Prognostic value of preoperative prealbumin levels in patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing transcatheter arterial chemoembolisation

Trends of alkaline phosphatase to prealbumin ratio in patients with hepatitis B linked to hepatocellular carcinoma development

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis B often progresses silently toward hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a leading cause of mortality worldwide. Early detection of HCC is crucial, yet challenging.

AIM

To investigate the role of dynamic changes in alkaline phosphatase to prealbumin ratio (APR) in hepatitis B progression to HCC.

METHODS

Data from 4843 patients with hepatitis B (January 2015 to January 2024) were analyzed. HCC incidence rates in males and females were compared using the log-rank test. Data were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. The Linear Mixed-Effects Model was applied to track the fluctuation of APR levels over time. Furthermore, Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Survival data was employed to investigate the temporal relationship between APR and HCC risk.

RESULTS

The incidence of HCC was higher in males. To ensure the model's normality assumption, this study applied a logarithmic transformation to APR, yielding ratio. Ratio levels were higher in females (t = 5.26, P < 0.01). A 1-unit increase in ratio correlated with a 2.005-fold higher risk of HCC in males (95%CI: 1.653-2.431) and a 2.273-fold higher risk in females (95%CI: 1.620-3.190).

CONCLUSION

Males are more prone to HCC, while females have higher APR levels. Despite no baseline APR link, rising APR indicates a higher HCC risk.

Effect of skeletal muscle index on post-embolization syndrome of hepatocellular carcinoma after transarterial chemoembolization

BACKGROUND

Skeletal muscle index (SMI) is a commonly used research method for evaluating muscle mass.However, its impact on post-embolization syndrome(PES) of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is unclear.Our objective was to determine the effect of SMI on PES after TACE in patients with HCC.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients who received TACE treatment for HCC at our hospital from 2015 to 2020. The subjects were divided into two groups according to the presence or absence of PES after TACE, and their clinical characteristics were compared.SMI was measured and calculated by cross-sectionally at the level of the third lumbar vertebra based on computed tomography (CT). According to the cutoff value, the patients were classified into either low or high SMI group.Potential risk factors for PES were assessed using univariate and multivariable Cox proportional risk models.

RESULTS

A total of 110 people were included in this study, from which including 82 patients experienced PES. Serum albumin was significantly lower in the PES group compared to the non-PES group.The frequency of HCC with a maximum diameter > 3 cm and low SMI in the PES group was significantly higher than in patients without PES. Cox multivariate analysis identified that the maximum diameter of HCC > 3 cm and low SMI were independent predictors of PES after TACE.

CONCLUSIONS

Low SMI is an independent predictor of PES in HCC patients after TACE treatment, making preoperative CT assessment of skeletal muscle mass is a simple and effective tool for predicting PES.

A novel nomogram to predict the overall survival of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma patients following ablation therapy

Introduction

This study aimed to assess factors affecting the prognosis of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing ablation therapy and create a nomogram for predicting their 3-, 5-, and 8-year overall survival (OS).

Methods

The research included 881 early-stage HCC patients treated at Beijing You'an Hospital, affiliated with Capital Medical University, from 2014 to 2022. A nomogram was developed using independent prognostic factors identified by Lasso and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Its predictive performance was evaluated with concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

The study identified age, tumor number, tumor size, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), international normalized ratio (INR), and prealbumin (Palb) as independent prognostic risk factors. The nomogram achieved C-indices of 0.683 (primary cohort) and 0.652 (validation cohort), with Area Under the Curve (AUC) values of 0.776, 0.779, and 0.822 (3-year, 5-year, and 8-year OS, primary cohort) and 0.658, 0.724, and 0.792 (validation cohort), indicating that the nomogram possessed strong discriminative ability. Calibration and DCA curves further confirmed the nomogram's predictive accuracy and clinical utility. The nomogram can effectively stratify patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, particularly identifying high-risk patients.

Conclusions

The established nomogram in our study can provide precise prognostic information for HCC patients following ablation treatment and enable physicians to accurately identify high-risk individuals and facilitate timely intervention.