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Zaicenoka M, Ramensky VE, Kiseleva AV, Bukaeva AA, Blokhina AV, Ershova AI, Meshkov AN, Drapkina OM. On Penetrance Estimation in Family, Clinical, and Population Cohorts. CIRCULATION. GENOMIC AND PRECISION MEDICINE 2025; 18:e004816. [PMID: 40151935 DOI: 10.1161/circgen.124.004816] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/29/2025]
Abstract
In recent years, there has been a considerable influx of publications assessing the penetrance of pathogenic variants associated with monogenic diseases with dominant inheritance. As large and diverse groups have been sequenced, it has become clear that incomplete penetrance is common to most hereditary diseases, as numerous molecular, genetic, or environmental factors can cause clinical diversity among the carriers of the same variant. In this review, we discuss some of these factors and focus on the existing approaches to estimating penetrance, depending on the data available and their application to different data sets. We also list some currently available large-scale data sets with penetrance estimates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marija Zaicenoka
- Genome and Medical Bioinformatics Laboratory, Institute of Personalized Therapy and Prevention (M.Z., V.E.R.), Moscow, Russia
- Moscow Center for Advanced Studies, Moscow, Russia (M.Z.)
| | - Vasily E Ramensky
- Genome and Medical Bioinformatics Laboratory, Institute of Personalized Therapy and Prevention (M.Z., V.E.R.), Moscow, Russia
- Faculty of Bioengineering and Bioinformatics (V.E.R.), Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
- Institute for Artificial Intelligence (V.E.R.), Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
| | - Anna V Kiseleva
- Laboratory of Molecular Genetics, Institute of Personalized Therapy and Prevention (A.V.K.), Moscow, Russia
| | - Anna A Bukaeva
- Laboratory of Clinomics (A.A.B., A.V.B., A.I.E.), Moscow, Russia
| | | | | | - Alexey N Meshkov
- Institute of Personalized Therapy and Prevention (A.N.M.), Moscow, Russia
- National Medical Research Center for Cardiology, Moscow, Russia (A.N.M.)
- Research Center for Medical Genetics, Moscow, Russia (A.N.M.)
- Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University, Moscow, Russia, Moscow, Russia (A.N.M.)
| | - Oxana M Drapkina
- Department of Fundamental and Applied Aspects of Obesity (O.M.D.), Moscow, Russia
- National Medical Research Center for Therapy and Preventive Medicine, Moscow, Russia (O.M.D.)
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Paquette M, Trinder M, Ruel I, Guay SP, Hegele RA, Genest J, Brunham LR, Baass A. Polygenic risk score for coronary artery disease predicts atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in familial hypercholesterolemia. J Clin Lipidol 2025:S1933-2874(25)00004-2. [PMID: 40000284 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacl.2025.01.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/12/2024] [Revised: 01/20/2025] [Accepted: 01/27/2025] [Indexed: 02/27/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients with familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) are at increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, this risk is heterogeneous, and the contribution of several clinical risk factors has been well demonstrated in this population. The proportion of the risk conferred by the accumulation of common small effect variants in coronary artery disease (CAD) susceptibility genes remains to be determined. OBJECTIVE The objective was to determine if a weighted polygenic risk score (PRS) for CAD (PRSCAD) is associated with ASCVD risk in patients with heterozygous FH (HeFH). METHODS This study included 1886 participants with HeFH from 3 independent cohorts: the FH Canada national registry, the UK Biobank, and the Montreal Clinical Research Institute FH cohort. The lifelong ASCVD risk was compared between groups using Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS The group with a high PRSCAD (>75th percentile) had a ∼2-fold increased risk of ASCVD compared to those with a lower PRSCAD (≤75th percentile) (HR 1.92 (1.55-2.37), P < .0001). The effect of the PRSCAD on ASCVD risk remained significant after correction for clinical risk factors (P = .0002). This association was similar between women and men (P interaction = .68), between genetic and clinical FH (P interaction = .48), between cohorts (P interaction = .39), and between the type of PRS (P interaction = .81). CONCLUSION We demonstrated in the largest study to date that the use of a PRSCAD allowed us to further refine risk stratification in HeFH. Further studies are needed to evaluate the clinical value of adding the PRSCAD to current risk prediction tools.
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Affiliation(s)
- Martine Paquette
- Lipids, Nutrition, and Cardiovascular Prevention Clinic of the Montreal Clinical Research Institute, Montreal Québec, Canada (Paquette, Baass)
| | - Mark Trinder
- Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Centre for Heart and Lung Innovation, Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver British Columbia, Canada (Trinder, Brunham)
| | - Isabelle Ruel
- Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, Montreal Québec, Canada (Ruel, Genest)
| | - Simon-Pierre Guay
- Department of Pediatric, Division of Medical Genetics, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Université de Sherbrooke, Sherbrooke Québec, Canada (Guay)
| | - Robert A Hegele
- Departments of Medicine and Biochemistry, Schulich School of Medicine and Robarts Research Institute, Western University, London Ontario, Canada (Hegele)
| | - Jacques Genest
- Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, Montreal Québec, Canada (Ruel, Genest)
| | - Liam R Brunham
- Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Centre for Heart and Lung Innovation, Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver British Columbia, Canada (Trinder, Brunham)
| | - Alexis Baass
- Lipids, Nutrition, and Cardiovascular Prevention Clinic of the Montreal Clinical Research Institute, Montreal Québec, Canada (Paquette, Baass); Department of Medicine, Divisions of Experimental Medicine and Medical Biochemistry, McGill University, Montreal Québec, Canada (Baass).
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Nurmohamed NS, Shim I, Gaillard EL, Ibrahim S, Bom MJ, Earls JP, Min JK, Planken RN, Choi AD, Natarajan P, Stroes ESG, Knaapen P, Reeskamp LF, Fahed AC. Polygenic Risk Is Associated With Long-Term Coronary Plaque Progression and High-Risk Plaque. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging 2024; 17:1445-1459. [PMID: 39152960 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmg.2024.06.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/26/2024] [Revised: 06/24/2024] [Accepted: 06/28/2024] [Indexed: 08/19/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The longitudinal relation between coronary artery disease (CAD) polygenic risk score (PRS) and long-term plaque progression and high-risk plaque (HRP) features is unknown. OBJECTIVES The goal of this study was to investigate the impact of CAD PRS on long-term coronary plaque progression and HRP. METHODS Patients underwent CAD PRS measurement and prospective serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) imaging. Coronary CTA scans were analyzed with a previously validated artificial intelligence-based algorithm (atherosclerosis imaging-quantitative computed tomography imaging). The relationship between CAD PRS and change in percent atheroma volume (PAV), percent noncalcified plaque progression, and HRP prevalence was investigated in linear mixed-effect models adjusted for baseline plaque volume and conventional risk factors. RESULTS A total of 288 subjects (mean age 58 ± 7 years; 60% male) were included in this study with a median scan interval of 10.2 years. At baseline, patients with a high CAD PRS had a more than 5-fold higher PAV than those with a low CAD PRS (10.4% vs 1.9%; P < 0.001). Per 10 years of follow-up, a 1 SD increase in CAD PRS was associated with a 0.69% increase in PAV progression in the multivariable adjusted model. CAD PRS provided additional discriminatory benefit for above-median noncalcified plaque progression during follow-up when added to a model with conventional risk factors (AUC: 0.73 vs 0.69; P = 0.039). Patients with high CAD PRS had an OR of 2.85 (95% CI: 1.14-7.14; P = 0.026) and 6.16 (95% CI: 2.55-14.91; P < 0.001) for having HRP at baseline and follow-up compared with those with low CAD PRS. CONCLUSIONS Polygenic risk is strongly associated with future long-term plaque progression and HRP in patients suspected of having CAD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nick S Nurmohamed
- Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Department of Vascular Medicine, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Division of Cardiology, The George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Injeong Shim
- Cardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA; Department of Digital Health, Samsung Advanced Institute for Health Sciences and Technology, Sungkyunkwan University, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of South Korea
| | - Emilie L Gaillard
- Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Department of Vascular Medicine, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Shirin Ibrahim
- Department of Vascular Medicine, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Michiel J Bom
- Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | | | | | - R Nils Planken
- Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Amsterdam UMC, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Andrew D Choi
- Division of Cardiology, The George Washington University School of Medicine, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Pradeep Natarajan
- Cardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA; Cardiovascular Research Center, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Erik S G Stroes
- Department of Vascular Medicine, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Paul Knaapen
- Department of Cardiology, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Laurens F Reeskamp
- Department of Vascular Medicine, Amsterdam Cardiovascular Sciences, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
| | - Akl C Fahed
- Cardiovascular Disease Initiative, Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA; Cardiovascular Research Center, Department of Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
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Trinder M, Cermakova L, Ruel I, Baass A, Paquette M, Wang J, Kennedy BA, Hegele RA, Genest J, Brunham LR. Influence of Polygenic Background on the Clinical Presentation of Familial Hypercholesterolemia. Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2024; 44:1683-1693. [PMID: 38779854 PMCID: PMC11208056 DOI: 10.1161/atvbaha.123.320287] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2023] [Accepted: 05/08/2024] [Indexed: 05/25/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) is among the most common genetic conditions worldwide that affects ≈ 1 in 300 individuals. FH is characterized by increased levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and increased risk of coronary artery disease (CAD), but there is a wide spectrum of severity within the FH population. This variability in expression is incompletely explained by known risk factors. We hypothesized that genome-wide genetic influences, as represented by polygenic risk scores (PRSs) for cardiometabolic traits, would influence the phenotypic severity of FH. METHODS We studied individuals with clinically diagnosed FH (n=1123) from the FH Canada National Registry, as well as individuals with genetically identified FH from the UK Biobank (n=723). For all individuals, we used genome-wide gene array data to calculate PRSs for CAD, LDL-C, lipoprotein(a), and other cardiometabolic traits. We compared the distribution of PRSs in individuals with clinically diagnosed FH, genetically diagnosed FH, and non-FH controls and examined the association of the PRSs with the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. RESULTS Individuals with clinically diagnosed FH had higher levels of LDL-C, and the incidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease was higher in individuals with clinically diagnosed compared with genetically identified FH. Individuals with clinically diagnosed FH displayed enrichment for higher PRSs for CAD, LDL-C, and lipoprotein(a) but not for other cardiometabolic risk factors. The CAD PRS was associated with a risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease among individuals with an FH-causing genetic variant. CONCLUSIONS Genetic background, as expressed by genome-wide PRSs for CAD, LDL-C, and lipoprotein(a), influences the phenotypic severity of FH, expanding our understanding of the determinants that contribute to the variable expressivity of FH. A PRS for CAD may aid in risk prediction among individuals with FH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mark Trinder
- Centre for Heart Lung Innovation, University of British Columbia and St. Paul’s Hospital, Vancouver, Canada (M.T., L.C., L.R.B.)
| | - Lubomira Cermakova
- Centre for Heart Lung Innovation, University of British Columbia and St. Paul’s Hospital, Vancouver, Canada (M.T., L.C., L.R.B.)
| | - Isabelle Ruel
- Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, Canada (I.R., J.G.)
| | - Alexis Baass
- Montreal Clinical Research Institute, Canada (A.B., M.P.)
| | | | - Jian Wang
- Departments of Medicine and Biochemistry, Schulich School of Medicine and Robarts Research Institute, Western University, London, Canada (J.W., B.A.K., R.A.H.)
| | - Brooke A. Kennedy
- Departments of Medicine and Biochemistry, Schulich School of Medicine and Robarts Research Institute, Western University, London, Canada (J.W., B.A.K., R.A.H.)
| | - Robert A. Hegele
- Departments of Medicine and Biochemistry, Schulich School of Medicine and Robarts Research Institute, Western University, London, Canada (J.W., B.A.K., R.A.H.)
| | - Jacques Genest
- Research Institute of the McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, Canada (I.R., J.G.)
| | - Liam R. Brunham
- Centre for Heart Lung Innovation, University of British Columbia and St. Paul’s Hospital, Vancouver, Canada (M.T., L.C., L.R.B.)
- Departments of Medicine and Medical Genetics, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada (L.R.B.)
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