Combining molecular network analysis and field epidemiology to quantify local HIV transmission and highlight ongoing epidemics

Exploring Dynamic Changes in HIV-1 Molecular Transmission Networks and Key Influencing Factors: Cross-Sectional Study

BACKGROUND

The HIV-1 molecular network is an innovative tool, using gene sequences to understand transmission attributes and complementing social and sexual network studies. While previous research focused on static network characteristics, recent studies' emphasis on dynamic features enhances our understanding of real-time changes, offering insights for targeted interventions and efficient allocation of public health resources.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to identify the dynamic changes occurring in HIV-1 molecular transmission networks and analyze the primary influencing factors driving the dynamics of HIV-1 molecular networks.

METHODS

We analyzed and compared the dynamic changes in the molecular network over a specific time period between the baseline and observed end point. The primary factors influencing the dynamic changes in the HIV-1 molecular network were identified through univariate analysis and multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 955 HIV-1 polymerase fragments were successfully amplified from 1013 specimens; CRF01_AE and CRF07_BC were the predominant subtypes, accounting for 40.8% (n=390) and 33.6% (n=321) of the specimens, respectively. Through the analysis and comparison of the basic and terminal molecular networks, it was discovered that 144 sequences constituted static molecular networks, and 487 sequences contributed to the formation of dynamic molecular networks. The findings of the multivariate analysis indicated that the factors occupation as a student, floating population, Han ethnicity, engagement in occasional or multiple sexual partnerships, participation in anal sex, and being single were independent risk factors for the dynamic changes observed in the HIV-1 molecular network, and the odds ratio (OR; 95% CIs) values were 2.63 (1.54-4.47), 1.83 (1.17-2.84), 2.91 (1.09-7.79), 1.75 (1.06-2.90), 4.12 (2.48-6.87), 5.58 (2.43-12.80), and 2.10 (1.25-3.54), respectively. Heterosexuality and homosexuality seem to exhibit protective effects when compared to bisexuality, with OR values of 0.12 (95% CI 0.05-0.32) and 0.26 (95% CI 0.11-0.64), respectively. Additionally, the National Eight-Item score and sex education experience were also identified as protective factors against dynamic changes in the HIV-1 molecular network, with OR values of 0.12 (95% CI 0.05-0.32) and 0.26 (95% CI 0.11-0.64), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The HIV-1 molecular network analysis showed 144 sequences in static networks and 487 in dynamic networks. Multivariate analysis revealed that occupation as a student, floating population, Han ethnicity, and risky sexual behavior were independent risk factors for dynamic changes, while heterosexuality and homosexuality were protective compared to bisexuality. A higher National Eight-Item score and sex education experience were also protective factors. The identification of HIV dynamic molecular networks has provided valuable insights into the characteristics of individuals undergoing dynamic alterations. These findings contribute to a better understanding of HIV-1 transmission dynamics and could inform targeted prevention strategies.

Molecular Transmission Network of Newly Reported HIV Infections in Pengzhou, Sichuan Province: A Study Based on Genomics and Spatial Epidemiology

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to understand the molecular transmission characteristics of newly reported HIV infections in the city of Pengzhou, Sichuan Province, to analyze the risk factors of transmission network and spatial clustering and the transmission characteristics, and to provide a scientific basis for precision prevention and intervention.

METHODS

Anticoagulated whole blood was collected from newly reported HIV infections in Pengzhou from March 2019 to August 2021. After the plasma was isolated, the HIV-1 pol gene was amplified and sequenced by reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (PCR). The obtained gene sequences were used to construct a maximum likelihood phylogenetic tree for the analysis of virus subtypes, and a molecular transmission network was constructed using the genetic distance method to evaluate the transmission pattern of people living with HIV/AIDS in Pengzhou. A logistic regression model was used to find out the potential risk factors for entering the molecular transmission network with the number of nodes ≥ 2. Spatial analysis is used to show the geographical pattern of the proportion of newly reported HIV infections entering the molecular transmission network, and a flow map is used to show the intensity of transmission within and between townships.

RESULTS

A total of 463 newly reported HIV-infection sequences were obtained in this study, including 237 cases (51.19%) of CRF01_ AE, 159 cases (34.34%) of CRF07_BC, 45 cases (9.72%) of B, 15 cases (3.24%) of CRF08_BC and 7 cases (1.5%) of others. The number of clusters was the highest when the gene distance was 0.009, with a total of 246 sequences entering the network, forming 54 clusters, and the network entry rate was 55.36%. There were 170 sequences with more than two nodes in the network sequence. The logistic regression showed that compared with age < 50 years old, age ≥ 50 years old has a higher risk of transmission (OR = 3.43, 95% CI = 2.06-5.71); compared with farmers, the risk of transmission within industry is lower (OR = 0.046, 95% CI = 0.25-0.87); and compared with CRF07_BC, CRF01_AE (OR = 6.09, 95% CI = 3.60-10.30) and B (OR = 20.31, 95% CI = 8.94-46.13) had a higher risk of transmission. Men aged ≥ 50 years are mainly clustered with women between 50 and 70 years of age. In addition to being clustered with gay men, there are nine (50%) and three (16.7%) chains of transmission between gay men and heterosexual men and women, respectively. In the geographical space, there is no hot spot clustering of the molecular propagation network. The subtype B was mainly distributed in the town of Tianpeng and formed transmission networks in eastern Pengzhou;0020CRF01_AE is mainly distributed in the town of Lichun and formed transmission networks in the west and north of Pengzhou.

CONCLUSION

This study reveals the characteristics and influencing factors of molecular network transmission in the region, as well as the spatial transmission characteristics of newly reported HIV infections in recent years, and reveals the geographical differences in HIV-1 transmission. The results provide a scientific basis for the development of local AIDS-specific intervention measures.