New-onset atrial fibrillation in patients with pneumococcal pneumonia. Impact of timing and duration on short- and medium-term mortality

New-Onset Atrial Flutter in Pneumonia: A Systemic Inflammatory Response With Cardiac Implications

Atrial arrhythmias, particularly atrial flutter, are increasingly recognized as complications of systemic infections, including community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). This report describes the case of a 60-year-old male with CAP complicated by new-onset atrial flutter, highlighting the role of systemic inflammation and electrolyte imbalances in arrhythmogenesis. The systemic inflammatory response associated with pneumonia leads to cytokine-mediated atrial remodeling, autonomic dysfunction, and direct myocardial stress, all of which can contribute to atrial flutter. Furthermore, electrolyte disturbances such as hypokalemia and hyponatremia, both present in this patient, exacerbate cardiac excitability, prolong repolarization, and promote reentry circuits, increasing susceptibility to atrial flutter compared to other arrhythmias. Despite the severity of the arrhythmia, cardioversion was not considered in this case, as the patient remained hemodynamically stable with effective rate control achieved through IV amiodarone. Instead, management focused on targeted interventions, including electrolyte correction, infection control, and anticoagulation therapy, to mitigate thromboembolic risk. Given the well-documented link between systemic inflammation, electrolyte imbalances, and arrhythmias, early monitoring of electrolytes, inflammatory markers, and ECG in pneumonia patients may allow for timely interventions and improved clinical outcomes. Future research should focus on prospective trials evaluating standardized arrhythmia screening and electrolyte correction protocols in pneumonia patients at high risk for cardiovascular complications. Retrospective cohort studies assessing the impact of inflammation-targeted therapies on arrhythmia incidence may also help refine clinical guidelines. Recognizing pneumonia as a multi-system disease rather than an isolated respiratory infection may lead to improved risk stratification and therapeutic strategies, ultimately improving patient outcomes.

A systematic review on the influence of coagulopathy and immune activation on New Onset Atrial Fibrillation in patients with sepsis

INTRODUCTION

New Onset Atrial Fibrillation (NOAF) is the most common arrhythmia in intensive care. Complications of NOAF include thromboembolic events such as myocardial infarction and stroke, which contribute to a greater risk of mortality. Inflammatory and coagulation biomarkers in sepsis are thought to be associated with NOAF development. The aim of this systematic review and narrative synthesis is to identify inflammatory and coagulation biomarkers as predisposing risk factors for NOAF in sepsis.

METHODS

Three databases (Medline, Cochrane Library, and Scopus) were searched using a predefined search strategy. Inclusion / exclusion criteria were applied, and quality assessments were performed using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale (NOS).

RESULTS

We identified 1776 articles; and 12 articles were included in this review. 8 articles were retrospective observational studies and 4 were prospective observational studies. There was considerable heterogeneity between studies regarding outcomes, methodological design, quality, definitions and reported biomarkers of interest. There is evidence that C-reactive protein (CRP) is associated with NOAF, with hazard ratios 3.33 (3.32-3.35) p = 0.001 and odds ratios of 1.011 (1.008-1.014) p<0.001. International Normalised Ratio (INR) and fibrinogen may be associated with NOAF with odds ratios reported as 1.837 (1.270-2.656) p = 0.001 and 1.535(1.232-1.914) p<0.001 respectively.

CONCLUSION

Further research is required to confirm the association between inflammatory and coagulation biomarkers and the development of NOAF in sepsis. A broader evidence base will guide treatment strategies, improving the standard of care for patients who develop NOAF in sepsis. Furthermore, given the heterogeneity between studies consideration should be given to inclusion of immune biomarkers in future core outcome sets for trials investigating NOAF.

Sepsis-Induced Coagulopathy Score is Associated with an Increased Risk of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Septic Patients: A Two-Centered Retrospective Study

PURPOSE

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) and sepsis-induced coagulopathy (SIC) are severe complications in septic patients. However, the relationship between NOAF and SIC score has not been clearly defined. This study aims to investigate the association between SIC score and NOAF, as well as their effect on mortality in sepsis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This study was a two-center retrospective analysis. Medical data were collected from patients diagnosed with sepsis. The patients were divided into NOAF and non-NOAF groups, and the SIC score was calculated for each group. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to explore the relationship between the SIC score and NOAF, as well as their effects on mortality. The Kaplan-Meier curve was used to assess the survival rate.

RESULTS

A total of 2,280 septic patients were included, with 132 (5.7%) suffering from NOAF. Multivariable logistic regression analyses indicated that age, gender, the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (APACHE II), heart rate, renal failure, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and the SIC score were independent risk factors for NOAF in sepsis. Moreover, NOAF was associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality, 28-day mortality, and 90-day mortality. These results were consistent across subgroup analyses.

CONCLUSION

The SIC score was an independent risk factor for NOAF in septic patients, and NOAF was an independent risk factor for predicting mortality.

Prediction of new-onset atrial fibrillation with the C2HEST score in patients admitted with community-acquired pneumonia

PURPOSE

Patients hospitalized for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) may have a higher risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF). The C2HEST score was developed to evaluate the NOAF risk in the general population. Data on the value of the C2HEST score in acute patients admitted with CAP are lacking. We want to establish the predictive value of C2HEST score for NOAF in patients with CAP.

METHODS

Patients with CAP enrolled in the SIXTUS cohort were enrolled. C2HEST score was calculated at baseline. In-hospital NOAF was recorded. Receiver-operating Characteristic (ROC) curve and multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were performed.

RESULTS

We enrolled 473 patients (36% women, mean age 70.6 ± 16.5 years), and 54 NOAF occurred. Patients with NOAF were elderly, more frequently affected by hypertension, heart failure, previous stroke/transient ischemic attack, peripheral artery disease and hyperthyroidism. NOAF patients had also higher CURB-65, PSI class and CHA2DS2-VASc score. The C-index of C2HEST score for NOAF was 0.747 (95% confidence interval [95%CI] 0.705-0.786), higher compared to CURB-65 (0.611, 95%CI 0.566-0.655, p = 0.0016), PSI (0.665, 95%CI 0.621-0.708, p = 0.0199) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (0.696, 95%CI 0.652-0.737, p = 0.0762). The best combination of sensitivity (67%) and specificity (70%) was observed with a C2HEST score ≥ 4. This result was confirmed by the multivariable Cox analysis (Hazard Ratio [HR] for C2HEST score ≥ 4 was 10.7, 95%CI 2.0-57.9; p = 0.006), independently from the severity of pneumonia.

CONCLUSION

The C2HEST score was a useful predictive tool to identify patients at higher risk for NOAF during hospitalization for CAP.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

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CLINICALTRIALS

gov (NCT01773863).

A Predictive Model of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Acute Myocardial Infarction Based on the Lymphocyte to C-Reactive Protein Ratio

Purpose

Lymphocyte to C-reactive protein ratio (LCR) is a recognized systemic inflammatory marker and novel prognostic indicator for several cancers. This study investigated the relationship between preoperative LCR and new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Patients and Methods

Patients with AMI (n=662) with no history of atrial fibrillation (AF) were enrolled and classified into NOAF and non-NOAF groups based on the occurrence of postoperative NOAF during hospitalization. Logistic regression models were used to analyze NOAF risk factors and to assess the association between preoperative LCR and NOAF incidence. We constructed a new nomogram from the selected NOAF risk factors, and tested its predictive performance, degree of calibration, and clinical utility using receiver operating characteristic and calibration curves, decision curve analysis, and clinical impact curves.

Results

Overall, 84 (12.7%) patients developed NOAF during hospitalization. The LCR was significantly lower in the NOAF group. Preoperative LCR accurately predicted NOAF after AMI and was correlated with increased NOAF risk. Age, body mass index, diabetes, serum albumin levels, uric acid levels, left atrium (LA) diameter, left ventricular ejection fraction, left circumflex artery stenosis > 50%, and Killip class II status were independent predictors of NOAF after AMI. In addition, a new nomogram combined with LCR was constructed to stratify the risk of NOAF in patients with AMI. The performance of the new nomogram was satisfactory, as shown by the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, decision curve analysis and clinical impact curve.

Conclusion

Preoperative LCR was an independent predictor of NOAF in patients with AMI after PCI. The novel nomogram combined with LCR could rapidly and individually identify and treat patients at a high risk of NOAF.

Prevalence of new-onset atrial fibrillation in hospitalized patients with community-acquired pneumonia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a common lower respiratory tract infection, often complicated by cardiovascular events, including cardiac arrhythmias. New-onset atrial fibrillation (newAF) has been associated with increased mortality in CAP patients, especially in those critically ill; however, limited data on the prevalence of newAF in patients with CAP are available. We aim to estimate the pooled prevalence of newAF and its impact on adverse outcomes in patients with CAP, through a systematic review and meta-analysis. MEDLINE and EMBASE were systematically searched from inception to 27 January 2022. All studies reporting the prevalence of newAF in CAP patients were included and all-cause mortality was extracted when available. The pooled prevalence of newAF, 95% Confidence Intervals (CI), and 95% Prediction Intervals (PI) were computed. The inconsistency index (I2) was calculated to measure heterogeneity. Subgroup analyses were also performed. A protocol for this study was registered on PROSPERO (CRD42022307422). Among 7,655 records retrieved, 10 studies were included, with a total of 280,589 CAP patients. Pooled prevalence of newAF in CAP patients was 7.6% (95% CI 6.4-9.0%, 95% PI 4.3-13.1%, I2 = 95%). Subgroup analyses showed no significant differences according to geographical location or study design. Patients with newAF had a higher risk of mortality among the studies included in the systematic review. NewAF is a common complication, occurring in 7.6% of CAP patients, with prediction intervals suggesting an even higher burden. CAP patients who develop newAF during hospitalization may be at higher risk of mortality in both short- and long-term follow-up.

Prognosis and treatment of atrial fibrillation in Asian cities: 1-year review of the Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society Atrial Fibrillation Registry

AIMS

The aim of this study is to describe the implementation of the current guidance for stroke prevention and treatment option in atrial fibrillation (AF) and to evaluate mortality and morbidity in relation to therapeutic decisions, including persistence with treatment at 1 year in Asia-Pacific regions.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We recruited 4664 patients consecutive in- and outpatients with AF who presented to cardiologists in five countries under the Asia-Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) in whom 1-year follow-up was completed for 4003 (65.5% male; mean age 68.5 years). Oral anticoagulant (OAC) use remained high, 77% at follow-up, including 17% prescribed a vitamin K antagonist (VKA) and 60% a non-VKA oral anticoagulant (NOAC). At 1-year follow-up, 93% and 88% remained on a VKA or NOAC, respectively. With good adherence to OAC therapy, 1-year mortality was only 2.7%. Most deaths were non-cardiovascular (72.3%) and the 1-year incidence of stroke/transient ischaemic events (TIA) was low (<1%). Hospital readmissions were common for non-cardiovascular cases and atrial tachyarrhythmias. On multivariate analysis, independent baseline predictors of mortality and/or stroke/TIA/peripheral embolism were age, previous heart failure for >12 months, and malignancy. Independent predictors of mortality were age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, malignancy, and diuretic use. AF as a primary presentation was predictive of lower mortality and/or stroke/TIA/peripheral embolism as well as mortality.

CONCLUSION

In this 1-year analysis of the APHRS-AF registry, overall OAC use and persistence were high and were associated with low 1-year cardiovascular mortality and morbidity, but mortality and morbidity related to non-cardiovascular causes were high in AF patients, particularly from malignancy and pneumonia.

Analysis of the association between atrial fibrillation with in-hospital mortality in people admitted for community-acquired pneumonia through an observational, nation-wide, sex-stratified study

We aimed to analyze the influence of atrial fibrillation (AF) prior to hospital admission (“prevalent”) and AF diagnosed during hospital admission (“incident”) on in-hospital mortality (IHM) in women and men admitted for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in Spain (2016–2019). We used the Spanish Register of Specialized Care‐Basic Minimum Database. We analyzed 519,750 cases of CAP in people ≥ 18 years (213,631 women (41.1%)), out of which people with prevalent AF represented 23.75% (N = 123,440), whereas people with incident AF constituted 0.60% (N = 3154). Versus no AF, crude IHM was significantly higher for prevalent AF (15.24% vs. 11.40%, p < 0.001) and for incident AF (23.84% vs. 12.24%, p < 0.001). After propensity score marching, IHM in women and men with prevalent AF neared IHM in women and men with no AF (15.72% vs. 15.52%, p = 0.425; and 14.90% vs. 14.99%, p = 0.631, respectively), but IHM in women and men with incident AF was higher than IHM in women and men with no AF (24.37% vs. 13.36%, p < 0.001; and 23.94% vs. 14.04%, p < 0.001, respectively). Male sex was associated with a higher IHM in people with prevalent AF (OR 1.06; 95% CI 1.02–1–10), but not in people with incident AF (OR 0.93; 95% CI 0.77–1–13). AF diagnosed during hospital admission was associated with a higher IHM, irrespectively of sex.

Development and validation of a predictive model for new-onset atrial fibrillation in sepsis based on clinical risk factors

Objective

New-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF) is a common complication and one of the primary causes of increased mortality in critically ill adults. Since early assessment of the risk of developing NOAF is difficult, it is critical to establish predictive tools to identify the risk of NOAF.

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled 1,568 septic patients treated at Wuhan Union Hospital (Wuhan, China) as a training cohort. For external validation of the model, 924 patients with sepsis were recruited as a validation cohort at the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University (Urumqi, China). Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to screen predictors. The area under the ROC curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve were used to assess the value of the predictive model in NOAF.

Results

A total of 2,492 patients with sepsis (1,592 (63.88%) male; mean [SD] age, 59.47 [16.42] years) were enrolled in this study. Age (OR: 1.022, 1.009–1.035), international normalized ratio (OR: 1.837, 1.270–2.656), fibrinogen (OR: 1.535, 1.232–1.914), C-reaction protein (OR: 1.011, 1.008–1.014), sequential organ failure assessment score (OR: 1.306, 1.247–1.368), congestive heart failure (OR: 1.714, 1.126–2.608), and dopamine use (OR: 1.876, 1.227–2.874) were used as risk variables to develop the nomogram model. The AUCs of the nomogram model were 0.861 (95% CI, 0.830–0.892) and 0.845 (95% CI, 0.804–0.886) in the internal and external validation, respectively. The clinical prediction model showed excellent calibration and higher net clinical benefit. Moreover, the predictive performance of the model correlated with the severity of sepsis, with higher predictive performance for patients in septic shock than for other patients.

Conclusion

The nomogram model can be used as a reliable and simple predictive tool for the early identification of NOAF in patients with sepsis, which will provide practical information for individualized treatment decisions.

New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation and Early Mortality Rate in COVID-19 Patients: Association with IL-6 Serum Levels and Respiratory Distress

Background and objectives: COVID-19 is associated with an aberrant inflammatory response that may trigger new-onset cardiac arrhythmias. The aim of this study was to assess the mortality risk in hospitalized COVID-19 patients according to IL-6 serum levels and new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) according to PaO2/FiO2 stratification. Materials and Methods: 175 COVID-19 patients (25 new-onset AF, 22 other types of AF and 128 no-AF) were included in this single-center, retrospective study; clinical and demographic data, vital signs, electrocardiograms and laboratory results were collected and analyzed. The primary outcome of the study was to evaluate the mortality rate in new-onset AF patients according to IL-6 serum levels and PaO2/FiO2 stratification. Results: The incidence of new-onset AF in the study population was 14.2%. Compared to the no-AF group, new-onset AF patients were older with a positive history of chronic kidney disease and heart failure, had higher IL-6, creatinine and urea serum levels whereas their platelet count was reduced. After PaO2/FiO2 stratification, 5-days mortality rate was higher in new-onset AF patients compared to patients with other types of AF and no-AF patients, and mortality risk increases 5.3 fold compared to no-AF (p = 0.0014) and 4.8 fold compared to other forms of AF (p = 0.03). Conclusions: New-onset AF is common in COVID-19 patients and is associated with increased IL-6 serum levels and early mortality. Further studies are needed to support the use of IL-6 as an early molecular target for COVID-19 patients to reduce their high rate of mortality.

The Influence of Atrial Fibrillation on In-Hospital Mortality in People with Hospital-Acquired Pneumonia: An Observational, Sex-Stratified Study

(1) Background: The study aimed to analyze the influence of atrial fibrillation (AF) prior to hospital admission (“prevalent”) and new-onset AF diagnosed during hospital admission (“incident”) on in-hospital mortality (IHM) in women and men who developed hospital-acquired pneumonia (HAP) in Spain (2016−2019). (2) Methods: We used the Spanish Register of Specialized Care-Basic Minimum Database. (3) Results: We analyzed 38,814 cases of HAP (34.6% women; 13.5% ventilator-associated). Prevalent AF was coded in 19.9% (n = 7742), and incident AF in 5.5% (n = 2136) of HAP. Crude IHM was significantly higher for prevalent AF (34.22% vs. 27.35%, p < 0.001) and for incident AF (35.81% vs. 28.31%, p < 0.001) compared to no AF. After propensity score matching, IHM among women and men with prevalent AF was higher than among women and men with no AF (among women, 32.89% vs. 30.11%, p = 0.021; among men, 35.05% vs. 32.46%, p = 0.008). Similarly, IHM among women and men with incident AF was higher than among women and men with no AF (among women, 36.23% vs. 29.90%, p = 0.013; among men, 35.62% vs. 30.47%; p = 0.003). Sex was associated with a higher IHM only in people with incident AF (for female, OR = 1.21; 95% CI: 1.01−1.57). (4) Conclusions: Both prevalent and incident AF were associated with higher IHM in people who developed HAP. Female sex was associated with a higher IHM in incident AF.