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Magnéli M, Axenhus M. Trend, disparities, and projection analysis of public data on shoulder fractures in Sweden: a retrospective analysis of two hundred and sixty two thousand, four hundred and forty four fractures. INTERNATIONAL ORTHOPAEDICS 2024; 48:3245-3251. [PMID: 39259280 PMCID: PMC11564266 DOI: 10.1007/s00264-024-06287-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2024] [Accepted: 08/17/2024] [Indexed: 09/13/2024]
Abstract
PURPOSE We aimed to identify temporal trends, seasonal changes and regional differences in shoulder fractures in Sweden during 2008-2022. METHODS Data from the Swedish National Board of Health and Welfare were used to assess incidence rates per 100,000 people, categorized by sex, age, and month. RESULTS Results showed an average of 17,496 fractures annually, with a decline in 2020 followed by a resurgence in 2021-2022. Elderly women, especially those over 65, had higher rates. Winter months exhibited increased incidence. CONCLUSIONS Projection analysis indicated a gradual decrease in fractures over the next 15 years. Understanding these patterns can inform preventive strategies and resource allocation for shoulder fractures in Sweden.
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Affiliation(s)
- Martin Magnéli
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Danderyd Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden
- Department of Clinical Sciences at Danderyd Hospital, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - Michael Axenhus
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Danderyd Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
- Department of Clinical Sciences at Danderyd Hospital, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
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2
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Lai B, Zhang S, Pan J, Li A, Guo D, Peng Z, Feng Q. Comparison between arthroplasty and non-operative treatment for proximal humeral fractures: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Front Med (Lausanne) 2024; 11:1436000. [PMID: 39309678 PMCID: PMC11413808 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2024.1436000] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/21/2024] [Accepted: 07/19/2024] [Indexed: 09/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Background The clinical efficacy of reverse shoulder arthroplasty (RSA), hemiarthroplasty (HA), and non-surgical management in the treatment of proximal humeral fractures (PHFs) is inconclusive. This systematic review and meta-analysis compared the clinical outcomes of arthroplasty and non-surgical management of PHFs. Methods The databases of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched on 5 May 2023 for studies comparing arthroplasty and non-surgical treatment of PHFs. Both randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and non-randomized controlled trials (nRCTs), were included. Standard methodological quality assessments were conducted for both types of studies. The primary outcome was the Constant-Murley Score (CMS) after surgical or non-surgical treatment. Secondary study outcomes included the visual analog scale (VAS), range of motion, and complications. All functional scores and complications were subjected to subgroup and sensitivity analyses. Results A total of four RCTs and six nRCTs were included in this study, which provided 508 patients in total for meta-analysis: 238 treated with arthroplasty and 270 treated non-surgically, of which 83 were treated with HA and 155 with RSA. All relevant information was collected, including functional scores, VAS, range of motion, and complications. The study found no significant difference in functional outcomes (mean difference, 2.82; 95% confidence interval, -0.49 to 6.14; P = 0.10; I 2 = 77%) and complications (mean difference, 1.08; 95% confidence interval, 0.51-2.25; P = 0.85; I 2 = 47%) between arthroplasty and non-surgical treatment. Both RCTs and nRCTs showed the same results. However, VAS scores were significantly lower in surgical treatment compared to non-surgical treatment. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses showed that RSA could achieve better functional scores than non-surgical treatment (mean difference, 6.00; 95% confidence interval, 1.97-10.03; P = 0.004; I 2 = 0%), while the results for HA were not significant (P > 0.05). Conclusion There were no significant differences in complications between arthroplasty and non-surgical treatment for PHFs. RSA could achieve better functional results than non-surgical treatment, while HA could only achieve better forward flexion.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Qinghui Feng
- The Affiliated Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
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McDonald BR, Vogrin S, Said CM. Factors affecting hospital admission, hospital length of stay and new discharge destination post proximal humeral fracture: a retrospective audit. BMC Geriatr 2024; 24:334. [PMID: 38609852 PMCID: PMC11015557 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-024-04928-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/07/2023] [Accepted: 03/28/2024] [Indexed: 04/14/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Outcomes following proximal humeral fracture (PHF) may be impacted by a range of clinical, fracture and premorbid factors. The aim of this study was to examine factors impacting hospital admission; length of stay (LOS) and new discharge destination for patients presenting to hospital with PHF. METHODS Retrospective audit conducted at a tertiary health service. Data was collected from adult patients presenting to hospital with a PHF over a 54-month period. Fractures that were pathological or sustained during admission were excluded. Univariable and multivariable logistic and negative binomial regression were used to explore factors associated with hospital admission, LOS and new discharge destination. RESULTS Data were analyzed from 701 participants (age 70 years (IQR 60, 81); 72.8% female); 276 (39.4%) participants required a hospital admission. New discharge destination was required for 109 (15.5%) participants, of whom 49 (45%) changed from home alone to home with family/friend(s). Greater comorbidities, as indicated by the Charlson Comorbidity Index score, were associated with hospital admission, longer LOS and new discharge destination. Premorbid living situations of home with family/friend(s) or from an external care facility were associated with a decreased likelihood of hospital admission, shorter LOS and reduced risk of a new discharge destination. Surgical treatment was associated with shorter LOS. Older age and dementia diagnosis were associated with a new discharge destination. CONCLUSIONS Many factors potentially impact on the likelihood or risk of hospitalization, LOS and new discharge destination post PHF. Patients with greater comorbidities are more likely to have negative outcomes, while patients who had premorbid living situations of home with family/friend(s) or from an external care facility are more likely to have positive outcomes. Early identification of factors that may impact patient outcomes may assist timely decision making in hospital settings. Further research should focus on developing tools to predict hospital outcomes in the PHF population.
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Affiliation(s)
- B R McDonald
- Department of Physiotherapy, Western Health, St Albans, VIC, Australia
- The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
| | - S Vogrin
- The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia
- Australian Institute for Musculoskeletal Science, St Alban, VIC, Australia
- Department of Medicine, Western Health, St Albans, VIC, Australia
| | - C M Said
- Department of Physiotherapy, Western Health, St Albans, VIC, Australia.
- The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
- Australian Institute for Musculoskeletal Science, St Alban, VIC, Australia.
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Papalia AG, Romeo PV, Kingery MT, Alben MG, Lin CC, Simcox TG, Zuckerman JD, Virk MS. Trends in the treatment of proximal humerus fractures from 2010 to 2020. J Shoulder Elbow Surg 2024; 33:e49-e57. [PMID: 37659703 DOI: 10.1016/j.jse.2023.07.038] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2023] [Revised: 07/24/2023] [Accepted: 07/29/2023] [Indexed: 09/04/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The incidence of proximal humerus fractures (PHF) is continuing to rise due to shifts towards a more aged population as well as advancements in surgical treatment options. The purpose of this study is to examine and compare trends in the treatment of PHFs (nonoperative vs. operative; different surgical treatments) across different age groups over the last decade (2010-2020). METHODS The New York Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System (SPARCS) database was queried using International Classification of Diseases and Current Procedural Terminology codes to identify all patients presenting with or undergoing surgery for PHF between 2010 and 2020. Treatment trends, demographics, and insurance information were analyzed during the study period. Comparisons were made between operative and nonoperative trends with respect to the number and type of surgeries performed among 3 age groups: ≤49 years, 50-64 years, and ≥65 years. The rate of postoperative complications and reoperations was evaluated and compared among different surgical treatments for patients with a minimum 1-year postoperative follow-up. RESULTS A total of 92,308 patients with a mean age of 67.8 ± 16.8 years were included. Over the last decade, there was no significant increase in the percentage of PHFs treated with surgery. A total of 15,523 PHFs (16.82%) were treated operatively, and these patients, compared with the nonoperative cohort, were younger (64.9 years vs. 68.4 years, P < .001), more likely to be White (80.2% vs. 74.7%, P < .001), and more likely to have private insurance (41.4% vs. 32.0%, P < .001). For patients ≤49 years old, trends in operative treatment have remained stable with internal fixation (IF) as the most used surgical modality. For patients 50-64 years old, we observed a gradual decline in the use of hemiarthroplasty (HA), with a corresponding increase in the use of reverse total shoulder arthroplasty (rTSA), but IF continued to be the most used operative modality. In patients over 65 years, a steep decline in the use of IF and HA was noted during the first half of the decade along with a significant exponential increase in the use of rTSA, which surpassed the use of IF in 2019. Despite the increase in the use of rTSA, no differences in rate of surgical complications were noted between rTSA and IF (χ2 = 0.245, P = .621) or reoperations (χ2 = 0.112, P = .730). CONCLUSION Nonsurgical treatment remains the mainstay treatment of PHFs. Although there is no increase in the prevalence of operative treatment in patients ≥50 years in the last decade, there is an exponential increase in the use of rTSA with a corresponding decrease in HA and IF, a trend more substantial in patients ≥65 years compared with patients between 50 and 64 years.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aidan G Papalia
- Division of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, NYU Langone Orthopedic Hospital, NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA
| | - Paul V Romeo
- Division of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, NYU Langone Orthopedic Hospital, NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA
| | - Matthew T Kingery
- Division of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, NYU Langone Orthopedic Hospital, NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA
| | - Matthew G Alben
- Division of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, NYU Langone Orthopedic Hospital, NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA
| | - Charles C Lin
- Division of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, NYU Langone Orthopedic Hospital, NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA
| | - Trevor G Simcox
- Division of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, NYU Langone Orthopedic Hospital, NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA
| | - Joseph D Zuckerman
- Division of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, NYU Langone Orthopedic Hospital, NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA
| | - Mandeep S Virk
- Division of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery, Department of Orthopedic Surgery, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, NYU Langone Orthopedic Hospital, NYU Langone Health, New York, NY, USA.
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5
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Chua N, Onggo JR, Nambiar M, Onggo JD, Wang KK, Pennington R, Hau R. Functional outcomes of reverse total shoulder arthroplasty in Boileau class 1 and class 2 proximal humeral fracture sequelae: A meta-analysis and systematic review. Shoulder Elbow 2023; 15:43-53. [PMID: 37974647 PMCID: PMC10649513 DOI: 10.1177/17585732221088496] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2021] [Revised: 01/23/2022] [Accepted: 02/08/2022] [Indexed: 11/19/2023]
Abstract
Background Reverse total shoulder arthroplasty (RTSA) is an increasingly popular salvage treatment option for proximal humeral fracture (PHF) sequelae. This meta-analysis aimed to conduct a pooled analysis of functional outcomes of RTSA in PHF sequelae, with subgroup analysis comparing between intracapsular (Class 1) and extracapsular (Class 2) PHF sequelae. Methods A multi-database search (PubMed, OVID, EMBASE) was performed according to PRISMA guidelines on 27th July 2020. Data from all published literature meeting inclusion criteria were extracted and analysed. Findings Eleven studies were included, comprising 359 shoulders (167 Class 1 and 192 Class 2). The mean age was 68.2 years, and the mean time between injury and surgery was 49 months, (1-516 months). Constant score and forward flexion improved by 31.8 (95%CI: 30.5-33.1, p < 0.001) and 60o (95%CI: 58o-62o, p < 0.001) respectively between pre-operative and post-operative values for both groups. Constant scores were better in Class 1 patients (MD = 3.60, 95%CI: 1.0-6.2, p < 0.001) pre-operatively and post-operatively (MD = 7.4, 95%CI: 5.8-9.0, p < 0.001). Forward flexion was significantly better in Class 1 patients (MD = 13o, 95%CI: 7o-17o, p < 0.001) pre-operatively, but was slightly better in Class 2 patients post-operatively (MD = 7o, 95%CI: 4o-10o, p < 0.001). Overall complication rate was 16.8%. Conclusion Salvage RTSA is effective for PHF sequelae, with multiple factors contributing to the high complication rate.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nina Chua
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Box Hill Hospital, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
| | - James R Onggo
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Box Hill Hospital, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
- Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
| | - Mithun Nambiar
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Box Hill Hospital, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
- Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
| | - Jason D Onggo
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Kemble K Wang
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Box Hill Hospital, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
- Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Royal Children’s Hospital, Victoria, Australia
- Epworth Eastern Hospital, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
- Monash University, Eastern Health Clinical School, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
| | - Richard Pennington
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Box Hill Hospital, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
- Epworth Eastern Hospital, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
| | - Raphael Hau
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Box Hill Hospital, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
- Epworth Eastern Hospital, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
- Monash University, Eastern Health Clinical School, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
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Nugteren LH, Van Lieshout EM, Den Hartog D. Why treatment of proximal humeral fractures remains unresolved despite randomized trials. Injury 2023; 54 Suppl 5:110834. [PMID: 37268532 DOI: 10.1016/j.injury.2023.05.065] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2023] [Revised: 05/16/2023] [Accepted: 05/17/2023] [Indexed: 06/04/2023]
Abstract
Most proximal humeral fractures can be treated nonoperatively, but there are specific indications to perform surgery for some of these fractures. Optimal treatment remains subject to debate, since no consensus has been reached for the best therapy for these fractures. This review provides an overview of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing treatment for proximal humeral fractures. Fourteen RCTs comparing different operative and nonoperative types of treatment for PHF are included. Different RCTs comparing the same interventions for PHF have drawn different conclusions. It also highlights reasons why consensus has not been reached based on these data, and how this could be addressed in future research. Previous RCTs have included different patient groups and fracture patterns, may have been prone to selection bias, often were underpowered for subgroup analysis, and showed inconsistency in the outcome measures used. Based on this, and appreciating that treatment may be tailored to specific fracture types and patient characteristic like age, a better way to move forward could be to use a (international) multicenter prospective cohort study. Such a registry-type study should use accurate patient selection and enrollment, well-defined fracture patterns, standardized surgical techniques performed according to the preferences of the surgeon, and with a standardized follow-up.
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Affiliation(s)
- Leendert Ht Nugteren
- Trauma Research Unit Department of Surgery, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Esther Mm Van Lieshout
- Trauma Research Unit Department of Surgery, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands
| | - Dennis Den Hartog
- Trauma Research Unit Department of Surgery, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, P.O. Box 2040, 3000 CA Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
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7
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Oeding JF, Lu Y, Pareek A, Marigi EM, Okoroha KR, Barlow JD, Camp CL, Sanchez-Sotelo J. Understanding risk for early dislocation resulting in reoperation within 90 days of reverse total shoulder arthroplasty: extreme rare event detection through cost-sensitive machine learning. J Shoulder Elbow Surg 2023; 32:e437-e450. [PMID: 36958524 DOI: 10.1016/j.jse.2023.03.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2022] [Revised: 02/07/2023] [Accepted: 03/18/2023] [Indexed: 03/25/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Reliable prediction of postoperative dislocation after reverse total shoulder arthroplasty (RSA) would inform patient counseling as well as surgical and postoperative decision making. Understanding interactions between multiple risk factors is important to identify those patients most at risk of this rare but costly complication. To better understand these interactions, a game theory-based approach was undertaken to develop machine learning models capable of predicting dislocation-related 90-day readmission following RSA. MATERIAL & METHODS A retrospective review of the Nationwide Readmissions Database was performed to identify patients who underwent RSA between 2016 and 2018 with a subsequent readmission for prosthetic dislocation. Of the 74,697 index procedures included in the data set, 740 (1%) experienced a dislocation resulting in hospital readmission within 90 days. Five machine learning algorithms were evaluated for their ability to predict dislocation leading to hospital readmission within 90 days of RSA. Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) values were calculated for the top-performing models to quantify the importance of features and understand variable interaction effects, with hierarchical clustering used to identify cohorts of patients with similar risk factor combinations. RESULTS Of the 5 models evaluated, the extreme gradient boosting algorithm was the most reliable in predicting dislocation (C statistic = 0.71, F2 score = 0.07, recall = 0.84, Brier score = 0.21). SHAP value analysis revealed multifactorial explanations for dislocation risk, with presence of a preoperative humerus fracture; disposition involving discharge or transfer to a skilled nursing facility, intermediate care facility, or other nonroutine facility; and Medicaid as the expected primary payer resulting in strong, positive, and unidirectional effects on increasing dislocation risk. In contrast, factors such as comorbidity burden, index procedure complexity and duration, age, sex, and presence or absence of preoperative glenohumeral osteoarthritis displayed bidirectional influences on risk, indicating potential protective effects for these variables and opportunities for risk mitigation. Hierarchical clustering using SHAP values identified patients with similar risk factor combinations. CONCLUSION Machine learning can reliably predict patients at risk for postoperative dislocation resulting in hospital readmission within 90 days of RSA. Although individual risk for dislocation varies significantly based on unique combinations of patient characteristics, SHAP analysis revealed a particularly at-risk cohort consisting of young, male patients with high comorbidity burdens who are indicated for RSA after a humerus fracture. These patients may require additional modifications in postoperative activity, physical therapy, and counseling on risk-reducing measures to prevent early dislocation after RSA.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jacob F Oeding
- Mayo Clinic Alix School of Medicine, Rochester, MN, USA; Oslo Sports Trauma Research Center, Norwegian School of Sport Sciences, Oslo, Norway.
| | - Yining Lu
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Ayoosh Pareek
- Oslo Sports Trauma Research Center, Norwegian School of Sport Sciences, Oslo, Norway; Department of Orthopedic Surgery and Sports Medicine, Hospital for Special Surgery, New York, NY, USA
| | - Erick M Marigi
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
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8
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Cheng T, Galicia K, Patel PP, Anstadt MJ, Gonzalez RP, Kubasiak J. A nationwide analysis of geriatric proximal humerus fractures: trends, outcomes, and cost. Trauma Surg Acute Care Open 2023; 8:e001055. [PMID: 37533777 PMCID: PMC10391795 DOI: 10.1136/tsaco-2022-001055] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/04/2022] [Accepted: 06/16/2023] [Indexed: 08/04/2023] Open
Abstract
Background In the USA, proximal humerus fractures (PHF) are the third most common fracture among the elderly. Although most geriatric PHF are treated conservatively, surgical management remains an option. This retrospective study compares annual trends, patient outcomes, and hospital costs between operatively and non-operatively managed geriatric PHF. Methods The Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project Nationwide Inpatient Sample was queried from 2012 to 2015. Geriatric patients with PHF were identified and those who underwent operative or non-operative management were compared in trends, outcomes and costs. Results In total, 137 810 patients met inclusion criteria, of which 51 795 (37.6%) underwent operative management. The operative cohort was younger (76.6 vs 80.9, p<0.001) with a greater proportion of females (81.8% vs 77.6%, p<0.001). The operative cohort demonstrated less frailty and lower Elixhauser Comorbidity Scores (both p<0.001). The operative cohort was also more likely to be discharged home (30.4% vs 13.9%, p<0.001). There was no significant linear trend in age-adjusted and sex-adjusted proportions of operative versus non-operative geriatric PHF (p=0.071), but a positive linear trend was statistically significant for total cost of operative geriatric PHF (p<0.001). Multivariable analyses demonstrated similar overall complication rates between cohorts (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.00; p=0.06), although surgical intervention increased length of stay (LOS) by 0.15 days (95% CI 0.03 to 0.27; p<0.001) and median cost of hospitalization by US$10 684 (95% CI US$10 384 to US$10 984; p<0.001). Conclusions This study identifies a positive linear trend in total cost of operatively managed geriatric PHF from 2012 to 2015. Operative management of geriatric PHF is associated with a similar overall complication rate and greater likelihood of being discharged home. Although non-operative management is associated with decreased LOS and hospital expenses, providers should consider surgical PHF treatment options when available and appropriate in the context of patient-focused outcomes, particularly long-term disposition after intervention. Level of Evidence This level IV retrospective study identifies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Teresa Cheng
- Department of Surgery, Loyola University Chicago Stritch School of Medicine, Maywood, Illinois, USA
| | - Kevin Galicia
- Department of Surgery, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, Illinois, USA
- Burn and Shock Trauma Research Institute, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, Illinois, USA
| | - Purvi P Patel
- Department of Surgery, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, Illinois, USA
| | - Michael J Anstadt
- Department of Surgery, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, Illinois, USA
| | - Richard P Gonzalez
- Department of Surgery, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, Illinois, USA
- Burn and Shock Trauma Research Institute, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, Illinois, USA
| | - John Kubasiak
- Department of Surgery, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, Illinois, USA
- Burn and Shock Trauma Research Institute, Loyola University Medical Center, Maywood, Illinois, USA
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9
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Walter N, Szymski D, Riedl M, Kurtz SM, Alt V, Lowenberg DW, Lau EC, Rupp M. Proximal Humerus Fractures in the Elderly U.S. Population: A Cross-Sectional Study of Treatment Trends and Comparison of Complication Rates after Joint Replacement, Open Reduction and Internal Fixation, and Non-Surgical Management. J Clin Med 2023; 12:jcm12103506. [PMID: 37240612 DOI: 10.3390/jcm12103506] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/19/2023] [Revised: 05/05/2023] [Accepted: 05/15/2023] [Indexed: 05/28/2023] Open
Abstract
Proximal humerus fracture (PHF) treatment remains challenging. Multiple therapy options exist, and the optimal choice of management has been increasingly discussed in the literature. The aim of this study was to (1) analyze trends in the propensity of proximal humerus fracture treatments and (2) compare complication rates after joint replacement, surgical repair, and non-surgical treatment in terms of mechanical complications, union failure, and infection rates. In this cross-sectional study, patients aged 65 years or older with proximal humerus fractures occurring between 1 January 2009 and 31 December 2019 were identified from Medicare physician service claims records. The Kaplan-Meier method with the Fine and Gray adjustment was used to calculate the cumulative incidence rates for malunion/nonunion, infection, and mechanical complications for the following treatment categories: shoulder arthroplasty, open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF), and non-surgical treatment, respectively. Semiparametric Cox regression was performed incorporating 23 demographic, clinical, and socioeconomic covariates to determine risk factors. Between 2009 through 2019, conservative procedures decreased by 0.9%. ORIF procedures decreased from 9.51% (95% CI: 8.7-10.4) to 6.95% (95% CI: 6.2-7.7), whereas shoulder arthroplasties rose from 1.99% (95% CI: 1.6-2.4), to 5.45% (95% CI: 4.8-6.2). PHFs managed through ORIF were associated with higher union failure rates compared to conservatively treated fractures (HR = 1.31, 95% CI: 1.15-1.5, p < 0.001). The risk of developing an infection was increased after joint replacement compared to ORIF (2.66% vs. 1.09%, HR = 2.09, 95% CI: 1.46-2.98, p < 0.001). Mechanical complications were more common after joint replacement (6.37% vs. 4.85%, HR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.32-2.09, p < 0.001). Complication rates differed significantly across treatment modalities. This should be considered when choosing a management procedure. Vulnerable elderly patient cohorts could be identified, and the optimization of modifiable risk factors might lead to a decrease of complication rates in both surgically and non-surgically treated patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nike Walter
- Department of Trauma Surgery, University Medical Center Regensburg, 93053 Regensburg, Germany
- Department of Psychosomatic Medicine, University Medical Center Regensburg, 93053 Regensburg, Germany
| | - Dominik Szymski
- Department of Trauma Surgery, University Medical Center Regensburg, 93053 Regensburg, Germany
| | - Moritz Riedl
- Department of Trauma Surgery, University Medical Center Regensburg, 93053 Regensburg, Germany
| | - Steven M Kurtz
- Implant Research Center, Drexel University, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA
| | - Volker Alt
- Department of Trauma Surgery, University Medical Center Regensburg, 93053 Regensburg, Germany
| | - David W Lowenberg
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA 94063, USA
| | | | - Markus Rupp
- Department of Trauma Surgery, University Medical Center Regensburg, 93053 Regensburg, Germany
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10
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Medicaid insurance is associated with treatment disparities for proximal humerus fractures in a national database analysis. J Shoulder Elbow Surg 2022:S1058-2746(22)00909-0. [PMID: 36581135 DOI: 10.1016/j.jse.2022.11.016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/11/2022] [Revised: 11/02/2022] [Accepted: 11/13/2022] [Indexed: 12/27/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Proximal humerus fractures (PHFs) are the third most common type of fragility fracture in the elderly and are increasing in incidence. Disparities in treatment type, time to surgery (TTS), and complications based upon insurance type have been identified for other orthopedic conditions. Given the incidence and burden of PHFs, we sought to evaluate if insurance type was associated with treatment received, TTS, and complications in the treatment of PHFs. METHODS We used PearlDiver, a national administrative claims database that consists of 122 million patient records. Patients diagnosed with an isolated PHF between 2010 and 2019 were identified by International Classification of Diseases, Ninth and Tenth Revision diagnostic codes and stratified by insurance type (Medicaid, private, or Medicare). Outcomes evaluated were rate of surgery within 3 months of diagnosis with open reduction and internal fixation, hemiarthroplasty, or reverse shoulder arthroplasty; average TTS; 90-day readmissions and medical postoperative complications (deep vein thrombosis, urinary tract infection, pneumonia, sepsis, acute respiratory failure, cerebrovascular event, and acute renal failure); and 1-year surgical postoperative complications (stiffness, noninfectious wound complications, dislocation, and infection). Multivariable logistic regressions adjusting for age, sex, and Elixhauser comorbidity index were utilized to determine the association between insurance type and surgery rate/complications. RESULTS We included 245,396 patients for analysis. Fourteen percent of Medicaid patients (1789/12,498) underwent surgery compared to 17% (25,347/149,830) of privately insured patients and 16% (13,305/83,068) of Medicare patients (pairwise, P < .001). TTS (Medicaid: 11.7 days, private: 10.6 days [P < .001]; Medicare: 10.7 days [P = .003]) varied by insurance type. Private or Medicare-insured patients were less likely to be readmitted (adjusted odds ratio: 0.77 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.63-0.93] for private vs. Medicaid and 0.71 [95% CI: 0.59-0.88] for Medicare vs. Medicaid) and experienced fewer 90-day postoperative complications (adjusted odds ratio: 0.73 [95% CI: 0.62-0.85] for private vs. Medicaid, 0.65 [95% CI: 0.55-0.77] for Medicare vs. Medicaid), such as acute renal failure. TTS was also associated with differing rates of readmissions and complications. CONCLUSION There are differences in rates of surgery, TTS, and complications after PHFs based on insurance type, representing opportunities for quality improvement initiatives. Potential methods to address these disparities include implementing standardized PHF protocols and/or reimbursement models and quality metrics that reward equitable treatment. Further research and policy adaptations should be incorporated to decrease barriers that patients face and minimize health care inequities seen in the treatment of PHFs based on insurance type.
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Welch JM, Zhuang T, Shapiro LM, Gardner MJ, Xiao M, Kamal RN. Cost minimization analysis of the treatment of olecranon fracture in elderly patients: a retrospective analysis. CURRENT ORTHOPAEDIC PRACTICE 2022; 33:559-564. [PMID: 36873608 PMCID: PMC9977169 DOI: 10.1097/bco.0000000000001167] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
Background Operative treatment of olecranon fractures in the elderly can lead to greater complications with similar outcomes to nonoperative treatment. The purpose of this study was to analyze cost differences between operative and nonoperative management of isolated closed olecranon fractures in elderly patients. Methods Using a United States Medicare claims database, the authors identified 570 operative and 1,863 nonoperative olecranon fractures between 2005 and 2014. The authors retrospectively determined cost of treatment from the payer perspective for a 1-year period after initial injury, including any surgical procedure, emergency room care, follow-up care, physical therapy, and management of complications. Results One year after diagnosis, mean costs per patient were higher for operative treatment (United States dollars [US$]10,694 vs US$2,544). 31.05% of operative cases were associated with a significant complication compared with 4.35% of nonoperative cases. When excluding complications, mean costs per patient were still higher for operative treatment ($7,068 vs $2,320). Conclusions These findings show that nonoperative management for olecranon fractures in the elderly population leads to fewer complications and is less costly. Nonoperative management may be a higher-value management option for this patient population. These results will help inform management of olecranon fractures as payers shift toward value-based reimbursement models in which quality of care and cost influence surgical decision making. Level of Evidence Level IV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jessica M. Welch
- VOICES Health Policy Research Center, Stanford University, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Redwood City, CA
| | - Thompson Zhuang
- VOICES Health Policy Research Center, Stanford University, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Redwood City, CA
| | - Lauren M. Shapiro
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | - Michael J Gardner
- VOICES Health Policy Research Center, Stanford University, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Redwood City, CA
| | - Michelle Xiao
- VOICES Health Policy Research Center, Stanford University, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Redwood City, CA
| | - Robin N. Kamal
- VOICES Health Policy Research Center, Stanford University, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Redwood City, CA
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Handoll HH, Elliott J, Thillemann TM, Aluko P, Brorson S. Interventions for treating proximal humeral fractures in adults. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2022; 6:CD000434. [PMID: 35727196 PMCID: PMC9211385 DOI: 10.1002/14651858.cd000434.pub5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Fractures of the proximal humerus, often termed shoulder fractures, are common injuries, especially in older people. The management of these fractures varies widely, including in the use of surgery. This is an update of a Cochrane Review first published in 2001 and last updated in 2015. OBJECTIVES To assess the effects (benefits and harms) of treatment and rehabilitation interventions for proximal humeral fractures in adults. SEARCH METHODS We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), MEDLINE, Embase, trial registries, and bibliographies of trial reports and systematic reviews to September 2020. We updated this search in November 2021, but have not yet incorporated these results. SELECTION CRITERIA We included randomised and quasi-randomised controlled trials that compared non-pharmacological interventions for treating acute proximal humeral fractures in adults. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Pairs of review authors independently selected studies, assessed risk of bias and extracted data. We pooled data where appropriate and used GRADE for assessing the certainty of evidence for each outcome. We prepared a brief economic commentary for one comparison. MAIN RESULTS We included 47 trials (3179 participants, mostly women and mainly aged 60 years or over) that tested one of 26 comparisons. Six comparisons were tested by 2 to 10 trials, the others by small single-centre trials only. Twelve studies evaluated non-surgical treatments, 10 compared surgical with non-surgical treatments, 23 compared two methods of surgery, and two tested timing of mobilisation after surgery. Most trials were at high risk of bias, due mainly to lack of blinding. We summarise the findings for four key comparisons below. Early (usually one week post injury) versus delayed (after three or more weeks) mobilisation for non-surgically-treated fractures Five trials (350 participants) made this comparison; however, the available data are very limited. Due to very low-certainty evidence from single trials, we are uncertain of the findings of better shoulder function at one year in the early mobilisation group, or the findings of little or no between-group difference in function at 3 or 24 months. Likewise, there is very low-certainty evidence of no important between-group difference in quality of life at one year. There was one reported death and five serious shoulder complications (1.9% of 259 participants), spread between the two groups, that would have required substantive treatment. Surgical versus non-surgical treatment Ten trials (717 participants) evaluated surgical intervention for displaced fractures (66% were three- or four-part fractures). There is high-certainty evidence of no clinically important difference between surgical and non-surgical treatment in patient-reported shoulder function at one year (standardised mean difference (SMD) 0.10, 95% confidence interval (CI) -0.07 to 0.27; 7 studies, 552 participants) and two years (SMD 0.06, 95% CI -0.13 to 0.25; 5 studies, 423 participants). There is moderate-certainty evidence of no clinically important between-group difference in patient-reported shoulder function at six months (SMD 0.17, 95% CI -0.04 to 0.38; 3 studies, 347 participants). There is high-certainty evidence of no clinically important between-group difference in quality of life at one year (EQ-5D (0: dead to 1: best quality): mean difference (MD) 0.01, 95% CI -0.02 to 0.04; 6 studies, 502 participants). There is low-certainty evidence of little between-group difference in mortality: one of the 31 deaths was explicitly linked with surgery (risk ratio (RR) 1.35, 95% CI 0.70 to 2.62; 8 studies, 646 participants). There is low-certainty evidence of a higher risk of additional surgery in the surgery group (RR 2.06, 95% CI 1.21 to 3.51; 9 studies, 667 participants). Based on an illustrative risk of 35 subsequent operations per 1000 non-surgically-treated patients, this indicates an extra 38 subsequent operations per 1000 surgically-treated patients (95% CI 8 to 94 more). Although there was low-certainty evidence of a higher overall risk of adverse events after surgery, the 95% CI also includes a slightly increased risk of adverse events after non-surgical treatment (RR 1.46, 95% CI 0.92 to 2.31; 3 studies, 391 participants). Open reduction and internal fixation with a locking plate versus a locking intramedullary nail Four trials (270 participants) evaluated surgical intervention for displaced fractures (63% were two-part fractures). There is low-certainty evidence of no clinically important between-group difference in shoulder function at one year (SMD 0.15, 95% CI -0.12 to 0.41; 4 studies, 227 participants), six months (Disability of the Arm, Shoulder, and Hand questionnaire (0 to 100: worst disability): MD -0.39, 95% CI -4.14 to 3.36; 3 studies, 174 participants), or two years (American Shoulder and Elbow Surgeons score (ASES) (0 to 100: best outcome): MD 3.06, 95% CI -0.05 to 6.17; 2 studies, 101 participants). There is very low-certainty evidence of no between-group difference in quality of life (1 study), and of little difference in adverse events (4 studies, 250 participants) and additional surgery (3 studies, 193 participants). Reverse total shoulder arthroplasty (RTSA) versus hemiarthroplasty There is very low-certainty evidence from two trials (161 participants with either three- or four-part fractures) of no or minimal between-group differences in self-reported shoulder function at one year (1 study) or at two to three years' follow-up (2 studies); or in quality of life at one year or at two or more years' follow-up (1 study). Function at six months was not reported. Of 10 deaths reported by one trial (99 participants), one appeared to be surgery-related. There is very low-certainty evidence of a lower risk of complications after RTSA (2 studies). Ten people (6.2% of 161 participants) had a reoperation; all eight cases in the hemiarthroplasty group received a RTSA (very low-certainty evidence). AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS There is high- or moderate-certainty evidence that, compared with non-surgical treatment, surgery does not result in a better outcome at one and two years after injury for people with displaced proximal humeral fractures. It may increase the need for subsequent surgery. The evidence is absent or insufficient for people aged under 60 years, high-energy trauma, two-part tuberosity fractures or less common fractures, such as fracture dislocations and articular surface fractures. There is insufficient evidence from randomised trials to inform the choices between different non-surgical, surgical or rehabilitation interventions for these fractures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Helen Hg Handoll
- Division of Musculoskeletal and Dermatological Sciences, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- Department of Orthopaedics and Trauma, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Joanne Elliott
- Division of Musculoskeletal and Dermatological Sciences, The University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Theis M Thillemann
- Department of Orthopaedics, Shoulder and Elbow Unit, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus N, Denmark
| | - Patricia Aluko
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Innovation Observatory, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
| | - Stig Brorson
- Centre for Evidence-Based Orthopaedics, Zealand University Hospital and Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
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Acute Versus Delayed Reverse Shoulder Arthroplasty for the Primary Treatment of Proximal Humeral Fractures. J Am Acad Orthop Surg 2021; 29:832-839. [PMID: 33826552 DOI: 10.5435/jaaos-d-20-01375] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2020] [Accepted: 03/14/2021] [Indexed: 02/01/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Reverse total shoulder arthroplasty (rTSA) is gaining popularity as a treatment option for proximal humeral fractures in elderly patients. The impact of surgical timing on outcomes of primary rTSA is unclear. This study compared the rates of revision and complication, and surgery day cost of treatment between acute and delayed primary rTSA patients. METHODS Elderly patients with proximal humeral fracture who underwent primary rTSA within a year of fracture were identified in a national insurance database from 2005 to 2014. Patients were separated into acute (<4 weeks) or delayed (>4 weeks) cohorts based on the timing of rTSA. The univariate 1-year rates of revision and complication and surgery day cost of treatment were assessed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted, accounting for the factors of age, sex, obesity, diabetes comorbidity, and tobacco use. RESULTS Four thousand two hundred forty-five (82.6%) acute and 892 (17.4%) delayed primary rTSA patients were identified. Acute rTSA was associated with a higher surgery day cost (acute $15,770 ± $8,383, delayed $14,586 ± $7,271; P < 0.001). Delayed rTSA resulted in a higher 1-year revision rate (acute 1.7%, delayed 4.5%; P < 0.001) and surgical complication rates of dislocation (acute 2.8%, delayed 6.1%; P < 0.001) and mechanical complications (acute 1.9%, delayed 3.4%; P = 0.007). Multivariate analysis identified delayed primary treatment as independently associated with increased risk of revision (odds ratio: 2.29, 95% confidence interval 1.53 to 3.40; P < 0.001) and dislocation (OR: 2.05, 95% confidence interval 1.45 to 2.86; P < 0.001). CONCLUSION Delayed primary rTSA was associated with higher short-term rates of revision and dislocation compared with acute primary rTSA. Our results suggest that delaying rTSA, whether because of attempted nonsurgical treatment or patients' lack of access, may result in increased complication and additional surgery. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Level III.
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Voss A, Pfeifer CG, Kerschbaum M, Rupp M, Angele P, Alt V. Post-operative septic arthritis after arthroscopy: modern diagnostic and therapeutic concepts. Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc 2021; 29:3149-3158. [PMID: 33755737 PMCID: PMC8458194 DOI: 10.1007/s00167-021-06525-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/06/2021] [Accepted: 02/26/2021] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Septic arthritis is a significant complication following arthroscopic surgery, with an estimated overall incidence of less than 1%. Despite the low incidence, an appropriate diagnostic and therapeutic pathway is required to avoid serious long-term consequences, eradicate the infection, and ensure good treatment outcomes. The aim of this current review article is to summarize evidence-based literature regarding diagnostic and therapeutic options of post-operative septic arthritis after arthroscopy. METHODS Through a literature review, up-to-date treatment algorithms and therapies have been identified. Additionally, a supportive new algorithm is proposed for diagnosis and treatment of suspected septic arthritis following arthroscopic intervention. RESULTS A major challenge in diagnostics is the differentiation of the post-operative status between a non-infected hyperinflammatory joint versus septic arthritis, due to clinical symptoms, (e.g., rubor, calor, or tumor) can appear identical. Therefore, joint puncture for microbiological evaluation, especially for fast leukocyte cell-count diagnostics, is advocated. A cell count of more than 20.000 leukocyte/µl with more than 70% of polymorphonuclear cells is the generally accepted threshold for septic arthritis. CONCLUSION The therapy is based on arthroscopic or open surgical debridement for synovectomy and irrigation of the joint, in combination with an adequate antibiotic therapy for 6-12 weeks. Removal of indwelling hardware, such as interference screws for ACL repair or anchors for rotator cuff repair, is recommended in chronic cases. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE IV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andreas Voss
- Department of Trauma Surgery, University Medical Center Regensburg, Franz-Josef-Strauss-Allee 11, 93053, Regensburg, Germany.
- Sporthopaedicum, Regensburg, Straubing, Germany.
| | - Christian G Pfeifer
- Department of Trauma Surgery, University Medical Center Regensburg, Franz-Josef-Strauss-Allee 11, 93053, Regensburg, Germany
| | - Maximilian Kerschbaum
- Department of Trauma Surgery, University Medical Center Regensburg, Franz-Josef-Strauss-Allee 11, 93053, Regensburg, Germany
| | - Markus Rupp
- Department of Trauma Surgery, University Medical Center Regensburg, Franz-Josef-Strauss-Allee 11, 93053, Regensburg, Germany
| | - Peter Angele
- Department of Trauma Surgery, University Medical Center Regensburg, Franz-Josef-Strauss-Allee 11, 93053, Regensburg, Germany
- Sporthopaedicum, Regensburg, Straubing, Germany
| | - Volker Alt
- Department of Trauma Surgery, University Medical Center Regensburg, Franz-Josef-Strauss-Allee 11, 93053, Regensburg, Germany
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Razaeian S, Wiese B, Zhang D, Harb A, Krettek C, Hawi N. Nonsensus in the treatment of proximal humerus fractures: uncontrolled, blinded, comparative behavioural analysis between Homo chirurgicus accidentus and Macaca sylvanus. BMJ 2020; 371:m4429. [PMID: 33318031 PMCID: PMC7734645 DOI: 10.1136/bmj.m4429] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/06/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To investigate the inter-rater reliability of Barbary macaques compared with an expert group of surgeons for the choice of treatment and predicted outcome of proximal humerus fractures. DESIGN Uncontrolled, blinded, comparative behavioural analysis. SETTING Germany and United States. PARTICIPANTS 10 blinded experts in the field of orthopaedic trauma surgery (Homo chirurgicus accidentus), with special focus on upper extremity surgery from Germany and the US, and five Barbary macaques (Macaca sylvanus) from a semi-free range enclosure. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES The reliability of agreement between raters assessed with Fleiss' ĸ. RESULTS Barbary macaques seem to have inferior inter-rater reliability in comparison with experts for choice of treatment (non-surgical v surgical), but for the geriatric age group most frequently affected by proximal humeral fractures, they performed similarly to the experts in their choices of treatment and choice of surgical procedure. Agreement about predicted outcome was poor among the macaques and slight among the experts. All experts almost always predicted the outcome incorrectly and tended to underestimate it. While only 4 (4.4%) of 90 experts' predictions were correct, 13 (28.9%) of 45 macaques' predictions were correct. CONCLUSIONS Consensus on treatment and expected outcomes of proximal humeral fractures is lacking even beyond the human species. Although Barbary macaques tend to predict the clinical outcome more accurately, their reliability to assist surgeons in making a consistent decision is limited. Future high quality research is needed to guide surgeons' decision making on the optimal treatment of this common injury.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sam Razaeian
- Hannover Medical School, Trauma Department, Carl-Neuberg-Str 1, 30625 Hannover, Germany
| | - Birgitt Wiese
- Hannover Medical School, Institute of General Practice, Hannover, Germany
| | - Dafang Zhang
- Brigham and Women's Hospital, Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Afif Harb
- Hannover Medical School, Trauma Department, Carl-Neuberg-Str 1, 30625 Hannover, Germany
| | - Christian Krettek
- Hannover Medical School, Trauma Department, Carl-Neuberg-Str 1, 30625 Hannover, Germany
| | - Nael Hawi
- Hannover Medical School, Trauma Department, Carl-Neuberg-Str 1, 30625 Hannover, Germany
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