Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio as a prognostic marker in metastatic gallbladder cancer

Prognostic value of preoperative fibrinogen to albumin ratio in predicting postoperative outcomes in patients with gallbladder cancer

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is known for its poor prognosis and challenging management. The preoperative fibrinogen to albumin ratio (FAR) has been proposed as a potential prognostic marker for predicting postoperative outcomes in GBC patients, but its efficacy and prognostic value remain underexplored.

AIM

To evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative FAR in GBC outcomes.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 66 patients who underwent curative surgery for GBC at our institution from January 2018 to January 2022. Preoperative FAR values were obtained within one week prior to surgery. Patients were followed through outpatient visits or telephone interviews, with overall survival (OS) as the primary endpoint. Statistical analyses, including receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival estimates, were performed using SPSS software (version 27.0).

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 36 male and 30 female patients, with a mean age of 61.81 ± 8.58 years. The optimal FAR cut-off value was determined to be 0.088, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.7899, sensitivity of 68.96%, and specificity of 80.01%. Patients with FAR ≤ 0.088 showed significantly better survival rates (1-year: 60.5%, 2-year: 52.6%, 3-year: 25.9%) and a median OS of 25.6 months (95% confidence interval: 18.8-30.5 months), compared to those with FAR > 0.088 who had a median OS of 10.8 months (95% confidence interval: 6.3-12.9 months).

CONCLUSION

Lower preoperative FAR is associated with longer OS in GBC patients, confirming its potential as a valuable prognostic indicator for improving outcome predictions and guiding patient management strategies in gallbladder cancer.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios pre- and post-surgery in stage III CRC: a study of 2,742 patients

PURPOSE

Stage III colorectal cancer (CRC) is typically treated with surgery; however, it has a high recurrence rate and inconsistent benefits from postoperative chemotherapy. Inflammatory markers like the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) have shown prognostic value in various cancers. However, the prognostic significance of NLR measured before and after CRC surgery is not clear. This study aims to clarify the prognostic value of the combination of pre- and post-surgery NLR in stage III CRC patients.

METHODS

Patients with stage III CRC treated between 2001 and 2022 were retrospectively analyzed using data from the Chang Gung Medical Research Database. Patients were categorized into 4 groups based on their pre- and post-operative NLR levels. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the associations between NLR levels and overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS).

RESULTS

Data from 2,742 patients, median age of 62 years and 54% male, were analyzed. After adjustment, patients in Group IV, with high NLR values both before and after surgery, had greater risks of worse DFS (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.30, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.13-1.50), OS (aHR = 1.36, 95% CI: 1.14-1.63), and CSS (aHR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.04-1.55) compared to Group I.

CONCLUSIONS

High NLR levels before and after surgery is a strong predictor of poor outcomes in stage III CRC patients. The findings suggest that monitoring NLR at both time points can be a valuable prognostic tool, guiding postoperative care and treatment strategies to improve patient outcomes.

The Immunomodulatory Role of Vitamin D in Regulating the Th17/Treg Balance and Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition: A Hypothesis for Gallbladder Cancer

The etiology of gallbladder cancer (GBC) is multifactorial, with chronic inflammation resulting from infections, autoimmune diseases, and lifestyle factors playing a pivotal role. Vitamin D deficiency (VDD) has been implicated in the pathogenesis of autoimmune disorders and various malignancies, including GBC. Research on autoimmune diseases highlights the anti-inflammatory properties of vitamin D, suggesting its potential to mitigate disease progression. In oncology, VDD has similarly been linked to increased inflammation, which may contribute to both the initiation and progression of cancer. A critical component in carcinogenesis, as well as in the immunomodulatory effects of vitamin D in autoimmune conditions, is the balance between T-helper 17 (Th17) cells and regulatory T (Treg) cells. We hypothesize that vitamin D may inhibit epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) in GBC by modulating the spatial distribution of tumor-infiltrating T cells, particularly through the regulation of the Th17/Treg balance at the tumor margins. This Th17/Treg imbalance may act as a mechanistic link between VDD and the progression of GBC carcinogenesis. Investigating the role of an Th17/Treg imbalance as a mediator in VDD-induced EMT in GBC not only provides deeper insights into the pathogenesis of GBC but also sheds light on broader mechanisms relevant to the development of other solid organ cancers, given the expanding recognition of the roles of VDD and Th17/Treg cells in cancer biology.

Multifaceted roles of neutrophils in tumor microenvironment

Neutrophils, the most abundant leukocyte population in circulation, play a crucial role in detecting and responding to foreign cells, such as pathogens and tumor cells. However, the impact of neutrophils on cancer pathogenesis has been overlooked because of their short lifespan, terminal differentiation, and limited transcriptional activity. Within the tumor microenvironment (TME), neutrophils can be influenced by tumor cells or other stromal cells to acquire either protumor or antitumor properties via the cytokine environment. Despite progress in neutrophil-related research, a comprehensive understanding of tissue-specific neutrophil diversity and adaptability in the TME is still lacking, which poses a significant obstacle to the development of neutrophil-based cancer therapies. This review evaluated the current studies on the dual roles of neutrophils in cancer progression, emphasizing their importance in predicting clinical outcomes, and explored various approaches for targeting neutrophils in cancer treatment, including their potential synergy with cancer immunotherapy.

Machine Learning Algorithm for Predicting Distant Metastasis of T1 and T2 Gallbladder Cancer Based on SEER Database

(1) Background: This study seeks to employ a machine learning (ML) algorithm to forecast the risk of distant metastasis (DM) in patients with T1 and T2 gallbladder cancer (GBC); (2) Methods: Data of patients diagnosed with T1 and T2 GBC was obtained from SEER, encompassing the period from 2004 to 2015, were utilized to apply seven ML algorithms. These algorithms were appraised by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and other metrics; (3) Results: This study involved 4371 patients in total. Out of these patients, 764 (17.4%) cases progressed to develop DM. Utilizing a logistic regression (LR) model to identify independent risk factors for DM of gallbladder cancer (GBC). A nomogram has been developed to forecast DM in early T-stage gallbladder cancer patients. Through the evaluation of different models using relevant indicators, it was discovered that Random Forest (RF) exhibited the most outstanding predictive performance; (4) Conclusions: RF has demonstrated high accuracy in predicting DM in gallbladder cancer patients, assisting clinical physicians in enhancing the accuracy of diagnosis. This can be particularly valuable for improving patient outcomes and optimizing treatment strategies. We employ the RF algorithm to construct the corresponding web calculator.

Prognostic Factors in Patients Diagnosed with Gallbladder Cancer over a Period of 20 Years: A Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) is an uncommon cancer. This study aimed to determine the outcomes of GBC in relation to geographic, demographic, and clinical factors in a Canadian province from 2000 to 2019.

METHODS

This population-based retrospective cohort study included all patients diagnosed with gallbladder cancer (GBC) in Saskatchewan, Canada, from 2000 to 2019. Cox proportional multivariate regression analysis was conducted to identify factors associated with poorer outcomes.

RESULTS

In total, 331 patients with a median age of 74 years and male-female ratio of 1:2 were identified. Of these patients, 305 (92%) had a pathological diagnosis of GBC. Among patients with documented staging data, 64% had stage IV disease. A total of 217 (66%) patients were rural residents, and 149 (45%) were referred to a cancer center. The multivariate analysis for patients with stage I-III GBC showed that stage III disease [hazard ratio (HR), 2.63; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.09-6.34)] and urban residence (HR, 2.20; 95% CI, 1.1-4.39) were correlated with inferior disease-free survival. For all patients, stage IV disease (HR, 3.02; 95% CI, 1.85-4.94), no referral to a cancer center (HR, 2.64; 95% CI, 1.51-4.62), lack of surgery (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.03-2.57), a neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio of >3.2 (HR, 1.57; 1.05-2.36), and age of ≥70 years (HR, 1.51; 95% CI, 1.04-2.19) were correlated with inferior overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

In this real-world context, the majority of patients with GBC were diagnosed at a late stage and were not referred to a cancer center. For those with early-stage GBC, living in an urban area and having stage III disease were linked to worse outcomes. Across all stages of GBC, stage IV disease, older age, absence of surgery, lack of referral to a cancer center, and a high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio were associated with poorer survival.

Haematologic biomarkers and survival in gallbladder cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Gallbladder cancer is a rare malignancy characterised by poor survival with lack of durable response to treatment. Thus, novel biomarkers are needed to prognosticate patients. This systematic review and meta-analysis sought to examine the role of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio, platelet count (PC) and serum immune inflammation index in predicting the survival of patients with gallbladder cancer.

Materials and methods

A systematic search was done using PubMed, Cochrane, ClinicalTrials.gov and Google Scholar for articles published from inception until 8 February 2022. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were pooled and subgroup analyses were conducted according to treatment, region and cut-offs. The primary outcome of interest was overall survival (OS). Data were summarised using RevMan version 5.4.

Results

Twenty studies comprising 5,183 patients were included in the analysis. High neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (HR 1.72, 95% CI 1.47-2.02), platelet-lymphocyte ratio (HR 1.51, 95% CI 1.33-1.72), monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.46-1.64), PC (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.02-1.40) and serum inflammation index (HR 1.73, 95% CI 1.36-2.18) were all associated with worse survival. The association was consistent across most subgroups on race and cut-offs with a trend towards poor survival for PC above 252.5.

Conclusion

High neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, platelet-lymphocyte ratio, monocyte-lymphocyte ratio, PC and SII are associated with worse OS in gallbladder cancer and are potential biomarkers for prognostication. Prospective studies are recommended to further evaluate their use.

Competing risks analysis for neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio as a predictor of diabetic retinopathy incidence in the Scottish population

BACKGROUND

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a major sight-threatening microvascular complication in individuals with diabetes. Systemic inflammation combined with oxidative stress is thought to capture most of the complexities involved in the pathology of diabetic retinopathy. A high level of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is an indicator of abnormal immune system activity. Current estimates of the association of NLR with diabetes and its complications are almost entirely derived from cross-sectional studies, suggesting that the nature of the reported association may be more diagnostic than prognostic. Therefore, in the present study, we examined the utility of NLR as a biomarker to predict the incidence of DR in the Scottish population.

METHODS

The incidence of DR was defined as the time to the first diagnosis of R1 or above grade in the Scottish retinopathy grading scheme from type 2 diabetes diagnosis. The effect of NLR and its interactions were explored using a competing risks survival model adjusting for other risk factors and accounting for deaths. The Fine and Gray subdistribution hazard model (FGR) was used to predict the effect of NLR on the incidence of DR.

RESULTS

We analysed data from 23,531 individuals with complete covariate information. At 10 years, 8416 (35.8%) had developed DR and 2989 (12.7%) were lost to competing events (death) without developing DR and 12,126 individuals did not have DR. The median (interquartile range) level of NLR was 2.04 (1.5 to 2.7). The optimal NLR cut-off value to predict retinopathy incidence was 3.04. After accounting for competing risks at 10 years, the cumulative incidence of DR and deaths without DR were 50.7% and 21.9%, respectively. NLR was associated with incident DR in both Cause-specific hazard (CSH = 1.63; 95% CI: 1.28-2.07) and FGR models the subdistribution hazard (sHR = 2.24; 95% CI: 1.70-2.94). Both age and HbA1c were found to modulate the association between NLR and the risk of DR.

CONCLUSIONS

The current study suggests that NLR has a promising potential to predict DR incidence in the Scottish population, especially in individuals less than 65 years and in those with well-controlled glycaemic status.

The value of CT findings combined with inflammatory indicators for preoperative differentiation of benign and malignant gallbladder polypoid lesions

BACKGROUND

The study aimed to explore the value of CT findings and inflammatory indicators in differentiating benign and malignant gallbladder polypoid lesions before surgery.

METHODS

The study comprised a total of 113 pathologically confirmed gallbladder polypoid lesions with a maximum diameter ≥ 1 cm (68 benign and 45 malignant), all of which were enhanced CT-scanned within 1 month before surgery. The CT findings and inflammatory indicators of the patients were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify independent predictors of gallbladder polypoid lesions, and then a nomogram distinguishing benign and malignant gallbladder polypoid lesions was developed by combining these characteristics. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve were plotted to assess the performance of the nomogram.

RESULTS

Base status of the lesion (p < 0.001), plain CT value (p < 0.001), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (p = 0.041), and monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) (p = 0.022) were independent predictors of malignant polypoid lesions of the gallbladder. The nomogram model established by incorporating the above factors had good performance in differentiating and predicting benign and malignant gallbladder polypoid lesions (AUC = 0.964), with sensitivity and specificity of 82.4% and 97.8%, respectively. The DCA demonstrated the important clinical utility of our nomogram.

CONCLUSION

CT findings combined with inflammatory indicators can effectively differentiate benign and malignant gallbladder polypoid lesions before surgery, which is valuable for clinical decision-making.

A novel role of Tinospora cordifolia in amelioration of cancer-induced systemic deterioration by taming neutrophil infiltration and hyperactivation

BACKGROUND

Cancer has emerged as a systemic disease which targets various organs thus challenging the overall physiology of the host. Recently, we have shown that hyperactive neutrophils infiltrate various organs of tumor bearing host and contribute to gradual systemic deterioration. Therefore, taming neutrophils via potent immunomodulators could be an appropriate therapeutic approach in regulating systemic damage. Tinospora cordifolia (TC), an Ayurvedic panacea, is known for its immense medicinal values in traditional literature and recent reports have also documented its immunomodulatory potential. However, whether TC can regulate neutrophils to exert its therapeutic effectiveness has not been deciphered so far.

METHODS

For the in vivo study, we utilized murine model of Dalton's Lymphoma (DL). T. cordifolia extract (TCE) treatment was scheduled at early, mid and advanced stages of tumor growth at a dose of 400 mg/kg b.w for 30 consecutive days. Effect of TCE on neutrophil infiltration was examined by immunostaining. Neutrophil elastase (NE) level in serum, ascitic fluid and various tissues was monitored by ELISA. Further, qPCR was performed to assess transcripts levels of NE, myeloperoxidase (MPO), metalloproteinases (MMP-8, MMP-9) and cathepsin G (CSTG) in various tissues. ROS level in tissue was assessed by DHE staining and organ function was assessed by histology post TCE treatment.

RESULTS

Our findings showed that TC treatment significantly reduced neutrophil count in peripheral blood and their infiltration in vital organs of tumor-bearing host. Further, it ameliorated neutrophil hyperactivation by down regulating the expression of its key cargoes including NE, MPO, MMP-8, MMP-9 and CSTG at early and mid stage of tumor growth. In addition, TC treatment prevented histopathological alterations and restored the normal serum enzyme levels at different stages of tumor growth. Importantly, TC treatment also showed significant reduction in tumor burden which was accompanied by a remarkable increase in survival of the tumor-bearing mice.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that T. cordifolia could limit systemic damage via regulating neutrophil infiltration and hyperactivation which can further lead to cancer control at both prophylactic and therapeutic level.

Risk factors and prognosis of liver metastasis in gallbladder cancer patients: A SEER-based study

Background

Liver metastasis is a common complication in gallbladder cancer (GBC). We design this study to develop models for predicting the development of liver metastasis in GBC patients and evaluate the risk of mortality in these patients with liver metastasis.

Methods

GBC patients from Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) between 2010 and 2016 were included in this study. Logistic regression was performed to discover risk factors and construct predictive models for liver metastasis in GBC patients. Cox regression was utilized to find risk factors of mortality in GBC patients with liver metastasis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the performance of the constructed predictive models.

Results

Multivariate logistic regression confirmed that T stage, N stage, and tumor grade were risk factors for liver metastasis in GBC patients. Composed of these factors, the model for predicting the development of liver metastasis had AUCs of 0.707 and 0.657 in the training cohort and testing cohort, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression showed that surgery of the primary site and chemotherapy were independently associated with the mortality of GBC patients with liver metastasis. Composed of these two factors, the predictive model for 1-year mortality of GBC patients with liver metastasis had AUCs of 0.734 and 0.776 in the training cohort and testing cohort, respectively.

Conclusion

The predictive models that we constructed are helpful for surgeons to evaluate the risk of liver metastasis in GBC patients and the survival condition of those with liver metastasis. Surgery of the primary site and chemotherapy should be provided for GBC with liver metastasis.

Blood Biomarkers Predict Survival Outcomes in Patients with Hepatitis B Virus-Induced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with PD-1 Inhibitors

PURPOSE

To investigate the prognostic value of blood markers in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-induced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with PD-1 inhibitors. Patients and Methods. We retrospectively collected and analyzed the clinicopathological data of 110 HBV-induced HCC patients treated with PD-1 inhibitors. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were scrutinized using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the log-rank test, and all potential risk factors were analyzed with univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

The mean OS and PFS were 6.5 and 5.5 months, respectively. According to Kaplan-Meier survival curves, elevated systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) correlated with decreased OS and PFS (all P < 0.05), and low lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) correlated with decreased PFS and OS (all P < 0.05). Per multivariate Cox regression analyses, SII, PLR, and portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) correlated independently with PFS (all P < 0.05), whereas SII, PLR, NLR, and portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) correlated with OS (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

SII, PLR, and PVTT predicted OS and PFS in HCC patients who received PD-1 inhibitors and, therefore, could be useful predictors for risk stratification and individualized therapeutic decision-making for patients with HBV-induced HCC treated with PD-1 inhibitors.

Neutrophil Extracellular Traps in Digestive Cancers: Warrior or Accomplice

Characterized as a complex of extracellular DNA fibers and granule proteins, neutrophil extracellular traps (NETs) are generated specifically by neutrophils which play a critical role in host defense and immune regulation. NETs have been initially found crucial for neutrophil anti-microbial function. Recent studies suggest that NETs are involved in tumorigenesis and cancer progression. However, the function of NETs in cancer remains unclear, which might be due to the variation of research models and the heterogeneity of cancers. Although most of malignant tumors have similar biological behaviors, significant differences indeed exist in various systems. Malignant tumors of the digestive system cause the most incidence and mortality of cancer worldwide. In this review, we would focus on research developments on NETs in digestive cancers to provide insights on their role in digestive cancer progression and future research directions.

Diagnostic Value of Inflammatory Factors in Patients with Gallbladder Cancer, Dysplasia, and Cholecystitis

Background

Involving pre-sampled patients with cholecystitis, dysplasia, and adenocarcinoma, the present study aimed to compare the neutrophil/lymphocyte (NLR), monocyte/lymphocyte (MLR), platelet/lymphocyte (PLR) ratios, and plateletcrit (PCT), mean platelet volume (MPV), and platelet distribution width (PDW) values and to determine their prognostic importance.

Methods

The present study involved 187 cholecystectomy specimens that were diagnosed as cholecystitis, dysplasia, and adenocarcinoma. Preoperative neutrophil, monocyte, lymphocyte, and platelet counts, NLR, MLR, and PLR ratios, and PCT, MPV, and PDW levels of the same patient groups were retrospectively recorded.

Results

In the present study, the cut-off values for dysplasia of NLR, PLR, and MLR were found as 1.61, 81.45, and .19, whereas those for cancer of NLR, PLR, and MLR were 2.65, 182.69, and .35, respectively. The NLR, PLR, and MLR values of the chronic cholecystitis and chronic calculous cholecystitis groups were statistically significantly lower than those of the chronic active calculous cholecystitis group (P < .01). The NLR and MLR values of the non-cancer and non-dysplasia groups were statistically lower than those of the cancer and dysplasia groups (P < .05).

Conclusion

According to the results of the present study, using additional imaging methods, acute-phase cholecystitis can be distinguished using preoperative neutrophil and monocyte counts, and NLR, PLR, and MLR cut-off values can be used to distinguish dysplasia, which is the antecedent of gallbladder cancer. It is thought that this might provide patients with an advantage in terms of early treatment and survival.

Clinical epidemiology of gallbladder cancer in North-Central India and association of immunological markers, NLR, MLR and PLR in the diagnostic/prognostic prediction of GBC

INTRODUCTION

The incidence of Gallbladder Cancer (GBC) is found to be increasing in the rural populations of north-central India. Role of multiple demographic factors, including poor socio-economic conditions, illiteracy and miserable primary healthcare services appear to be significant factors for this increase. Here, we aim to assess the present status of GBC in north-central India and evaluate the role of immunological markers in its management.

METHODS

A total of 1845 cases of different Gallbladder diseases, including GBC, from rural and urban areas both, registered at CHRI, Gwalior during 2009-2014 and 2018 were included in this study. The demographic and clinical information of the patients were analysed using various statistical tests.

RESULTS

Of all the cases (1845) included in this study, 1125 (60.97%) were diagnosed with GBC, of which, 707 (62.84%) were from rural background and 418 (37.15%) from urban settings. Mean age for GBC cases for both male and female was about 53.49 years. Females were more affected, being 70.37%, while male patients were only 29.63%. The pathological investigations showed elevated levels of total bilirubin and liver function enzymes both. The NLR, PLR and MLR were found to be significantly associated with different clinical parameters as well as OS.

CONCLUSION

We infer that the growing trend of GBC, particularly in rural areas, in north-central India is primarily associated with the lack of awareness, inadequate medical support and poor socio-economic conditions. Evaluation of haematological markers may help in the predictive diagnosis/ prognosis and or management of GBC cases in the studied population.

Real-World Evidence on Palliative Gemcitabine and Oxaliplatin (GemOx) Combination Chemotherapy in Advanced Biliary Tract Cancer

Simple Summary

Cancers of the biliary tract are rare but severe with high mortality rates. Randomised controlled trials suggest that chemotherapies such as gemcitabine and oxaliplatin (GemOx) may relieve symptoms and prolong life, but less is known on the efficacy and safety of such regimens in real life. The current paper assessed the real-world outcome of GemOx in all patients with advanced biliary tract cancer treated at any cancer centre in the South East Region of Sweden over a period of nine years. The median overall survival was nine months and time to disease progression five months. Prognostic factors such as performance status and gall bladder (rather than bile duct) localisation of the primary tumour were identified. Most patients received a lower dose of oxaliplatin than proposed by previous studies, which seemed feasible as few patients had severe adverse events. This study supports further use of GemOx as standard of care.

Abstract

Background: Gemcitabine and oxaliplatin (GemOx) is a standard combination regimen in advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC). There is limited evidence on its efficacy and safety in real life. Methods: A retrospective multicentre cohort study in the South East Region of Sweden, covering nine years (2011–2020) and three hospitals where GemOx was treatment of choice, was designed. Clinicopathological prognostic parameters were explored. Results: One hundred and twenty-one patients with advanced BTC were identified. Median overall and progression-free survival (OS and PFS) were 8.9 (95% CI = 7.2–10.6) and 5.3 (95% CI = 3.8–6.7) months. Performance status according to Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (PS according to ECOG) 1–2 and primary gallbladder carcinoma were independent predictors for poor OS. PS and derived neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio were predictive for PFS. The most common severe type of myelosuppresion was grade 3 neutropenia that was recorded in 8%. Fifty-three (43.8%) experienced at least one episode of unplanned hospitalisation. One hundred and seventeen (97%) received oxaliplatin with lower dosage than was utilized in previous phase III trials (80–85 vs. 100 mg/m²) and a majority received further dose reductions of oxaliplatin and/or gemcitabine. Conclusion: The outcome of GemOx in advanced BTC appears comparable in controlled trials and real-world contexts. A lower dose of oxaliplatin seems more tolerable without compromising the outcome.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram Based on the Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index for Resectable Gallbladder Cancer to Predict Survival and Chemotherapy Benefit

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the prognostic significance of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in patients after radical cholecystectomy for gallbladder cancer (GBC) using overall survival (OS) as the primary outcome measure.

METHODS

Based on data from a multi-institutional registry of patients with GBC, significant prognostic factors after radical cholecystectomy were identified by multivariate Cox proportional hazards model. A novel staging system was established, visualized as a nomogram. The response to adjuvant chemotherapy was compared between patients in different subgroups according to the novel staging system.

RESULTS

Of the 1072 GBC patients enrolled, 691 was randomly selected in the discovery cohort and 381 in the validation cohort. SII>510 was found to be an independent predictor of OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.42-2.54). Carbohydrate antigen 199(CA19-9), tumor differentiation, T stage, N stage, margin status and SII were involved in the nomogram. The nomogram showed a superior prediction compared with models without SII (1-, 3-, 5-year integrated discrimination improvement (IDI):2.4%, 4.1%, 5.4%, P<0.001), and compared to TNM staging system (1-, 3-, 5-year integrated discrimination improvement (IDI):5.9%, 10.4%, 12.2%, P<0.001). The C-index of the nomogram in predicting OS was 0.735 (95% CI 0.683-0.766). The novel staging system based on the nomogram showed good discriminative ability for patients with T2 or T3 staging and with negative lymph nodes after R0 resection. Adjuvant chemotherapy offered significant survival benefits to these patients with poor prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

SII was an independent predictor of OS in patients after radical cholecystectomy for GBC. The new staging system identified subgroups of patients with T2 or T3 GBC with negative lymph nodes who benefited from adjuvant chemotherapy.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier (NCT04140552).

Prognostic Value of Peripheral Whole Blood Cell Counts Derived Indexes in Gallbladder Carcinoma: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background

Gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) is a rare gastrointestinal malignancy with poor prognosis. Adequate pre-treatment prediction of survival is essential for risk stratification and patient selection for aggressive surgery or adjuvant therapeutic strategy. Whole blood cell count (WBCC) derived indexes are broadly used as prognosticative biomarkers in various cancer types, but their utility in GBC needs to be validated.

Methods

An extensive literature review was conducted in line with PRISMA guideline until June 31 2020, to identify original studies concerning WBCC-derived indexes as prognostic indicators in GBC. All relative parameters were extracted and pooled for statistical analyses.

Results

Fourteen studies incorporating 2,324 patients were included with a high quality and low risk of biases. All 14 studies evaluated the prognostic value of NLR showing a significant correlation with OS in GBC patients (HR = 1.94, P <0.001). Elevated NLR was revealed to correlate with TNM stage (stages III and IV, OR = 4.65, P <0.001), tumor differentiation (OR = 2.37, P <0.042), CA 19-9 (SMD = 0.47, P = 0.01), but no significance was found with age, sex and CEA. Positive indicative value of MLR and PLR were also confirmed with a HR of 2.06 (P <0.001) and 1.34 (P <0.001), respectively.

Conclusion

The WBCC-derived indexes including NLR, MLR/LMR and PLR were validated to be useful prognostic parameters for predicting survival outcomes in GBC patients. These series of indexes, especially NLR, could improve risk stratification and facilitate better patient selection for surgical resection or aggressive chemotherapy in the decision making of GBC patients.

Prognostic Value of the Albumin-to-γ-glutamyltransferase Ratio for Gallbladder Cancer Patients and Establishing a Nomogram for Overall Survival

Purpose: The albumin-to-γ-glutamyltransferase ratio (AGR), a novel inflammation-related index, has been reported to have prognostic importance in several malignancies but not yet in gallbladder cancer (GBC). This study intended to assess the prognostic value of AGR in GBC and to develop a nomogram based on AGR for predicting overall survival (OS) in GBC patients after surgery.

Methods: Medical records of 140 qualified GBC patients between July 2003 and June 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. The function “surv_cutpoint” in the R package “survminer” was implemented to discover the optimal cut-off value of AGR. A nomogram on the fundamental of Cox model was established in the training cohort and was internally validated using calibration curves, Harrell's concordance index, time-dependent AUC plots and decisive curve analyses.

Results: The optimal AGR cut-off value concerning overall survival was 2.050. Univariate and multivariate analyses demonstrated that AGR (HR=0.354, P=0.004), T stage (HR=3.114, P=0.004), R0 resection (HR=0.448, P=0.003), BMI (HR=0.470, P=0.002) and CA19-9 (HR=1.704, P=0.048) were independent predictors for OS. The nomogram combining these prognostic factors showed considerable prognostic performance in term of consistency, discrimination and net benefit.

Conclusion: AGR has independent prognostic value for OS in GBC patients receiving surgery. A nomogram incorporating AGR, T stage, R0 resection, CA19-9 and BMI achieved enhanced prognostic ability.

Prognostic Nomograms to Predict Survival of Patients with Resectable Gallbladder Cancer: A Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Based Analysis

Background

Gallbladder adenocarcinoma (GBAC) is globally acknowledged as one of the most common malignancies among all gastrointestinal cancers. Despite prognosis of GBAC patients remains poor, patients with early-stage disease can be observed with long-term survival.

Material/Methods

In this study, 2556 patients with pathological GBAC between 2010 and 2015 were derived from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. The prognostic nomograms containing all independent prognostic factors for predicting overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were constructed to achieve superior prognostic discriminatory ability.

Results

Based on the AJCC 7^th TNM staging system, we found the TNM substaging was not accurate enough to predict the survival and stratify the risk. Based on the results of univariate and multivariate analyses, a more precise prognostic nomogram was constructed containing all significant independent prognostic factors (age, grade, TNM stage, bone metastasis, and chemotherapy) for OS, while age, grade, TNM stage, bone metastasis and radiotherapy significant independent prognostic factors for CSS. The C-index of the constructed nomogram for predicting OS and CSS was 0.740 and 0.737 higher than that of TNM staging alone (0.667 for OS and 0.689 for CSS), respectively. In addition, the calibration curves and decision curve analysis further showed its robust power in survival prediction.

Conclusions

The constructed nomograms showed better discrimination abilities to predict OS and CSS rates at 1, 3, and 5 years. In the future, these constructed models for this disease will assist in risk stratification to guide GBAC treatment.