. The Cox proportional hazard method was used to analyze survival.

RESULTS

The pre-chemotherapy NLR was 2.4 ± 1.1, whereas the post-chemotherapy NLR was 2.1 ± 1.6 (p < 0.001). The pretreatment NLR of 2.3 was a significant predictive marker for the pathological response. The pathological response rates were 67.1% in the patients with an NLR ≤ 2.3 and 48.1% in patients with an NLR > 2.3 (p = 0.01). Multivariate analysis revealed that the factors independently associated with pathological responses were a low pretreatment NLR (p = 0.043), radiological response to chemotherapy (p < 0.001), first-line chemotherapy (p = 0.001), and targeted therapy (p = 0.002). The median overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were worse in the increased NLR cohort than in the low NLR cohort (OS: 31.1 vs. 43.1 months, p = 0.012; RFS: 6.5 vs. 9.4 months, p = 0.06). According to multivariate analyses, a high pretreatment NLR was a significant predictor for both worse OS (HR = 2.43, 95%CI = 1.49-3.94, p < 0.001) and RFS (HR = 1.53, 95%CI = 1.08-2.18, p = 0.017).

CONCLUSIONS

An increased pretreatment NLR was a significant predictor of a poor pathological response and worse prognosis after preoperative chemotherapy. The NLR is a simple biomarker for assessing chemotherapy efficacy.

BRAF V600E and SRC mutations as molecular markers for predicting prognosis and conversion surgery in Stage IV colorectal cancer

Comprehensive genomic sequencing (CGS) enables us to detect numerous genetic alterations in a single assay. We aimed to identify molecular markers for predicting prognosis and conversion surgery in Stage IV colorectal cancer (CRC) using CGS. One-hundred eleven patients with Stage IV CRC who underwent primary tumor resection were analyzed. We retrospectively investigated genetic alterations using CGS of a 415-gene panel. Clinicopathological variables and genetic alterations were analyzed to identify independent prognostic factors of overall survival (OS). Forty-five of 111 patients had R0 resection; of these, 11 patients underwent conversion surgery. Univariate and multivariate analyses identified histopathological grade 3, R0 resection, BRAF V600E mutation, and SRC mutation as independent prognostic factors for OS (P = 0.041, P = 0.013, P = 0.005, and P = 0.023, respectively). BRAF V600E and SRC mutations were mutually exclusive, and SRC mutation was significantly associated with left-sided tumor and liver metastasis compared to BRAF V600E mutation (P = 0.016 and P = 0.025, respectively). Eleven of the 74 initially unresectable patients underwent conversion surgery for R0 resection, yet none harbored BRAF V600E or SRC mutations. BRAF V600E and SRC mutations are important molecular markers which can predict prognosis and conversion surgery in Stage IV CRC.

The changing face of treatment for metastatic colorectal cancer

Introduction: Since late 1990's therapy of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients has changed considerable, and the combination of doublet or triplet chemotherapy and a targeted agent are now routinely used. With the introduction of more intensified regimens, it has become even more important to identify patients that will benefit from and can tolerate therapy. Furthermore, the increasing understanding of the biology of mCRC has led to the discovery of new potential targets. Therefore, therapy of patients with mCRC has undergone considerable change from 'one strategy fits all' towards a more personalized therapy. Areas covered: We present an overview of the recent literature on approved systemic treatment of mCRC however with focus on how the treatment strategy has changed based on clinical and molecular parameters that presently are used routinely in the clinical situation. Expert commentary: The face of treatment of mCRC has changed from 'one strategy fits all' to a personalized approach in which both clinical, molecular parameters and the aim of therapy have to be taking into account when planning the optimal treatment strategy for the individual mCRC patient.

Combined use of preoperative lymphocyte counts and the post/preoperative lymphocyte count ratio as a prognostic marker of recurrence after curative resection of stage II colon cancer

Purpose

Diagnostic markers for recurrence of colorectal cancer have not been established. The aim of the present study was to identify new diagnostic markers for recurrence after curative surgery of stage II colon cancer.

Materials and Methods

In this study, the prognostic values of the preoperative lymphocyte count and the post/preoperative lymphocyte count ratio (PPLR) were evaluated in 142 patients with localized colon cancer treated with surgery at a single medical center. The associations of patient demographics, blood chemistry, and serum biochemical indices with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were examined by univariate and multivariate analyses.

Results

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis showed that the optimal cut-off values of the lymphocyte count and PPLR were, respectively, 1555.2/μl and 1.151 for RFS. On univariate analysis, tumor depth of invasion, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), and preoperative low lymphocyte count (≤1555.2/μl) were all correlated with poorer RFS (p < 0.05). On multivariate analysis, T4, low lymphocyte count, and low PPLR were independent predictors of poor RFS. Furthermore, the patients were categorized into four categories based on preoperative lymphocyte count high/low and PPLR high/low. Patients with a low preoperative lymphocyte count and low PPLR had the poorest RFS and CSS compared to the other patients.

Conclusion

The combination of the preoperative lymphocyte count and the PPLR appears to be a potential marker for predicting recurrence of stage II colon cancer.