Coordinated care in cirrhosis; the need for further randomized controlled trials

Cost-effectiveness of a chronic disease management model for cirrhosis: Analysis of a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

In this follow-up study to a randomized controlled trial of a chronic disease management (CDM) model in cirrhosis, our aim was to assess the relative cost-effectiveness of this model compared with usual care during the 12-month study period, using incremental costs per death avoided as the primary outcome.

METHODS

Mean differences in hospitalization costs, deaths avoided, and change in Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire (CLDQ) total scores were presented with 95% non-parametric bootstrapped confidence intervals. Results were also presented using a cost-effectiveness plane (CEP) and cost-effectiveness acceptability curve.

RESULTS

The CDM intervention was more expensive, by 18 521 AUD per participant, but more effective (% of deaths at 12 months: 10% vs 15% and 0.67 units increase per patient in CLDQ total scores). The resultant incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were 370 425 AUD per death avoided (95% confidence interval: -14 564 AUD to 2 059 373 AUD) and 27 547 AUD per unit improvement in the CLDQ total score (95% CI: 7455 AUD to 143 874 AUD). The CEPs demonstrated some uncertainty around cost-effectiveness. The cost-effectiveness acceptability curves demonstrated that at willingness to pay values of 400 000 AUD per additional death avoided and 40 000 AUD per unit improvement in the CLDQ, there was at least a 70% probability of CDM being more cost-effective than usual care. At 24 months, CDM was much more effective (12% less deaths but now also cheaper by 985 AUD per patient).

CONCLUSIONS

The analysis of data from a randomized controlled trial suggests that the CDM intervention used is likely to be cost-effective, relative to usual care, due to fewer patient deaths.

The Burden of Rehospitalization for Patients With Liver Cirrhosis

Advanced liver disease is becoming more prevalent in the United States. This increase has been attributed largely to the growing epidemic of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and an aging population infected with hepatitis C. Complications of cirrhosis are a major cause of hospital admissions and readmissions. It is important to target efforts for preventing rehospitalization toward patients with cirrhosis who are at the highest risk for readmission, such as those who have high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores, are at risk for fluid/electrolyte abnormalities or overt hepatic encephalopathy recurrence, and those who have comorbid conditions (e.g. diabetes). The heart failure management paradigm may provide valuable insights for managing patients with cirrhosis, given the extensive research on preventing hospital readmission and improving health care utilization in this subpopulation. As quality measures related to hospital readmissions for cirrhosis and its complications are adopted by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services and private payers in the future, understanding drivers of hospital readmissions and health care utilization in this vulnerable population are key to improving quality measure performance.