Declining comorbidity-adjusted mortality rates in English patients receiving maintenance renal replacement therapy

Survival Analysis and Its Predictors Among Hemodialysis Patients at Saint Paul Hospital Millennium Medical College and Myungsung Christian Medical Center in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 2021

Background

Diabetes mellitus and hypertension are the most prominent conditions causing chronic kidney disease and eventually end-stage renal disease. Renal replacement therapy, particularly hemodialysis (HD), is the mainstay of treatment. The aim of this study is to assess the overall survival status of HD patients and potential survival predictors at Saint Paul hospital millennium medical college (SPHMMC) and Myungsung Christian Medical Center (MCM) in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was conducted on HD patients at SPHMMC and MCM general hospital from January 1, 2013 to December 30, 2020. Kaplan Meier, Log-rank, and Cox proportional regression models were used for the analysis. Estimated risks were reported as hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals and P<0.05 was considered as having a significant association.

Results

A total of 128 patients were included in the study. Median survival time was 65 months. The predominant co-morbid condition was found to be diabetes mellitus with hypertension (42%). The total risk time for these patients was 143,617 person years. The overall incidence rate of death was 2.9 per 10,000 person years (95% CI=2.2-4). Patients who developed blood stream infection were 2.98-times more likely to die than those without infection. Those using an arteriovenous fistula were 66% less likely to die than those using a central venous catheter. Additionally, patients treated in a government-owned facility were 79% less likely to die.

Conclusion

The study identified that the median survival time of 65 months was comparable with developed nations. Significant predictors of death were found to be blood stream infection and type of vascular access. Government-owned treatment facilities showed better patient survival.

Neutrophil degranulation and severely impaired extracellular trap formation at the basis of susceptibility to infections of hemodialysis patients

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease patients are at increased risk of mortality with cardiovascular diseases and infections as the two leading causes of death for end-stage kidney disease treated with hemodialysis (HD). Mortality from bacterial infections in HD patients is estimated to be 100-1000 times higher than in the healthy population.

METHODS

We comprehensively characterized highly pure circulating neutrophils from HD and healthy donors.

RESULTS

Protein levels and transcriptome of HD patients' neutrophils indicated massive neutrophil degranulation with a dramatic reduction in reactive oxygen species (ROS) production during an oxidative burst and defective oxidative cellular signaling. Moreover, HD neutrophils exhibit severely impaired ability to generate extracellular NET formation (NETosis) in NADPH oxidase-dependent or independent pathways, reflecting their loss of capacity to kill extracellular bacteria. Ectopic hydrogen peroxidase (H2O2) or recombinant human SOD-1 (rSOD-1) partly restores and improves the extent of HD dysfunctional neutrophil NET formation.

CONCLUSIONS

Our report is one of the first singular examples of severe and chronic impairment of NET formation leading to substantial clinical susceptibility to bacteremia that most likely results from the metabolic and environmental milieu typical to HD patients and not by common human genetic deficiencies. In this manner, aberrant gene expression and differential exocytosis of distinct granule populations could reflect the chronic defect in neutrophil functionality and their diminished ability to induce NETosis. Therefore, our findings suggest that targeting NETosis in HD patients may reduce infections, minimize their severity, and decrease the mortality rate from infections in this patient population.

Multitargeted interventions to reduce dialysis-induced systemic stress

Hemodialysis (HD) is a life-sustaining therapy as well as an intermittent and repetitive stress condition for the patient. In ridding the blood of unwanted substances and excess fluid from the blood, the extracorporeal procedure simultaneously induces persistent physiological changes that adversely affect several organs. Dialysis patients experience this systemic stress condition usually thrice weekly and sometimes more frequently depending on the treatment schedule. Dialysis-induced systemic stress results from multifactorial components that include treatment schedule (i.e. modality, treatment time), hemodynamic management (i.e. ultrafiltration, weight loss), intensity of solute fluxes, osmotic and electrolytic shifts and interaction of blood with components of the extracorporeal circuit. Intradialytic morbidity (i.e. hypovolemia, intradialytic hypotension, hypoxia) is the clinical expression of this systemic stress that may act as a disease modifier, resulting in multiorgan injury and long-term morbidity. Thus, while lifesaving, HD exposes the patient to several systemic stressors, both hemodynamic and non-hemodynamic in origin. In addition, a combination of cardiocirculatory stress, greatly conditioned by the switch from hypervolemia to hypovolemia, hypoxemia and electrolyte changes may create pro-arrhythmogenic conditions. Moreover, contact of blood with components of the extracorporeal circuit directly activate circulating cells (i.e. macrophages-monocytes or platelets) and protein systems (i.e. coagulation, complement, contact phase kallikrein-kinin system), leading to induction of pro-inflammatory cytokines and resulting in chronic low-grade inflammation, further contributing to poor outcomes. The multifactorial, repetitive HD-induced stress that globally reduces tissue perfusion and oxygenation could have deleterious long-term consequences on the functionality of vital organs such as heart, brain, liver and kidney. In this article, we summarize the multisystemic pathophysiological consequences of the main circulatory stress factors. Strategies to mitigate their effects to provide more cardioprotective and personalized dialytic therapies are proposed to reduce the systemic burden of HD.

Application of the Clinical Frailty Score and body composition and upper arm strength in haemodialysis patients

Background

To improve outcomes, simple screening tests are required to detect patients at increased risk of mortality. As patients with muscle weakness and wasting are at increased risk of death, we wished to review the use of the Clinical Frailty Score (CFS).

Patients and methods

Dialysis staff graded haemodialysis (HD) patients attending for routine outpatient sessions using the CFS, a functional scoring scale, for patients who require help with their instrumental activities of daily living, classified as clinically frail with scores >4, which were compared with contemporaneous Stoke–Davies comorbidity scores, post-HD body composition measured by bioimpedance, hand grip strength (HGS) and standard laboratory investigations.

Results

The results from 2089 patients (60.2% male) were reviewed, with 890 (42.6%) classified as frail. Frail patients were older [mean ± standard deviation (SD) 71.5 ± 15.6 versus 59.1 ± 15.6 years) and female (50.7% versus 37.3%) and had greater comorbidity {median 2 [interquartile range (IQR) 1–3] versus 1 [0–2]}, body mass index (BMI) (26.0 ± 6.7 versus 25.5 ± 5.4 kg/m²),  C-reactive protein (CRP) [8 (IQR 3–20) versus 5 (2–11) mg/L], lower serum albumin (37.6 ± 4.7 versus 40.1 ± 4.7 g/L),  lean BMI (8.9 ± 1.7 versus 9.7 ± 1.6 kg/m²) and HGS [13.4 (IQR 9.6–18.8) versus 20.9 (14.5–29) kg] (all P < 0.001). Frailty was independently associated in a multivariable logistic model with age {odds ratio [OR] 2.33 [95% confidence limit (CL) 2.01–2.7]}, body fat mass [OR 1.02 (CL 1.01–1.03)], log CRP [OR 1.63 (CL 1.28–2.07)] (all P < 0.001) and comorbidity [OR 1.45 (CL 1.17–1.8); P = 0.001] and negatively associated with albumin [OR 0.95 (CL 0.92–0.98) and HGS [OR 0.91 (CL 0.9–0.93)] (both P < 0.001).

Conclusion

Frail patients are at increased risk of mortality and, as such, simple reliable screening tools are required to rapidly detect patients at risk. The CFS is a useful screening tool that can be readily performed by dialysis staff to identify frail patients. Frailty in HD patients was associated with increasing age, comorbidity, fat weight and inflammation and reduced muscle strength and muscle mass. There is an overlap between frailty and both sarcopenia and protein energy wasting, which requires additional assessments, potentially including body composition, strength, dietary assessments and laboratory investigations. In addition, as the CFS offers a scale, patient trajectories can potentially be serially monitored over time, thus allowing patient-specific interventions or holistic care plans.

Performance versus Risk Factor-Based Approaches to Coronary Artery Disease Screening in Waitlisted Kidney Transplant Candidates

INTRODUCTION

Current screening algorithms for coronary artery disease (CAD) before kidney transplantation result in many tests but few interventions.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to study the utility of 6-minute walk test (6MWT), an office-based test of cardiorespiratory fitness, for risk stratification in this setting.

METHODS

We enrolled 360 patients who are near the top of the kidney transplant waitlist at our institution. All patients underwent CAD evaluation irrespective of 6MWT results. We examined the association between 6MWT and time to CAD-related events (defined as cardiac death, revascularization, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and removal from the waitlist for CAD), treating noncardiac death and waitlist removal for non-CAD reasons as competing events.

RESULTS

The 6MWT-based approach designated approximately 45% of patients as "low risk," whereas a risk factor- or symptom-based approach designated 14 and 81% of patients as "low risk," respectively. The 6MWT-based approach was not significantly associated with CAD-related events within 1 year (subproportional hazard ratio [sHR] 1.00 [0.90-1.11] per 50 m) but was significantly associated with competing events (sHR 0.70 [0.66-0.75] per 50 m). In a companion analysis, removing waitlist status from consideration, 6MWT result was associated with the development of CAD-related events (sHR 0.92 [0.84-1.00] per 50 m).

CONCLUSIONS

The 6MWT designates fewer patients as high risk and in need of further testing (compared to risk factor-based approaches), but its utility as a pure CAD risk stratification tool is modulated by the background waitlist removal rate. CAD screening before kidney transplant should be tailored according to a patient's actual chance of receiving a transplant.

Effect of Utilizing More Than 20-Year Older Deceased Donor Kidneys for Young Recipients: An Analysis of the UK Registry

OBJECTIVES

Despite the wider acceptance of expanded criteria kidneys and the advances in immunosuppression, clinicians remain sceptical when it comes to accepting kidneys from significantly older donors, especially for the young adult recipient population (age ≤40 years).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We utilized prospectively maintained data from the United Kingdom Registry and analyzed the deceased donor renal transplant outcomes for 2 cohorts: (1) young recipients who received either a younger kidney or a kidney from a donor who was less than 20 years older (group <20; n = 2072) and (2) young recipients who received a kidney from donors who were 20 or more years older (group ≥20, n = 764). We used life tables for survival and performed Cox regression analysis to identify significant variables.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 2918 days. The univariate analysis for graft loss showed the strongest predictors to be donor age, recipient age, recipient ethnicity, and delayed graft function, which retained their significance in the multivariate model. Graft survival rates were 94% versus 90% at 1 year, 86% versus 75% at 5 years, and 75% versus 63% at 10 years for group <20 versus group ≥20, respectively. Respective patient survival rates were comparable for both cohorts: 99% versus 98% at 1 year, 97% versus 96% at 5 years, and 91% versus 91% at 10 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis showed that allografts from ≥20-year-older deceased donors are beneficial and should be considered for transplant in younger recipients. Allograft survival may be worse compared with survival with younger allografts; however, young recipients do potentially better and survive longer compared with remaining on dialysis.

Identification of cardiovascular high risk groups from dynamic retinal vessel signals using untargeted machine learning

AIMS

Dynamic retinal vessel analysis (DVA) provides a noninvasive way to asses microvascular function in patients and potentially to improve predictions of individual cardiovascular (CV) risk. The aim of our study was to use untargeted machine learning on DVA in order to improve CV mortality prediction and to identify corresponding response alterations.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We adopted a workflow consisting of noise reduction and extraction of independent components within DVA signals. Predictor performance was assessed in survival random forest models. Applying our technique to the prediction of all-cause mortality in a cohort of 214 hemodialysis patients resulted in the selection of a component which was highly correlated to maximal venous dilation following flicker stimulation (vMax), a previously identified predictor, confirming the validity of our approach. When fitting for CV mortality as the outcome of interest, a combination of three components derived from the arterial signal resulted in a marked improvement in predictive performance. Clustering analysis suggested that these independent components identified groups of patients with substantially higher CV mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results provide a machine learning workflow to improve the predictive performance of DVA and identify groups of hemodialysis patients at high risk of CV mortality. Our approach may also prove to be promising for DVA signal analysis in other CV disease states.

TRANSLATIONAL PERSPECTIVE

DVA is a noninvasive technique which can help to assess microvascular dysfunction, one of the driving factors of CV disease. This study demonstrates a machine learning method which improves DVA interpretation for the estimation of CV risk in hemodialysis patients. Similar techniques can help doctors to identify high risk patients for timely therapeutic interventions and to monitor the effects of these interventions.

Worldwide Epidemiology of Diabetes-Related End-Stage Renal Disease, 2000-2015

OBJECTIVE

The annual risk among patients with diabetes of reaching end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is largely unknown worldwide. This study aimed to compare the incidence of diabetes-related ESRD by creating a global atlas during 2000-2015.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The annual incidence of ESRD among patients with diabetes was calculated as the quotient of the number of incident ESRD patients with diabetes divided by the total number of patients with diabetes after subtraction of the number with existing ESRD. The estimated ESRD prevalence and annual incidence were validated with use of the data provided by Fresenius Medical Care, Germany, and previously reported data, respectively.

RESULTS

Data were obtained from 142 countries, covering 97.3% of the world population. The global percentage of the prevalent ESRD patients with diabetes increased from 19.0% in 2000 to 29.7% in 2015 worldwide, while the percentage of incident ESRD patients due to diabetes increased from 22.1% to 31.3%. The global annual incidence of ESRD among patients with diabetes increased from 375.8 to 1,016.0/million with diabetes during 2000-2015. The highest average rates were observed in the Western Pacific Region. Comparatively, the rates of incident ESRD among European patients with diabetes ranged from one-half (309.2 vs. 544.6) to one-third (419.4 vs. 1,245.2) of the rates of the Western Pacific population during 2000-2015.

CONCLUSIONS

Great and nonrandom geographic variation in the annual rates among patients with diabetes of reaching ESRD suggests that distinct health care, environmental, and/or genetic factors contribute to the progression of diabetic kidney disease. Measures to prevent and treat diabetes-related ESRD require better patient susceptibility stratification.

Secular Changes in Mortality and Hospitalization over Time in People with Kidney Failure or Severe CKD as Compared with Other Noncommunicable Diseases

Background

Few new treatments have been developed for kidney failure or CKD in recent years, leading to perceptions of slower improvement in outcomes associated with CKD or kidney failure than for other major noncommunicable diseases.

Methods

Our retrospective cohort study included 548,609 people with an incident noncommunicable disease, including cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, various cancers, and severe CKD or kidney failure treated with renal replacement (KF-RRT), treated in Alberta, Canada, 2004–2015. For each disease, we assessed presence or absence of 8 comorbidities; we also compared secular trends in relative (compared to a referent year of 2004) and absolute risks of mortality and mean annual days in the hospital associated with each disease after 1 year and 5 years.

Results

Comorbidities increased significantly in number over time for all noncommunicable diseases except diabetes, and increased most rapidly for CKD and KF-RRT. Significant but relatively small reductions over time in the risk ratio of mortality at 1 year occurred for nearly all noncommunicable diseases. Secular trends in the absolute risk of mortality were similar; CKD and KF-RRT had a relatively favorable ranking at 1 year. Breast cancer, KF-RRT, diabetes, and colorectal cancer displayed the largest relative reductions in number of hospital days at 1 year. Significant absolute reductions in the number of hospital days were observed for both KF-RRT and CKD; the former had the highest absolute reduction among all noncommunicable diseases. Results were similar at 5 years.

Conclusions

We observed secular reductions in mortality and annual hospital days at 1 year and 5 years among incident patients with KF-RRT and severe CKD, as well as several other common noncommunicable diseases.

The current and future landscape of dialysis

The development of dialysis by early pioneers such as Willem Kolff and Belding Scribner set in motion several dramatic changes in the epidemiology, economics and ethical frameworks for the treatment of kidney failure. However, despite a rapid expansion in the provision of dialysis — particularly haemodialysis and most notably in high-income countries (HICs) — the rate of true patient-centred innovation has slowed. Current trends are particularly concerning from a global perspective: current costs are not sustainable, even for HICs, and globally, most people who develop kidney failure forego treatment, resulting in millions of deaths every year. Thus, there is an urgent need to develop new approaches and dialysis modalities that are cost-effective, accessible and offer improved patient outcomes. Nephrology researchers are increasingly engaging with patients to determine their priorities for meaningful outcomes that should be used to measure progress. The overarching message from this engagement is that while patients value longevity, reducing symptom burden and achieving maximal functional and social rehabilitation are prioritized more highly. In response, patients, payors, regulators and health-care systems are increasingly demanding improved value, which can only come about through true patient-centred innovation that supports high-quality, high-value care. Substantial efforts are now underway to support requisite transformative changes. These efforts need to be catalysed, promoted and fostered through international collaboration and harmonization.

Dialysis is a life-saving therapy; however, costs of dialysis are high, access is inequitable and outcomes are inadequate. This Review describes the current landscape of dialysis therapy from an epidemiological, economic, ethical and patient-centred framework, and describes initiatives that are aimed at stimulating innovations in the field to one that supports high-quality, high-value care.

The global dialysis population is growing rapidly, especially in low-income and middle-income countries; however, worldwide, a substantial number of people lack access to kidney replacement therapy, and millions of people die of kidney failure each year, often without supportive care.

The costs of dialysis care are high and will likely continue to rise as a result of increased life expectancy and improved therapies for causes of kidney failure such as diabetes mellitus and cardiovascular disease.

Patients on dialysis continue to bear a high burden of disease, shortened life expectancy and report a high symptom burden and a low health-related quality of life.

Patient-focused research has identified fatigue, insomnia, cramps, depression, anxiety and frustration as key symptoms contributing to unsatisfactory outcomes for patients on dialysis.

Initiatives to transform dialysis outcomes for patients require both top-down efforts (that is, efforts that promote incentives based on systems level policy, regulations, macroeconomic and organizational changes) and bottom-up efforts (that is, patient-led and patient-centred advocacy efforts as well as efforts led by individual teams of innovators).

Patients, payors, regulators and health-care systems increasingly demand improved value in dialysis care, which can only come about through true patient-centred innovation that supports high-quality, high-value care.

Linking disease registries and nationwide healthcare administrative databases: the French renal epidemiology and information network (REIN) insight

BACKGROUND

Record linkage is increasingly used in health research worldwide. Combining the patient information available in healthcare, administrative and clinical databases broadens the research perspectives, particularly for chronic diseases. Recent guidelines highlight the need for transparency on the used record linkage processes and the extracted data to be used by researchers.

METHODS

Therefore, the aim of this study was to describe the deterministic iterative approach used to link the French Epidemiology and Information Network (REIN), a French national End-Stage Renal Disease registry, with the Système National des Données de Santé (SNDS), a French nationwide medico-administrative healthcare database.

RESULTS

Among the 22,073 patients included in the REIN registry who started renal replacement therapy between 2014 and 2015 in France, 19,223 (87.1%) were matched with patients in the SNDS database. Comparison of matched and unmatched patients confirmed the absence of any major selection bias. Then, the record linkage was evaluated using the comorbidity status (diabetes).

CONCLUSIONS

This fast and efficient method of record linkage with pseudonymized data and without unique and direct identifier might inspire other research teams. It also opens the path for new research on chronic kidney disease.

The Pre-Dialysis Care Trajectory of Chronic Kidney Disease Patients and the Start of Dialysis in Emergency: A Mixed Method Study Protocol

Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) is an important public health issue that requires early and close medical monitoring to start Renal Replacement Therapy (RRT) in the best conditions. However, in France, about 1/3 of patients start dialysis in emergency, despite the existence of CKD management guidelines. Using both quantitative and qualitative methods, we wanted to analyze the pre-dialysis care trajectory of patients with CKD and document the causes of Emergency dialysis Start (ES). To this aim, we designed a convergent mixed-method study. The quantitative component will analyze individual healthcare consumption and clinical data to identify the risk factors of ES by comparing the trajectories of patients who started dialysis in emergency in 2015 in France with those of patients who started in a planned manner and with the national recommendations. The qualitative component will explore the patients’ trajectories and identify barriers to a planned start using semi-structured interviews with patients who started dialysis in emergency and with their general practitioners and nephrologists. Using the strengths of a mixed methodology, this study will bring robust and valuable findings to improve the care of CKD patients.

Maximising access to kidney transplantation: A single-centre audit of people receiving dialysis

BACKGROUND

Despite transplantation being well documented as the renal replacement therapy option that gives the best morbidity and mortality outcomes, the best quality of life and the best value for healthcare dollar, not all patients are on a kidney transplant waiting list.

OBJECTIVES

The aims of this study were (1) to explore possible reasons for a demonstrated a higher rate of people being listed as suitable for transplant in a non-transplanting unit and (2) to describe a formal process of review and referral as a method for maximising the number of people gaining access to the transplant waiting list.

METHODS

We prospectively audited all patients who were undergoing dialysis in our metropolitan, non-transplanting renal unit annually over six years to determine whether not being on the transplant waiting list was in keeping with available eligibility guidelines of medical and behavioural criteria.

RESULTS

In every age group, the percentage of patients listed for transplant was higher than that seen in national data. The most common reasons for people not to be listed were malignancy, obesity and cardiovascular disease. This unit's patients had fewer smokers, less females and less Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islanders which may have contributed towards a higher rate of activation on the list.

CONCLUSION

In this dialysis patient population having a formal process of review for suitability and referral, as well as a specialist renal transplant coordinator nurse positively affected the number of patients being activated on the transplant waiting list.

Association between NSAID use and mortality risk in patients with end-stage renal disease: a population-based cohort study

Background: Pain is one of the most common symptoms experienced by patients with end-stage renal disease. Although NSAIDs may lead to adverse events, NSAID use appears to be considerably high in patients with end-stage renal disease. However, whether NSAID use is associated with an increased risk of mortality in this population remains unknown.

Aim: This study aimed to investigate the association between the use of NSAIDs and the risk of mortality in patients with end-stage renal disease.

Patients and methods: We used the population-based Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database to investigate the association between the use of NSAIDs and the risk of mortality in patients with end-stage renal disease receiving dialysis. A total of 3,383 patients with newly diagnosed end-stage renal disease requiring long-term dialysis between 1998 and 2012 were included in the current study, and the study outcome was evaluated until December 31, 2013. Time-dependent Cox regression models were applied to examine the association between NSAID use and mortality risk.

Results: In the study cohort, 2,623 (78%) patients used NSAIDs during the follow-up period. The median follow-up period was 4.0 years, during which 1,515 patients died. The results of multivariable analysis demonstrated that compared with NSAID nonuse, the use of any NSAIDs, nonselective NSAIDs, and selective cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitors was associated with a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality with an adjusted HR (95% CI) of 1.39 (1.21–1.60), 1.36 (1.19–1.55), and 1.61 (1.42–1.83), respectively.

Conclusion: The results suggest that NSAID use was associated with an increased risk of mortality in the patients with end-stage renal disease. Future randomized controlled trials are needed to validate these observational findings.

Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibition and Diabetic Kidney Disease

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is now the principal cause of chronic kidney disease leading to end-stage kidney disease worldwide. As a primary contributor to the excess risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death in diabetes, DKD is a major contributor to the progressively expanding global burden of diabetes-associated morbidity and mortality. Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors are a newer class of antihyperglycemic agents that exert glucose-lowering effects via glycosuric actions. Preclinical studies and clinical trials of SGLT2 inhibitors have consistently demonstrated reduction of albuminuria and preservation of kidney function. In particular, SGLT2 inhibitors lower risk of congestive heart failure, a major cardiovascular complication in DKD. This Perspective summarizes proposed mechanisms of action for SGLT2 inhibitors, integrates these data with results of recent cardiovascular outcomes trials, and discusses clinical applications for patients with DKD. The American Diabetes Association/European Association for the Study of Diabetes Consensus Report published online in October 2018 recommends SGLT inhibitors as preferred add-on therapy for patients with type 2 diabetes and established cardiovascular disease or chronic kidney disease, if kidney function is adequate. Results of the ongoing and just completed clinical trials conducted in patients with established DKD will facilitate further refinement of current guidelines.

Dramatic secular changes in prognosis for kidney transplant candidates in the United States

Over recent decades, numerous clinical advances and policy changes have affected outcomes for candidates of kidney transplantation in the United States. We examined the national Scientific Registry for Transplant Recipients for adult (18+) solitary kidney transplant candidates placed on the waiting list for primary listing from 2001 to 2015. We evaluated rates of mortality, transplantation, and waitlist removal. Among 340 115 candidates there were significant declines in mortality (52 deaths/1000 patient years in 2001-04 vs 38 deaths/1000 patient years in 2012-15) and transplant rates (304 transplants/1000 patient years in 2001-04 vs 212 transplants/1000 patient years in 2012-15) and increases in waitlist removals (15 removals/1000 patient years in 2001-04 vs 25/1000 patient years in 2012-15) within the first year after listing. At 5 years an estimated 37% of candidates listed in 2012-15 were alive without transplant as compared to 22% in 2001-04. Declines in mortality over time were significantly more pronounced among African Americans, candidates with longer dialysis duration, and those with diabetes (P < .001). Cumulatively, results indicate dramatic changes in prognoses for adult kidney transplant candidates, likely impacted by selection criteria, donor availability, regulatory oversight, and clinical care. These trends are important considerations for prospective policy development and research, clinical and patient decision-making, and evaluating the impact on access to care.

Propensity Score-Matched Analysis of the Survival Benefit from Kidney Transplantation in Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease

BACKGROUND

Several comparison studies have suggested that kidney transplantation (KT) could reduce mortality in patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Selection criteria bias is common in the selection of dialysis patients for control groups. In this study, we compared the survival outcome between KT recipients and comparable propensity score-matched dialysis patients.

METHODS

We used Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database to identify patients newly diagnosed with ESRD between 2000 and 2010. We separated them into two groups: a KT group and non-KT dialysis-only group. To evaluate the survival outcome, we compared each patient with KT to a patient on dialysis without KT using propensity score matching.

RESULTS

In total, 1276 KT recipients and 1276 propensity score-matched dialysis patients were identified. Compared with the propensity score-matched dialysis patients, the patients who underwent KT exhibited significantly higher 5-year and 10-year survival rates (88% vs. 92% and 74% vs. 87%, both p < 0.05). The crude and adjusted hazard ratios for mortality were 0.55 and 0.52 in patients with KT (both p < 0.001). Mortality was insignificantly higher for patients who were on dialysis for longer than 1 year prior to KT compared with those on dialysis for less than 1 year.

CONCLUSION

This study used a propensity score-matched cohort to confirm that KT is associated with lower risk of mortality than dialysis alone in patients newly diagnosed with ESRD.

Uncovering real mortality trends in ESRD patients

Major temporal changes in the case mix of patients accepted for renal replacement therapy impede analysis of long-term mortality trends in end-stage renal disease patients. A record linkage study of 2 large electronic hospital inpatient data sets with national mortality data used standardization by age, sex, and comorbidity to uncover a 50% decline in 3-year mortality in English patients starting renal replacement therapy between 1970 and 2008, a faster drop than that seen in the general population.