Probable transmission chains of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus and the multiple generations of secondary infection in South Korea.
Int J Infect Dis 2015. [PMID:
26216766 PMCID:
PMC7110481 DOI:
10.1016/j.ijid.2015.07.014]
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Abstract
As of July 14, 2015, the South Korean outbreak of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) infection has involved 185 secondary infections belonging to three overlapping generations of cases who have contracted the virus almost exclusively in the healthcare environment.
Fomite transmission may explain a significant proportion of the infections occurring in the absence of direct contact with infected cases.
The analysis of publicly available data collected from multiple sources, including the media, is useful for describing the epidemic history of an infectious disease outbreak.
Background
In May 2015, South Korea reported its first case of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) infection in a 68-year-old man with a history of travel in the Middle East. In the presence of secondary infections, an understanding of the transmission dynamics of the virus is crucial. The aim of this study was to characterize the transmission chains of MERS-CoV infection in the current South Korean outbreak.
Methods
Individual-level data from multiple sources were collected and used for epidemiological analyses.
Results
As of July 14, 2015, 185 confirmed cases of MERS have been reported in the Korean outbreak. Three generations of secondary infection, with over half belonging to the second generation, could be delineated. Hospital infection was found to be the most important cause of virus transmission, affecting largely non-healthcare workers (154/184). Healthcare switching has probably accounted for the emergence of multiple generations of secondary infection. Fomite transmission may explain a significant proportion of the infections occurring in the absence of direct contact with infected cases.
Conclusions
Publicly available data from multiple sources, including the media, are useful to describe the epidemic history of an outbreak. The effective control of MERS-CoV hinges on the upholding of infection control standards and an understanding of health-seeking behaviours in the community.
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