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Zafar Z, Nadeem AA, Zha Y, Gilani H, Tariq A. Snow cover variability assessment and its interplay with hydro-climatic characteristics in data scarce region of Gilgit-Baltistan, Pakistan. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2025; 382:125375. [PMID: 40245742 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125375] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2024] [Revised: 03/29/2025] [Accepted: 04/12/2025] [Indexed: 04/19/2025]
Abstract
The upper Indus basin (UIB) provides a large portion of Pakistan's irrigation water supply. Snow and glacier melting contributes significantly to the annual flow of the UIB. A spatio-temporal assessment of snow cover dynamics and the hydrological response in the context of climate change is vital for better water resource management. This study utilized daily snow cover product (MOD10A1) from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) to evaluate the changes in snow cover area (SCA) of UIB from 2002 to 2022; climatic data from remotely sensed satellites (ERA5-Land) for the last 50 years were utilized to assess the climatic trends using modified Mann-Kendall trend test and available hydrological data was utilized to evaluate the hydrological characteristics of Gilgit-Baltistan from UIB; and correlations between snow cover and hydro-metrological variables are identified using Pearson, Spearman, and Kendall correlation coefficients according to availability of data. According to results, the maximum SCA varies between 27 and 89 % from summer to winter. SCA of Gilgit-Baltistan is experiencing a very slight decreasing trend with τ = -0.0187. Conversely, the streamflow of Gilgit-Baltistan showed an increasing trend; summer precipitation also underwent an increasing trend, and the temperature of Gilgit-Baltistan also exhibited an increasing trend. Thus, the streamflow of Gilgit-Baltistan is an amalgamation of rainfall in summer with snow and glacier melt due to temperature. The decrease in SCA and increase in supply suggested greater water availability, which may cause a flood downstream and indicate water scarcity in the future. Both conditions require prompt attention to prevent flooding, and the implementation of advanced water management strategies and climate-resilient infrastructure is essential to ensuring adequate water availability in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zeeshan Zafar
- State Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China
| | - Adeel Ahmad Nadeem
- State Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China
| | - Yuanyuan Zha
- State Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China.
| | - Hammad Gilani
- Plant and Environmental Sciences, New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, NM, 88003, USA
| | - Aqil Tariq
- Department of Wildlife, Fisheries, and Aquaculture, College of Forest Resources, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS, 39762-9690, USA
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Ni T, Zhang X, Leng P, Pelling M, Xu J. Comprehensive benefits evaluation of low impact development using scenario analysis and fuzzy decision approach. Sci Rep 2025; 15:2227. [PMID: 39824968 PMCID: PMC11742056 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-85763-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/09/2024] [Accepted: 01/06/2025] [Indexed: 01/20/2025] Open
Abstract
The comprehensive benefit evaluation of LID based on multi-criteria decision-making methods faces technical issues such as the uncertainties and vagueness in hybrid information sources, which can affect the overall evaluation results and ranking of alternatives. This study introduces a multi-indicator fuzzy comprehensive benefit evaluation approach for the selection of LID measures, aiming to provide a robust and holistic framework for evaluating their benefits at the community level. The proposed methodology integrates quantitative environmental and economic indicators with qualitative social benefit indicators, combining the use of the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM) and ArcGIS for scenario-based analysis, and the use of hesitant fuzzy language sets and Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) for decision-making. The framework's novelty lies in the integration of the hesitant fuzzy weighted average algorithm to handle subjective uncertainties in expert judgment and the incorporation of multi-return period scenarios to enhance the robustness of the evaluation. The comprehensive benefits of 26 LID configurations were conducted in Chenglong Road Subdistrict under five rainfall return period scenarios of 5, 10, 20, 50, and 100 years. The results show that LID measures, particularly combinations of sunken green spaces and permeable paving, offer significant reductions in runoff and peak flow, along with improved flood mitigation across multiple return periods. Additionally, this study identifies practical LID implementation priorities for local decision-makers. The relative closeness is influenced by the indicators and non-calibrated parameters. However, it overall does not affect the main trends and key insights derived. The robustness of the proposed approach is reinforced by four key aspects: the impact of the Thiessen polygon method in ArcGIS, the influence of composite runoff coefficient and iterative optimization in SWMM, the effect of hesitant fuzzy linguistic sets and TOPSIS on weight calculation, and the contribution of simulations under different return periods to stability analysis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ting Ni
- Business School, Sichuan University, 610059, Chengdu, China
- College of Environment and Civil Engineering, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu, China
| | - Xiaohong Zhang
- College of Environment and Civil Engineering, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu, China
| | - Peng Leng
- China Construction Science and Industry Corporation LTD, Shenzhen, China
| | - Mark Pelling
- Institution for Risk and Disaster Reduction, University College London, London, UK
| | - Jiuping Xu
- Business School, Sichuan University, 610059, Chengdu, China.
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Tao Y, Tian B, Adhikari BR, Zuo Q, Luo X, Di B. A Review of Cutting-Edge Sensor Technologies for Improved Flood Monitoring and Damage Assessment. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2024; 24:7090. [PMID: 39517986 PMCID: PMC11548130 DOI: 10.3390/s24217090] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/11/2024] [Revised: 10/21/2024] [Accepted: 11/01/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024]
Abstract
Floods are the most destructive, widespread, and frequent natural hazards. The extent of flood events is accelerating in the context of climate change, where flood management and disaster mitigation remain important long-term issues. Different studies have been utilizing data and images from various types of sensors for mapping, assessment, forecasting, early warning, rescue, and other disaster prevention and mitigation activities before, during, and after floods, including flash floods, coastal floods, and urban floods. These monitoring processes evolved from early ground-based observations relying on in situ sensors to high-precision, high-resolution, and high-coverage monitoring by airborne and remote sensing sensors. In this study, we have analyzed the different kinds of sensors from the literature review, case studies, and other methods to explore the development history of flood sensors and the driving role of floods in different countries. It is found that there is a trend towards the integration of flood sensors with artificial intelligence, and their state-of-the-art determines the effectiveness of local flood management to a large extent. This study helps to improve the efficiency of flood monitoring advancement and flood responses as it explores the different types of sensors and their effectiveness.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yixin Tao
- Institute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction, Sichuan University-The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Chengdu 610207, China; (Y.T.); (Q.Z.); (X.L.); (B.D.)
| | - Bingwei Tian
- Institute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction, Sichuan University-The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Chengdu 610207, China; (Y.T.); (Q.Z.); (X.L.); (B.D.)
| | - Basanta Raj Adhikari
- Department of Civil Engineering, Pulchowk Campus, Institute of Engineering, Tribhuvan University, Lalitpur 44600, Nepal;
| | - Qi Zuo
- Institute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction, Sichuan University-The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Chengdu 610207, China; (Y.T.); (Q.Z.); (X.L.); (B.D.)
| | - Xiaolong Luo
- Institute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction, Sichuan University-The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Chengdu 610207, China; (Y.T.); (Q.Z.); (X.L.); (B.D.)
| | - Baofeng Di
- Institute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction, Sichuan University-The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Chengdu 610207, China; (Y.T.); (Q.Z.); (X.L.); (B.D.)
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Huang H, Lei X, Liao W, Zuo X, Wang H. A novel multi-strategy hydrological feature extraction (MHFE) method to improve urban waterlogging risk prediction, a case study of Fuzhou City in China. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2023; 904:165834. [PMID: 37516183 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165834] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2023] [Revised: 07/13/2023] [Accepted: 07/25/2023] [Indexed: 07/31/2023]
Abstract
Reliable hydrological data ensure the precision of the urban waterlogging simulation. To reduce the simulation error caused by insufficient basic data, a multi-strategy method (MHFE) for extracting hydrological features is proposed, which includes land use/land cover (LULC) extraction (LE) and digital elevation model (DEM) reconstruction (DR). First, the high-resolution remote image, satellite DEM, precipitation, flood points and depth, and planned LULC were collected. Second, the buildings, roads, and other areas of the satellite image were segmented using the U-Net model, and the LULC data with drainage features were extracted by combining the segmentation result with the planned LULC and drainage data. Then, the terrain features of the road were enhanced to construct high-precision DEM based on the fusion of multi-source data, such as elevation points, LULC, and satellite DEM. Finally, the waterlogging model was implemented under different return periods of rainfalls and typhoon rainfall to obtain the waterlogging distribution and water depth. The simulation results were compared with historical waterlogging event data and water depth observations. The results indicated that the proposed method significantly improved the accuracy of the simulation. In terms of identifying the waterlogging points, the average F1 score increased by 0.36, 0.20, and 0.07 compared to the raw model and the single LE and DR methods, respectively. In terms of water depth simulation, the average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) was increased from -0.24 to 0.86, with DR and LE contributing to 79.1 % and 20.9 %, respectively. The principal contribution and novelty of this paper is to explore the generic method that enhance the hydrological data, and the findings of this study improved the performance of urban waterlogging simulation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haocheng Huang
- School of Civil Engineering, Central South University, China; State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, China
| | - Xiaohui Lei
- State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, China
| | - Weihong Liao
- State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, China.
| | - Xiangyang Zuo
- State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, China
| | - Hao Wang
- State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, China
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Mondal K, Bandyopadhyay S, Karmakar S. Framework for global sensitivity analysis in a complex 1D-2D coupled hydrodynamic model: Highlighting its importance on flood management over large data-scarce regions. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2023; 332:117312. [PMID: 36731405 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117312] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/10/2022] [Revised: 01/13/2023] [Accepted: 01/14/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
Sensitivity analysis determines how perturbation or variation in the values of an independent variable affects a particular dependent variable. The present study attempts to comprehend the sensitivity of the static input parameters on the accuracy of the outputs in a hydrodynamic flood model, which subsequently improves the model accuracy. Hydrodynamic flood modeling is computationally strenuous and data-intensive. Moreover, the accuracy of the flood model outputs is extremely sensitive to the quality of hydrologic and hydraulic inputs, along with a set of static parameters that are traditionally assumed and primarily used for calibration. Therefore, we focus on developing a framework for global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of static input parameters in a 1D-2D coupled hydrodynamic flood modeling system. A set of numerical experiments is conducted by perturbing various combinations of input parameters from their standard (or observed) values to generate flow hydrographs. Nonparametric probability density functions (PDFs) of the river discharge at different locations are compared to calculate the Kullback-Leibler (KL) entropy or KL-divergence, which is used to quantify the sensitivity of the input parameters. We demonstrated the proposed framework on a highly flood-prone rural catchment of the Shilabati River in West Bengal, India, and infer that the sensitivity of the static input parameters is highly dynamic, and their importance varies spatially from the upstream to the downstream of the river. However, Manning's n values of the channel and the banks are significantly sensitive irrespective of the location in the river reach. We suggest that any flood modeling exercise should accompany a GSA, which sets a guideline for the modelers to prioritize the set of sensitive static input parameters during data monitoring, collection, and retrieval. This study is the first attempt at a GSA in a 1D-2D coupled hydrodynamic flood modeling system, whose importance cannot be over-emphasized in any flood modeling platform. The proposed novel framework is generic and can be implemented prior to flood risk analyses for any floodplain management exercise. All free and commercially-available flood models can incorporate the proposed framework for a GSA as an extension toolbox.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kaustav Mondal
- Environment Science and Engineering Department, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, 400076, India.
| | - Soumya Bandyopadhyay
- Earth Observation Applications and Disaster Management Support Programme Office, Indian Space Research Organization Head Quarter, Bangalore, 560094, India.
| | - Subhankar Karmakar
- Interdisciplinary Program in Climate Studies, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, 400076, India; Centre for Urban Science and Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, 400076, India.
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Study on Verification Approach and Multicontact Points Issue When Modeling Cyperus esculentus Seeds Based on DEM. Processes (Basel) 2023. [DOI: 10.3390/pr11030825] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/12/2023] Open
Abstract
In this paper, the Multisphere (MS) models of three varieties of Cyperus esculentus seeds are modeled based on DEM. In addition, for comparison, other particle models based on automatic filing in EDEM software are also introduced. Then, the direct shear test, piling test, bulk density test, and rotating hub test are used to verify the feasibility of particle models of Cyperus esculentus seeds that we proposed. By comparing the simulated results and experimental results, combined with the CPU computation time, the proposed particle models achieved better simulation accuracy with fewer filing spheres. According to simulation results, some limitation was present when using one single verification test; varieties of verification tests used could improve the verification reliability, and a more appropriate particle model could be selected. Additionally, the issue of multicontact points in the MS model was studied. The Hertz Mindlin (no slip) (HM) model and Hertz Mindlin new restitution (HMNR) model were both considered in simulations for comparison. The rotating hub test and particle–wall impact test were used, and the influences of multiple contact points on the motion behavior of individual particles and particle assemblies were analyzed. Simulation results showed that the multiple contact points affected the motion behavior of individual particles; in contrast, the influence of multiple contact points on the motion behavior of the particle assembly was insignificant. Moreover, the relationships between moisture content of seeds and Young’s modulus, Young’s modulus, and the number of contact points were also considered. Young’s modulus decreased with increasing moisture content. The number of contact points increased with a decreasing Young’s modulus.
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