High-resolution modeling for criteria air pollutants and the associated air quality index in a metropolitan city

A novel framework for high resolution air quality index prediction with interpretable artificial intelligence and uncertainties estimation

Accurate air quality index (AQI) prediction is essential in environmental monitoring and management. Given that previous studies neglect the importance of uncertainty estimation and the necessity of constraining the output during prediction, we proposed a new hybrid model, namely TMSSICX, to forecast the AQI of multiple cities. Firstly, time-varying filtered based empirical mode decomposition (TVFEMD) was adopted to decompose the AQI sequence into multiple internal mode functions (IMF) components. Secondly, multi-scale fuzzy entropy (MFE) was applied to evaluate the complexity of each IMF component and clustered them into high and low-frequency portions. In addition, the high-frequency portion was secondarily decomposed by successive variational mode decomposition (SVMD) to reduce volatility. Then, six air pollutant concentrations, namely CO, SO2, PM2.5, PM10, O3, and NO2, were used as inputs. The secondary decomposition and preliminary portion were employed as the outputs for the bidirectional long short-term memory network optimized by the snake optimization algorithm (SOABiLSTM) and improved Catboost (ICatboost), respectively. Furthermore, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) was applied to ensemble each predicted sub-model to acquire the consequence. Ultimately, we introduced adaptive kernel density estimation (AKDE) for interval estimation. The empirical outcome indicated the TMSSICX model achieved the best performance among the other 23 models across all datasets. Moreover, implementing the XGBoost to ensemble each predicted sub-model led to an 8.73%, 8.94%, and 0.19% reduction in RMSE, compared to SVM. Additionally, by utilizing SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to assess the impact of the six pollutant concentrations on AQI, the results reveal that PM2.5 and PM10 had the most notable positive effects on the long-term trend of AQI. We hope this model can provide guidance for air quality management.

Optimized machine learning model for air quality index prediction in major cities in India

Industrial advancements and utilization of large amount of fossil fuels, vehicle pollution, and other calamities increases the Air Quality Index (AQI) of major cities in a drastic manner. Major cities AQI analysis is essential so that the government can take proper preventive, proactive measures to reduce air pollution. This research incorporates artificial intelligence in AQI prediction based on air pollution data. An optimized machine learning model which combines Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO) with the Decision Tree (DT) algorithm for accurate prediction of AQI in major cities of India. Air quality data available in the Kaggle repository is used for experimentation, and major cities like Delhi, Hyderabad, Kolkata, Bangalore, Visakhapatnam, and Chennai are considered for analysis. The proposed model performance is experimentally verified through metrics like R-Square, RMSE, MSE, MAE, and accuracy. Existing machine learning models, like k-nearest Neighbor, Random Forest regressor, and Support vector regressor, are compared with the proposed model. The proposed model attains better prediction performance compared to traditional machine learning algorithms with maximum accuracy of 88.98% for New Delhi city, 91.49% for Bangalore city, 94.48% for Kolkata, 97.66% for Hyderabad, 95.22% for Chennai and 97.68% for Visakhapatnam city.

A comprehensive review of the development of land use regression approaches for modeling spatiotemporal variations of ambient air pollution: A perspective from 2011 to 2023

Land use regression (LUR) models are widely used in epidemiological and environmental studies to estimate humans' exposure to air pollution within urban areas. However, the early models, developed using linear regressions and data from fixed monitoring stations and passive sampling, were primarily designed to model traditional and criteria air pollutants and had limitations in capturing high-resolution spatiotemporal variations of air pollution. Over the past decade, there has been a notable development of multi-source observations from low-cost monitors, mobile monitoring, and satellites, in conjunction with the integration of advanced statistical methods and spatially and temporally dynamic predictors, which have facilitated significant expansion and advancement of LUR approaches. This paper reviews and synthesizes the recent advances in LUR approaches from the perspectives of the changes in air quality data acquisition, novel predictor variables, advances in model-developing approaches, improvements in validation methods, model transferability, and modeling software as reported in 155 LUR studies published between 2011 and 2023. We demonstrate that these developments have enabled LUR models to be developed for larger study areas and encompass a wider range of criteria and unregulated air pollutants. LUR models in the conventional spatial structure have been complemented by more complex spatiotemporal structures. Compared with linear models, advanced statistical methods yield better predictions when handling data with complex relationships and interactions. Finally, this study explores new developments, identifies potential pathways for further breakthroughs in LUR methodologies, and proposes future research directions. In this context, LUR approaches have the potential to make a significant contribution to future efforts to model the patterns of long- and short-term exposure of urban populations to air pollution.

Impact of Particulate Pollution on Aquatic Invertebrates

A serious global problem, air pollution poses a risk to both human and environmental health. It contains hazardous material like heavy metals, nanoparticles, and others that can create an impact on both land and marine environments. Particulate pollutants, which can enter water systems through a variety of ways, including precipitation and industrial runoff, can have a particularly adverse influence on aquatic invertebrates. Once in the water, these particles can harm aquatic invertebrates physically, physiologically, and molecularly, resulting in developmental problems and multi-organ toxicity. Further research at the cellular and molecular levels in numerous locations of the world is necessary to completely understand the impacts of particle pollution on aquatic invertebrates. Understanding how particle pollution affects aquatic invertebrates is vital as the significance of ecotoxicological studies on particulate contaminants increases. This review gives a comprehensive overview of the current understanding of how particle pollution affects aquatic invertebrates.