Plasma Biomarkers as Risk Factors for Incident CKD

Defining Kidney Health Dimensions and Their Associations with Adverse Outcomes in Persons with Diabetes and CKD

Key Points

We identified three kidney health dimensions using 17 urine and plasma biomarkers across two cohorts of persons with diabetes and CKD. Worse scores for tubule injury, tubule function, and systemic inflammation/filtration were associated with a higher risk of CKD progression and death. A multibiomarker approach could help capture tubulointerstitial health in persons with diabetes and CKD.

Background

Individual kidney tubule biomarkers are associated with risks of CKD progression and mortality in persons with diabetes. Integrating multiple kidney biomarkers using a latent variable method of exploratory factor analysis could define distinct dimensions of kidney health and their associations with adverse outcomes.

Methods

We conducted a factor analysis of 17 candidate urine and plasma biomarkers in 1256 participants with diabetes and eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC; N =701) and the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS; N =555) studies. We used Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the associations of identified factors with CKD progression and mortality, adjusting for baseline clinical risk factors, eGFR, and albuminuria.

Results

Three factor scores comprising ten biomarkers were identified: systemic inflammation and filtration (plasma TNF receptor-1 and TNF receptor-2, plasma soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor, and plasma symmetric dimethylarginine), tubular function (urine EGF, urine asymmetric dimethylarginine, and urine symmetric dimethylarginine), and tubular damage (urine α -1 microglobulin, urine kidney injury molecule-1, and urine monocyte chemoattractant protein-1). In CRIC, there were 244 incident ESKD events, 102 with ≥40% eGFR decline from baseline, and 259 deaths; in REGARDS, there were 121 incident ESKD events and 462 deaths. In CRIC, lower tubular function (hazard ratio per 1-SD, 0.36; 95% confidence interval, 0.25 to 0.52) and higher tubular damage (1.45; 1.18 to 1.78) scores were independently associated with higher CKD progression risk. Associations in REGARDS were weaker but directionally consistent (tubular function score [0.81; 0.47 to 1.39] and tubular damage score [1.12; 0.73 to 1.72]). Higher tubular damage (1.47; 1.15 to 1.87) scores were associated with higher mortality risk in CRIC, but not REGARDS (1.15; 0.96 to 1.38). Higher systemic inflammation and filtration factor scores were associated with higher mortality risk in both cohorts (CRIC: 1.35; 1.07 to 1.71; REGARDS: 1.41; 1.20 to 1.65).

Conclusions

Three distinct kidney health dimensions were identified, and each associated with CKD progression and/or all-cause mortality in persons with diabetes and CKD.

Aortic valve calcium as a novel risk marker for kidney function deterioration: The MESA study

BACKGROUND

Aortic valve calcium (AVC) is associated with increased risk of mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD), non-CVD such as dementia. Traditional atherosclerotic CVD risk factors are associated with both AVC and chronic kidney disease (CKD), but whether there is an association between AVC and CKD is unknown.

OBJECTIVES

To ascertain whether AVC quantified by cardiac CT scanning is independently associated with the long-term risk of incident CKD among individuals without a previous history of CVD.

METHODS

We examined 6346 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) participants who underwent cardiac CT scanning at Visit 1 (2000-02) and had an eGFR of ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. AVC was quantified using the Agatston method and categorized as 0, 1-99, and ≥100. Incident CKD was defined as an eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 accompanied with an at least 40 % decline in eGFR from baseline, and/or a diagnosis of CKD and indicators of end stage renal disease extracted from hospital records using the International Classification of Disease (ICD) codes. We performed Kaplan-Meier survival curve analyses along with multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression models to examine the association between AVC (categorical and log-transformed) and incident CKD.

RESULTS

Participants had a mean age 62.2 ± 10.1 years, 53 % were women, and AVC >0 was present in 795 (12 %) participants. During a median follow-up time of 16.9 years, 982 (15 %) participants developed incident CKD. AVC examined as a continuous variable was associated with a significantly increased risk of developing CKD (per log-unit [AVC+1] HR 1.06 [95 % CI: 1.02-1.10]; p = 0.005). Kaplan-Meier models showed a higher cumulative incidence for CKD with higher AVC levels. In the multivariable adjusted Cox models, participants with AVC ≥100 had a higher risk of incident CKD, compared with the AVC=0 group (HR 1.48 [95 % CI: 1.15-1.89]; p = 0.002). The observed associations remained after further adjusting for CAC score (p = 0.024), Lp(a) (p = 0.004), and the APOE-ε4 genotype (p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

In a multi-ethnic cohort of participants free of CKD at baseline, AVC was independently associated with a higher risk of incident CKD. Further work is needed to understand the multidirectional relationship between AVC, CKD, and atherosclerosis.

Transition from acute kidney injury to chronic kidney disease in liver cirrhosis patients: Current perspective

In liver cirrhosis patients, acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common and severe complication associated with significant morbidity and mortality, often leading to chronic kidney disease (CKD). This progression reflects a complex interplay of renal and hepatic pathophysiology, with AKI acting as an initiator through maladaptive repair mechanisms. These mechanisms-such as tubular cell cycle arrest, inflammatory cascades, and fibrotic processes-are exacerbated by the hemodynamic and neurohormonal disturbances characteristic of cirrhosis. Following AKI episodes, persistent kidney dysfunction or acute kidney disease (AKD) often serves as a bridge to CKD. AKD represents a critical phase in renal deterioration, characterized by prolonged kidney injury that does not fully meet CKD criteria but exceeds the temporal scope of AKI. The progression from AKD to CKD is further influenced by recurrent AKI episodes, impaired renal autoregulation, and systemic comorbidities such as diabetes and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, which compound kidney damage. The clinical management of AKI and CKD in cirrhotic patients requires a multidimensional approach that includes early identification of kidney injury, the application of novel biomarkers, and precision interventions. Recent evidence underscores the inadequacy of traditional biomarkers in predicting the AKI-to-CKD progression, necessitating novel biomarkers for early detection and intervention.

From Patterns to Proteins: Mass Spectrometry Comes of Age in Glomerular Disease

Laser capture microdissection and mass spectrometry (LCM/MS) is a technique that involves dissection of glomeruli from paraffin-embedded biopsy tissue, followed by digestion of the dissected glomerular proteins by trypsin, and subsequently mass spectrometry to identify and semiquantitate the glomerular proteins. LCM/MS has played a crucial role in the identification of novel types of amyloidosis, biomarker discovery in fibrillary GN, and more recently discovery of novel target antigens in membranous nephropathy (MN). In addition, LCM/MS has also confirmed the role for complement proteins in glomerular diseases, including C3 glomerulopathy. LCM/MS is now widely used as a clinical test and considered the gold standard for diagnosis and typing amyloidosis. For the remaining glomerular diseases, LCM/MS has remained a research tool. In this review, we discuss the usefulness of LCM/MS in other glomerular diseases, particularly MN, deposition diseases, and diseases of complement pathways, and advocate more routine use of LCM/MS at the present time in at least certain diseases, such as MN, for target antigen detection. We also discuss the limitations of LCM/MS, particularly the difficulties faced from moving from a research-based technique to a clinical test. Nonetheless, the role of LCM/MS in glomerular diseases is expanding. Currently, LCM/MS may be used to identify the etiology in certain glomerular diseases, but in the future, LCM/MS can play a valuable role in determining pathways of complement activation, inflammation, and fibrosis.

Derivation and independent validation of kidneyintelX.dkd: A prognostic test for the assessment of diabetic kidney disease progression

AIMS

To develop and validate an updated version of KidneyIntelX (kidneyintelX.dkd) to stratify patients for risk of progression of diabetic kidney disease (DKD) stages 1 to 3, to simplify the test for clinical adoption and support an application to the US Food and Drug Administration regulatory pathway.

METHODS

We used plasma biomarkers and clinical data from the Penn Medicine Biobank (PMBB) for training, and independent cohorts (BioMe and CANVAS) for validation. The primary outcome was progressive decline in kidney function (PDKF), defined by a ≥40% sustained decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate or end-stage kidney disease within 5 years of follow-up.

RESULTS

In 573 PMBB participants with DKD, 15.4% experienced PDKF over a median of 3.7 years. We trained a random forest model using biomarkers and clinical variables. Among 657 BioMe participants and 1197 CANVAS participants, 11.7% and 7.5%, respectively, experienced PDKF. Based on training cut-offs, 57%, 35% and 8% of BioMe participants, and 56%, 38% and 6% of CANVAS participants were classified as having low-, moderate- and high-risk levels, respectively. The cumulative incidence at these risk levels was 5.9%, 21.2% and 66.9% in BioMe and 6.7%, 13.1% and 59.6% in CANVAS. After clinical risk factor adjustment, the adjusted hazard ratios were 7.7 (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.0-19.6) and 3.7 (95% CI 2.0-6.8) in BioMe, and 5.4 (95% CI 2.5-11.9) and 2.3 (95% CI 1.4-3.9) in CANVAS, for high- versus low-risk and moderate- versus low-risk levels, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Using two independent cohorts and a clinical trial population, we validated an updated KidneyIntelX test (named kidneyintelX.dkd), which significantly enhanced risk stratification in patients with DKD for PDKF, independently from known risk factors for progression.

Plasma Biomarkers and Incident CKD Among Individuals Without Diabetes

Rationale & Objective

Biomarkers of kidney disease progression have been identified in individuals with diabetes and underlying chronic kidney disease (CKD). Whether or not these markers are associated with the development of CKD in a general population without diabetes or CKD is not well established.

Study Design

Prospective observational cohort.

Setting & Participants

In the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study, 948 participants were studied.

Exposures

The baseline plasma biomarkers of kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (TNFR-1), tumor necrosis factor receptor 2 (TNFR-2), and human cartilage glycoprotein-39 (YKL-40) measured in 1996-1998.

Outcome

Incident CKD after 15 years of follow-up defined as ≥40% estimated glomerular filtration rate decline to <60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or dialysis dependence through United States Renal Data System linkage.

Analytical Approach

Logistic regression and C statistics.

Results

There were 523 cases of incident CKD. Compared with a random sample of 425 controls, there were greater odds of incident CKD per 2-fold higher concentration of KIM-1 (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.25-1.78), suPAR (OR, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.74-3.84), TNFR-1 (OR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.58-3.09), TNFR-2 (OR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.37-3.04). After adjustment for all biomarkers, KIM-1 (OR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.19-1.71), and suPAR (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.18-2.92) remained associated with incident CKD. Compared with traditional risk factors, the addition of all 6 biomarkers improved the C statistic from 0.695-0.731 (P < 0.01) and using the observed risk of 12% for incident CKD, the predicted risk gradient changed from 5%-40% (for the 1st-5th quintile) to 4%-44%.

Limitations

Biomarkers and creatinine were measured at one time point.

Conclusions

Higher levels of KIM-1, suPAR, TNFR-1, and TNFR-2 were associated with higher odds of incident CKD among individuals without diabetes.

Plain-Language Summary

For people with diabetes or kidney disease, several biomarkers have been shown to be associated with worsening kidney disease. Whether these biomarkers have prognostic significance in people without diabetes or kidney disease is less studied. Using the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, we followed individuals without diabetes or kidney disease for an average of 15 years after biomarker measurement to see if these biomarkers were associated with the development of kidney disease. We found that elevated levels of KIM-1, suPAR, TNFR-1, and TNFR-2 were associated with the development of kidney disease. These biomarkers may help identify individuals who would benefit from interventions to prevent the development of kidney disease.

Plasma protein signatures for high on-treatment platelet reactivity to aspirin and clopidogrel in peripheral artery disease

BACKGROUND

A significant proportion of patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) displays a poor response to aspirin and/or the platelet P2Y12 receptor antagonist clopidogrel. This phenomenon is reflected by high on-treatment platelet reactivity (HTPR) in platelet function assays in vitro and is associated with an increased risk of adverse cardiovascular events.

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to elucidate specific plasma protein signatures associated with HTPR to aspirin and clopidogrel in PAD patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Based on targeted plasma proteomics, 184 proteins from two cardiovascular Olink panels were measured in 105 PAD patients. VerifyNow ASPI- and P2Y12-test values were transformed to a continuous variable representing HTPR as a spectrum instead of cut-off level-defined HTPR. Using the Boruta random forest algorithm, the importance of 3 plasma proteins for HTPR in the aspirin, six in clopidogrel and 10 in the pooled group (clopidogrel or aspirin) was confirmed. Network analysis demonstrated clusters with CD84, SLAMF7, IL1RN and THBD for clopidogrel and with F2R, SELPLG, HAVCR1, THBD, PECAM1, TNFRSF10B, MERTK and ADM for the pooled group. F2R, TNFRSF10B and ADM were higher expressed in Fontaine III patients compared to Fontaine II, suggesting their relation with PAD severity.

CONCLUSIONS

A plasma protein signature, including eight targets involved in proatherogenic dysfunction of blood cell-vasculature interaction, coagulation and cell death, is associated with HTPR (aspirin and/or clopidogrel) in PAD. This may serve as important systems-based determinants of poor platelet responsiveness to aspirin and/or clopidogrel in PAD and other cardiovascular diseases and may contribute to identify novel treatment strategies.

Urinary Biomarkers of Kidney Tubule Health and Mortality in Persons with CKD and Diabetes Mellitus

Key Points

Among adults with diabetes and CKD, biomarkers of kidney tubule health were associated with a greater risk of death, independent of eGFR, albuminuria, and additional risk factors. Higher urine levels of YKL-40 and KIM-1 were associated with a greater risk of death. For cause-specific death, UMOD was independently and inversely associated with the risk of cardiovascular death.

Background

Kidney disease assessed by serum creatinine and albuminuria are strongly associated with mortality in diabetes. These markers primarily reflect glomerular function and injury. Urine biomarkers of kidney tubule health were recently associated with the risk of kidney failure in persons with CKD and diabetes. Associations of these biomarkers with risk of death are poorly understood.

Methods

In 560 persons with diabetes and eGFR ≤60 ml/min per 1.73 m2 from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke study (47% male, 53% Black), we measured urine biomarkers of kidney tubule health at baseline: monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), alpha-1-microglobulin, kidney injury molecule-1 (KIM-1), EGF, chitinase-3-like protein 1 (YKL-40), and uromodulin (UMOD). Cox proportional hazards regression was used to examine the associations of urine biomarkers with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in nested models adjusted for urine creatinine, demographics, mortality risk factors, eGFR, and urine albumin.

Results

The mean (SD) age was 70 (9.6) years, and baseline eGFR was 40 (3) ml/min per 1.73 m2. There were 310 deaths over a mean follow-up of 6.5 (3.2) years. In fully adjusted models, each two-fold higher urine concentration of KIM-1 and YKL-40 were associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.15, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01 to 1.31 and 1.13, 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.20, respectively). When examining cause-specific mortality, higher UMOD was associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular death (adjusted HR per two-fold higher concentration 0.87, 95% CI, 0.77 to 0.99), and higher MCP-1 was associated with higher risk of cancer death (HR per two-fold higher concentration 1.52, 95% CI, 1.05 to 2.18).

Conclusion

Among persons with diabetes and CKD, higher urine KIM-1 and YKL-40 were associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality independently of established risk factors. Urine UMOD and MCP-1 were associated with cardiovascular and cancer-related death, respectively.

Association of Kidney Tubule Biomarkers With Cardiac Structure and Function in the Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Markers of glomerular disease, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria, are associated with cardiac structural abnormalities and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD). We aimed to determine whether biomarkers of kidney tubule injury, function, and systemic inflammation are associated with cardiac structural abnormalities. Among 393 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants without diabetes, CVD, or chronic kidney disease, we assessed the association of 12 biomarkers of kidney tubule injury, function, and systemic inflammation with the left ventricular mass/volume ratio (LVmvr) and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) on cardiac magnetic resonance imaging using linear regression. The average age was 60 ± 10 years; 48% were men; mean eGFR was 96±16 ml/min/1.73 m2; mean LVmvr was 0.93±0.18 g/ml, and mean LVEF was 62±6%. Each twofold greater concentration of plasma soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor was associated with a 0.04 g/ml (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.01 to 0.08 g/ml) higher LVmvr and 2.1% (95% CI 0.6 to 3.5%) lower LVEF, independent of risk factors for CVD, eGFR, and albuminuria. Each twofold greater plasma monocyte chemoattractant protein 1 was associated with higher LVmvr with a similar coefficient to that of plasma soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor. Each twofold greater concentration of plasma chitinase-3-like protein 1 and urine alpha-1-microglobulin was associated with a 1.1% (95% CI 0.4 to 1.7%) and 1.2% (95% CI 0.2 to 2.2%) lower LVEF, respectively. In conclusion, abnormal kidney tubule health may lead to cardiac dysfunction above and beyond eGFR and albuminuria.

Current and Novel Biomarkers of Progression Risk in Children with Chronic Kidney Disease

BACKGROUND

Due to the complexity of chronic kidney disease (CKD) pathophysiology, biomarkers representing different mechanistic pathways have been targeted for the study and development of novel biomarkers. The discovery of clinically useful CKD biomarkers would allow for the identification of those children at the highest risk of kidney function decline for timely interventions and enrollment in clinical trials.

SUMMARY

Glomerular filtration rate and proteinuria are traditional biomarkers to classify and prognosticate CKD progression in clinical practice but have several limitations. Over the recent decades, novel biomarkers have been identified from blood or urine with metabolomic screening studies, proteomic screening studies, and an improved knowledge of CKD pathophysiology. This review highlights promising biomarkers associated with the progression of CKD that could potentially serve as future prognostic markers in children with CKD.

KEY MESSAGES

Further studies are needed in children with CKD to validate putative biomarkers, particularly candidate proteins and metabolites, for improving clinical management.

Update on prognosis driven classification of pediatric AKI

Acute kidney injury (AKI) affects a large proportion of hospitalized children and increases morbidity and mortality in this population. Initially thought to be a self-limiting condition with uniformly good prognosis, we now know that AKI can persist and progress to acute kidney disease (AKD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). AKI is presently categorized by stage of injury defined by increase in creatinine, decrease in eGFR, or decrease in urine output. These commonly used biomarkers of acute kidney injury do not change until the injury is well established and are unable to detect early stage of the disease when intervention is likely to reverse injury. The kidneys have the ability to compensate and return serum creatinine to a normal or baseline level despite nephron loss in the setting of AKI possibly masking persistent dysfunction. Though these definitions are important, classifying children by their propensity for progression to AKD and CKD and defining these risk strata by other factors besides creatinine may allow for better prognosis driven discussion, expectation setting, and care for our patients. In order to develop a classification strategy, we must first be able to recognize children who are at risk for AKD and CKD based on modifiable and non-modifiable factors as well as early biomarkers that identify their risk of persistent injury. Prevention of initial injury, prompt evaluation and treatment if injury occurs, and mitigating further injury during the recovery period may be important factors in decreasing risk of AKD and CKD after AKI. This review will cover presently used definitions of AKI, AKD, and CKD, recent findings in epidemiology and risk factors for AKI to AKD to CKD progression, novel biomarkers for early identification of AKI and AKI that may progress to CKD and future directions for improving outcome in children with AKI.