Influencing factors and adverse outcomes of different virologic rebound states in antiretroviral treated HIV/AIDS patients

Association Between Baseline HIV-1 DNA Levels and Clinical Outcomes in People Living with HIV: A Meta-Analysis of Cohort Studies

To assess the prognostic value of baseline HIV-1 DNA levels, a meta-analysis was conducted according to the PROSPERO protocol (CRD42024619050) based on data from studies published until March 4, 2025. Relevant studies were retrieved from the Web of Science, PubMed, Cochrane Library, Embase, and Scopus databases. Effect sizes (correlation coefficients, odds ratios [ORs], hazard ratios [HRs], and adjusted hazard ratios [aHRs]) were calculated using R software, with subgroup analyses and assessment of publication bias and sensitivity. Seventeen studies involving 4789 participants were included. The combined correlation coefficient between pre- and on-ART HIV-1 DNA levels was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.63-0.78). Baseline DNA levels were significantly associated with viral rebound after VS (combined OR = 1.74, 95% CI: 1.25-2.41; HR = 2.01, 95% CI: 1.58-2.56; aHR=2.26, 95% CI: 1.75-2.92). For clinical progression, the combined HR and aHR for continuous baseline DNA were 3.66 (95% CI: 2.87-4.66) and 2.44 (95% CI: 1.87-3.20), respectively, with high baseline DNA levels associated with an increased risk of clinical progression (HR = 2.58, 95% CI: 1.96-3.39; aHR=1.90, 95% CI: 1.41-2.55). For mortality, the HR and aHR were 3.22 (95% CI: 1.96-5.29) and 2.15 (95% CI: 1.21-3.84) respectively, with high baseline DNA levels associated with an increased risk of death (HR = 3.54, 95% CI: 1.39-9.00; aHR=2.86, 95% CI: 1.01-8.08). Higher pre-ART HIV-1 DNA levels are associated with increased risks of viral rebound, clinical progression, and mortality. These results suggest that baseline HIV-1 DNA represents a potentially valuable supplementary biomarker for monitoring disease progression and treatment response.

Assessing HIV-1 subtype C infection dynamics, therapeutic responses and reservoir distribution using a humanized mouse model

Introduction

While HIV-1 subtype C (HIV-1C) is the most prevalent and widely distributed subtype in the HIV pandemic, nearly all current prevention and therapeutic strategies are based on work with the subtype B (HIV-1B). HIV-1C displays distinct genetic and pathogenic features from that of HIV-1B. Thus, treatment approaches developed for HIV-1B need to be suitably optimized for HIV-1C. A suitable animal model will help delineate comparative aspects of HIV-1C and HIV-1B infections.

Methods

Here, we used a humanized mouse model to evaluate HIV-1C infection, disease progression, response to anti-retroviral therapy (ART) and viral rebound following therapy interruption. A limited comparative study with a prototypical subtype B virus was also performed. Viral infection, immune cell dynamics, acquisition of anti-retroviral therapy (ART) resistance and anatomical reservoir distribution following extended and interrupted therapy were compared.

Results

In comparison, lower early plasma viremia was observed with HIV-1C, but with similar rate of CD4+ T cell depletion as that of HIV-1B. Viral suppression by ART was delayed in the HIV-1C infected group with evidence, in one case, of acquired class wide resistance to integrase inhibitors, a critical component of current global therapy regimens. Also, HIV-1C infected animals displayed faster rebound viremia following ART interruption (ATI). Disparate patterns of tissue proviral DNA distribution were observed following extended ART and ATI suggestive of distinct sources of viral rebound.

Discussion

In this preliminary study, discernible differences were noted between HIV-1C and B with implications for prevention, therapeutics and curative strategies. Results from here also highlight the utility of the hu-HSC mouse model for future expanded studies in this context.

The association of changes in depression severity after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and viral nonsuppression among people with HIV

OBJECTIVE

This study sought to characterize changes in depressive symptom severity during the COVID-19 pandemic and the association of these changes with HIV viral nonsuppression among people with HIV (PWH).

DESIGN

A clinical cohort study.

METHODS

We included PWH in the Johns Hopkins HIV Clinical Cohort who completed the Patient Health Questionnaire 8 (PHQ-8) prepandemic (1 March 2018 to 28 February 2020) and during the COVID-era (1 September 2020 to 28 February 2022). PWH were classified according to depression severity categories prepandemic and during the COVID-era as: consistently depressed (prepandemic PHQ-8 >4 and no change in severity category); consistently nondepressed (prepandemic PHQ-8 ≤4 and no change in severity category); worsened (changed to a higher severity category) and; improved (change to a lower severity category). The association between changes in depressive symptom severity and viral nonsuppression (HIV RNA >200 copies/ml on the earliest viral load measured 7 days before to 12 months after the COVID-era PHQ-8 survey) was assessed using multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

Of 793 PWH, mean age was 56 (SD 10) years, 60% were male individuals and 88% were Black. After the onset of the pandemic, 60% were consistently nondepressed, 9% were consistently depressed, 15% worsened and 16% improved. PWH who worsened had 2.47 times the odds of viral nonsuppression (95% CI: 1.09-5.55) compared with the nondepressed group. Associations among other groups were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

Worsening depression during the COVID-era was associated with HIV viral nonsuppression. Strategies to monitor and address depression among PWH may contribute to reduced risk of viral nonsuppression.

Detectable Virological Load and Associated Factors among People Living with HIV on Antiretroviral Treatment: A Retrospective Study

The complete and prolonged suppression of viral load is the primary objective of HAART in people living with HIV. Some people may experience therapeutic failure, while others may achieve virological suppression but are unable to maintain it, developing persistent or single detection of low-level viremia. This study aims to evaluate the determinants of a detectable viral load among patients on HAART to identify and address them promptly. In this retrospective study, all patients referring to the Infectious Disease Operative Unit of the Vito Fazzi Hospital in Lecce, Puglia, older than 18 years, receiving HAART for at least 12 months as of 30 June 2022, were included. For each patient, demographic characteristics such as age, sex, educational level, stable relationship, cohabitation, employment status, and information relating to habits and lifestyles such as physical activity, use of drugs, and substances or supplements for sport, abuse of alcohol, and smoking were collected. Degree of comorbidity was quantified according to the Charlson Comorbidity Index, and the presence of obesity and the COVID-19 infection was also considered. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess the association between patients' characteristics and the outcome. In the multivariable logistic regression model, the odds were lower for the duration of therapy (OR: 0.96; p = 0.0397), prescriber's perception of adherence to therapy (OR: 0.50; p < 0.0001), and Nadir CD4+ T-cell count (OR: 0.85; p = 0.0329), and higher for the presence of AIDS (OR: 1.89; p = 0.0423) and COVID-19 (OR: 2.31; p = 0.0182). Our findings support the early initiation of HAART to achieve virological suppression. Additionally, measures to improve adherence to therapy should be adopted to ensure better outcomes for patients.

Prevalence and predictors of persistent low-level HIV viraemia: a retrospective cohort study among people receiving dolutegravir-based antiretroviral therapy in Southern Nigeria

Background

Persistent low-level viraemia (PLLV) is a risk factor for virologic failure among people receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART).

Objectives

We assessed the prevalence and predictors of PLLV among individuals receiving Dolutegravir-based ART in southern Nigeria.

Design

This retrospective cohort study used routine program data from electronic medical records of persons receiving Dolutegravir-based first-line ART in 154 PEPFAR/USAID-supported health facilities in Akwa Ibom and Cross Rivers states, Nigeria.

Methods

Clients on first-line Dolutegravir-based ART ⩾6 months, who had a viral load result in the 12 months preceding October 2021 (baseline), and a second viral load result by September 2022 were included. Persons with low-level viraemia (LLV) (viral load 51-999 copies/ml) received additional adherence support. The outcome analysed was PLLV (two consecutive LLV results). Indices were summarized using descriptive statistics, and predictors of PLLV were determined using multivariate logistic regression.

Results

In total, 141,208 persons on ART were included, of which 63.3% (n = 89,944) were females. The median age was 36 [29-44] years, median ART duration was 19 [11-42] months. At the end of the study, 10.5% (14,759/141,208) had initial LLV, 90.1% (13,304/14,759) of which attained undetectable viral load (⩽50 copies/ml), and 1.1% (163/14,759) transitioned to virologic failure (⩾1000 copies/ml) by the end of the study. PLLV prevalence was 0.9% (1292/141,208). Increasing ART duration [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 1.0; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.005-1.008; p < 0.001] and viral suppression (<1000 copies/ml) before initial LLV (aOR = 1.7; 95% CI: 1.50-2.00; p < 0.001) were positively associated with PLLV, while receipt of tuberculosis preventive therapy reduced the likelihood of PLLV (aOR = 0.3; 95% CI: 0.10-0.94; p = 0.039).

Conclusion

PLLV was uncommon among individuals receiving dolutegravir-based ART and was associated with longer ART duration, prior viral suppression, and non-receipt of tuberculosis preventive therapy. This strengthens recommendations for continuous adherence support and comprehensive health services with ART, to prevent treatment failure.

Prevention and Control Are Not a Regional Matter: A Spatial Correlation and Molecular Linkage Analysis Based on Newly Reported HIV/AIDS Patients in 2021 in Jiangsu, China

HIV-related spatial analysis studies in China are relatively few, and Jiangsu Province has not reported the relevant data in recent years. To describe the spatial distribution and molecular linkage characteristics of HIV-infected patients, this article combined descriptive epidemiology, spatial analysis, and molecular epidemiology methods to analyze patient reporting, patient mobility information, and HIV sequence information simultaneously. The results showed that HIV reporting profiles differed among Jiangsu cities, with the reporting rate in southern Jiangsu being above average. There was a spatial autocorrelation (Global Moran I = 0.5426, p < 0.05), with Chang Zhou showing a High-High aggregation pattern. Chang Zhou and Wu Xi were identified as hotspots for HIV reporting and access to molecular transmission networks. Some infected individuals still showed cross-city or even cross-province mobility after diagnosis, and three were linked with individuals in the destination cities within the largest molecular transmission cluster, involving 196 patients. The cross-city or cross-province mobility of patients may result in a potential HIV transmission risk, suggesting that combining timely social network surveys, building an extensive transmission network across cities and provinces, and taking critical regions and key populations as entry points could contribute to improved prevention and control efficiency and promote achievement of the 95-95-95 target and cascade.

Predicting Factors of Plasma HIV RNA Undetectability after Switching to Co-Formulated Bictegravir, Emtricitabine, and Tenofovir Alafenamide in Experienced HIV-1 Patients: A Multicenter Study

Switching to bictegravir, emtricitabine, and tenofovir alafenamide (BIC/FTC/TAF) from other antiretroviral regimens is safe and effective for virologically suppressed people living with HIV (PLWH). The term virological suppression includes both low but detectable HIV viremia and undetectable HIV viremia, and the latter is possibly associated with a lower immune activation state. Herein, we describe a 24-month follow-up of experienced PLWH with plasma HIV RNA undetectable or detectable < 50 copies/ml switching to BIC/FTC/TAF. A previous 12-month monitoring was available, and the factors correlated with treatment efficacy. This retrospective multicenter study included PLWH who switched to BIC/FTC/TAF in the period of 2019-2022, and who were HBsAg and HCV RNA negative. The follow-up study times were 6 (T6), 12 (T12), 18 (T18), and 24 (T24) months after the switch (T0). Survival analysis with multiple-failure-per-subject design, Kaplan-Meier survival estimates, multivariate analysis of variance, multilevel linear regression, and a hierarchical ordered logistic model were applied. A total of 329 PLWH had plasma HIV RNA which was either undetectable or detectable at <50 copies/mL at T0, and 197 responded to all inclusion criteria: M/F 140/57; the median CD4+ cell count was 677 cells/mm3; and HIV RNA at T0 was undetectable in 108 patients. Most of the 197 patients (122, 61.9%) were on a previous INSTI-based regimen. HIV RNA undetectability was more frequent at each follow-up point in patients with HIV RNA that was undetectable at T0, and it showed a higher frequency throughout the follow-up period in patients with always-undetectable HIV RNA in the 12 months before the switch. A higher nadir CD4 cell count had a predictive role, and HBcAb positivity had no influence. In conclusion, the switch could be programmed and possibly delayed on a case-by-case basis in order to achieve persistent plasma HIV RNA undetectability. Undiagnosed loss of HBcAb has no detrimental consequences on the response to BIC/FTC/TAF.