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Dayan F, Ahmed N, Bariq A, Akgül A, Jawaz M, Rafiq M, Raza A. Computational study of a co-infection model of HIV/AIDS and hepatitis C virus models. Sci Rep 2023; 13:21938. [PMID: 38081841 PMCID: PMC10713727 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-48085-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2023] [Accepted: 11/22/2023] [Indexed: 12/18/2023] Open
Abstract
Hepatitis C infection and HIV/AIDS contaminations are normal in certain areas of the world, and because of their geographic overlap, co-infection can't be precluded as the two illnesses have a similar transmission course. This current work presents a co-infection model of HIV/AIDS and Hepatitis C virus with fuzzy parameters. The application of fuzzy theory aids in tackling the issues associated with measuring uncertainty in the mathematical depiction of diseases. The fuzzy reproduction number and fuzzy equilibrium points have been determined in this context, focusing on a model applicable to a specific group defined by a triangular membership function. Furthermore, for the model, a fuzzy non-standard finite difference (NSFD) technique has been developed, and its convergence is examined within a fuzzy framework. The suggested model is numerically validated, confirming the dependability of the devised NSFD technique, which successfully retains all of the key properties of a continuous dynamical system.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fazal Dayan
- Department of Mathematics, School of Science, University of Management and Technology, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Nauman Ahmed
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Lahore, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Abdul Bariq
- Department of Mathematics, Laghman University, Mehtarlam City, 2701, Laghman, Afghanistan.
| | - Ali Akgül
- Department of Mathematics, Art and Science Faculty, Siirt University, 56100, Siirt, Turkey
- Near East University, Mathematics Research Center, Department of Mathematics, Near East Boulevard, 99138, Nicosia/Mersin 10, Turkey
- Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Lebanese American University, Beirut, Lebanon
| | - Muhammad Jawaz
- Department of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Lahore, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Muhammad Rafiq
- Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Central Punjab, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Ali Raza
- Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Lebanese American University, Beirut, Lebanon
- Department of Mathematics, Govt. Maulana Zafar Ali Khan Graduate College Wazirabad, Punjab Higher Education Department (PHED), Lahore, 54000, Pakistan
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Abiodun OE, Adebimpe O, Ndako JA, Oludoun O, Aladeitan B, Adeniyi M. Mathematical modeling of HIV-HCV co-infection model: Impact of parameters on reproduction number. F1000Res 2022; 11:1153. [PMID: 36636470 PMCID: PMC9817180 DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.124555.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 08/08/2022] [Indexed: 09/19/2023] Open
Abstract
Background: Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) and Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) are both as classified blood-borne viruses since they are transmitted through contact with contaminated blood. Approximately 1.3 million of the 2.75 million global HIV/HCV carriers inject drugs (PWID). HIV co-infection has a harmful effect on the progression of HCV, resulting in greater rates of HCV persistence after acute infection, higher viral levels, and accelerated progression of liver fibrosis and end-stage liver disease. In this study, we developed and investigated a mathematical model for the dynamical behavior of HIV/AIDS and HCV co-infection, which includes therapy for both diseases, vertical transmission in HIV cases, unawareness and awareness of HIV infection, inefficient HIV treatment follow-up, and efficient condom use. Methods: Positivity and boundedness of the model under investigation were established using well-known theorems. The equilibria were demonstrated by bringing all differential equations to zero. The associative reproduction numbers for mono-infected and dual-infected models were calculated using the next-generation matrix approach. The local and global stabilities of the models were validated using the linearization and comparison theorem and the negative criterion techniques of bendixson and dulac, respectively. Results: The growing prevalence of HIV treatment dropout in each compartment of the HIV model led to a reduction in HIV on treatment compartments while other compartments exhibited an increase in populations . In dually infected patients, treating HCV first reduces co-infection reproduction number R ech , which reduces liver cancer risk. Conclusions: From the model's results, we infer various steps that policymakers could take to reduce the number of mono-infected and co-infected individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Olukayode Adebimpe
- Mathematics and Statistics, First Technical University, Ibadan, Oyo, Nigeria
| | - James A. Ndako
- Physical Sciences, Landmark University, Omu Aran, State, 251101, Nigeria
| | - Olajumoke Oludoun
- Physical Sciences, Landmark University, Omu Aran, State, 251101, Nigeria
| | | | - Michael Adeniyi
- Mathematics and Statistics, Lagos State Polytechnic, Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria
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Abiodun OE, Adebimpe O, Ndako JA, Oludoun O, Aladeitan B, Adeniyi M. Mathematical modeling of HIV-HCV co-infection model: Impact of parameters on reproduction number. F1000Res 2022; 11:1153. [PMID: 36636470 PMCID: PMC9817180 DOI: 10.12688/f1000research.124555.2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/30/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: Hepatitis C Virus (HCV) and Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) are both classified as blood-borne viruses since they are transmitted through contact with contaminated blood. Approximately 1.3 million of the 2.75 million global HIV/HCV carriers are people who inject drugs (PWID). HIV co-infection has a harmful effect on the progression of HCV, resulting in greater rates of HCV persistence after acute infection, higher viral levels, and accelerated progression of liver fibrosis and end-stage liver disease. In this study, we developed and investigated a mathematical model for the dynamical behavior of HIV/AIDS and HCV co-infection, which includes therapy for both diseases, vertical transmission in HIV cases, unawareness and awareness of HIV infection, inefficient HIV treatment follow-up, and efficient condom use. Methods: Positivity and boundedness of the model under investigation were established using well-known theorems. The equilibria were demonstrated by bringing all differential equations to zero. The associative reproduction numbers for mono-infected and dual-infected models were calculated using the next-generation matrix approach. The local and global stabilities of the models were validated using the linearization and comparison theorem and the negative criterion techniques of bendixson and dulac, respectively. Results: The growing prevalence of HIV treatment dropout in each compartment of the HIV model led to a reduction in HIV on treatment compartments while other compartments exhibited an increase in populations . In dually infected patients, treating HCV first reduces co-infection reproduction number R ech , which reduces liver cancer risk. Conclusions: From the model's results, we infer various steps (such as: campaigns to warn individuals about the consequences of having multiple sexual partners; distributing more condoms to individuals; continuing treatment for chronic HCV and AIDS) that policymakers could take to reduce the number of mono-infected and co-infected individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Olukayode Adebimpe
- Mathematics and Statistics, First Technical University, Ibadan, Oyo, Nigeria
| | - James A. Ndako
- Physical Sciences, Landmark University, Omu Aran, State, 251101, Nigeria
| | - Olajumoke Oludoun
- Physical Sciences, Landmark University, Omu Aran, State, 251101, Nigeria
| | | | - Michael Adeniyi
- Mathematics and Statistics, Lagos State Polytechnic, Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria
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Mathematical Modelling of HIV-HCV Coinfection Dynamics in Absence of Therapy. COMPUTATIONAL AND MATHEMATICAL METHODS IN MEDICINE 2020; 2020:2106570. [PMID: 33082837 PMCID: PMC7566217 DOI: 10.1155/2020/2106570] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2020] [Revised: 08/10/2020] [Accepted: 09/07/2020] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
Globally, it is estimated that of the 36.7 million people infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), 6.3% are coinfected with hepatitis C virus (HCV). Coinfection with HIV reduces the chance of HCV spontaneous clearance. In this work, we formulated and analysed a deterministic model to study the HIV and HCV coinfection dynamics in absence of therapy. Due to chronic stage of HCV infection being long, asymptomatic, and infectious, our model formulation was based on the splitting of the chronic stage into the following: before onset of cirrhosis and its complications and after onset of cirrhosis. We computed the basic reproduction numbers using the next generation matrix method. We performed numerical simulations to support the analytical results. We carried out sensitivity analysis to determine the relative importance of the different parameters influencing the HIV-HCV coinfection dynamics. The findings reveal that, in the long run, there is a substantial number of individuals coinfected with HIV and latent HCV. Therefore, HIV and latently HCV-infected individuals need to seek early treatment so as to slow down the progression of HIV to AIDS and latent HCV to advanced HCV.
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Abstract
Coinfections involving viruses are being recognized to influence the disease pattern that occurs relative to that with single infection. Classically, we usually think of a clinical syndrome as the consequence of infection by a single virus that is isolated from clinical specimens. However, this biased laboratory approach omits detection of additional agents that could be contributing to the clinical outcome, including novel agents not usually considered pathogens. The presence of an additional agent may also interfere with the targeted isolation of a known virus. Viral interference, a phenomenon where one virus competitively suppresses replication of other coinfecting viruses, is the most common outcome of viral coinfections. In addition, coinfections can modulate virus virulence and cell death, thereby altering disease severity and epidemiology. Immunity to primary virus infection can also modulate immune responses to subsequent secondary infections. In this review, various virological mechanisms that determine viral persistence/exclusion during coinfections are discussed, and insights into the isolation/detection of multiple viruses are provided. We also discuss features of heterologous infections that impact the pattern of immune responsiveness that develops.
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PINTO CARLAMA, CARVALHO ANA. EFFECTS OF TREATMENT, AWARENESS AND CONDOM USE IN A COINFECTION MODEL FOR HIV AND HCV IN MSM. J BIOL SYST 2015. [DOI: 10.1142/s0218339015500096] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/18/2022]
Abstract
We develop a new a coinfection model for hepatitis C virus (HCV) and the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). We consider treatment for both diseases, screening, unawareness and awareness of HIV infection, and the use of condoms. We study the local stability of the disease-free equilibria for the full model and for the two submodels (HCV only and HIV only submodels). We sketch bifurcation diagrams for different parameters, such as the probabilities that a contact will result in a HIV or an HCV infection. We present numerical simulations of the full model where the HIV, HCV and double endemic equilibria can be observed. We also show numerically the qualitative changes of the dynamical behavior of the full model for variation of relevant parameters. We extrapolate the results from the model for actual measures that could be implemented in order to reduce the number of infected individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
- CARLA M. A. PINTO
- School of Engineering, Polytechnic of Porto and Center of Mathematics of the University of Porto, Rua Dr António Bernardino de Almeida, 431, 4200-072 Porto, Portugal
| | - ANA CARVALHO
- Faculty of Sciences, University of Porto, Rua do Campo Alegre s/n 4440-452 Porto, Portugal
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Carvalho ARM, Pinto CMA. A coinfection model for HIV and HCV. Biosystems 2014; 124:46-60. [PMID: 25174999 DOI: 10.1016/j.biosystems.2014.08.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2014] [Revised: 08/06/2014] [Accepted: 08/19/2014] [Indexed: 01/28/2023]
Abstract
We study a mathematical model for the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and hepatites C virus (HCV) coinfection. The model predicts four distinct equilibria: the disease free, the HIV endemic, the HCV endemic, and the full endemic equilibria. The local and global stability of the disease free equilibrium was calculated for the full model and the HIV and HCV submodels. We present numerical simulations of the full model where the distinct equilibria can be observed. We show simulations of the qualitative changes of the dynamical behavior of the full model for variation of relevant parameters. From the results of the model, we infer possible measures that could be implemented in order to reduce the number of infected individuals.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ana R M Carvalho
- Faculty of Sciences, University of Porto, Rua do Campo Alegre s/n, 4440-452 Porto, Portugal.
| | - Carla M A Pinto
- School of Engineering, Polytechnic of Porto, and Centre for Mathematics of the University of Porto, Rua Dr António Bernardino de Almeida, 431, 4200-072 Porto, Portugal.
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