Risk Prediction of Pancreatic Cancer in Patients With Abnormal Morphologic Findings Related to Chronic Pancreatitis: A Machine Learning Approach

The exposome and pancreatic cancer, lifestyle and environmental risk factors for PDAC

Pancreatic cancer (PC), particularly pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), is a significant global health issue with high mortality rates. PDAC, though only 3% of cancer diagnoses, causes 7% of cancer deaths due to its severity and asymptomatic early stages. Risk factors include lifestyle choices, environmental exposures, and genetic predispositions. Conditions like new-onset type 2 diabetes and chronic pancreatitis also contribute significantly. Modifiable risk factors include smoking, alcohol consumption, non-alcoholic fatty pancreatic disease (NAFPD), and obesity. Smoking and heavy alcohol consumption increase PC risk, while NAFPD and obesity, particularly central adiposity, contribute through chronic inflammation and insulin resistance. Refined sugar and sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) are also linked to increased PC risk, especially among younger individuals. Hormonal treatments and medications like statins, aspirin, and metformin have mixed results on PC risk, with some showing protective effects. The gut microbiome influences PC through the gut-pancreas axis, with disruptions leading to inflammation and carcinogenesis. Exposure to toxic substances, including heavy metals and chemicals, is associated with increased PC risk. Glycome changes, such as abnormal glycosylation patterns, are significant in PDAC development and offer potential for early diagnosis. Interactions between environmental and genetic factors are crucial in PDAC susceptibility. Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified several single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) linked to PDAC, but gene-environment interactions remain largely unexplored. Future research should focus on polygenic risk scores (PRS) and large-scale studies to better understand these interactions and their impact on PDAC risk.

Applications of Machine Learning (ML) and Mathematical Modeling (MM) in Healthcare with Special Focus on Cancer Prognosis and Anticancer Therapy: Current Status and Challenges

The use of data-driven high-throughput analytical techniques, which has given rise to computational oncology, is undisputed. The widespread use of machine learning (ML) and mathematical modeling (MM)-based techniques is widely acknowledged. These two approaches have fueled the advancement in cancer research and eventually led to the uptake of telemedicine in cancer care. For diagnostic, prognostic, and treatment purposes concerning different types of cancer research, vast databases of varied information with manifold dimensions are required, and indeed, all this information can only be managed by an automated system developed utilizing ML and MM. In addition, MM is being used to probe the relationship between the pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics (PK/PD interactions) of anti-cancer substances to improve cancer treatment, and also to refine the quality of existing treatment models by being incorporated at all steps of research and development related to cancer and in routine patient care. This review will serve as a consolidation of the advancement and benefits of ML and MM techniques with a special focus on the area of cancer prognosis and anticancer therapy, leading to the identification of challenges (data quantity, ethical consideration, and data privacy) which are yet to be fully addressed in current studies.

Quantitative Radiomic Features From Computed Tomography Can Predict Pancreatic Cancer up to 36 Months Before Diagnosis

INTRODUCTION

Pancreatic cancer is the third leading cause of cancer deaths among men and women in the United States. We aimed to detect early changes on computed tomography (CT) images associated with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) based on quantitative imaging features (QIFs) for patients with and without chronic pancreatitis (CP).

METHODS

Adults 18 years and older diagnosed with PDAC in 2008-2018 were identified. Their CT scans 3 months-3 years before the diagnosis date were matched to up to 2 scans of controls. The pancreas was automatically segmented using a previously developed algorithm. One hundred eleven QIFs were extracted. The data set was randomly split for training/validation. Neighborhood and principal component analyses were applied to select the most important features. A conditional support vector machine was used to develop prediction algorithms separately for patients with and without CP. The computer labels were compared with manually reviewed CT images 2-3 years before the index date in 19 cases and 19 controls.

RESULTS

Two hundred twenty-seven of 554 scans of non-CP cancer cases/controls and 70 of 140 scans of CP cancer cases/controls were included (average age 71 and 68 years, 51% and 44% females for non-CP patients and patients with CP, respectively). The QIF-based algorithms varied based on CP status. For non-CP patients, accuracy measures were 94%-95% and area under the curve (AUC) measures were 0.98-0.99. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were in the ranges of 88%-91%, 96%-98%, 91%-95%, and 94%-96%, respectively. QIFs on CT examinations within 2-3 years before the index date also had very high predictive accuracy (accuracy 95%-98%; AUC 0.99-1.00). The QIF-based algorithm outperformed manual rereview of images for determination of PDAC risk. For patients with CP, the algorithms predicted PDAC perfectly (accuracy 100% and AUC 1.00).

DISCUSSION

QIFs can accurately predict PDAC for both non-CP patients and patients with CP on CT imaging and represent promising biomarkers for early detection of pancreatic cancer.

Artificial Intelligence-Driven Diagnosis of Pancreatic Cancer

Pancreatic cancer is among the most challenging forms of cancer to treat, owing to its late diagnosis and aggressive nature that reduces the survival rate drastically. Pancreatic cancer diagnosis has been primarily based on imaging, but the current state-of-the-art imaging provides a poor prognosis, thus limiting clinicians' treatment options. The advancement of a cancer diagnosis has been enhanced through the integration of artificial intelligence and imaging modalities to make better clinical decisions. In this review, we examine how AI models can improve the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer using different imaging modalities along with a discussion on the emerging trends in an AI-driven diagnosis, based on cytopathology and serological markers. Ethical concerns regarding the use of these tools have also been discussed.