Nomograms for Predicting Outcomes after Chemoembolization in Patients with Nonmetastatic Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Ethiodized oil as an imaging biomarker after conventional transarterial chemoembolization

Conventional transarterial chemoembolization (cTACE) utilizing ethiodized oil as a chemotherapy carrier has become a standard treatment for intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and has been adopted as a bridging and downstaging therapy for liver transplantation. Water-in-oil emulsion made up of ethiodized oil and chemotherapy solution is retained in tumor vasculature resulting in high tissue drug concentration and low systemic chemotherapy doses. The density and distribution pattern of ethiodized oil within the tumor on post-treatment imaging are predictive of the extent of tumor necrosis and duration of response to treatment. This review describes the multiple roles of ethiodized oil, particularly in its role as a biomarker of tumor response to cTACE. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: With the increasing complexity of locoregional therapy options, including the use of combination therapies, treatment response assessment has become challenging; Ethiodized oil deposition patterns can serve as an imaging biomarker for the prediction of treatment response, and perhaps predict post-treatment prognosis. KEY POINTS: • Treatment response assessment after locoregional therapy to hepatocellular carcinoma is fraught with multiple challenges given the varied post-treatment imaging appearance. • Ethiodized oil is unique in that its' radiopacity can serve as an imaging biomarker to help predict treatment response. • The pattern of deposition of ethiodozed oil has served as a mechanism to detect portions of tumor that are undertreated and can serve as an adjunct to enhancement in order to improve management in patients treated with intraarterial embolization with ethiodized oil.

Validation of the SNACOR clinical scoring system after transarterial chemoembolisation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Background

Transarterial chemoembolisation is the standard of care for intermediate stage (BCLC B) hepatocellular carcinoma, but it is challenging to decide when to repeat or stop treatment. Here we performed the first external validation of the SNACOR (tumour Size and Number, baseline Alpha-fetoprotein, Child-Pugh and Objective radiological Response) risk prediction model.

Methods

A total of 1030 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma underwent transarterial chemoembolisation at our tertiary referral centre from January 2000 to December 2016. We determined the following variables that were needed to calculate the SNACOR at baseline: tumour size and number, alpha-fetoprotein level, Child-Pugh class, and objective radiological response after the first transarterial chemoembolisation. Overall survival, time-dependent area under receiver-operating characteristic curves, Harrell’s C-index, and the integrated Brier score were calculated to assess predictive ability. Finally, multivariate analysis was performed to identify independent predictors of survival.

Results

The study included 268 patients. Low, intermediate, and high SNACOR scores predicted a median survival of 31.5, 19.9, and 9.2 months, respectively. The areas under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for overall survival were 0.641, 0.633, and 0.609 at 1, 3, and 6 years, respectively. Harrell’s C-index was 0.59, and the integrated Brier Score was 0.175. Independent predictors of survival included tumour size (P < 0.001), baseline alpha-fetoprotein level (P < 0.001) and Child-Pugh class (P < 0.004). Objective radiological response (P = 0.821) and tumour number (P = 0.127) were not additional independent predictors of survival.

Conclusions

The SNACOR risk prediction model can be used to identify patients with a dismal prognosis after the first transarterial chemoembolisation who are unlikely to benefit from further transarterial chemoembolisation. However, Harrell’s C-index showed only moderate performance. Accordingly, this risk prediction model can only serve as one of several components used to make the decision about whether to repeat treatment.

Experience from a real-life cohort: outcome of 606 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma following transarterial chemoembolization

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most lethal cancers. Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) has been accepted as the standard care for intermediate stage disease.

METHODS

In this study, we characterized 606 with HCC patients from Hannover Medical School treated with TACE.

RESULTS

606 with HCC patients treated with TACE were identified between 2000 and 2015. Most patients (59.8%) were at intermediate stage. Following TACE, most patients subsequently received systemic therapy or best supportive care (BSC), whereas 227 (37.5%) patients were bridged to potentially curative local treatments. Depending on subsequent therapies, median post-TACE survival ranged from 7 to 162 months. Ascites, cholinesterase, c-reactive and alpha-feto protein and tumor size were identified as prognostic factors. These factors as well as the HAP, mHAP-II and STATE score also determined post-TACE survival independent of subsequent therapies. Hepatic function progressively deteriorated with repeated TACE sessions. Despite that, post-TACE survival was not shortened in frequently treated patients (≥5 times) as compared to patients treated 4 times or less (p = not significant [n.s.]). Patients treated ≥5 times with TACE received significantly more often systemic therapy following TACE (37.3%) as compared to patients with 3-4 (30.1%), 2 (27.4%) and 1 (21.8%) sessions (p < .05).

CONCLUSION

TACE is performed in a heterogeneous population as bridging therapy to other local treatments and palliative therapy. The long-term survival following TACE is determined by baseline tumor, patient-related factors and by subsequent therapies. Post-TACE survival is not shorter in patients with frequent treatments (≥5), and the rate of subsequent systemic treatments is higher compared to less frequently treated patients.

A multivariable model to predict survival for patients with hepatic carcinoma or liver metastasis receiving radiotherapy

AIM

New parameters that correlate with overall survival were identified in patients with liver lesions treated with radiation therapy.

METHODS

Pretreatment information and parameters of radiation treatment plans for 129 metastatic and 66 hepatocellular carcinoma liver cancer patients were analyzed. Study end points included overall survival collected from patient charts and electronic records.

RESULTS

Two practical nomograms were constructed for primary hepatocellular carcinoma and liver metastasis patients. For patients with a Child-Pugh A, radiation dose escalation provided a significant survival benefit. However, for those with Child-Pugh B or C, increasing dose does not impact on survival.

CONCLUSION

The developed models can potentially guide dose selection and provide prognostic information but still require external validation.