Mitigating climate change to alleviate economic inequality under the Paris Agreement

County-level carbon compensation zoning based on China's major function-oriented zones

Large but overlooked carbon inequalities among counties in China matter for the design of mitigation strategies. Here, we investigated the spatial heterogeneity of carbon inequality across 2236 county-level units nationwide from 2000 to 2020, refining carbon compensation zone types based on land functional zoning and estimating their carbon compensation values using a modified compensation model. Our results showed that China's carbon inequality consistently exceeded the cautionary threshold of 0.4 on the Gini coefficient. Significant spatial variations in carbon intensity were observed, notably concentrated in the North China Plain and Yangtze River Delta, indicating a pronounced core-periphery structure. The nonlinear relationships among carbon emission pressure (CEP), land use intensity (LUI), economy contributive coefficient (ECC), and ecological support coefficient (ESC) were identified. CEP and ECC posed initial increases followed by decreases with LUI, while ESC decreased with increasing LUI. The inverted U-curve between ECC and CEP suggested that most county-level cities have yet to reach the decoupling tipping point. Based on spatial comparative advantage, we identified 625 payment zones, 666 equilibrium zones, and 945 recipient zones, culminating in nine types of carbon compensation zones aligned with land functional objectives. Our study provides a new county-level carbon compensation zoning approach that can achieve carbon equity.

Mapping carbon reduction: A cross-continental study of alliance strategies

Addressing the equitable distribution of global carbon emission rights is critical for sustainable development. Our research develops a detailed framework for a Global Carbon Reduction Alliance based on regional cooperation strategies, identifying key modes of intracontinental proximity and intercontinental distance collaboration. It emphasizes alliances formed among high carbon emission right countries and leadership-driven models propelling low carbon emission right countries, offering insights for optimizing emission reduction efforts. The analysis highlights the strategic role of developing nations in Africa and Asia, as well as developed regions in Europe and North America, advocating for the adoption of clean energy, enhancement of forest economic value, acceleration of urbanization, and an increased contribution of the service sector to the economy as essential pathways to achieving net-zero emissions. Our approach advocates for a comprehensive model of global carbon reduction cooperation, aiming at the equitable distribution of carbon emission rights and supporting the sustainable development goals.

Beyond the barrels: The impact of resource wealth on the energy-economy-climate targets in oil-rich economies

This study models the Kaya identity equation for carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in a panel of 20 oil-rich countries from 1994 to 2019. The estimators used are robust to cross-sectional dependence and allow for heterogeneous slope coefficients. The results indicate that natural resource extraction hinders environmental sustainability in oil-rich countries by altering the structural composition of their consumption mix towards energy- and carbon-intensive technologies. However, this relationship is only significant after reaching a turning point level of resource extraction. This suggests that the carbon curse is only triggered at higher levels of resource dependence, supporting a U-shaped relationship between natural resource extraction and CO2 emissions. The threshold for the natural rents to GDP ratio, beyond which natural resource extraction triggers the carbon curse, is found to be 12.18 %. The vulnerability assessment reveals that 17 countries in the panel, including Algeria, Kazakhstan, the United Arab Emirates, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Saudi Arabia, the Congo Republic, and Libya, are already within the carbon curse zone. From a policy perspective, promoting sustainable development in oil-rich economies requires a shift towards renewable energy sources, reducing reliance on fossil fuels, and widespread adoption of energy efficiency and conservation mechanisms.

Protocol for estimating the impact of climate change on economic growth and inequality under climate policies

The impact of climate change on economic inequality has attracted increasing attention from both government and academia. Here, we present a protocol for estimating both the impact of climate change on economic growth and economic growth inequality under multiple climate policies. We describe steps for constructing an uncertainty analysis framework, collecting and pre-processing data, and estimating the climate-economic response. We then detail procedures of predicting climate policy impact and calculating inter-country economic growth inequality. For complete details on the use and execution of this protocol, please refer to Tang et al. (2023).1.