Community‐acquired pneumonia among children: the latest evidence for an updated management

Survival status and predictors of mortality from severe community-acquired pneumonia among under-five children admitted at Debre Tabor comprehensive specialized hospital: a prospective cohort study

Background

Globally, Pneumonia continues to be the leading cause of mortality among under-five children. Ethiopia ranks fourth out of 15 countries worldwide in terms of the highest death rate of under-five children due to severe community-acquired pneumonia (SCAP). However, to date, there is no recent study that shows survival status and predictors of mortality from SCAP. Therefore, this study aimed to determine survival status and predictors of mortality from this dangerous disease among under-five children.

Methods

A facility-based prospective cohort study was conducted from 1 November 2021 to 31 October 2022 at Debre Tabor comprehensive specialized hospital. All under-five children with SCAP admitted during the study period were included. Participants were selected using a systematic sampling technique. The collected data were coded, edited, and entered into epi-data version 4.2 and then exported to STATA version 17 for further analysis. The Kaplan Meier failure estimate with log-rank test was employed to determine the survival estimates. A cox-proportional hazard regression model was fitted to identify significant variables.

Results

The overall incidence density rate of mortality was 5.7 /1000 children with a median hospital stay of 8.2 days. Heart disease (AHR: 4.37; 95%CI: 1.68-11.32), previous admission of SCAP (AHR: 3.87; 95% CI: 1.31-11.43), WFL < -3Z score (AHR: 3.57; 95% CI: 1.02-12.42), impaired consciousness level at admission 3.41(1.14-10.19), and pleural effusion (AHR: 3.42; 95%CI: 1.18-9.93) were significant predictors of mortality.

Conclusion

In this study, the survival probability of children with SCAP was low. Children with heart disease, previous admission of SCAP, WFL < -3Z score, impaired consciousness level at admission, and pleural effusion had low survival. Therefore, much emphasis is needed on children with SCAP, particularly those with identified predictors.

ΔRDW: A Novel Indicator with Predictive Value for the Diagnosis and Treatment of Multiple Diseases

Elevated red blood cell distribution width (RDW) is a powerful predictor of poor prognosis in a variety of diseases, but a single measurement of RDW cannot reflect the dynamic change of diseases. ΔRDW, as a risk stratification tool, can be used to record changes in RDW before and after treatment; also, it allows investigators to name the unit change of RDW in the studied population. So far, there have been few relevant studies on the predictive value of ΔRDW for different diseases; this article aims to review the studies and summaries of the current understandings on the correlation between ΔRDW and disease outcomes.

Epidemiology of Hypoxic Community-Acquired Pneumonia in Children Under 5 Years of Age: An Observational Study in Northern India

BACKGROUND

Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is the leading cause of under-five mortality in India. An increased risk of mortality has been reported in cases of hypoxic pneumonia.

METHODS

The primary objective of this study was to assess the proportion of children aged 2-59 months, hospitalized with hypoxic CAP, as well as socio-demographic, clinical, and radiological features associated with it. The secondary objective was to determine the risk of mortality among hospitalized cases of hypoxic CAP. This prospective, observational study was conducted in four districts of Northern India, between January 2015 and April 2021. A hospital-based surveillance network was established. Inclusion criteria were as follows: (a) child between 2 and 59 months, (b) hospitalization with symptoms of WHO-defined CAP, (c) resident of project district, (d) illness of <14 days, and (e) child had neither been hospitalized for this illness nor recruited previously. Children whose chest x-rays (CXRs) were either unavailable/un-interpretable and those that received any dose of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13 were excluded. Hypoxic pneumonia was defined as oxygen saturation <90% on pulse oximetry or requiring oxygen supplementation during hospital stay.

RESULTS

During the study period, 71.9% (7,196/10,006) children of severe pneumonia were eligible for inclusion, of whom 35.9% (2,580/7,196) were having hypoxic pneumonia. Female gender and use of biomass fuel for cooking increased the odds of hypoxic CAP. Clinical factors like wheezing, pallor, tachypnea, low pulse volume, presence of comorbidity, general danger signs, severe malnutrition, and radiological finding of primary end-point pneumonia ± other infiltrates (PEP±OI) also increased the odds of hypoxic CAP in a conditional logistic regression model. Adjusted odds ratio for mortality with hypoxia was 2.36 (95% CI: 1.42-3.92).

CONCLUSION

Almost one-third of cases hospitalized with severe CAP had hypoxia, which increased chances of mortality. Besides known danger signs, certain newer clinical signs such as pallor and wheezing as well as PEP+OI were associated with hypoxic CAP. Therefore, objective assessment of oxygen saturation must be done by pulse oximetry in all cases of CAP at the time of diagnosis.