Association between electrolyte levels at presentation and hematoma expansion and outcome in spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage: A systematic review

Administration of Calcium and Magnesium in Acute Intracerebral Hemorrhage Patients: Assessing Safety and Feasibility

BACKGROUND

Serum calcium and magnesium levels are a key factor of the coagulation cascade and may potentially contribute to the pathophysiology of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) expansion. The aim of this study was to attain and sustain target levels of serum calcium and magnesium for three days following admission.

METHODS

A single-blind, prospective, multicenter randomized study was conducted from 2019 to 2022 years, enrolling acute ICH patients aged 18-80 years, with radiological diagnosis and without surgical intervention. Participants were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to either the study group or the control group. In the study group, the target serum levels of calcium (9-10.2 mg/dL) and magnesium (2-3 mg/dL) were actively achieved and maintained for a duration of 3 days following admission. The primary outcome was the expansion of ICH volume within the first 3 days between the study group and the control groups.

RESULTS

After implementing inclusion/exclusion criteria, 105 of 354 patients remained in the study. There were no significant differences in ICH volume on hospital days 2 and 3 between the groups. Admission factors including Glasgow coma scale score, hemoglobin level, ICH volume, and spot sign showed significant correlations in multivariate analysis. On the third day of hospitalization, admission serum magnesium levels showed a significant correlation with ICH expansion, whereas calcium levels did not.

CONCLUSION

Admission serum magnesium levels were found to correlate with hematoma expansion in patients with acute ICH. While magnesium itself may not be a direct therapeutic target, it could serve as a valuable indicator for identifying potential therapeutic strategies aimed at preventing ICH volume increase.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinical Research Information Service Identifier: KCT0004427.

Serum Ionized Calcium as a Prognostic Biomarker in Type B Aortic Dissection After Endovascular Treatment

OBJECTIVE

Lower serum ionized calcium (iCa2+) was reported to be associated with a higher risk of adverse events in patients with cardiovascular diseases. This study aimed to investigate the associations between preoperative serum iCa2+ and outcomes of type B aortic dissection (TBAD) patients receiving thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR).

METHODS

Between January 2016 and December 2019, 491 TBAD patients received TEVAR in a single center. Patients with acute or subacute TBAD were included. Serum iCa2+ (pH 7.4) was obtained from the arterial blood gas analysis before TEVAR. The study population was grouped into the hi-Ca group (1.11 mmol/L ≤ iCa2+ < 1.35 mmol/L) and lo-Ca group (iCa2+ < 1.11 mmol/L). The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality. The secondary outcomes were any major adverse clinical events (MACEs), which included all-cause mortality and aortic-related severe complications. To eliminate bias, 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted.

RESULTS

Overall, 396 TBAD patients were included in this study. In the total population, there were 119 (30.1%) patients in the lo-Ca group. After PSM, 77 matched pairs were obtained for further analysis. In the matched population, the 30-day mortality and 30-day MACEs between the two groups presented significant differences (p=0.023 and 0.029, respectively). At 5 years, cumulative incidences of mortality (log-rank p<0.001) and MACEs (log-rank p=0.016) were significantly higher in the lo-Ca group than that of the hi-Ca group. Multivariate cox regression analysis indicated that lower preoperative iCa2+ (hazard ratio for per 0.1 mmol/L decrease, 2.191; 95% confidence interval, 1.487-3.228, p<0.001) was an independent risk factor for 5-year mortality after PSM.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower preoperative serum iCa2+ might have an association with 5-year mortality in TBAD patients after TEVAR. Serum iCa2+ monitoring in this population may facilitate the identification of critical conditions.

CLINICAL IMPACT

Our present study found that the cutoff value of preoperative serum iCa2+ 1.11 mmol/L, which is slightly lower than the lower limit of the normal range of 1.15-1.35 mmol/L, worked relatively well for discerning the high-risk and low-risk TBAD patients at 5 years. Serum iCa2+ monitoring in TBAD patients receiving TEVAR may facilitate the identification of critical conditions.

Association between serum glucose potassium ratio and mortality in critically ill patients with intracerebral hemorrhage

The effect of serum glucose-to-potassium ratio (GPR) on cerebrovascular diseases has been previously validated. However, the value of the GPR in patients with severe intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) requiring ICU admission remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the association between the GPR and the clinical prognosis of critically ill patients with ICH. This study identified patients with severe ICH requiring ICU admission from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database and divided them into quartiles based on GPR levels. Outcomes included 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality rates. The association between the GPR and clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with ICH was elucidated using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis and restricted cubic splines. In total, 2018 patients (53.8% male), with a median age of 70 years, were enrolled in the study. The 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality rates were 23.9%, 30.1%, and 38.4%, respectively. Per multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis, an elevated GPR was significantly associated with all-cause mortality. After adjusting for age, sex, Charlson Comorbidity Index, white blood cell count, red blood cell count, platelet count, and Glasgow Coma Scale, patients with an elevated GPR had a higher 30-day mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.32; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.22-1.42; P < 0.001), 90-day mortality (HR: 1.27; 95% CI: 1.18-1.37; P < 0.001) and 1-year mortality (HR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.14-1.31; P < 0.001) when analyzed as a continuous variable. Furthermore, analysis using restricted cubic splines demonstrated a consistent and progressive escalation in the risk of all-cause mortality with an elevated GPR. The GPR was significantly associated with short- and long-term all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with ICH. This finding demonstrates that GPR may be useful in identifying patients with ICH at a high risk of all-cause mortality.

Can baseline serum calcium levels predict outcomes of intracerebral hemorrhage? A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The prognostic role of baseline calcium levels in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is conflicting. We aimed to conduct the first meta-analysis in the literature to examine if baseline calcium levels can predict outcomes after ICH.

METHODS

English-language studies listed on the databases of Embase, PubMed, ScienceDirect, and Web of Science were searched up to 20th November 2023. Meta-analysis was conducted for baseline hematoma volume, hematoma expansion, unfavorable functional outcome, and mortality.

RESULTS

Ten studies were included. Meta-analysis showed that patients with hypocalcemia have significantly higher baseline hematoma volume (MD: 8.6 95 % CI: 3.30, 13.90 I2 = 88 %) but did not have a higher risk of hematoma expansion (OR: 1.82 95 % CI: 0.89, 3.73 I2 = 82 %). Meta-analysis of crude (OR: 1.86 95 % CI: 1.25, 2.78 I2 = 63 %) and adjusted data (OR: 2.05 95 % CI: 1.27, 3.28 I2 = 64 %) showed those with hypocalcemia had a significantly higher risk of unfavorable functional outcomes. Meta-analysis of both crude (OR: 2.09 95 % CI: 1.51, 2.88 I2 = 80 %) and adjusted data (OR: 1.38 95 % CI: 1.14, 1.69 I2 = 70 %) also demonstrated a significantly higher risk of mortality in patients with hypocalcemia.

CONCLUSION

Baseline serum calcium may have a prognostic role in ICH. Hypocalcemia at baseline may lead to large hematoma volume and poor functional and survival outcomes. However, there seems to be no relation between hypocalcemia and the risk of hematoma expansion. Further studies examining the role of calcium on ICH prognosis are needed.

Association between admission serum potassium concentration and the island sign on cranial CT in HICH patients: a cross-sectional study

Objective

This study aimed to explore the correlation between serum potassium (K+) concentration upon admission and the presence of the Island Sign (IS) in cranial CT scans of patients diagnosed with Hypertensive Intracerebral Hemorrhage (HICH), including the potential presence of a non-linear relationship.

Methods

This investigation constituted a single-center cross-sectional study. We systematically gathered comprehensive general clinical characteristics, biological indicators, and imaging data from a cohort of 330 patients diagnosed with HICH. These patients received treatment within the neurosurgery department of Chongqing Emergency Medical Center during the period spanning from July 1, 2018, to July 7, 2023. Our primary objective was to scrutinize the potential connection between serum K+ concentration upon admission and the presence of the IS observed in cranial CT scans. To meticulously address this inquiry, we employed logistic regression modeling, thereby meticulously evaluating the correlation aforementioned. Moreover, in order to delve deeper into the intricacies of the relationship, we extended our analysis by employing a smoothed curve-fitting model to meticulously authenticate the potential non-linear interrelation between these two critical variables.

Results

In this investigation, a total of 330 patients diagnosed with HICH were ultimately enrolled, exhibiting an average age of 58.4 ± 13.1 years, comprising 238 (72.1%) males and 92 (27.9%) females. Among these participants, 118 individuals (35.7%) presented with the IS upon admission cranial CT scans, while 212 patients (64.3%) did not exhibit this characteristic. Upon comprehensive multifactorial adjustments, a non-linear association was uncovered between serum K+ concentration and the presence of IS. Notably, an inflection point was identified at approximately 3.54 mmol/L for serum K+ concentration. Prior to the patient's serum K+ concentration reaching around 3.54 mmol/L upon admission, a discernible trend was observed-every 0.1 mmol/L increment in serum K+ concentration was associated with an 8% decrease in the incidence of IS (OR: 0.914, 95% CI: 0.849-0.983, p = 0.015).

Conclusion

The findings of this study underscore a negative association between reduced serum K+ concentration upon admission and the occurrence of the IS on cranial CT scans among patients diagnosed with hypertensive cerebral hemorrhage. Furthermore, this negative correlation appears to manifest within the realm of a non-linear relationship. This study elucidates the potential significance of serum K+ concentration levels among patients with HICH, highlighting the role they play. Moreover, the maintenance of a physiological equilibrium in serum K+ concentrations emerges as a conceivable protective factor for individuals within the stroke population.

Prognostic value of day-of-event serum calcium and magnesium for predicting 1-year prognosis after intracerebral hemorrhage

AIM

To investigate whether serum calcium and magnesium on the day of symptom onset contribute to prognosis at 1 year after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled patients admitted < 24 h after symptom onset of primary ICH to West China Hospital between January 2012 and October 2014. Blood samples were collected at admission to determine the concentration of serum calcium and magnesium. We analyzed associations of the serum concentration of calcium and magnesium with unfavorable outcome (defined as modified Rankin scale, mRS ≥ 3) at 1 year.

RESULTS

We included 874 patients (mean age 59.1 ± 13.5 years, 67.6% males), of whom 470 patients had mRS ≥ 3 and 284 patients died at 1 year. Compared to patients with the highest tertile level of calcium concentration (≥ 2.29 mmol/L), patients in the lowest tertile (≤ 2.15 mmol/L) had higher odds of unfavorable outcome (odds ratio, OR 1.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-2.50, P = 0.034). The Kaplan-Meier survival curve revealed a significant difference of cumulative survival rate across calcium tertiles (log-rank P value = 0.038). There was no significant association between serum concentration of magnesium and functional outcome at 1 year.

CONCLUSION

A reduced serum concentration of calcium on the day-of-event was associated with unfavorable outcome at 1 year after ICH. Future studies are needed to illustrate the pathophysiological mechanism of calcium and whether calcium could be a treatment target for improving outcomes after ICH.

Association of hypocalcemia with in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with intracerebral hemorrhage: A retrospective cohort study

Background and purpose

There was little evidence to study the relationship between hypocalcemia and mortality among critically ill patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) aged ≥16 years. This study aimed to determine the potential association between hypocalcemia and in-hospital and ICU mortality in patients with ICH in the United States.

Methods

We analyzed 1,954 patients with ICH from the e-Intensive Care Unit Collaborative Research Database and divided them into hypocalcemia and non-hypocalcemia groups. Hypocalcemia was defined as albumin-adjusted total calcium below 8.4 mg/dl. The primary and secondary outcomes were hospital and ICU mortality, respectively. We performed multivariable regression and subgroup analyses to evaluate the association of hypocalcemia with hospital and ICU mortality. Cumulative survival rate analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves with log-rank statistics.

Results

We enrolled 1,954 patients with ICH who had been hospitalized in ICU for >24 h and were older than 16 years (average age, 61.8 years; men, 56.7%). We noted that 373 (19%) hospital mortality occurred, including 235 (12%) ICU mortality. In this sample, 195 patients had hypocalcemia. Multivariable logistic regression analyses showed that hypocalcemia was associated with a 67% increased risk of in-hospital and a 72% increased risk of ICU mortality. This association was consistent across subgroup analyses.

Conclusions

Hypocalcemia was associated with a high risk of hospital and ICU mortality among critically ill patients with ICH. Future prospective, randomized, controlled studies are needed to confirm our results.

Association between leukocyte subpopulations and hematoma expansion after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage: A retrospective cohort study

Aims

To verify the association between leukocyte subpopulations and hematoma expansion (HE) determined by two definitions in Chinese individuals who experienced spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.

Methods

We enrolled 471 patients. The 1/2ABC formula was used to gauge hematoma volume. The outcome was whether HE appeared within 72 h. We used Definition 1 (volume increase ≥6 mL or 33%) and Definition 2 (volume increase ≥12.5 mL or 33%) to define HE, respectively. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to assess the association between leukocyte subpopulations and HE. For statistically significant leukocyte subpopulations, we also performed subgroup analyses to assess differences between subgroups.

Results

Among 471 patients, 131 (27.81%) and 116 (24.63%) patients experienced HE based on Definition 1 and Definition 2, respectively. After adjusting for confounding factors, elevated monocyte count was associated with a higher risk of HE-Definition 1 [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.45, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02–5.88, P = 0.0450] and HE-Definition 2 (aOR 2.54, 95% CI 1.04–6.20, P = 0.0399). Additionally, we compared the results before and after adjusting for coagulation parameters. Monocyte count was significantly correlated with HE only after adjusting for coagulation parameters. Increased neutrophil count was associated with a lower risk of HE-Definition 1 (aOR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84–1.00, P = 0.0463). No correlations were observed between lymphocyte and leukocyte counts and HE (P > 0.05), and no subgroup interactions were observed (interaction P > 0.05).

Conclusion

A higher monocyte count is associated with a higher HE risk regardless of the two definitions, after excluding the influence of the coagulation parameters, which facilitates risk stratification. Moreover, an increased neutrophil count is associated with a decreased risk of HE in the context of HE-Definition 1, which reflects the importance of standardizing the definition of HE.

A Prediction Model for Neurological Deterioration in Patients with Acute Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Aim

The aim of this study was to explore factors related to neurological deterioration (ND) after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) and establish a prediction model based on random forest analysis in evaluating the risk of ND.

Methods

The clinical data of 411 patients with acute sICH at the Affiliated Hospital of Jining Medical University and Xuanwu Hospital of Capital Medical University between January 2018 and December 2020 were collected. After adjusting for variables, multivariate logistic regression was performed to investigate the factors related to the ND in patients with acute ICH. Then, based on the related factors in the multivariate logistic regression and four variables that have been identified as contributing to ND in the literature, we established a random forest model. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the prediction performance of this model.

Results

The result of multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that time of onset to the emergency department (ED), baseline hematoma volume, serum sodium, and serum calcium were independently associated with the risk of ND. Simultaneously, the random forest model was developed and included eight predictors: serum calcium, time of onset to ED, serum sodium, baseline hematoma volume, systolic blood pressure change in 24 h, age, intraventricular hemorrhage expansion, and gender. The area under the curve value of the prediction model reached 0.795 in the training set and 0.713 in the testing set, which suggested the good predicting performance of the model.

Conclusion

Some factors related to the risk of ND were explored. Additionally, a prediction model for ND of acute sICH patients was developed based on random forest analysis, and the developed model may have a good predictive value through the internal validation.

Association between serum calcium level and hemorrhagic progression in patients with traumatic intraparenchymal hemorrhage: Investigating the mediation and interaction effects of coagulopathy

In this study, we investigate the association of serum calcium with coagulopathy and hemorrhagic progression contusion (HPC) in patients with traumatic intraparenchymal hemorrhage (tIPH), and further explored the interaction and mediation effect between serum calcium as well as coagulopathy on HPC. Retrospective analyses of patients with tIPH admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University between January 2016 to December 2019. The clinical data, coagulation parameters, and serum calcium levels were collected for further analysis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was applied to identify the association of serum calcium level with coagulopathy and HPC. Causal mediation analysis (CMA) and additive interaction model were used to estimate the interaction and mediation effect between serum calcium as well as coagulopathy on HPC. Additionally, we repeated the analysis using corrected calcium. A total of 473 patients were included in this study. Of these, 54 (11.4%) patients had hypocalcemia at admission, 105 (22.2%) presented with coagulopathy, and 187 (39.5%) experienced HPC. Admission serum calcium level in patients presented with coagulopathy and HPC were 8.84 [IQR: 8.44-9.40] and 8.92 [IQR: 8.48-9.40] mg/dL respectively, which were significantly lower than that of patients without (9.10 [IQR: 8.68-9.88] and 9.12 [IQR: 8.72-9.89] mg/dL; all p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified that hypocalcemia emerged as an independent risk factor for coagulopathy and HPC. However, no significant interaction was detected between hypocalcemia and coagulopathy. CMA showed that the mediator coagulopathy explained 24.4% (95% CI: 4.7-65.0%; p = 0.006) of the association between hypocalcemia and HPC. Moreover, comparable results were held using corrected calcium as well. Admission serum calcium level is associated with the HPC for patients with tIPH and this relationship is partially mediated by coagulopathy, but no significant interaction is detected. Further studies are needed to validate the findings and explore its mechanisms.

Admission Lower Serum Phosphate Ion Levels Predict Acute Hydrocephalus of Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Introduction: The relationship between serum phosphate ion (sPi) and the occurrence of acute hydrocephalus (aHCP) in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) remains largely unknown and controversial. The primary aim of this study was to investigate the association between sPi on admission and aHCP following aSAH.

Methods: The study included 635 patients over the age of 19 years diagnosed with aSAH in our institution from September 2012 to June 2018. Data on clinical characteristics, laboratory parameters, treatments, and outcomes were collected and analyzed. The association between lower sPi levels and aHCP was assessed in univariate and multivariate analyses. Propensity-score matching (PSM) analysis was performed to reduce significant differences in baseline characteristics between the aHCP group and non-HCP group.

Results: The overall incidence of aHCP following aSAH was 19.37% (123/512). Lower sPi levels were detected in patients with aHCP compared with those without [0.86 (0.67–1.06) vs. 1.04 (0.84–1.21) mmol/L] in the univariate analysis. In the multivariate analysis, lower sPi level, high modified Fisher (mFisher) grade, and high Hunt-Hess grade were associated with aHCP [odds ratios (OR) 1.729, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.139–2.623, p = 0.01; mFisher OR 0.097,95% CI 0.055–0.172, p < 0.001; Hunt-Hess, OR 0.555, 95% CI 0.320–0.961, P = 0.036]. After PSM, the matched aHCP group had a significantly lower sPi level than the matched non-aHCP group [0.86 (0.67–1.06) vs. 0.94 (0.76–1.12) mmol/L, p = 0.044]. The area under the curve (AUC) of the sPi level and the logistic regression model based on these predictors (sPi, Hunt-Hess grade, and mFisher grade) was 0.667 and 0.840 (sensitivity of 88.6% and specificity of 68.4%) for predicting aHCP, respectively.

Conclusions: Lower sPi levels predict the occurrence of aHCP, and the model constructed by sPi levels, Hunt-Hess grade, and mFisher grade markedly enhances the prediction of aHCP after aSAH.

Enhancing Robustness of Machine Learning Integration With Routine Laboratory Blood Tests to Predict Inpatient Mortality After Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Objective: The accurate evaluation of outcomes at a personalized level in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is critical clinical implications. This study aims to evaluate how machine learning integrates with routine laboratory tests and electronic health records (EHRs) data to predict inpatient mortality after ICH.

Methods: In this machine learning-based prognostic study, we included 1,835 consecutive patients with acute ICH between October 2010 and December 2018. The model building process incorporated five pre-implant ICH score variables (clinical features) and 13 out of 59 available routine laboratory parameters. We assessed model performance according to a range of learning metrics, such as the mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]. We also used the Shapley additive explanation algorithm to explain the prediction model.

Results: Machine learning models using laboratory data achieved AUROCs of 0.71–0.82 in a split-by-year development/testing scheme. The non-linear eXtreme Gradient Boosting model yielded the highest prediction accuracy. In the held-out validation set of development cohort, the predictive model using comprehensive clinical and laboratory parameters outperformed those using clinical alone in predicting in-hospital mortality (AUROC [95% bootstrap confidence interval], 0.899 [0.897–0.901] vs. 0.875 [0.872–0.877]; P <0.001), with over 81% accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. We observed similar performance in the testing set.

Conclusions: Machine learning integrated with routine laboratory tests and EHRs could significantly promote the accuracy of inpatient ICH mortality prediction. This multidimensional composite prediction strategy might become an intelligent assistive prediction for ICH risk reclassification and offer an example for precision medicine.