Safety assessment of natural gas storage tank using similarity aggregation method based fuzzy fault tree analysis (SAM-FFTA) approach

Optimization of Logistics System with Fuzzy FMEA-AHP Methodology

The COVID-19 pandemic broke out and the global logistics industry suffered severe losses; therefore, the Fuzzy FMEA-AHP (Fuzzy Failure Mode and Effects Analysis-Analytic Hierarchy Process) method is proposed to analyze the failure reasons of the logistics system in the COVID-19 pandemic. In this article, we have made an optimization on the basis of the FMEA method: the fuzzy is integrated into the FMEA algorithm, referred to as F-RPWN (fuzzy risk priority-weighted number). Meanwhile, the AHP is used to determine the weights of risk indicators. In this article, we consider new logistics failures, such as the failure modes and failure reasons of the logistics system under the COVID-19 pandemic. There are 12 failures that have been determined, and relevant preventive and corrective measures have been recommended to cut off the path of failure propagation and reduce the impact of failures. In addition, the proposed method can help logistics firms, their supply chain partners, and customers with risk management issues during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Failure Risk Assessment of Coal Gasifier Based on the Integration of Bayesian Network and Trapezoidal Intuitionistic Fuzzy Number-Based Similarity Aggregation Method (TpIFN-SAM)

The coal gasifier is the core unit of the coal gasification system. Due to its exposure to high temperatures, high pressures, and aggressive media, it is highly susceptible to serious accidents in the event of failure. Therefore, it is important for the gasifier to perform failure-risk assessment to understand its safety status and provide safety measures. Bayesian networks (BNs) for risk analysis of process systems has received a lot of attention due to its powerful inference capability and its ability to reflect complex relationships between risk factors. However, the acquisition of basic probability data in a Bayesian network is always a great challenge. In this study, an improved Bayesian network integrated with a trapezoidal intuitionistic fuzzy number-based similarity aggregation method (TpIFN–SAM) is proposed for the failure-risk assessment of process systems. This approach used the TpIFN–SAM to collect and aggregate experts’ opinions for obtaining the prior probabilities of the root events in the BN. In the TpIFN–SAM, the intuitionistic fuzzy analytic-hierarchy-process method (IF-AHP) was adopted to assign the expert weights for reducing subjectivity or the bias caused by individual differences. To clarify the suitability of the proposed method, a case study of a coal gasifier was demonstrated, and both prediction and diagnosis analyses of the BN were performed; finally, the weak links of the gasifier were identified.