Impact of COVID-19 on trade in services

The climate impacts and potential benefits of services export growth in developing countries

Promoting the services trade is considered an effective means of revitalizing the economy at a marginal environmental cost in the post-pandemic era. However, the impact of services trade growth and how to promote services development remain to be addressed. This study investigates the performance of the services trade for both developed and developing countries as well as the impact of their services trade growth on the Paris Agreement climate target and the possible synergy for achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Moreover, policy recommendations are provided for developing countries to facilitate services trade growth. Input-output analysis, comparative advantage theory, and the Model for the Assessment of Greenhouse Gas Induced Climate Change (MAGICC) are used in this study. The results show that services trade accounted for 44.4 % of global trade-induced value added but only 14.7 % of CO2 emissions. Services trade growth would lead to 199.8 Mt and 311.2 Mt CO2 emissions under the ServGrow scenario and DoubDeve scenario, respectively, suggesting that vigorously promoting services exports growth of developing countries has limited carbon implications. Further simulation indicates that the global atmospheric temperature increase caused by services trade growth in both scenarios is within 0.05 °C. Notably, accelerating services exports growth in developing countries helps to mitigate the inequality between developed and developing countries. The findings of this study can inform policymakers regarding the formulation and implementation of policies for economic recovery, reducing inequality, addressing climate change, and contributing to the achievement of the SDGs.

The impact of COVID-19 on international tourism flows to Italy: Evidence from mobile phone data

This paper analyses the response to the COVID-19 pandemic of inbound tourism to Italy looking at variation across countries and provinces. To this end, it uses weekly data on the number of foreign visitors in Italy from January 2019 until February 2021, as provided by a primary mobile telephony operator. We document a very robust negative relation at the province level between the local epidemic situation and the inflow of foreign travellers. Moreover, provinces with a historically higher share in art-tourism, and those that used to be 'hotel intensive' were hit the most during the pandemic, while provinces with a more prevalent orientation to business tourism proved to be more resilient. Entry restrictions with varying degrees of strictness played a key role in explaining cross-country patterns. After controlling for these restrictions, we observed that the number of travellers that could arrive by private means of transportation decreased proportionally less. Overall, this evidence emphasises that contagion risk considerations played a significant role in shaping international tourism patterns during the pandemic.

The impact of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Japanese companion animal clinics

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a tremendous impact on people's lives throughout the world. A cross-sectional study was conducted to clarify the influence of COVID-19 on Japanese companion animal clinics. A self-administered electronic questionnaire regarding the incidence of COVID-19, hygiene management, the influence on clinical service and employment, and mental stress of staff was conducted for workers in animal clinics between 1 May and 10 June 2021. Questions concerning the hygiene management before the occurrence of COVID-19, under the first state of emergency, and at the time of the survey were asked using the Likert scale. Kessler 6 (K6) was used as an indicator of mental distress. In total, 430 individuals responded. Of these, 4.9% experienced COVID-19 infection in staff. Hygiene management was strengthened, but no particular practice was statistically associated with the occurrence of COVID-19 cases in staff. In Nakaya's variation of Scheffe's paired comparison, the highest prioritized goal in the clinics was the prevention of nosocomial infection with COVID-19. The prevalence of serious mental illness (K6>=13) was 11.1% (95% confidence interval: 6.3-18.6%). Multivariable negative binomial regression found four risk factors for psychological distress: veterinary nurse (P=0.016 with veterinarians and P<0.01 with other staff), female (P=0.004), fear of infection at work (P<0.001), and stress by refraining from going out (P<0.001). Directors of clinics are recommended to take care of female veterinary nurses for distress.

On a Comparative Analysis of Individual Customer Purchases on the Internet for Poland, Turkey and the People’s Republic of China at the Time of the COVID-19 Pandemic

The main purpose of this article is to compare the state and dynamics of e-commerce development in selected countries: Poland, Turkey and the PRC (People’s Republic of China), from the point of view of individual customers. The comparison was carried out in two stages: the first months of 2020 (before the COVID-19 pandemic) and the first months of 2021 (during the pandemic). The study conducted involved university students. The surveys were carried out using the CAWI method, and they were made available on the servers of the Faculty of Management at the University of Warsaw. The research sample included 650 individuals. Differences in the obtained results were evaluated using the City distance. The hypothesis concerning the lack of differentiation between the evaluations of individual e-commerce criteria was formulated, and it was disproved in the course of the study. The results of the research indicate that the variation between countries appeared mainly in relation to the direction of the development of e-commerce during the COVID-19 pandemic, the type of (mobile/traditional) device used to shop online and, above all, the specificity of the country where the study took place with its past experiences, cultural circumstances and shopping habits, as reflected in the development of online commerce. The limitation of the study was the fact that it was conducted in an academic environment and, at this stage, it was limited to the analysis of the results covering selected countries. Nevertheless, the valuable contribution and undoubted achievement of the work consist in the fact that, for the first time, e-commerce solutions have been compared for countries that are so culturally, economically and demographically different. The results of this study may be used by business practitioners to guide them on possible strategies regarding the development of e-commerce in their countries in the post-pandemic reality.