Long term use of analgesics and risk of osteoarthritis progressions and knee replacement: propensity score matched cohort analysis of data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

Cause and chondroprotective effects of prostaglandin E2 secretion during mesenchymal stromal cell chondrogenesis

Mesenchymal stromal cells (MSCs) that are promising for cartilage tissue engineering secrete high amounts of prostaglandin E2 (PGE2), an immunoactive mediator involved in endochondral bone development. This study aimed to identify drivers of PGE2 and its role in the inadvertent MSC misdifferentiation into hypertrophic chondrocytes. PGE2 release, which rose in the first three weeks of MSC chondrogenesis, was jointly stimulated by endogenous BMP, WNT, and hedgehog activity that supported the exogenous stimulation by TGF-β1 and insulin to overcome the PGE2 inhibition by dexamethasone. Experiments with PGE2 treatment or the inhibitor celecoxib or specific receptor antagonists demonstrated that PGE2, although driven by prohypertrophic signals, exerted broad autocrine antihypertrophic effects. This chondroprotective effect makes PGE2 not only a promising option for future combinatorial approaches to direct MSC tissue engineering approaches into chondral instead of endochondral development but could potentially have implications for the use of COX-2-selective inhibitors in osteoarthritis pain management.

Comparative effectiveness of early initiation of oral nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug and oral acetaminophen therapies on the time to knee replacement in patients with knee osteoarthritis in Japan

BACKGROUND

Although disease-modifying properties of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) for osteoarthritis (OA) have been reported, the effects of NSAIDs on OA progression remain controversial. The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of early initiation of oral NSAID therapy on the progression of knee OA.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we extracted data of patients newly diagnosed with knee OA between November 2007 and October 2018 from a Japanese claims database. The primary outcome was the time to knee replacement (KR), and the secondary outcome was the time to composite event including joint lavage and debridement, osteotomy, or arthrodesis in addition to KR. Weighted Cox regression analysis with standardized mortality/morbidity ratio (SMR) weight was performed to compare the outcomes between patients prescribed oral NSAID (NSAID group) and those prescribed oral acetaminophen (APAP) (APAP group) early after a diagnosis of knee OA. Propensity scores were calculated using logistic regression conditioned on potential confounding factors, and SMR weights were calculated using the propensity scores.

RESULTS

The study population comprised 14,261 patients, who were divided into two groups as follows: 13,994 in the NSAID group and 267 in the APAP group. The mean ages of patients in the NSAID and APAP groups were 56.9 and 56.1 years, respectively. Furthermore, 62.01% and 68.16% patients in the NSAID and APAP groups, respectively, were female. The NSAID group had a reduced risk of KR compared with the APAP group in the analysis using SMR weighting (SMR-weighted hazard ratio, 0.19; 95% confidence interval, 0.05-0.78). While no statistically significant difference was found for the risk of composite event between the two groups (SMR-weighted hazard ratio, 0.56; 95% confidence interval, 0.16-1.91).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of KR in the NSAID group was significantly lower than that in the APAP group after accounting for residual confounding using SMR weighting. This finding suggests that oral NSAID therapy early after the initial diagnosis is associated with a reduced risk of KR in patients with symptomatic knee OA.

Effects of medications on incidence and risk of knee and hip joint replacement in patients with osteoarthritis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to investigate the incidence and risk of knee and hip replacement in patients with osteoarthritis (OA) treated with different medications.

Methods

OVID MEDLINE, OVID EMBASE, Cochrane and Web of Science electronic databases were searched from inception to May 4th, 2022. Clinical trials, including randomized controlled trials, cohort studies and case–control studies, were selected. The meta-analysis effect size was estimated using either incidence with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) or odds ratio (OR)/relative risk (RR) with 95% CIs. The risk of bias and heterogeneity among studies were assessed and analyzed.

Results

Forty studies were included, involving 6,041,254 participants. The incidence of joint replacement in patients with OA varied according to the study design and treatments. The incidence of knee arthroplasty varied from 0 to 70.88%, while the incidence of hip arthroplasty varied from 11.71 to 96.43%. Compared to non-users, bisphosphonate users had a reduced risk of knee replacement (RR = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.66–0.77; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 0.76, 95% CI: 0.70–0.83). Compared to intra-articular corticosteroid users, hyaluronic acid (HA) users had a higher risk of knee arthroplasty (RR = 1.76, 95% CI: 1.38–2.25). No publication bias was observed.

Conclusions

Bisphosphonate treatment is associated with a reduced risk of knee replacement. More studies are needed to validate our results due to the limited number of eligible studies and high heterogeneity among studies.

The Relationship of Pain Reduction With Prevention of Knee Replacement Under Dynamic Intervention Strategies

OBJECTIVE

Knee replacement (KR) rates are increasing exponentially in the US and straining insurance budgets. This study was undertaken to investigate how many KRs would be prevented at different levels of pain improvement, a major target of osteoarthritis (OA) trials.

METHODS

We used data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) to emulate a trial of knee pain interventions on KR risk changes. We modeled hypothetical 1-, 2- or 3-unit reductions of the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain subscale whenever a person reported a pain score of ≥5 (of 20) in an affected knee at any clinic visit. We used causal inference-based targeted learning to estimate treatment effects for hypothesized pain intervention strategies adjusted for time-dependent confounding. Sensitivity analyses assessed interventions at WOMAC pain scores of ≥4 and ≥7.

RESULTS

Of the 9,592 knees studied (n = 4,796 participants; 58.5% female; baseline age 61.2 years), 40.7% experienced WOMAC pain scores of ≥5. The estimated knee-level (reference) risk of a KR, adjusted for loss to follow-up and death, was 6.3% (95% confidence interval 5.0, 7.7%) in the OAI. Reductions of WOMAC pain scores by 1, 2, or 3 units decreased the KR risk from 6.3% to 5.8%, 5.3%, and 4.9%, respectively. Larger reductions in KR risk were achieved when interventions were applied at a WOMAC pain score of ≥4.

CONCLUSION

Modest pain reductions from OA interventions would substantially reduce the number of KRs, with greater reductions achieved when pain decreased more and when interventions were introduced at lower pain levels.

Association between Metformin Use and Risk of Total Knee Arthroplasty and Degree of Knee Pain in Knee Osteoarthritis Patients with Diabetes and/or Obesity: A Retrospective Study

Objectives: We aimed to examine whether metformin (MET) use is associated with a reduced risk of total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and low severity of knee pain in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA) and diabetes and/or obesity. Methods: Participants diagnosed with knee OA and diabetes and/or obesity from June 2000 to July 2019 were selected from the information system of a local hospital. Regular MET users were defined as those with recorded prescriptions of MET or self-reported regular MET use for at least 6 months. TKA information was extracted from patients’ surgical records. Knee pain was assessed using the numeric rating scale. Log-binomial regression, linear regression, and propensity score weighting (PSW) were performed for statistical analyses. Results: A total of 862 participants were included in the analyses. After excluding missing data, there were 346 MET non-users and 362 MET users. MET use was significantly associated with a reduced risk of TKA (prevalence ratio: 0.26, 95% CI: 0.15 to 0.45, p < 0.001), after adjustment for age, gender, body mass index, various analgesics, and insurance status. MET use was significantly associated with a reduced degree of knee pain after being adjusted for the above covariates (β: −0.48, 95% CI: −0.91 to −0.05, p = 0.029). There was a significantly accumulative effect of MET use on the reduced risk of TKA. Conclusion: MET can be a potential therapeutic option for OA. Further clinical trials are needed to determine if MET can reduce the risk of TKA and the severity of knee pain in metabolic-associated OA patients.

Risk factors associated with the occurrence of total knee arthroplasty in patients with knee osteoarthritis: a nested case–control study

Objectives:

The aim of this study was to investigate changes over time in osteoarthritis risk factors most closely associated with the occurrence of total knee arthroplasty (TKA). We hypothesize that the robustness of a longitudinal case–control study will provide new information on the association between changes in various clinical and structural parameters in different time frames before TKA.

Methods:

Cases (195; TKA after cohort entry) and controls (468) matched for age, gender, income, WOMAC pain, Kellgren–Lawrence grade and follow-up duration were from the Osteoarthritis Initiative cohort. Associations between changes in sociodemographic, clinical, imaging and osteoarthritis therapies with the occurrence of TKA were performed using conditional logistic regression analyses.

Results:

Worsening of WOMAC scores (cOR 1.02–1.20, p ⩽ 0.012), KOOS (1.02–1.04, p ⩽ 0.014), knee injuries sustained in the previous 30–40 years (women 2.70, p = 0.034) and valgus alignment (1.10, p = 0.052) were associated with the occurrence of TKA. Also associated with TKA was cartilage volume loss in the lateral (overall 1.76, p = 0.025; women 1.93, p = 0.047) and medial compartments (⩾10%, overall 1.54, p = 0.027; men 2.34, p = 0.008), occurrence of medial meniscal extrusion (overall 1.77, p = 0.046; men 2.86, p = 0.028), and increase in bone marrow lesions (BMLs) for women (1.09, p = 0.048). The association of risk factors with TKA was reinforced when both an increase in WOMAC pain and cartilage volume loss (1.85, p = 0.001) were combined. Pain medication usage, mainly narcotics and intra-articular steroid injections (IASI), was also associated with TKA, with no impact on changes in cartilage loss or structure.

Conclusion:

This study provides new information about gender differences in risk factors associated with the occurrence of TKA. Worsening of valgus alignment, cartilage volume loss in the lateral compartment, BMLs and older injuries are important risk factors in women, while medial compartment cartilage loss and meniscal extrusion are in men. The use of pain medication and IASI although associated was found not causal with TKA.

W. Emerging technologies and their impact on regulatory science

There is an evolution and increasing need for the utilization of emerging cellular, molecular and in silico technologies and novel approaches for safety assessment of food, drugs, and personal care products. Convergence of these emerging technologies is also enabling rapid advances and approaches that may impact regulatory decisions and approvals. Although the development of emerging technologies may allow rapid advances in regulatory decision making, there is concern that these new technologies have not been thoroughly evaluated to determine if they are ready for regulatory application, singularly or in combinations. The magnitude of these combined technical advances may outpace the ability to assess fit for purpose and to allow routine application of these new methods for regulatory purposes. There is a need to develop strategies to evaluate the new technologies to determine which ones are ready for regulatory use. The opportunity to apply these potentially faster, more accurate, and cost-effective approaches remains an important goal to facilitate their incorporation into regulatory use. However, without a clear strategy to evaluate emerging technologies rapidly and appropriately, the value of these efforts may go unrecognized or may take longer. It is important for the regulatory science field to keep up with the research in these technically advanced areas and to understand the science behind these new approaches. The regulatory field must understand the critical quality attributes of these novel approaches and learn from each other's experience so that workforces can be trained to prepare for emerging global regulatory challenges. Moreover, it is essential that the regulatory community must work with the technology developers to harness collective capabilities towards developing a strategy for evaluation of these new and novel assessment tools.

Association between current medication use and progression of radiographic knee osteoarthritis: data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

Objective

Use of specific medications may accelerate the progression of radiographic knee OA (RKOA). Our aim was to examine the effect of medication use on the progression of RKOA.

Methods

We used longitudinal data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI), an observational study of risk factors for knee OA. At baseline, we selected participants with RKOA (Kellgren–Lawrence grade ≥2) and excluded those with a history of knee-related injury/surgery and other musculoskeletal disorders. Current medication use (use/non-use in the previous 30 days) and radiographic medial minimum joint space width (mJSW) data were available at baseline and annually up to 96 months follow-up. We used random effects, panel regression to assess the association between current medication use (non-users as reference group) and change in mJSW.

Results

Of 2054 eligible participants, 2003 participants with baseline mJSW data were included [55.7% female, mean age 63.3 (s.d. 8.98) years]. Of seven medication classes, at baseline NSAIDs were the most frequently used analgesia (14.7%), anti-histamine (10.4%) use was frequent and the following comorbidity medications were used most frequently: statins (27.4%), anti-hypertensives (up to 15.0%), anti-depressant/anxiolytics/psychotropics (14.0%), osteoporosis-related medication (10.9%) and diabetes-related medication (6.9%). Compared with current non-users, current use of NSAIDs was associated with a loss of mJSW (b = −0.042, 95% CI −0.08, −0.0004). No other associations were observed.

Conclusions

In current users of NSAIDs, mJSW loss was increased compared with current non-users in participants with RKOA. Clinical trials are required to assess the potential disease-modifying effects of these medications.

Postoperative Complications Causing Readmission in 30 Days after Total Knee Arthroplasty: A Retrospective Nested Case-Control Study of Risk Factors Based on Propensity Score Matching

We performed this study to identify independent risk factors for life-threatening postoperative complications causing 30-day readmissions after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Improved understanding of these risks may improve efficiency and safety of treatment. We performed a retrospective, nested case-control study using an open-access database of 2,622 patients who underwent primary TKA at a tertiary academic medical center in Singapore between January 2013 and June 2014. Patients were grouped according to the incidence of complications. Multivariate logistic analysis was performed to identify predictive factors for TKA complications. The incidence of postoperative complications was 1.72%. Compared with cases performed with an operative time < 70 minutes, increased operative time was associated with a higher risk of complications. Case duration > 90 minutes was associated with an increased risk (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 4.57, p = 0.001; case duration ≥ 111 minutes, aOR = 4.64, p = 0.04; and case duration between 91 and 110 minutes, aOR = 3.20, p = 0.03). The correlation between operative time and complications was nonlinear. Cerebrovascular accident (CVA) or transient ischemic attack (TIA) was an independent risk factor for increased complication rate (aOR = 11.59, p = 0.02). Operative duration has been identified as an independent risk factor for complications after TKA. As it remains a modifiable factor to which doctors are interested in bringing quality improvement, the risk of postoperative complications will be reduced by minimizing the operative duration.

Intra-articular corticosteroid knee injection induces a reduction in meniscal thickness with no treatment effect on cartilage volume: a case-control study

Although intra-articular corticosteroid injections (IACI) are commonly used for the treatment of knee osteoarthritis (OA), there is controversy regarding possible deleterious effects on joint structure. In this line, this study investigates the effects of IACI on the evolution of knee OA structural changes and pain. Participants for this nested case–control study were from the Osteoarthritis Initiative. Knees of participants who had received an IACI and had magnetic resonance images (MRI) were named cases (n = 93), and each matched with one control (n = 93). Features assessed at the yearly visits and their changes within the follow-up period were from MRI (cartilage volume, meniscal thickness, bone marrow lesions, bone curvature, and synovial effusion size), X-ray (joint space width), and clinical (Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index [WOMAC] pain score) data. Participants who received IACI experienced a transient and significantly greater rate of loss of the meniscal thickness (p = 0.006) and joint space width (p = 0.011) in the knee medial compartment in the year they received the injection, compared to controls. No significant effect of the IACI was found on the rate of cartilage loss nor on any other knee structural changes or WOMAC pain post-treatment. In conclusion, a single IACI in knee OA was shown to be safe with no negative impact on structural changes, but there was a transient meniscal thickness reduction, a phenomenon for which the clinical relevance is at present unknown.

Understanding Atherosclerosis Through an Osteoarthritis Data Set

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease remains a worldwide epidemic and one of the leading causes of death nowadays. Vessel wall imaging can be used to understand the development and progression of atherosclerosis, but it is rarely done because of the high cost. We recently identified the Osteoarthritis Initiative, a large prospective cohort study of knee osteoarthritis, which might serve as a valuable source for atherosclerosis research with its serial knee magnetic resonance imaging data. We have found that these images are suitable for vessel wall image analysis of the lower extremity arteries. Here, we will introduce the Osteoarthritis Initiative data set and explain why it could be used for cardiovascular research purposes. Also, we will briefly comment on peripheral artery atherosclerosis as it is covered in the Osteoarthritis Initiative image data set and review the use of vessel wall imaging for studying atherosclerosis. We think data mining of imaging studies, not originally designed on cardiovascular research, can not only maximize the value of the imaging data set but also boost our understanding of atherosclerosis.

Endoscopic rhizotomy for chronic lumbar zygapophysial joint pain

BACKGROUND

Chronic lumbar zygapophysial joint pain is a common cause of chronic low back pain. Percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is one of the effective management options; however, the results from the traditional RFA need to be improved in certain cases. The aim of this study is to investigate the effect of percutaneous radiofrequency ablation under endoscopic guidance (ERFA) for chronic low back pain secondary to facet joint arthritis.

METHODS

This is a prospective study enrolled 60 patients. The cases were randomized into two groups: 30 patients in the control group underwent traditional percutaneous radiofrequency ablation, others underwent ERFA. The lumbar visual analog scale (VAS), MacNab score, and postoperative complications were used to evaluate the outcomes. All outcome assessments were performed at postoperative 1 day, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, and 12 months.

RESULTS

There was no difference between the two groups in preoperative VAS (P > 0.05). VAS scores, except the postoperative first day, in all other postoperative time points were significantly lower than preoperative values each in both groups (P < 0.05). There was no significant difference between the two groups in VAS at 1 day, 1 month, and 3 months after surgery (P > 0.05). However, the EFRA demonstrated significant benefits at the time points of 3 months and 6 months (P > 0.05). The MacNab scores of 1-year follow-up in the ERFA group were higher than that in the control group (P < 0.05). The incidence of complications in the ERFA group was significantly less than that in the control group (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

ERFA may achieve more accurate and definite denervation on the nerves, which leads to longer lasting pain relief.

Clinical-like cryotherapy improves footprint patterns and reduces synovial inflammation in a rat model of post-traumatic knee osteoarthritis

Cryotherapy is a non-pharmacological treatment commonly used to control inflammation and improve function after acute traumas. However, there are no definitive findings about its effects on chronic joint diseases such as knee osteoarthritis (KOA). The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of clinical-like cryotherapy on functional impairment and synovial inflammation in a rat model of KOA generated by anterior cruciate ligament transection (ACLT). Thirty-two male Wistar rats were randomly divided into four groups (n = 8/group): Control, KOA, KOA + Cryotherapy and KOA + Placebo. The last two groups were submitted to the relevant interventions twice a day for five days (61 to 65), with each session lasting 20 min. Gait test, skin temperature, thermal response threshold and joint swelling were assessed in all groups before ACLT surgery, and pre (60th day) and post (66th day) intervention protocols. On day 66, the animals were euthanized and exsanguinated to remove the synovial membrane for histopathological examination and synovial fluid to determine the leukocyte count and cytokine concentration. After the intervention period (66th day), footprint area only increased in the KOA + Cryotherapy group (P = 0.004; 14%) when compared to KOA and KOA + Placebo, but did not differ from controls. Cryotherapy lowered the synovial fluid leukocyte count (P < 0.0001; ≥95.0%) and cytokine concentration (P < 0.0001; ≥55%) when compared to the KOA and Placebo groups. Synovial score and synovial fibrosis did not differ in the KOA groups. In conclusion, footprint patterns improved in rats with ACLT-induced KOA as a result of clinical-like cryotherapy, which also lowered the synovial fluid leukocyte count and inflammatory cytokine concentration in these rats.

A dual amylin and calcitonin receptor agonist inhibits pain behavior and reduces cartilage pathology in an osteoarthritis rat model

OBJECTIVES

Pain and disability are the main clinical manifestations of osteoarthritis, for which only symptomatic therapies are available. Hence, there is a need for therapies that can simultaneously alter disease progression and provide pain relief. KBP is a dual amylin- and calcitonin-receptor agonist with antiresorptive and chondroprotective properties. In this study we investigated the effect of KBP in a rat model of osteoarthritis.

METHODS

Medial meniscectomy (MNX) was performed in 39 rats, while 10 underwent sham surgery. Rats were treated with KBP and/or naproxen. Nociception was assessed by mechanical and cold allodynia, weight bearing asymmetry, and burrowing behavior. Blood samples were collected for biomarker measurements, and knees for histology. Cartilage histopathology was evaluated according to the advanced Osteoarthritis Research International (OARSI) score and KBPs in vitro antiresorptive effects were assessed using human osteoclasts cultured on bone.

RESULTS

The MNX animals displayed an increased nociceptive behavior. Treatment with KBP attenuated the MNX-induced osteoarthritis-associated joint pain. The cartilage histopathology was significantly lower in rats treated with KBP than in MNX animals. Bone and cartilage degradation, assessed by CTX-I and CTX-II plasma levels, were decreased in all KBP-treated groups and KBP potently inhibited bone resorption in vitro.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrates the effectiveness of KBP in ameliorating osteoarthritis-associated joint pain and in protecting the articular cartilage, suggesting KBP as a potential drug candidate for osteoarthritis.

Impact of oral osteoarthritis therapy usage among other risk factors on knee replacement: a nested case-control study using the Osteoarthritis Initiative cohort

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to measure the association between exposure to commonly used oral osteoarthritis (OA) therapies and relevant confounding risk factors on the occurrence of knee replacement (KR), using the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) database.

METHODS

In this nested case-control design study, participants who had a KR after cohort entry were defined as "cases" and were matched with up to four controls for age, gender, income, Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) pain, Kellgren-Lawrence grade, and duration of follow up. Exposure to oral OA therapies (acetaminophen, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) inhibitors, narcotics, and glucosamine/chondroitin sulfate) was determined within the 3 years prior to the date of the KR. Conditional regression analyses were performed to estimate the association between KR and exposure to oral OA therapies and other potential confounding risk factors.

RESULTS

A total of 218 participants who underwent a KR (cases) were matched to 540 controls. The median time to KR was 4.3 years among cases. The majority in both groups were Caucasian with mean age of 69 years and 61% were female. Numerically, cases were more exposed to acetaminophen, NSAIDs, and COX-2 inhibitors. Exposure to narcotics and glucosamine/chondroitin sulfate was relatively similar between cases and controls. No significant association was found between the occurrence of KR and exposure to any of the oral OA therapies within the 3 years prior to KR. A significantly higher occurrence of KR was found in Caucasian subjects (OR 1.84; 95% CI, 1.13-2.99; p = 0.015) and subjects with body mass index (BMI) ≥ 27 kg/m² (OR 1.65; 95% CI, 1.06-2.58; p = 0.027).

CONCLUSION

This study provides evidence that the main risk factors leading to KR are disease severity, symptoms and high BMI. Importantly, exposure to oral OA therapies was not associated with the occurrence of KR.

Maximum standardised uptake value of quantitative bone SPECT/CT in patients with medial compartment osteoarthritis of the knee

AIM

To evaluate the correlation between the maximum standardised uptake value (SUVmax) from bone single-photon-emission computed tomography/computed tomography (SPECT/CT) and other imaging parameters for medial compartment osteoarthritis (OA) of the knee.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients (n=26; male:female=2:24; age, 55.3±5.8 years) underwent quantitative knee SPECT/CT using technetium-99m (Tc-99m) hydroxymethylene diphosphonate (HDP) before surgical operation for medial OA of the knee. SUVmax was calculated using dedicated quantitative software. Visual grades of tracer uptake on bone SPECT/CT and Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) OA scores on plain radiographs were assessed using a five-point scale. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scores (n=22) and patient symptom scores were also assessed.

RESULTS

The operated knees (n=34) had a greater SUVmax than the non-operated knees (n=18) in the medial compartment (14.1±6.1 versus 5.3±4.4, p<0.0001). In the medial compartment, the SUVmax was significantly correlated with SPECT/CT visual grades (rho=0.794, p<0.0001), KL scores (rho=0.703, p<0.0001), and MRI scores (rho=0.714-0.808, p≤0.0002); however, SUVmax and other imaging parameters were not correlated with patient symptom scores (p>0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The SUVmax of quantitative bone SPECT/CT was highly correlated with traditional imaging parameters for medial compartment OA severity of the knee. Quantitative bone SPECT/CT is a promising imaging technique for the objective assessment of knee OA.

Meniscal Surgery: Risk of Radiographic Joint Space Narrowing Progression and Subsequent Knee Replacement-Data from the Osteoarthritis Initiative

Purpose To investigate the risk of radiographic joint space narrowing (JSN) progression evaluated in subjects with and those without underlying osteoarthritis at baseline and knee replacement (KR) associated with meniscal surgery in subjects with and those without a reported history of preceding knee trauma. Materials and Methods The HIPAA-compliant protocol was approved by the institutional review boards of the participating centers. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants. Subjects who underwent meniscal surgery with a preceding knee trauma at baseline (n = 564) and those without (n = 147) were drawn from the Osteoarthritis Initiative cohort (n = 4796). Radiographic JSN progression was evaluated by using Osteoarthritis Research Society International grading (progression in 1st-, 2nd-, 3rd-, 4th-, 6th-, or 8th-year radiographic findings compared with baseline). KR was assessed up to the 9th year of study (days passed from inclusion to KR or last follow-up). Cox hazard analysis was used to extract the adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with adjustments for baseline age, sex, body mass index, physical activity, symptoms, and radiographic osteoarthritis features (Kellgren and Lawrence [KL] grade). Results Meniscal surgery with a history of preceding knee trauma was not associated with radiographic progression of JSN (adjusted HR, 0.91 [95% confidence interval {CI}: 0.78, 1.07]) or KR (adjusted HR, 1.02 [95% CI: 0.79, 1.34]; P = .854). However, meniscal surgery without a history of preceding knee trauma was associated with radiographic progression of JSN (adjusted HR, 1.27 [95% CI: 1.00, 1.63]) and KR (adjusted HR, 2.09 [95% CI: 1.52, 2.89]; P < .001). Additionally, there was a higher risk of KR in subjects with radiographic KL grade of less than 2 (adjusted HR, 6.97 [95% CI: 3.56, 13.64]; P < .001) at baseline in comparison with KL grade of at least 2 (adjusted HR, 1.76 [95% CI: 1.22, 2.54]; P < .05). Conclusion In contrast to subjects without a reported preceding trauma, meniscal surgery is not independently associated with increased risk of radiographic JSN progression and KR in patients with a reported preceding trauma. ^© RSNA, 2016 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Prediction of medial tibiofemoral compartment joint space loss progression using volumetric cartilage measurements: Data from the FNIH OA biomarkers consortium

OBJECTIVES

Investigating the association between baseline cartilage volume measurements (and initial 24th month volume loss) with medial compartment Joint-Space-Loss (JSL) progression (>0.7 mm) during 24-48th months of study.

METHODS

Case and control cohorts (Biomarkers Consortium subset from the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI)) were defined as participants with (n=297) and without (n=303) medial JSL progression (during 24-48th months). Cartilage volume measurements (baseline and 24th month loss) were obtained at five knee plates (medial-tibial, lateral-tibial, medial-femoral, lateral-femoral and patellar), and standardized values were analysed. Multivariate logistic regression was used with adjustment for known confounders. Artificial-Neural-Network analysis was conducted by Multi-Layer-Perceptrons (MLPs) including baseline determinants, and baseline (1) and interval changes (2) in cartilage volumes.

RESULTS

Larger baseline lateral-femoral cartilage volume was predictive of medial JSL (OR: 1.29 (1.01-1.64)). Greater initial 24th month lateral-femoral cartilage volume-loss (OR: 0.48 (0.27-0.84)) had protective effect on medial JSL during 24-48th months of study. Baseline and interval changes in lateral-femoral cartilage volume, were the most important estimators for medial JSL progression (importance values: 0.191(0.177-0.204), 0.218(0.207-0.228)) in the ANN analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

Cartilage volumes (both at baseline and their change during the initial 24 months) in the lateral femoral plate were predictive of medial JSL progression.

KEY POINTS

• Baseline lateral femoral cartilage volume is directly associated with medial JSL progression. • 24-month lateral femoral cartilage loss is inversely associated with medial JSL progression. • Lateral femoral cartilage volume is most important in association with medial JSL progression.