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Akcaalan S, Akbulut B, Memis K, Caglar C, Ugurlu M, Kapicioglu MIS, Dogan M. The Akcaalan Mortality Score: A Novel Mortality Score to Predict 3-Year Mortality for Elderly Hip Fractures. J Clin Med 2025; 14:3538. [PMID: 40429535 PMCID: PMC12112287 DOI: 10.3390/jcm14103538] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2025] [Revised: 05/15/2025] [Accepted: 05/16/2025] [Indexed: 05/29/2025] Open
Abstract
Backround/Objectives: This study aimed to create a scoring system that can predict the mortality for hip fractures in the elderly, which have high mortality and morbidity rates, by using blood parameters and demographic data at admission. Methods: Patients admitted to the hospital due to a hip fracture between January 2016 and March 2021 were included in the study. A scoring system was created using the patient's age and sex at first admission and hemoglobin, albumin and creatinine levels, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and monocyte-lymphocyte ratios. The scoring system was created by determining different cut-off values for each of these seven parameters. A total mortality score was determined for each patient using this scoring system. The 3-year follow-up for patients' mortality during follow-up was recorded separately for each patient. Following the inclusion and exclusion criteria, the data of 1075 patients were included in the study. Results: All parameters listed in the methodology section were statistically significantly different between the patients who survived and those who died in the three years after hip fracture surgery (p = 0.0001). The total scores obtained using the mortality scoring system created by combining these parameters were also statistically significantly different between the two groups (p = 0.0001). If the mortality score is >11.5, the probability of the patient with a hip fracture dying within the first three years is 63.9%. Conclusion: The Akçaalan Mortality Score can provide predictive data for preoperative prediction to determine the 3-year mortality of elderly patients with hip fractures and may be helpful in terms of surgical timing. The name of this scoring system comes from the lastname of the corresponding author.
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Affiliation(s)
- Serhat Akcaalan
- Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Çankaya, Turkey; (B.A.); (K.M.); (C.C.); (M.U.); (M.I.S.K.); (M.D.)
| | - Batuhan Akbulut
- Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Çankaya, Turkey; (B.A.); (K.M.); (C.C.); (M.U.); (M.I.S.K.); (M.D.)
| | - Kemal Memis
- Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Çankaya, Turkey; (B.A.); (K.M.); (C.C.); (M.U.); (M.I.S.K.); (M.D.)
| | - Ceyhun Caglar
- Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Çankaya, Turkey; (B.A.); (K.M.); (C.C.); (M.U.); (M.I.S.K.); (M.D.)
- Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Ankara Yildirim Beyazıt University, 06760 Çubuk, Turkey
| | - Mahmut Ugurlu
- Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Çankaya, Turkey; (B.A.); (K.M.); (C.C.); (M.U.); (M.I.S.K.); (M.D.)
- Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Ankara Yildirim Beyazıt University, 06760 Çubuk, Turkey
| | - Mehmet Ismail Safa Kapicioglu
- Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Çankaya, Turkey; (B.A.); (K.M.); (C.C.); (M.U.); (M.I.S.K.); (M.D.)
- Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Ankara Yildirim Beyazıt University, 06760 Çubuk, Turkey
| | - Metin Dogan
- Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Ankara City Hospital, 06800 Çankaya, Turkey; (B.A.); (K.M.); (C.C.); (M.U.); (M.I.S.K.); (M.D.)
- Orthopedics and Traumatology Department, Ankara Yildirim Beyazıt University, 06760 Çubuk, Turkey
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Hayward-Livingston A, Ozdag Y, Kolessar D, Weinberg J, Pamul A, Koury K, Balsamo A. A 10-Year Experience of an Integrated Geriatric Hip Fracture Treatment Protocol: Outcomes at a Minimum 2-Year Follow-Up. Geriatr Orthop Surg Rehabil 2024; 15:21514593241273155. [PMID: 39130164 PMCID: PMC11311148 DOI: 10.1177/21514593241273155] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/12/2024] [Revised: 06/27/2024] [Accepted: 07/09/2024] [Indexed: 08/13/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Increasing incidence of fragility fractures has spurred development of protocols, largely focused on peri-operative care, with numerous proven benefits. The purpose of this investigation was to evaluate outcomes of our hip fracture treatment program regarding successful protocol implementation, compliance, effect on subsequent fracture rates, and mortality during the first decade of adoption. Methods A retrospective review identified patients >65 years old with fragility hip fractures between 2010 and 2022. The HiROC (+) cohort consisted of patients who received a "High-Risk Osteoporosis Clinic" (HiROC) referral for bone health evaluation and bisphosphonate initiation as indicated. Additional fracture rates and mortality at 3 years were calculated. Protocol implementation and compliance over the first 10 years was analyzed in the four identified cohorts. Results A total of 1671 fragility hip fractures were identified, with 386 excluded due to insufficient follow-up, with an average age of 81.6 years and a median follow-up of 36.4 months. Of the 1280 included cases, 56% (n = 717) had a HiROC referral placed. HiROC(+) groups had lower subsequent fracture rates at two years, compared to those without referral (28% vs 13%, P < 0.0001) and those completing more steps of the protocol had lower subsequent fracture rates (28% vs 15% vs 13% vs 5%, P < 0.0001). No statistically significant difference was observed between the cohorts for anatomic site of subsequent fractures. Discussion Greater than half of all eligible patients were successfully captured by the protocol. Patients completing more steps of the protocol had lower subsequent fracture rates. Captured patients demonstrated reduced mortality rates when compared to current literature. Conclusion Successful implementation of this geriatric hip fracture protocol was associated with reduced additional fractures and mortality rates. Identifying steps of process failures in the protocol can provide opportunities for increased compliance and reduction in future fracture occurrences.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Yagiz Ozdag
- Geisinger Musculoskeletal Institute, Geisinger Wyoming Valley, Wilkes Barre, PA, USA
| | - David Kolessar
- Geisinger Musculoskeletal Institute, Geisinger Wyoming Valley, Wilkes Barre, PA, USA
| | - Jacob Weinberg
- Geisinger Commonwealth School of Medicine, Scranton, PA, USA
| | - Arpitha Pamul
- Geisinger Commonwealth School of Medicine, Scranton, PA, USA
| | - Kenneth Koury
- Geisinger Musculoskeletal Institute, Geisinger Wyoming Valley, Wilkes Barre, PA, USA
| | - Anthony Balsamo
- Geisinger Musculoskeletal Institute, Geisinger Wyoming Valley, Wilkes Barre, PA, USA
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Chan KOW, Yuen PP, Fong BYF, Law VTS, Ng FSF, Fung WCP, Ng TKC, Cheung IS. Effectiveness of telehealth in preventive care: a study protocol for a randomised controlled trial of tele-exercise programme involving older people with possible sarcopenia or at risk of fall. BMC Geriatr 2023; 23:845. [PMID: 38093219 PMCID: PMC10717497 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-023-04535-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/08/2023] [Accepted: 11/30/2023] [Indexed: 12/17/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Continuous loss of muscle mass and strength are the consequences of the ageing process, which increase the risk of falls among older people. Falls can lead to severe consequences such as bone fractures and hampered physical and psychological well-being. Regular exercise is the key to reversing muscle atrophy and relieving sarcopenia. However, the frailty of older people and the recent COVID-19 pandemic may affect their confidence to leave home to attend classes in the community. A feasible and effective alternative should be explored. METHODS The primary objective is to evaluate the effectiveness of tele-exercise (TE) in relation to physical functioning and exercise adherence among community-dwelling older people at risk of falls in comparison with a community-based group (CB). The secondary objective includes evaluating older people's experience with tele-exercise, emphasizing their psychological welfare, social well-being, and acceptance of the telehealth approach. The design, conduct, and report follow the SPIRIT guidelines (Standard Protocol Items: recommended items to address in a Clinical Trial Protocol and Related Documents). Older people will be recruited from 10 local community centres in Hong Kong and randomly allocated into two groups. All participants will attend the exercise training 3 days per week for 3 months but the mode of delivery will differ, either online as the tele-exercise group (TE) or face-to-face as the community-based group (CB). The outcome measures include muscle strength, physical function, exercise adherence and dropout rate, psychological and social well-being will be assessed at the baseline, and the 3rd, 6th and 12th month. Some participants will be invited to attend focus group interviews to evaluate their overall experience of the tele-exercise training. DISCUSSION Tele-exercise reduces the barriers to exercise, such as time constraints, inaccessibility to facilities, and the fear of frail older people leaving their homes. Promoting an online home-based exercise programme for older people can encourage them to engage in regular physical activity and increase their exercise adherence even when remaining at home. The use of telehealth can potentially result in savings in cost and time. The final findings will provide insights on delivering exercise via telehealth to older people and propose an exercise delivery and maintenance model for future practice. TRIAL REGISTRATION Chinese Clinical Trial Registry ( https://www.chictr.org.cn/hvshowprojectEN.html?id=219002&v=1.1 ), registration number: ChiCTR2200063370. Registered on 5 September 2022.
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Affiliation(s)
- Karly O W Chan
- College of Professional and Continuing Education, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, PolyU Hung Hom Bay Campus, 8 Hung Lok Road, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, China.
| | - Peter P Yuen
- College of Professional and Continuing Education, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, PolyU Hung Hom Bay Campus, 8 Hung Lok Road, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Ben Y F Fong
- College of Professional and Continuing Education, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, PolyU Hung Hom Bay Campus, 8 Hung Lok Road, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Vincent T S Law
- College of Professional and Continuing Education, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, PolyU Hung Hom Bay Campus, 8 Hung Lok Road, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Fowie S F Ng
- School of Management, Tung Wah College, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Wilson C P Fung
- Hong Kong Telemedicine Association, Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Tommy K C Ng
- College of Professional and Continuing Education, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, PolyU Hung Hom Bay Campus, 8 Hung Lok Road, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - I S Cheung
- College of Professional and Continuing Education, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, PolyU Hung Hom Bay Campus, 8 Hung Lok Road, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR, China
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Prediction of Postoperative Outcomes Following Hip Fracture Surgery: Independent Validation and Recalibration of the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score. J Am Med Dir Assoc 2020; 22:663-669.e2. [PMID: 32893139 DOI: 10.1016/j.jamda.2020.07.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2020] [Revised: 07/08/2020] [Accepted: 07/09/2020] [Indexed: 11/27/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Independent validation of risk scores after hip fracture is uncommon, particularly for evaluation of outcomes other than death. We aimed to assess the Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS) for prediction of mortality, physical function, length of stay, and postoperative complications. DESIGN Analysis of routinely collected prospective data partly collected by follow-up interviews. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS Consecutive hip fracture patients were identified from the Northumbria hip fracture database between 2014 and 2018. Patients were excluded if they were not surgically managed or if scores for predictive variables were missing. METHODS C statistics were calculated to test the discriminant ability of the NHFS, Abbreviated Mental Test Score (AMTS), and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade for in-hospital, 30-day, and 120-day mortality; functional independence at discharge, 30 days, and 120 days; length of stay; and postoperative complications. RESULTS We analyzed data from 3208 individuals, mean age 82.6 (standard deviation 8.6). 2192 (70.9%) were female. 194 (6.3%) died during the first 30 days, 1686 (54.5%) were discharged to their own home, 211 (6.8%) had no mobility at 120 days, 141 (4.6%) experienced a postoperative complication. The median length of stay was 18 days (interquartile range 8-28). For mortality, C statistics for the NHFS ranged from 0.68 to 0.69, similar to ASA and AMTS. For postoperative mobility, the C statistics for the NHFS ranged from 0.74 to 0.83, similar to AMTS (0.61-0.82) and better than the ASA grade (0.68-0.71). Length of stay was significantly correlated with each score (P < .001 by Jonckheere-Terpstra test); NHFS and AMTS showed inverted U-shaped relationships with length of stay. For postoperative complications, C statistics for NHFS (0.54-0.59) were similar to ASA grade (0.53-0.61) and AMTS (0.50-0.58). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS The NHFS performed consistently well in predicting functional outcomes, moderately in predicting mortality, but less well in predicting length of stay and complications. There remains room for improvement by adding further predictors such as measures of physical performance in future analyses.
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Quach LH, Jayamaha S, Whitehouse SL, Crawford R, Pulle CR, Bell JJ. Comparison of the Charlson Comorbidity Index with the ASA score for predicting 12-month mortality in acute hip fracture. Injury 2020; 51:1004-1010. [PMID: 32151423 DOI: 10.1016/j.injury.2020.02.074] [Citation(s) in RCA: 39] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/04/2019] [Accepted: 02/15/2020] [Indexed: 02/02/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUNDS The ASA (American Society of Anaesthesiologists) Score is the current standard for measuring comorbidity in the Australian Hip Fracture registry, however it has never been validated for this purpose. Subsequently, a more appropriate and useful measure should be investigated. This study aimed to compare the ASA and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) scores in predicting 12-month mortality following acute hip fracture. METHODS A retrospective analysis was performed on an audit database of patients who were admitted to an orthogeriatric unit in a public metropolitan hospital from November 2010 to October 2011. 12-month mortality data was linked through a dual search of Queensland Health and mortality registry data. The Charlson comorbidity index was retrospectively applied. Demographics (age, gender, admission residence) and covariates including ASA, CCI, fracture type, fixation type, cognitive impairment on admission, BMI and time to surgery were analysed with logistic regression. ROC curve analysis was performed to assess varying thresholds for each comorbidity system. RESULTS A total of 320 patients were available for audit. Unadjusted bivariate analysis demonstrated significant difference between groups regarding increased age (p = 0.004), ASA score (p<0.001), CCI (p = 0.002), age-adjusted CCI (p = 0.002) and admission from a care facility (p<0.001). Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that only ASA (p<0.001) and admission from a care facility (p<0.001, OR=3.36, 95% CI = 1.9 - 6.0) independently predicted 12-month mortality; CCI was not a significant predictor in any models (p = 0.827, age-adjusted CCI: p = 0.864). Using ROC analysis, the ASA (AUC=0.668) outperformed either CCI (AUC=0.607 (CCI), AUC=0.614 (CCI age-adjusted). CONCLUSIONS The ASA score is independently associated with 12-month mortality; this was not replicated using either version of the CCI. The data does not suggest using the CCI in registry level datasets for the purposes of predicting 12-month mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lucian H Quach
- Metro North Hospital and Health Service, The Prince Charles Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
| | - Sophie Jayamaha
- Metro North Hospital and Health Service, The Prince Charles Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Sarah L Whitehouse
- Metro North Hospital and Health Service, The Prince Charles Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia; Orthopaedic Research Unit, Institute of Health and Biomedical Innovation, Queensland University of Technology, The Prince Charles Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Ross Crawford
- Metro North Hospital and Health Service, The Prince Charles Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Chrys R Pulle
- Metro North Hospital and Health Service, The Prince Charles Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
| | - Jack J Bell
- Metro North Hospital and Health Service, The Prince Charles Hospital, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
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Hwang KT, Moon JK, Kim YH. Do we really need a surgery for hip fractures in elderly patients? Mortality rate and influencing factors. ARTHROPLASTY 2019; 1:7. [PMID: 35240759 PMCID: PMC8796628 DOI: 10.1186/s42836-019-0009-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2019] [Accepted: 07/19/2019] [Indexed: 01/27/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Hip fractures are associated with notable mortality rates in elderly patients. The purpose of the study was to evaluate the mortality rate and influencing factors associated with mortality in the elderly patients with hip fractures. Methods Between October 2000 and December 2009, 807 elderly patients with hip fractures were enrolled in this study. There were 197 men and 610 women. The mean age at injuries were 78 years (range, 65–99 years). The fractures consisted of 390 femoral neck fractures and 417 intertrochanteric fractures. The mortality rate was evaluated between patients who underwent surgical and nonsurgical treatments. The influencing factors associated with mortality rate were evaluated statistically. Results Overall, 691 (85.6%) patients treated surgically and 116 (14.4%) patients treated nonsurgically were included. The overall mortality rates one and two years after injuries were 16.6 and 39.4%, respectively. In surgical treatment group, the mortality rate one and two years after injuries were 12.0 and 35.7%, respectively. In nonsurgical treatment group, the mortality rates were 44.0 and 61.2%, respectively (p < 0.05). No significant difference was noted between the types of fractures and the time from injury to surgery. Regardless of surgical methods, a significantly higher mortality rate was observed in patients with heart disease, chronic renal disease, dementia, and cancer, or in patients with 3 or more comorbidities. Conclusions In elderly patients with hip fractures, surgical treatments can decrease the mortality rate as compared with nonsurgical treatments. In addition, patients who had three or more comorbidities (heart disease, chronic renal failure, dementia, and history of cancer) are associated with a higher risk of mortality. Trial registration Retrospectively registered.
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Kalmet PHS, de Joode SGCJ, Fiddelers AAA, Ten Broeke RHM, Poeze M, Blokhuis T. Long-term Patient-reported Quality of Life and Pain After a Multidisciplinary Clinical Pathway for Elderly Patients With Hip Fracture: A Retrospective Comparative Cohort Study. Geriatr Orthop Surg Rehabil 2019; 10:2151459319841743. [PMID: 31218092 PMCID: PMC6557012 DOI: 10.1177/2151459319841743] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2018] [Revised: 03/01/2019] [Accepted: 03/13/2019] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction There is an increase in incidence of hip fractures in the ageing population. The implementation of multidisciplinary clinical pathways (MCP) has proven to be effective in improving the care for these frail patients, and MCP tends to be more effective than usual care (UC). The aim of this study was to analyze potential differences in patient-reported outcome among elderly patients with hip fractures who followed MCP versus those who followed UC. Materials and Methods This retrospective cohort study included patients aged 65 years or older with a low-energy hip fracture, who underwent surgery in the Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, the Netherlands. Two cohorts were analyzed; the first one had patients who underwent UC in 2012 and the second one contained patients who followed MCP in 2015. Collected data regarded demographics, patient-reported outcomes (Short Form 12 [SF-12] and the Numeric Rating Scale [NRS] to measure pain), and patient outcome. Results This cohort study included 398 patients, 182 of them were included in the MCP group and 216 were in the UC group. No differences in gender, age, or American Society of Anesthesiologists classification were found between the groups. No significant differences were found in SF-12 and the NRS data between the MCP group and UC group. In the MCP group, significantly lower rates of postoperative complications were found than in the UC group, but mortality within 30 days and one year after the hip fracture was similar in both groups. Discussion Although the effects of hip fractures in the elderly on patient-reported outcome, pain and quality of life have been addressed in several recent studies, the effects of MCP on long-term outcome was unclear. Conclusion A multidisciplinary clinical pathway approach for elderly patients with a hip fracture is associated with a reduced time to surgery and reduced postoperative complications, while no differences were found in quality of life, pain, or mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pishtiwan H S Kalmet
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Stijn G C J de Joode
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Audrey A A Fiddelers
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Rene H M Ten Broeke
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Martijn Poeze
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands.,Nutrim School for Nutrition, Toxicology and Metabolism, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Taco Blokhuis
- Department of Trauma Surgery, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands
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