Smoking motivators are different among cigarette and waterpipe smokers: The results of ITUPP

Machine Learning Helps in Prediction of Tobacco Smoking in Adolescents

Background

Considering the increasing prevalence of adolescent smoking in recent years, this study proposes a machine learning (ML) approach for distinguishing adolescents who are prone to start smoking and those who do not directly confess to smoking.

Methods

We used two repeated measures cross-sectional studies, including data from 7940 individuals as distinct training and test datasets. Utilizing the randomized least absolute shrinkage and selector operator (LASSO), the most influential factors were selected. We then investigated the performance of different ML approaches for the automatic classification of students into smoker/nonsmoker and low-risk/high-risk categories.

Results

Randomized LASSO feature selection prioritized 15 factors, including peer influence, risky behaviors, attitude and school policy toward smoking, family factors, depression, and sex as the most influential factors in smoking. Applying different ML approaches to the three study plans yielded an AUC of up to 0.92, sensitivity of up to 0.88, PPV of up to 0.72, specificity of up to 0.98, and NPV of up to 0.99.

Conclusions

The results showed the capability of our ML approach to distinguish between classes of smokers and nonsmokers. This model can be used as a brief screening tool for automated prediction of individuals susceptible to smoking for more precise preventive intervention plans focusing on adolescents.

Smoking among High School Students in Iran: A Meta-Analysis Study

Objective: Cigarette smoking is an important and preventable risk factor, especially for adolescents and high school students. This issue has become one of the challenges for health system. Thus, the present study aimed to investigate the prevalence of smoking among Iranian high school students.

Method: This systematic review and meta-analysis study was done by searching PubMed, Scopus, Web Science (WOS), Science Direct, SID, and Google Scholar using the following keywords: “student” and “smoking” from 2000 to March 2018. After initial and critical appraisal, data were entered into a checklist and analyzed by a comprehensive meta-analysis software.

Results: The prevalence of smoking was 7.9% by combining the results of 49 articles. Males and females had 10.6% and 4.5% smoking prevalence, respectively. The overall prevalence of smoking was higher in northern areas in Iran (22.4%). Males in the northern (22.4%) and females in western regions (5.3%) were more smokers. There was a significant relationship between the prevalence of smoking with the year of publication, sample size, and age (P < 0.001).

Conclusion: In this study, Students' tendency to smoke was different in various regions of Iran, and had a high rate (7.9%). This figure indicates the necessity for planning some coherent educational programs for the public.

A Call for Effective Interventions to Curb Shisha Tobacco Smoking among University Students in Eastern Province, Saudi Arabia: Findings from a Cross-Sectional Study

BACKGROUND

Although the number of cigarettes smoked has been declining due to major public health initiatives, shisha tobacco smoking is gaining popularity around the world, particularly among youth and university students.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted among 464 university students in Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia using a structured questionnaire (i) to assess the prevalence of shisha smoking; (ii) to evaluate risk-perception, knowledge and normative belief about shisha smoking, and to compare these among users and non-users of shisha.

RESULTS

The study reported a high prevalence (22.8%) of the current use of shisha among the university students with a narrow gender gap and found that STS is getting more popular than other forms of tobacco. A quarter of participants had low risk perception and 30.2% had low knowledge of shisha smoking harm. Importantly, more than two-fifth of them were current users of shisha. Low risk-perception about shisha and social acceptability were significantly contributed to the high prevalence of shisha smoking among the youth.

CONCLUSION

It is important to provide exposure to education related to shisha hazards and increase the awareness of students and the public about the health effects of shisha smoking.

The prevalence and trends of waterpipe tobacco smoking: A systematic review

INTRODUCTION

Waterpipe tobacco smoking is harmful to health however its prevalence estimates remain uncertain. We aimed to systematically review the medical literature on waterpipe tobacco prevalence and trends.

METHODS

We searched Medline, Embase and ISI Web of Science for 'waterpipe' and its synonyms, without using language or date restrictions. We included any measure of waterpipe tobacco smoking prevalence in jurisdictionally representative populations. We stratified findings by prevalence measure (past 30 day, ever, regular or occasional, daily, other or unspecified) and age (adults or youth).

RESULTS

We included 129 studies reporting 355 estimates for 68 countries. In general, prevalence estimates among adults were highest in the Eastern Mediterranean, and among youth were about equal between Eastern Mediterranean and European regions. Past 30 day use was highest among Lebanese youth (37.2% in 2008), ever use was highest among Lebanese youth in 2002 and Lebanese university students in 2005 (both 65.3%), regular or occasional use was highest in among Iranian university students (16.3% in 2005), and daily use was highest among Egyptian youth (10.4% in 2005). Trend data were limited but most studies reported increased use over time, ranging from 0.3-1.0% per year among youth in the US to 2.9% per year among youth in Jordan (both for past 30 day use). Results were similar for ever use trends. Turkey (2.3% in 2008 to 0.8% in 2010) and Iraq (6.3% in 2008 and 4.8% in 2012) both witnessed decreased waterpipe use.

CONCLUSION

Waterpipe tobacco smoking is most prevalent in Eastern Mediterranean and European countries, and appears higher among youth than adults. Continued surveillance will be important to assess and inform policy measures to control waterpipe tobacco use.

Waterpipe and cigarette tobacco smoking among Palestinian university students: a cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

During the last two decades, waterpipe tobacco smoking (WTS), also known as hookah, witnessed a global increase in use, especially among youth. Little information is known about the burden of WTS among Palestinian youth. A cross-sectional study was conducted to estimate the prevalence of WTS and cigarette smoking and explore the associated factors among a sample of Palestinian university students.

METHODS

1891 students, from five Palestinian universities in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, completed a self-administered, web-based survey in 2014-2015. The questionnaire, which was based on the Global Adults Tobacco Survey (GATS), had questions on WTS and cigarette smoking patterns and socio-demographic and university-related characteristics. Binary logistic regression analyses were computed to investigate associated factors with WTS and cigarette smoking.

RESULTS

50.9% of the sample was women. The mean age was 20.1 ± 2.0. Overall, 30.0% of participants were current tobacco smokers and 33.4% reported ever smoking tobacco through a waterpipe. The prevalence of current WTS (24.4%) surpassed the prevalence of current cigarette smoking (18.0%), with a significantly higher prevalence among men compared to women. The gender gap for WTS (36.4% vs. 12.9%) was smaller than that for cigarette smoking (32.8% vs. 3.6%). Binary logistic regression models for the total sample (men and women) revealed that men were more likely to be current waterpipe and cigarette tobacco smokers compared to women (AOR = 4.20, 95% CI = 3.22-5.48, and AOR = 10.91, 95% CI = 7.25-16.42, respectively). Geographic area of residence, faculty of study and self-reported academic achievement were also associated with the likelihood of being current waterpipe and cigarette tobacco smokers.

CONCLUSION

A high prevalence of WTS was reported among our study sample, and it surpassed the prevalence of cigarette smoking. Interventions to curb the practice of tobacco smoking among Palestinian youth should be tailored differently to WTS and cigarette smoking, be gender-sensitive and specific and target the regional variation in the smoking behavior.