Atrial fibrillation is a risk marker for worse in-hospital and long-term outcome in patients with peripheral artery disease

In-patient characteristics of peripheral artery disease in Germany

Background: Peripheral artery disease (PAD) frequently leads to hospital admission. Sex related differences in in-patient care are a current matter of debate. Patients and methods: Data were provided from the German national in-patient sample provided by the Federal Bureau of Statistics (DESTATIS). Trends on risk profiles, therapeutic procedures, and outcomes were evaluated from 2014 until 2019 stratified by sex and PAD severity. Results: Two-thirds of an annual >191,000 PAD in-patient cases applied to male sex. Chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) was recorded in 49.6% of male and 55.2% of female cases (2019). CLTI was as a major risk factor of in-hospital amputation (OR 229) and death (OR 10.5), whereas endovascular revascularisation (EVR) with drug-coated devices were associated with decreased risk of in-hospital amputation (OR 0.52; all p<0.001). EVR applied in 47% of CLTI cases compared to 71% in intermittent claudication (IC) irrespective of sex. In-hospital mortality was 4.3% in male vs. 4.8% in female CLTI cases, minor amputations 18.4% vs. 10.9%, and major amputation 7.5% vs. 6.0%, respectively (data 2019; all p<0.001). After adjustment, female sex was associated with lower risk of amputation (OR 0.63) and death (OR 0.96) during in-patient stay. Conclusions: Male PAD patients were twice as likely to be admitted for in-patient treatment despite equal PAD prevalence in the general population. Among in-patient cases, supply with invasive therapy did not relevantly differ by sex, however is strongly reduced in CLTI. CLTI is a major risk factor of adverse short-term outcomes, whereas female sex was associated with lower risk of in-patient amputation and/or death.

Prognostic impact of atrial fibrillation on the outcomes of peripheral artery disease according to preoperative symptoms for endovascular revascularization

Peripheral artery disease (PAD) and atrial fibrillation (AF) are associated with major cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE). However, outcomes stratified according to the preoperative symptoms of PAD in patients with AF have not been sufficiently investigated. This was a retrospective study of prospectively collected data pertaining to 2237 patients (1179 patients with intermittent claudication [IC] and 1058 patients with critical limb-threatening ischemia [CLTI]) who underwent endovascular therapy at 34 hospitals between August 2014 and August 2016. AF was present in 91 (7.7%) patients with IC and 150 (14.2%) patients with CLTI. In the CLTI group, patients with AF had a higher event rate of MACCE and all-cause death than those without AF (1-year rates of freedom from MACCE: 0.66 and 0.81 in patients with and without AF, respectively, p < 0.001). In contrast, in the IC group, there was no statistically significant difference in the rates of MACCE between patients with and without AF. In the Cox multivariate analysis, AF was a significant predictor of MACCE in patients with CLTI but not in patients with IC, even after adjusting for covariates. The impact of AF on the outcome of patients with PAD was greater in those with CLTI. Further studies are needed to clarify the possible mechanisms underlying these differences.

Machine Learning Approach to Predict In-Hospital Mortality in Patients Admitted for Peripheral Artery Disease in the United States

Background Peripheral artery disease (PAD) affects >10 million people in the United States. PAD is associated with poor outcomes, including premature death. Machine learning (ML) has been increasingly used on big data to predict clinical outcomes. This study aims to develop ML models to predict in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalized for PAD based on a national database. Methods and Results Inpatient hospitalization data were obtained from the 2016 to 2019 National Inpatient Sample. A total of 150 921 inpatients were identified with a primary diagnosis of PAD and PAD-related procedures using codes of the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) and International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Procedure Coding System (ICD-10-PCS). Four ML models, including logistic regression, random forest, light gradient boosting, and extreme gradient boosting models, were trained to predict the risk of in-hospital death based on a selection of variables, including patient characteristics, comorbidities, procedures, and hospital-related factors. In-hospital mortality occurred in 1.8% of patients. The performance of the 4 models was comparable, with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve ranging from 0.83 to 0.85, sensitivity of 77% to 82%, and specificity of 72% to 75%. These results suggest adequate predictability for clinical decision-making. In all 4 models, the total number of diagnoses and procedures, age, endovascular revascularization procedure, congestive heart failure, diabetes, and diabetes with complications were critical predictors of in-hospital mortality. Conclusions This study demonstrates the feasibility of ML in predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with a primary PAD diagnosis. Findings highlight the potential of ML models in identifying high-risk patients for poor outcomes and guiding personalized intervention.

Efficacy and safety evaluation of rivaroxaban vs. warfarin among non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients undergoing lower extremity revascularization

Introduction

The efficacy and safety of antithrombotic strategies remain uncertain in patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing lower-extremity revascularisation.

Materials and methods

Between January 2011 and November 2021, 319 patients with atrial fibrillation after lower-extremity revascularisation received rivaroxaban or warfarin treatment as anticoagulation regimens with different antiplatelet therapy strategies. The primary efficacy outcome was the composite of acute limb ischaemia, major amputation for vascular causes, myocardial infarction, ischaemic stroke, clinically driven target lesion revascularisation, and death from vascular causes. The safety outcomes were major bleeding events according to the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis classification criteria.

Results

A total of 178 and 141 patients received rivaroxaban and warfarin treatments, respectively, after revascularisation with or without antiplatelet regimens. The incidence of the primary efficacy outcome at 36 months in the rivaroxaban group (44 patients, 24.7%) tended to be lower than that in the warfarin group (43 patients, 30.5%) (hazard ratio, 0.870; 95% confidence interval, 0.565–1.339; P = 0.527). The incidence of the secondary efficacy outcomes decreased in the rivaroxaban group (56 patients, 31.6%) compared with that in the warfarin group (61 patients, 43.2%). Major bleeding events occurred in three patients (1.7%) in the rivaroxaban group and five patients (3.5%) in the warfarin group; no significant difference in fatal or intracranial bleeding was observed between the groups.

Conclusion

This study describes practical experience regarding the use of rivaroxaban and warfarin in patients with peripheral arterial disease complicated by non-valvular atrial fibrillation following endovascular intervention. The efficacy and safety outcomes do not differ significantly between rivaroxaban and warfarin.

Impact of Modified H₂FPEF Score on Chronic Limb-Threatening Ischemia in Patients With Lower Extremity Artery Disease Who Underwent Endovascular Therapy

Background: Lower extremity artery disease (LEAD) is an arterial occlusive disease characterized by an insufficient blood supply to the lower limb arteries. The H₂FPEF score, comprising Heavy, Hypertensive, atrial Fibrillation, Pulmonary hypertension, Elder, and Filling pressure, has been developed to identify patients at high risk of heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction. This study assessed the impact of modified H₂FPEF scores on chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLTI) in patients with LEAD.

Methods and Results: This study was a prospective observational study. Because the definition of obesity differs by race, we calculated the modified H₂FPEF score using a body mass index >25 kg/m² to define obesity in 293 patients with LEAD who underwent first endovascular therapy. The primary endpoints were newly developed and recurrent CLTI. The secondary endpoint was a composite of events, including mortality and rehospitalization due to worsening HF and/or CLTI. The modified H₂FPEF score increased significantly with advancing Fontaine classes. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed that the modified H₂FPEF score was an independent predictor of newly developed and recurrent CLTI and composite events. The net reclassification index and integrated discrimination improvement were significantly improved by adding the modified H₂FPEF score to the basic predictors.

Conclusions: The modified H₂FPEF score was associated with LEAD severity and future CLTI development, suggesting that it could be a feasible marker for patients with LEAD.

Antithrombotic therapies in aortic and peripheral arterial diseases in 2021: a consensus document from the ESC working group on aorta and peripheral vascular diseases, the ESC working group on thrombosis, and the ESC working group on cardiovascular pharmacotherapy

The aim of this collaborative document is to provide an update for clinicians on best antithrombotic strategies in patients with aortic and/or peripheral arterial diseases. Antithrombotic therapy is a pillar of optimal medical treatment for these patients at very high cardiovascular risk. While the number of trials on antithrombotic therapies in patients with aortic or peripheral arterial diseases is substantially smaller than for those with coronary artery disease, recent evidence deserves to be incorporated into clinical practice. In the absence of specific indications for chronic oral anticoagulation due to concomitant cardiovascular disease, a single antiplatelet agent is the basis for long-term antithrombotic treatment in patients with aortic or peripheral arterial diseases. Its association with another antiplatelet agent or low-dose anticoagulants will be discussed, based on patient's ischaemic and bleeding risk as well therapeutic paths (e.g. endovascular therapy). This consensus document aims to provide a guidance for antithrombotic therapy according to arterial disease localizations and clinical presentation. However, it cannot substitute multidisciplinary team discussions, which are particularly important in patients with uncertain ischaemic/bleeding balance. Importantly, since this balance evolves over time in an individual patient, a regular reassessment of the antithrombotic therapy is of paramount importance.

Time trends in the risk of atrial fibrillation and ischaemic stroke in patients with peripheral artery disease between 1997 and 2015

Objective

The risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke in patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) is an important issue that has not been investigated adequately. Our aim with the present study was to explore trends in the incidence of AF and stroke in patients with PAD.

Methods

We employed Danish nationwide registers to identify all patients with first-time diagnosis of PAD (aged ≥18 years) between 1997 and 2015. Age-standardised incidence rates per 1 000 person-years were calculated to estimate trends of AF and stroke. Risk of AF and stroke was estimated by 1 year cumulative incidence.

Results

A total of 121.241 patients with first-time diagnosis of PAD were identified. The 1-year cumulative incidence of AF in patients with PAD were 1.97% for year 1997–2000, 2.63% for year 2001–2005, 2.66% for year 2006–2010 and 2.78% for year 2011–2015, respectively. The 1-year cumulative incidence of stroke in patients with PAD were 2.71%, 2.71%, 1.95% and 1.81%, for the 1997–2000, 2001–2005, 2006–2010 and 2011–2015 year groups, respectively. Likewise, the age-standardised incidence rates showed increasing trends of AF during the study period, whereas trends of stroke demonstrated a decline. During study, the initiation of cholesterol-lowering agents and clopidogrel increased markedly from 7.0% to 51.3% and 0.1% to 5.9%, whereas use of warfarin slightly dropped from 4.29% to 3.21%.

Conclusions

The incidence of AF in patients with PAD has significantly increased over time, whereas a marked decline has occurred in the incidence of stroke. This may suggest that the secondary prevention strategies aimed at reducing risk of stroke are broadly effective.

A Targeted Literature Review of the Disease Burden in Patients With Symptomatic Peripheral Artery Disease

Patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) have an increased risk of cardiovascular (CV) and limb events, but the disease is frequently underdiagnosed and treatment options are limited. This review examines the disease burden of symptomatic PAD as well as key guideline recommendations. Publications were identified using the ProQuest portal to access the Medline, Medline In-Process, and Embase databases. Search terms for symptomatic PAD were combined with terms relevant to epidemiology, burden, treatment practice, and physiopathology. Articles in English published between January 2001 and September 2016 were screened according to the population, interventions, comparator, outcomes, and study design criteria. Relevant publications (n = 200) were identified. The reported incidence and prevalence of PAD varied depending on the definitions used and the study populations. Patients generally had a poor prognosis, with an increased risk of mortality, CV, and limb events and decreased quality of life. Guideline recommendations included ankle–brachial index measurements, exercise testing, and angiography for diagnosis and risk factor modification, antiplatelets, cilostazol, exercise therapy, or surgical interventions for treatment, depending on the patient profile. The clinical, humanistic, and economic burden of disease in patients with symptomatic PAD is substantial and needs to be reduced through improved PAD management.

Comparison of In-Hospital Outcomes in Patients Having Limb-Revascularization With Versus Without Atrial Fibrillation

The impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) on clinical outcomes among patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) who undergo limb revascularization procedures is not well understood. We aim to compare in-hospital outcomes for patients with and without AF who underwent limb revascularization. We identified patients with PAD aged ≥18 years that underwent limb revascularization using endovascular or surgical approaches in the National Inpatient Sample between 2002 and 2014. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to examine in-hospital outcomes. A total of 2,283,568 patients underwent limb revascularization during the study duration and 294,469 (12.9%) had AF. Patients with AF were older (mean age 76.1 ± 10.0 years), more likely to be women and white, compared with non-AF group. Among patients who had surgical revascularization, AF was associated with a higher rates of in-hospital mortality (6.4% vs 2.5%, adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.09 [95% confidence interval {CI}: 1.05 to 1.12]) and major amputation (5.2% vs 3.8%, aOR: 1.05 [95% CI: 1.02 to 1.08]), compared with non-AF group. Among patients who had endovascular intervention (EVI), AF was associated with a higher rates of in-hospital mortality (3.8% vs 1.6%, aOR: 1.29 [95% CI: 1.24 to 1.33]) and major amputation (5.2% vs 3.9%, aOR: 1.07 [95% CI: 1.04 to 1.10]), compared with non-AF group. Within study period, EVI utilization increased in patients with and without AF (P_trend <0.001); whereas, surgical revascularization utilization decreased in patients with and without AF (P_trend <0.001). In conclusion, among patients with PAD who undergo limb revascularization, AF appears to be associated with poor in-hospital outcomes.

Prognostic Significance of Atrial Fibrillation in Lower Limb Amputee Patients

OBJECTIVE

In patients with risk factors or established atherothrombosis, atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a poor prognosis compared with patients without AF. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prevalence of AF in patients with lower limb amputation (LLA) and its association with cardiovascular death and adverse cardiovascular events in long-term follow-up.

METHODS

Observational prospective study of consecutive patients after index major (transfemoral and transtibial) LLA. The primary endpoint was cardiovascular death and secondary endpoint was a composite of adverse cardiovascular events at follow-up (acute myocardial infarction, contralateral lower limb amputation, and ischaemic stroke).

RESULTS

Of 282 patients with LLA, 46 (16.3%) patients had AF. AF patients were significantly older compared with patients without AF (median 74.0, IQR 13.0 vs. median 67.0, IQR 14.8 years, p < .001). Diabetes and smoking on the other hand were significantly less prevalent in patients with AF compared with those without AF (41.3% vs. 72.0%, p < .001 and 56.5% vs. 76.3%, p = .01, respectively). 54.3% of patients with AF were on oral anticoagulation therapy. At a median follow-up of 24.0 months (IQR 19.0-32.0), 28.3% patients with AF died of cardiovascular causes versus 17.8% without AF (HRR 1.8, 95% CI 1.0-3.4, p = .06). Adverse cardiovascular events occurred in 32.6% of patients with AF during follow-up versus 22.0% without AF (HRR 1.9, 95% CI 1.0-3.3, p = .03). In multivariate Cox regression analysis, AF (HRR 2.3, 95% CI 1.3-4.2, p = .01) and diabetes (HRR 2.1, 95% CI 1.1-3.9, p = .02) were identified as independent predictors of adverse cardiovascular events during the follow-up.

CONCLUSION

AF is common in patients with LLA and associated with higher risk of adverse cardiovascular events during long-term follow-up.