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Nafarrate A, Petisco-Ferrero S, Idoeta R, Herranz M, Sáenz J, Ulazia A, Ibarra-Berastegui G. Applying the Kolmogorov-Zurbenko filter followed by random forest models to 7Be observations in Spain (2006-2021). Heliyon 2024; 10:e30820. [PMID: 38765117 PMCID: PMC11101855 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e30820] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2023] [Revised: 04/18/2024] [Accepted: 05/06/2024] [Indexed: 05/21/2024] Open
Abstract
In this study, we analysed 7Be weekly surface measurements from six Spanish laboratories from 2006 to 2021. The Kolmogorov-Zurbenko filter was applied to the six 7Be time series, and following an iterative process, the original data were divided into two fractions: one related to variations characterized by periods above 33 days (including, among others, the seasonal cycle) and the second noisier fraction related to mechanisms originating from variations with periods below 33 days. Both fractions were independent at the six locations. The second machine-based step using random forest models was applied with the aim of identifying the most influential inputs to the observed 7Be concentrations, and machine learning-inspired regression models were fitted. With respect to seasonal components, the results indicated that the memory of the system was the most influential input, as expected by the large fraction of variance explained by the seasonal cycle, followed by that of humidity and wind-related variables. For the fraction corresponding to periods below 33 d, precipitation-, humidity-, and radiation-related variables were the most influential. This methodology has made it possible to successfully describe the major mechanisms known to be involved in the generation of the surface 7Be concentrations observed in Spain.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ander Nafarrate
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Plaza Torres Quevedo, s/n, Bilbao, 48013, Spain
| | - Susana Petisco-Ferrero
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Plaza Torres Quevedo, s/n, Bilbao, 48013, Spain
| | - Raquel Idoeta
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Plaza Torres Quevedo, s/n, Bilbao, 48013, Spain
| | - Margarita Herranz
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Plaza Torres Quevedo, s/n, Bilbao, 48013, Spain
| | - Jon Sáenz
- Department of Physics, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Barrio Sarriena, s/n, Leioa, 48940, Spain
- Plentzia Itsas Estazioa (PIE), University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Areatza Hiribidea 47, Plentzia, 48620, Spain
| | - Alain Ulazia
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU), Otaola, Hiribidea, 29, Eibar, 20600, Spain
| | - Gabriel Ibarra-Berastegui
- Energy Engineering Department, University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Plaza Torres Quevedo, s/n, Bilbao, 48013, Spain
- Plentzia Itsas Estazioa (PIE), University of the Basque Country, UPV/EHU, Areatza Hiribidea 47, Plentzia, 48620, Spain
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Kuśmierczyk-Michulec J, Baré J. Climate change as observed through the IMS radionuclide station in Spitzbergen. Sci Rep 2024; 14:10906. [PMID: 38740825 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-59319-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/29/2024] [Accepted: 04/09/2024] [Indexed: 05/16/2024] Open
Abstract
The International Monitoring System (IMS), installed and maintained by the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) with the support of States Signatories, is a global system of monitoring stations based on four complementary technologies: seismic, hydroacoustic, infrasound and radionuclide. One of the IMS radionuclide stations is located in Spitzbergen, the largest island of the Norwegian Svalbard Archipelago, which borders the Barents Sea and the Northern Atlantic Ocean. It has been demonstrated that signs of climate change are particularly noticeable in that region. As many other radionuclides observed in environmental measurements, 212Pb is always observed at IMS stations, in varying quantities. This is also the case for the IMS station RN49, Spitzbergen, where it can be demonstrated that the average concentration of the measured lead 212Pb increases. This is observable specifically October through December. This paper demonstrates the asset of IMS data to study climate change effects. Our conclusions are supported by global temperature anomaly data from NOAA's Global Surface Temperature Analysis, covering the period 1850 to 2023.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jolanta Kuśmierczyk-Michulec
- International Data Centre, Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization, PO Box 1200, 1400, Vienna, Austria.
| | - Jonathan Baré
- International Data Centre, Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization, PO Box 1200, 1400, Vienna, Austria
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Temporal variation of atmospheric 7Be and 210Pb concentrations and their activity size distributions at Astana, Kazakhstan in Central Asia. J Radioanal Nucl Chem 2019. [DOI: 10.1007/s10967-019-06968-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
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Leppänen AP. Deposition of naturally occurring 7Be and 210Pb in Northern Finland. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RADIOACTIVITY 2019; 208-209:105995. [PMID: 31254861 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2019.105995] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2019] [Revised: 06/07/2019] [Accepted: 06/13/2019] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
This study presents observations of naturally occurring 7Be and 210Pb in total deposition collected in three deposition sampling stations located in three towns in Northern Finland at Rovaniemi, Sodankylä and Ivalo. The deposition samples were measured in three-month intervals and the collected data covered the years from 1991 to 2017 in Rovaniemi and the years from 1999 to 2017 in Sodankylä and Ivalo. The 7Be deposition was observed to be dependent on the amount of precipitation where higher amount of precipitation meant higher 7Be deposition. The 7Be deposition showed a distinctive seasonal cycle where the highest 7Be deposition values were observed occur during July-September and the lowest values during January-March. From the annual total deposition 72-84% occurred during the months of April-September (2nd and 3rd quarters). The precipitation normalized enrichment factor (α) determined the excess or deficiency of 7Be relative to the amount of rain. The most excess of 7Be in the deposition was observed during April-June (2nd quarter) while the most 7Be depleted precipitation occurred during January-March (1st quarter). The large excess of 7Be in precipitation during April-June (2nd quarter) was an indication of injections of 7Be rich stratospheric air into troposphere. By using simultaneously collected 7Be aerosol concentration data at Rovaniemi and Ivalo, the 7Be deposition velocities were determined. The deposition velocities (VD) were also found to have a strong seasonal cycle where low velocities were observed during winter and higher ones during summer. The 7Be deposition time series were also compared with other time series that are known to affect ground level 7Be aerosol concentrations. These were precipitation, sunspot number (SSN), galactic cosmic ray flux (GCR), Arctic Oscillation (AO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and Scandinavian Pattern (SCAND) indices. The Pearson correlation and wavelet coherence (WTC) was used to analyze possible correlations between the time series. The analyses showed that the coherences were location dependent. Rovaniemi 7Be deposition data correlated strongly with rain and weakly with the SCAND index at the 6-8 year scale. The Sodankylä 7Be deposition data correlated strongly with the precipitation and SSN and GCR and weakly with AO and NAO indices. Ivalo 7Be deposition data correlated with strongly with 7Be aerosol concentration data, SSN, GCR and NAO index and weakly with the AO index. The WTC analysis revealed anti-phase coherences with the AO and NAO indices at 4-6 year scale. The 210Pb deposition data was sparse and only available from 2011 onwards. 210Pb deposition had a seasonal cycle where higher deposition values were observed during summer and lower ones deposition during winter. The annual 210Pb deposition was determined at Rovaniemi and Sodankylä during 2014. The values of 7Be/210Pb ratio was found to vary significantly seasonally, higher 7Be/210Pb ratios were measured during summer and lower ones during winter.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ari-Pekka Leppänen
- Radiation and Nuclear Safety Authority - STUK, Lähteentie 2, 96400, Rovaniemi, Finland.
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Bianchi S, Plastino W, Brattich E, Djurdjevic V, Longo A, Hernández-Ceballos MA, Sarvan D, Ajtić J. Analysis of trends, periodicities, and correlations in the beryllium-7 time series in Northern Europe. Appl Radiat Isot 2019; 148:160-167. [PMID: 30959353 DOI: 10.1016/j.apradiso.2019.03.038] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2018] [Revised: 02/27/2019] [Accepted: 03/28/2019] [Indexed: 10/27/2022]
Abstract
The activity concentrations of beryllium-7, a natural radiotracer that is considered as a tracer of the stratospheric-tropospheric exchange, shows a distinct behaviour in Northern Europe compared to the central and southern parts of the continent. In this study, we use the measurements collected at four sampling stations in Scandinavia (Ivalo, Umea, Kista, Risoe) between 2001 and 2010 and investigate their trends, periodicities and residuals with the aim to further understand the common features in the beryllium-7 data records in northern sampling sites. The beryllium-7 activity concentrations exhibit statistically significant positive trends that range from an average value of 1.50%/year to an average value of 2.96%/year. We detect a one-year periodicity in all the sites, and in the southernmost site, Risoe in Denmark, additional higher-frequency harmonics. In the residual time series, we find outliers that represent occurrences of extremely high beryllium-7 activity concentration. Cross-correlations of the beryllium-7 residuals across the four sites decrease with increasing distance; similarly, as indicated by local Hurst exponents the records exhibit long-range correlations that weaken towards the end of the investigated period. To investigate the causes of the detected trends, we also calculate correlations between beryllium-7 and factors related to its production, transport and removal from the atmosphere: in particular, cross-correlations of the beryllium-7 residuals with residuals in sunspot number, local temperature, atmospheric pressure and precipitation, as well as Arctic Oscillation index and North Atlantic Oscillation index. Most of the obtained correlations, however, are not statistically significant, highlighting the need to analyse a longer time period in order to evaluate the impact of different factors on the airborne beryllium-7 activity concentration.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stefano Bianchi
- Department of Mathematics and Physics, Roma Tre University, Via 'della Vasca Navale, 84, I-00146, Rome, Italy.
| | - Wolfango Plastino
- Department of Mathematics and Physics, Roma Tre University, Via 'della Vasca Navale, 84, I-00146, Rome, Italy.
| | - Erika Brattich
- Department of Physics and Astronomy, Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Via Irnerio 46, 40126, Bologna, BO, Italy.
| | - Vladimir Djurdjevic
- Institute of Meteorology, Faculty of Physics, University of Belgrade, Studentski trg 18, 11000, Belgrade, Serbia.
| | - Alessandro Longo
- Department of Mathematics and Physics, Roma Tre University, Via 'della Vasca Navale, 84, I-00146, Rome, Italy.
| | - Miguel A Hernández-Ceballos
- European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Knowledge for Nuclear Security and Safety Unit Radioactivity Environmental Monitoring Group, Via Enrico Fermi 2749, I-21027, Ispra, VA, Italy.
| | - Darko Sarvan
- Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Belgrade, Bulevar oslobođenja 18, 11000, Belgrade, Serbia.
| | - Jelena Ajtić
- Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Belgrade, Bulevar oslobođenja 18, 11000, Belgrade, Serbia.
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Domingo T, Starosta K, Chester A, Williams J, Lehnert SJ, Gantner N, Alava JJ. Fukushima-derived radioactivity measurements in Pacific salmon and soil samples collected in British Columbia, Canada. CAN J CHEM 2018. [DOI: 10.1139/cjc-2017-0272] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
Despite the many studies that have shown minimal health risks to individuals living outside of Japan following the Fukushima Nuclear Accident, there are persisting concerns regarding the consumption of Pacific seafood that may be contaminated with radioactive species from Fukushima. To address these concerns, the activity concentrations of anthropogenic 134Cs and 137Cs, as well as naturally occurring 40K, were measured in Pacific salmon collected from Kilby Provincial Park, British Columbia (BC), in 2013 and from the Quesnel River, BC, in 2014 using low-background gamma-ray spectroscopy. In addition, soil samples and a single roof-debris sample were collected and analysed to provide a record of Fukushima-derived contamination in BC. Cesium-134 was not detected in the salmon samples. Cesium-137 was not detected in any of the sockeye or chum samples, although it was detected in all of the Chinook samples. The weighted average (±1σ) 137Cs activity concentration in the Chinook salmon collected in 2013 and 2014 was 0.23 (3) and 0.20 (3) Bq/kg fresh weight, respectively. A conservative annual dose estimate for an adult who consumes the average Canadian quantity of seafood per year, contaminated with radiocesium at the maximum concentrations measured in this campaign, was calculated to be 0.054 μSv per year. Cesium-134 was detected in all but two of the soil samples. A weak positive correlation was observed between presence of 134Cs and of 7Be suggesting that the 134Cs arrived via atmospheric deposition. Cesium-137 was present in every soil sample, although the total radiocesium activity concentrations measured were significantly less than action levels set by Health Canada.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thomas Domingo
- Department of Chemsitry, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC V5A 1S6, Canada
| | - Krzysztof Starosta
- Department of Chemsitry, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC V5A 1S6, Canada
| | - Aaron Chester
- Department of Chemsitry, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC V5A 1S6, Canada
| | - Jonathan Williams
- Department of Chemsitry, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC V5A 1S6, Canada
| | - Sarah J. Lehnert
- Northwest Atlantic Fisheries Centre, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, St. John’s, NL A1C 5X1, Canada
| | - Nikolaus Gantner
- Environmental Science Program, University of Northern British Columbia, Prince George, BC V2N 4Z9, Canada
| | - Juan José Alava
- Institute for the Oceans and Fisheries, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada
- Ocean Pollution Research Program, Vancouver Aquarium Marine Science Centre, Vancouver, BC V6B 3X8, Canada
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Sýkora I, Holý K, Ješkovský M, Müllerová M, Bulko M, Povinec PP. Long-term variations of radionuclides in the Bratislava air. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RADIOACTIVITY 2017; 166:27-35. [PMID: 27020174 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2016.03.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/28/2015] [Revised: 03/05/2016] [Accepted: 03/05/2016] [Indexed: 06/05/2023]
Abstract
Variations of aerosol radionuclides (2001-2015) in the ground-level air in Bratislava (Slovakia) showed 7Be maxima in spring/early summer and minima in winter, however, an inverse trend was observed for 210Pb, 137Cs and 40K. A decreasing amplitude and splitting of summer maxima for 7Be in the last years has been found. A temporal behavior of the 7Be/210Pb activity ratio showed higher levels during warm seasons due to vertical convection of air masses from higher altitudes. The 137Cs activity concentration in the surface air between 2003 and 2010 was decreasing with an effective half-life of 1.9 ± 0.3 years. The yearly average 137Cs concentrations during 2009-2014 were almost constant, disturbed only by the Fukushima accident in 2011. The increased atmospheric 137Cs and 40K levels observed during the autumn-winter season may be due to surface soil resuspension, biomass burning and radionuclide transport by winds. Seasonal variations of 222Rn activity concentrations were found with maxima at the end of autumn and in winter, and minima in spring. The variability of the average annual course of 222Rn has been larger than that of 210Pb. The 210Pb/222Rn activity ratio was highest at the end of winter and in the spring, while from June to December remained nearly constant. More intensive atmospheric mixing in spring months caused a decrease in the 222Rn activity concentration, while the aerosol component of the atmosphere has been affected mainly during the autumn and winter seasons. The mean residence time of aerosols in the atmosphere was calculated using the 210Pb/222Rn method to be 4.5 ± 0.9 days.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ivan Sýkora
- Department of Nuclear Physics and Biophysics, Faculty of Mathematics, Physics and Informatics, Comenius University, SK-84248, Bratislava, Slovakia
| | - Karol Holý
- Department of Nuclear Physics and Biophysics, Faculty of Mathematics, Physics and Informatics, Comenius University, SK-84248, Bratislava, Slovakia
| | - Miroslav Ješkovský
- Department of Nuclear Physics and Biophysics, Faculty of Mathematics, Physics and Informatics, Comenius University, SK-84248, Bratislava, Slovakia
| | - Monika Müllerová
- Department of Nuclear Physics and Biophysics, Faculty of Mathematics, Physics and Informatics, Comenius University, SK-84248, Bratislava, Slovakia
| | - Martin Bulko
- Department of Nuclear Physics and Biophysics, Faculty of Mathematics, Physics and Informatics, Comenius University, SK-84248, Bratislava, Slovakia
| | - Pavel P Povinec
- Department of Nuclear Physics and Biophysics, Faculty of Mathematics, Physics and Informatics, Comenius University, SK-84248, Bratislava, Slovakia.
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Hernández-Ceballos MA, Brattich E, Lozano RL, Cinelli G. 7Be behaviour and meteorological conditions associated with 7Be peak events in Spain. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RADIOACTIVITY 2017; 166:17-26. [PMID: 27067370 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2016.03.019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/29/2015] [Revised: 03/18/2016] [Accepted: 03/21/2016] [Indexed: 06/05/2023]
Abstract
This work regards a comprehensive analysis of the overall distribution of 7Be activity concentrations in Spain and the synoptic meteorological conditions associated with the highest 7Be peaks (>8 mBq/m3). The use of four sampling stations (Barcelona, Bilbao, Madrid, and Sevilla) included in REMdb, with different latitudinal location, as well as the relatively long time period used in this study (2001-2010), allowed to improve the understanding of 7Be spatio-temporal distribution in Spain. The comparison of the 7Be activity concentrations mean values indicated a north-south gradient (from 3.1 ± 1.1 mBq/m3 in Bilbao to 4.0 ± 1.8 mBq/m3 in Sevilla), even though not statistically significant (as indicated by the t-test). However, the analysis of frequency distributions and temporal evolutions of 7Be activity concentrations have suggested the presence of two main areas, namely northern (Bilbao and Barcelona) and southern (Sevilla) Spain. The identification and analysis of periods associated with the highest values of 7Be have allowed studying the different synoptic patterns associated with stratospheric-tropospheric transport (STT). In particular, three episodes (one in the north and two in the south) potentially associated with vigorous STT have been identified and analysed in detail. The results displayed that the omega block configuration, extending either over western Russia and Scandinavia or into the Atlantic Ocean, forced the prevailing jet stream to the northeast and south of Spain respectively with subsequent subsidence. In summer, this blocking configuration at high latitudes was combined with the presence of the Azores high pressure system to the west of Spain, affecting the 7Be activity concentration recorded in the south.
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Affiliation(s)
- M A Hernández-Ceballos
- European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Institute for Transuranium Elements (ITU), Via Enrico Fermi 2749, 21027 Ispra, VA, Italy.
| | - E Brattich
- Environ. Chemistry and Radioactivity Lab., Dept. of Chemistry "G. Ciamician", Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna, Via Selmi 2, 40126 Bologna, BO, Italy
| | - R L Lozano
- Maraf Aviator Sciences, Baza, Granada, Spain
| | - G Cinelli
- European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), Institute for Transuranium Elements (ITU), Via Enrico Fermi 2749, 21027 Ispra, VA, Italy
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Chao J, Liu C, Cho I, Niu H. Monitoring of 7Be in surface air of varying PM10 concentrations. Appl Radiat Isot 2014; 89:95-101. [DOI: 10.1016/j.apradiso.2014.02.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/18/2013] [Revised: 01/16/2014] [Accepted: 02/07/2014] [Indexed: 10/25/2022]
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Kanai Y. High activity concentrations of (210)Pb and (7)Be in sediments and their histories. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RADIOACTIVITY 2013; 124:44-49. [PMID: 23639694 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2013.03.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/17/2012] [Revised: 03/11/2013] [Accepted: 03/21/2013] [Indexed: 06/02/2023]
Abstract
High activity concentrations of (210)Pb and (7)Be, in addition to (137)Cs, were found in a rooftop deposit in Japan. This deposit had activities of about 5 Bq/g from (210)Pb and 3.6 Bq/g from (7)Be, an order of magnitude greater than typically found in field soils and lake and sea bottom sediments. It is clear that under certain conditions aerosol particles can accumulate in deposits with little or no mixing and dilution by silicate materials, and that subsequent processes and factors result in a heterogeneous distribution pattern of activity concentration on the Earth's surface. A simple model suggests that the history of an environmental sample can be estimated by using the activities of (210)Pb and (7)Be.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yutaka Kanai
- Geological Survey of Japan, National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST), 1-1-1 Higashi, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8567, Japan.
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Piñero-García F, Ferro-García MA. Evolution and solar modulation of 7Be during the solar cycle 23. J Radioanal Nucl Chem 2012. [DOI: 10.1007/s10967-012-2373-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/27/2022]
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