L-GrAFT and EASE scores in liver transplantation: Need for reciprocal external validation and comparison with other scores

Discrepancy Between Conventional Coagulation Tests and Thromboelastography During the Early Postoperative Phase of Liver Resection in Neoplastic Patients: A Prospective Study Using the New-Generation TEG®6s

Background: Thromboelastography-6s (TEG®6s), a novel device developed to assess coagulation status, presents advantages such as less frequent calibration, ease of use, and greater stability against movements compared to the previous system (TEG5000). This is the first study in the literature to compare coagulation profiles in the early postoperative period of liver resection (LR) using conventional coagulation tests (CCTs) and TEG®6s. Methods: Forty-six adult patients admitted to the ICU post-surgery after elective LR for malignancy were included. CCTs were used to classify patients into hypocoagulable (HCG) (platelet count < 80 × 109/L, international normalized ratio ≥ 1.4, or activated partial thromboplastin time > 38 s) and normocoagulable (all other cases) groups. Mann-Whitney tests, Spearman's correlation, and linear regression were used. Results: On ICU admission, nineteen (41.3%) patients had a hypocoagulable profile based on CCTs, but only two (10.5%) of them were rated as hypocoagulable by TEG (p = 0.165). Intraoperatively, HCG patients experienced higher estimated blood loss (EBL) (p = 0.002); they required more fluids (p = 0.019), and more of them received red blood cell transfusions (p = 0.025). They also had higher postoperative arterial lactate levels (p = 0.036). Postoperative 12 h EBL was similar in the two groups (around 150 mL). The ICU stay was longer for HCG group (p = 0.010). Weak associations were observed between TEG/CCTs measures of coagulation initiation [e.g., between R time citrated rapid TEG, and international normalized ratio (r2 = 0.448; p < 0.001)], clot formation [i.e., between conventional fibrinogen value using Clauss method and α-angle citrated rapid TEG (r2 = 0.542; p < 0.001)], and clot strength [e.g., between conventional fibrinogen and citrated kaolin maximum amplitude (r2 = 0.484; p < 0.001)]. Conclusions: CCTs revealed hypocoagulability that was not confirmed by TEG®6s. However, the thromboelastography coagulation profile was more consistent with the detected non-relevant postoperative bleeding.

Protocol for an international multicenter, prospective, observational, non-competitive, study to validate and optimise prediction models of 90-day and 1-year allograft failure after liver transplantation: The global IMPROVEMENT Study

More liver transplants (LT) are performed worldwide thanks to extended criteria donors (ECD). This is paralleled by a supposed increased risk of allograft failure (AF) at 90 and 365 days. This study has been designed to portray the LT practice worldwide and investigate models of AF prediction and the impact of risk mitigation strategies for further improving graft and patient outcomes. This is a multicenter, international, non-competitive, observational two segment study on consecutive LTs over two periods (2017-2019 and 2022-2024). A steering committee of LT experts defined the study protocol. The prospective segment will enroll 750 patients from 15 high-volume LT centers (50 per center), and the retrospective segment will enrol 4200 patients from 56 LT centers (75 per center). To provide a snapshot of the LT activity globally and to develop new algorithms for the timely prediction of AF at 90 and 365 days post-LT. The study also aims (1) to validate the existing predictive models and (2) to investigate the best time for re-transplantation, paying attention to the differences in AF and Ischemic cholangiopathy according to the donor types and mitigation strategies implemented in the various settings. Since the adoption of machine perfusion has increased in different proportions worldwide, models will be adjusted according to this parameter. Finally, retrospective and prospective data will be available for further stratifications and modelling according to the degree of decompensation at transplant, gender match, postoperative complications and their management. This protocol was approved by Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS Ethics Committee (study ID: 4571) and the Institutional Review Board of the University of California, Los Angeles. The provisional study protocol was submitted to the main scientific international societies in the transplant field. Results will be published in international peer-reviewed journals and presented at congresses.

Reply to Riva et al. Comment on "Gaspari et al. Blood Purification in Hepatic Dysfunction after Liver Transplant or Extensive Hepatectomy: Far from the Best-Case Scenarios. J. Clin. Med. 2024, 13, 2853"

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Role of the Lymphocyte Count-to-C-Reactive Protein Ratio in the Risk Stratification for High EASE Scores After Living Donor Liver Transplantation: A Retrospective Observational Cohort Study

Background: Early allograft failure (EAF) significantly contributes to mortality, necessitating re-transplantation following liver transplantation. The EAF simplified estimation (EASE) score has been recently developed to predict EAF. We aimed to assess the predictive capacity of high EASE scores for EAF and postoperative outcomes and to evaluate the association between the lymphocyte count-to-C-reactive protein ratio (LCR) and high EASE scores after living donor liver transplantation (LDLT). Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the data of 808 patients who underwent LDLT. After excluding 16 patients with incomplete laboratory data, the final cohort included 792 patients. Patients with EASE scores ≥-0.74 were categorized into the high EASE group. Multivariate logistic regression was used to examine the association between the LCR and high EASE scores. Results: High EASE scores demonstrated superior predictive accuracy for EAF development relative to that of the early allograft dysfunction (EAD) model (p = 0.018) and were more closely associated with overall mortality (p = 0.033). A preoperative LCR < 12.7 significantly increased the odds (odds ratio, 3.3; confidence interval, 1.997-5.493) of exhibiting high EASE scores post-LDLT, alongside preoperative hematocrit levels, operative duration, intraoperative continuous renal replacement therapy, administered calcium dose, mean heart rate, and donor age. Conclusions: The EASE score could offer enhanced utility for predicting EAF and overall mortality following LDLT relative to that of EAD. Identifying and managing risk factors, including low LCR values, for elevated EASE scores is essential for improving patient prognoses.

Multinational Analysis of Marginal Liver Grafts Based on the Eurotransplant Extended Donor Criteria

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the outcome of marginal liver grafts based on the Eurotransplant extended criteria donor (ECD) criteria.

BACKGROUND

Eurotransplant uses a broad definition of ECD criteria (age >65 years, steatosis >40%, body mass index >30 kg/m 2 , intensive care unit stay >7 days, donation after circulatory death, and certain laboratory parameters) for allocating organs to recipients who have consented to marginal grafts. Historically, marginal liver grafts were associated with increased rates of dysfunction.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort analysis using the German Transplant Registry and the U.S. Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) from 2006 to 2016. Results were validated with recent SRTR data (2017-2022). Donors were classified according to the Eurotransplant ECD criteria, donation after circulatory death was excluded. Data were analyzed with cutoff prediction, binomial logistic regression, and multivariate Cox regression.

RESULTS

The study analyzed 92,330 deceased brain-dead donors (87% SRTR) and 70,374 transplants (87% SRTR) in adult recipients. Predominant ECD factors were donor age in Germany (30%) and body mass index in the United States (28%). Except for donor age, grafts meeting ECD criteria were not associated with impaired 1 or 3-year survival. Cutoffs had little to no predictive value for 30-day graft survival (area under the receiver operating curve: 0.49-0.52) and were nominally higher for age (72 vs 65 years) in Germany as compared with those defined by current Eurotransplant criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

The outcome of transplanted grafts from higher risk donors was nearly equal to standard donors with Eurotransplant criteria failing to predict survival of marginal grafts. Modifying ECD criteria could improve graft allocation and potentially expand the donor pool.

Blood Purification in Hepatic Dysfunction after Liver Transplant or Extensive Hepatectomy: Far from the Best-Case Scenarios

Background: Hepatic dysfunction (HD) after liver transplantation (LT) or extended hepatic resection (EHR) is associated with graft failure and high short-term mortality. We evaluated the safety and depurative efficacy of CytoSorb® in these settings. The primary endpoint was the change in serum total bilirubin at the end of the treatment compared to the baseline value. The secondary endpoint was to evaluate the trend of serum total bilirubin and coagulation parameters up to 72 h after discontinuation of CytoSorb®. The effects of CytoSorb® therapy on the degree of hepatic encephalopathy (HE), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores as well as the hemodynamic status compared to baseline were also assessed. Methods: Adult patients with a serum total bilirubin level > 10 mg/dL admitted to the Intensive Care Unit were included. Exclusion criteria were hemodynamic instability, postoperative bleeding and platelet count < 20,000/mm3. Results: Seven patients were treated. Serum total bilirubin was significantly reduced at the end of treatment. However, seventy-two hours after the discontinuation of extracorporeal therapy, bilirubin levels returned to baseline levels in four patients. A decrease in platelet count was found during therapy, and platelet transfusion was required in six cases. A significant increase in D-dimer at the end of treatment was detected. HE degree, SOFA and MELD scores remained stable, while a deterioration in hemodynamic status was observed in two cases. Conclusions: Our preliminary findings did not show the possible benefits of CytoSorb® in rebalancing clinical and laboratory parameters in patients with HD after LT or EHR.

L-GrAFT7 has High Accuracy in Predicting Early Allograft Failure after Liver Transplantation: A Multicenter Cohort Study in China

Background and Aims

Increasing utilization of extended criteria donor leads to an increasing rate of early allograft failure after liver transplantation. However, consensus of definition of early allograft failure is lacking.

Methods

A retrospective, multicenter study was performed to validate the Liver Graft Assessment Following Transplantation (L-GrAFT) risk model in a Chinese cohort of 942 adult patients undergoing primary liver transplantation at three Chinese centers. L-GrAFT (L-GrAFT7 and L-GrAFT10) was compared with existing models: the Early Allograft Failure Simplified Estimation (EASE) score, the model of early allograft function (MEAF), and the Early Allograft Dysfunction (EAD) model. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to find risk factors of L-GrAFT high-risk group.

Results

L-GrAFT7 had an area under the curve of 0.85 in predicting 90-day graft survival, significantly superior to MEAF [area under the curve (AUC=0.78, p=0.044)] and EAD (AUC=0.78, p=0.006), while there was no statistical significance between the predicting abilities of L-GrAFT7 and EASE (AUC=0.84, p>0.05). Furthermore, L-GrAFT7 maintains good predicting ability in the subgroup of high-donor risk index (DRI) cases (AUC=0.83 vs. MEAF, p=0.007 vs. EAD, p=0.014) and recipients of donors after cardiac death (AUC=0.92 vs. EAD, p<0.001). Through multivariate analysis, pretransplant bilirubin level, units of packed red blood cells, and the DRI score were selected as independent risk factors of a L-GrAFT7 high-risk group.

Conclusions

The accuracy of L-GrAFT7 in predicting early allograft failure was validated in a Chinese multicenter cohort, indicating that it has the potential to become an accurate endpoint of clinical practice and transitional study of machine perfusion.

Superiority of the new sex-adjusted models to remove the female disadvantage restoring equity in liver transplant allocation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) and MELDNa are used worldwide to guide graft allocation in liver transplantation (LT). Evidence exists that females are penalized in the present allocation systems. Recently, new sex-adjusted scores have been proposed with improved performance respect to MELD and MELDNa. GEMA-Na, MELD 3.0, and sex-adjusted MELDNa were developed to improve the 90-day dropout prediction from the list. The present study aimed at evaluating the accuracy and calibration of these scores in an Italian setting.

METHODS

The primary outcome of the present study was the dropout from the list up to 90 days because of death or clinical deterioration. We retrospectively analysed data from 855 adults enlisted for liver transplantation in the Lazio region (Italy) (2012-2018). Ninety-day prediction of GEMA-Na, MELD 3.0 and sex-adjusted MELDNa with respect to MELD and MELDNa was analysed. Brier score and Brier Skill score were used for accuracy, and the Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino test was used to evaluate the calibration of the models.

RESULTS

GEMA-Na (concordance = .82, 95% CI = .75-.89), MELD 3.0 (concordance = .81, 95% CI = .74-.87) and sex-adjusted MELDNa (concordance = .81, 95% CI = .74-.88) showed the best 90-day dropout prediction. GEMA-Na showed a higher increase in accuracy with respect to MELD (p = .03). No superiority was shown with respect to MELDNa. All the tested scores showed a good calibration of the models. Using GEMA-Na instead of MELD would potentially save one in nine dropouts and could save one dropout per 285 patients listed.

CONCLUSIONS

Validation and reclassification of the sex-adjusted score GEMA-Na confirm its superiority in predicting short-term dropout also in an Italian setting when compared with MELD.

Intensive Care Unit-Acquired Weakness after Liver Transplantation: Analysis of Seven Cases and a Literature Review

Intensive Care Unit (ICU)-Acquired Weakness (ICU-AW) is a generalized muscle weakness that is clinically detected in critical patients and has no plausible etiology other than critical illness. ICU-AW is uncommon in patients undergoing orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). Our report sheds light on the highest number of ICU-AW cases observed in a single center on OLT patients with early allograft dysfunction. Out of 282 patients who underwent OLT from January 2015 to June 2023, 7 (2.5%) developed generalized muscle weakness in the ICU and underwent neurophysiological investigations. The neurologic examination showed preserved extraocular, flaccid quadriplegia with the absence of deep tendon reflexes in all patients. Neurophysiological studies, including electromyography and nerve conduction studies, showed abnormalities with fibrillation potentials and the rapid recruitment of small polyphasic motor units in the examined muscles, as well as a reduced amplitude of the compound muscle action potential and sensory nerve action potential, with an absence of demyelinating features. Pre-transplant clinical status was critical in all patients. During ICU stay, early allograft dysfunction, acute kidney injury, prolonged mechanical ventilation, sepsis, hyperglycemia, and high blood transfusions were observed in all patients. Two patients were retransplanted. Five patients were alive at 90 days; two patients died. In non-cooperative OLT patients, neurophysiological investigations are essential for the diagnosis of ICU-AW. In this setting, the high number of red blood cell transfusions is a potential risk factor for ICU-AW.

Pulmonary artery catheter monitoring versus arterial waveform-based monitoring during liver transplantation: a retrospective cohort study

Although pulmonary artery catheter (PAC) has been used during liver transplantation surgery, the usefulness of PAC has rarely been investigated. We evaluated whether the use of PAC is associated with better clinical outcomes compared to arterial waveform-based monitoring after liver transplantation. A total of 1565 cases undergoing liver transplantation were reviewed. We determined whether patients received PAC or not and divided our cohort into the PAC with hemodynamic monitoring using PAC and the non-PAC with arterial waveform-based monitoring using FloTrac-Vigileo. Propensity score matching was performed. Acute kidney injury (AKI), early allograft dysfunction (EAD) and 1-year all-cause mortality or graft failure were compared in the matched cohorts. Logistic regression analysis was performed in the inverse probability of treatment-weighted (IPTW) cohort for postoperative EAD and AKI, respectively. Five-year overall survival was compared between the two groups. In the matched cohort, there was no significant difference in the incidence of AKI, EAD, length of hospital or ICU stay, and 1-year all-cause mortality between the groups. In the IPTW cohort, the use of PAC was not a significant predictor for AKI or EAD (AKI: odds ratio (95% confidence interval) of 1.20 (0.47-1.56), p = 0.229; EAD: 0.99 (0.38-1.14), p = 0.323). There was no significant difference in the survival between groups after propensity score matching (Log-rank test p = 0.578). In conclusion, posttransplant clinical outcomes were not significantly different between the groups with and without PAC. Anesthetic management without the use of PAC may be possible in low-risk patients during liver transplantation. The risk should be carefully assessed by considering MELD scores, ischemic time, surgical history, previous treatment of underlying liver disease, and degree of portal and pulmonary hypertension.Registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05457114 (registration date: July 15, 2022).

Exploring safety and efficacy of rivaroxaban after living donor liver transplantation: a retrospective study

PURPOSE

Thromboembolic complications remain a significant concern in postoperative patients, particularly those who have undergone liver transplantation. Warfarin has been the standard oral anticoagulant. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have several advantages over warfarin, including rapid onset of action and standardized dose guidelines. We aimed to assess the safety of rivaroxaban in living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) recipients.

METHODS

This study was a single-center, retrospective descriptive analysis of LDLT recipients who received rivaroxaban between December 2020 and April 2022. A total of 27 recipients received rivaroxaban postoperatively. Liver function tests, immunosuppression levels, serum creatinine, and INR were recorded before the initiation of rivaroxaban and then on post-therapy days 1, 7, 14, 28, 90, and 180.

RESULTS

Among the 27 recipients receiving rivaroxaban postoperatively, portal venous thrombosis was the most prevalent indication for anticoagulation (44.4%), followed by Budd-Chiari syndrome (29.6%). Nine patients had a twofold increase in either ALT or AST values, two of whom were treated for biliary strictures and the others for rejection. Eighteen patients were given tacrolimus, and eight were on cyclosporine, with one patient switched from tacrolimus to cyclosporine due to insufficient therapeutic levels. There were no incidents of bleeding or re-thrombosis during the 180-day follow-up period.

CONCLUSION

Rivaroxaban may be a safe and effective alternative in LDLT recipients with no significant adverse incidents. Further studies with larger sample sizes are needed to confirm these findings and determine this population's optimal dose and duration of rivaroxaban therapy.

Outcome of liver transplantation in elderly patients: an Italian multicenter case-control study

Despite the controversial results of liver transplantation (LT) in elderly recipients, the proportion of patients continues to increase. This study investigated the outcome of LT in elderly patients (≥ 65 years) in an Italian, multicenter cohort. Between January 2014 and December 2019, 693 eligible patients were transplanted, and two groups were compared: recipients ≥ 65 years (n = 174, 25.1%) versus 50-59 years (n = 519, 74.9%). Confounders were balanced using a stabilized inverse probability therapy weighting (IPTW). Elderly patients showed more frequent early allograft dysfunction (23.9 versus 16.8%, p = 0.04). Control patients had longer posttransplant hospital stays (median: 14 versus 13 days; p = 0.02), while no difference was observed for posttransplant complications (p = 0.20). At multivariable analysis, recipient age ≥ 65 years was an independent risk factor for patient death (HR  1.76; p = 0.002) and graft loss (HR  1.63; p = 0.005). The 3-month, 1-year, and 5-year patient survival rates were 82.6, 79.8, and 66.4% versus 91.1, 88.5, and 82.0% in the elderly and control group, respectively (log-rank p = 0.001). The 3-month, 1-year, and 5-year graft survival rates were 81.5, 78.7, and 66.0% versus 90.2, 87.2, and 79.9% in the elderly and control group, respectively (log-rank p = 0.003). Elderly patients with CIT > 420 min showed 3-month, 1-year, and 5-year patient survival rates of 75.7%, 72.8%, and 58.5% versus 90.4%, 86.5%, and 79.4% for controls (log-rank p = 0.001). LT in elderly (≥ 65 years) recipients provides favorable results, but inferior to those achieved in younger patients (50-59), especially when CIT > 7 h. Containment of cold ischemia time seems pivotal for favorable outcomes in this class of patients.

Validation of risk scores for allograft failure after liver transplantation in Germany: a retrospective cohort analysis

A growing number of clinical risk scores have been proposed to predict allograft failure after liver transplantation. However, validation of currently available scores in the Eurotransplant region is still lacking. We aimed to analyze all clinically relevant donor and recipient risk scores on a large German liver transplantation data set and performed a retrospective cohort analysis of liver transplantations performed at the Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin from January 2007 until December 2021 with organs from donation after brain death. We analyzed 9 previously published scores in 906 liver transplantations [Eurotransplant donor risk index (ET-DRI/DRI), donor age and model for end-stage liver disease (D-MELD), balance of risk (BAR), early allograft dysfunction (EAD), model for early allograft function (MEAF), liver graft assessment following transplantation (L-GrAFT7), early allograft failure simplified estimation (EASE), and a score by Rhu and colleagues). The EASE score had the best predictive value for 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month graft survival with a c-statistic of 0.8, 0.77, and 0.78, respectively. In subgroup analyses, the EASE score was suited best for male recipients with a high-MELD (>25) and an EAD organ. Scores only based on pretransplant data performed worse compared to scores including postoperative data (eg, ET-DRI vs. EAD, p<0.001 at 3-month graft survival). Out of these, the BAR score performed best with a c-statistic of 0.6. This a comprehensive comparison of the clinical utility of risk scores after liver transplantation. The EASE score sufficiently predicted 12-month graft and patient survival. Despite a relatively complex calculation, the EASE score provides significant prognostic value for patients and health care professionals in the Eurotransplant region.

The Need to Update Endpoints and Outcome Analysis in the Rapidly Changing Field of Liver Transplantation

Liver transplantation (LT) survival rates have continued to improve over the last decades, mostly due to the reduction of mortality early after transplantation. The advancement is facilitating a liberalization of access to LT, with more patients with higher risk profiles being added to the waiting list. At the same time, the persisting organ shortage fosters strategies to rescue organs of high-risk donors. This is facilitated by novel technologies such as machine perfusion. Owing to these developments, reconsideration of the current and emerging endpoints for the assessment of the efficacy of existing and new therapies is warranted. While conventional early endpoints in LT have focused on the damage induced to the parenchyma, the fate of the bile duct and the recurrence of the underlying disease have a stronger impact on the long-term outcome. In light of this evolving landscape, we here attempt to reflect on the appropriateness of the currently used endpoints in the field of LT trials.

Heterogeneous indications and the need for viability assessment: An international survey on the use of machine perfusion in liver transplantation

Although machine perfusion (MP) is being increasingly adopted in liver transplantation, indications, timing, and modality are debated. To investigate current indications for MP a web-based Google Forms survey was launched in January 2021 and addressed to 127 experts in the field, identified among first and corresponding Authors of MP literature in the last 10 years. The survey presented 10 real-life cases of donor-recipient matching, asking whether the liver would be accepted (Q1), whether MP would be used in that particular setting (Q2) and, if so, by which MP modality (Q3) and at what timing during preservation (Q4). Respondents could also comment on each case. The agreement was evaluated using Krippendorff's alpha coefficient. Answers from 39 (30.1%) participants disclosed significant heterogeneity in graft acceptance, MP indications, technique, and timing. Agreement between respondents was generally poor (Q1, α = 0.11; Q2, α = 0.14; Q3, α = 0.12, Q4, α = 0.11). Overall, respondents preferred hypothermic MP and an end-ischemic approach in 56.3% and 81.1% of cases, respectively. A total of 18 (46.2%) participants considered only one MP approach, whereas 17 (43.6%) and 3 (7.7%) considered using alternatively 2 or 3 different techniques. Of 38 comments, 17 (44.7%) were about the use of MP for graft viability assessment before implantation. This survey shows considerable variability in MP indications, emphasizing the need to identify scenarios of optimal utilization for each technique. Viability assessment emerges as a fundamental need of transplant professionals when considering the use of MP.

Treatment of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma-A Multidisciplinary Approach

Simple Summary

This review discusses multimodality treatment strategies for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCC). Surgical resection remains the only potentially curative therapeutic option and the central cornerstone of treatment. Adjuvant systemic treatment will be recommended after resection or in the palliative setting. Increasing knowledge of phenotypic subclassification and molecular profiling allows investigation of targeted therapies as (neo-)adjuvant treatment. High-dose brachytherapy, internal radiation therapy, and transarterial chemoembolization are among the interventional treatment options being evaluated for unresectable iCC. Given the multiple options of multidisciplinary management, any treatment strategy should be discussed in a multidisciplinary tumor board and treatment should be directed by a specialized treatment center.

Abstract

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCC) is distinguished as an entity from perihilar and distal cholangiocarcinoma and gallbladder carcinoma. Recently, molecular profiling and histopathological features have allowed further classification. Due to the frequent delay in diagnosis, the prognosis for iCC remains poor despite major technical advances and multimodal therapeutic approaches. Liver resection represents the therapeutic backbone and only curative treatment option, with the functional residual capacity of the liver and oncologic radicality being deciding factors for postoperative and long-term oncological outcome. Furthermore, in selected cases and depending on national guidelines, liver transplantation may be a therapeutic option. Given the often advanced tumor stage at diagnosis or the potential for postoperative recurrence, locoregional therapies have become increasingly important. These strategies range from radiofrequency ablation to transarterial chemoembolization to selective internal radiation therapy and can be used in combination with liver resection. In addition, adjuvant and neoadjuvant chemotherapies as well as targeted therapies and immunotherapies based on molecular profiles can be applied. This review discusses multimodal treatment strategies for iCC and their differential use.

Reassessment of Relevance and Predictive Value of Parameters Indicating Early Graft Dysfunction in Liver Transplantation: AST Is a Weak, but Bilirubin and INR Strong Predictors of Mortality

Introduction: Early graft dysfunction (EAD) complicates liver transplantation (LT). The aim of this analysis was to discriminate between the weight of each variable as for its predictive value toward patient and graft survival. Methods: We reviewed all LT performed at the Medical University of Innsbruck between 2007 and 2018. EAD was recorded when one of the following criteria was present: (i) aspartate aminotransferase (AST) levels >2,000 IU/L within the first 7 days, (ii) bilirubin levels ≥10mg/dL or (iii) international normalized ratio (INR) ≥1.6 on postoperative day 7. Results: Of 616 LT, 30.7% developed EAD. Patient survival did not differ significantly (P = 0.092; log rank-test = 2.87), graft survival was significantly higher in non-EAD patients (P = 0.008; log rank-test = 7.13). Bilirubin and INR on postoperative day 7 were identified as strong mortality predictors (Bilirubin HR = 1.71 [1.34, 2.16]; INR HR = 2.69 [0.51, 14.31]), in contrast to AST (HR = 0.91 [0.75, 1.10]). Similar results were achieved for graft loss estimation. A comparison with the Model for Early Allograft Function (MEAF) and the Liver Graft Assessment Following Transplantation (L-GrAFT) score identified a superior discrimination potential but lower specificity. Conclusion: Contrarily to AST, bilirubin and INR have strong predictive capacity for patient and graft survival. This fits well with the understanding, that bile duct injury and deprivation of synthetic function rather than hepatocyte injury are key factors in LT.