Excess risk of cardiovascular events in patients in the United States vs. Japan with chronic kidney disease is mediated mainly by left ventricular structure and function

Development and validation of an algorithm for identifying patients undergoing dialysis from patients with advanced chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

Identifying patients on dialysis among those with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2 remains challenging. To facilitate clinical research in advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) using electronic health records, we aimed to develop algorithms to identify dialysis patients using laboratory data obtained in routine practice.

METHODS

We collected clinical data of patients with an eGFR < 15 mL/min/1.73 m2 from six clinical research core hospitals across Japan: four hospitals for the derivation cohort and two for the validation cohort. The candidate factors for the classification models were identified using logistic regression with stepwise backward selection. To ensure transplant patients were not included in the non-dialysis population, we excluded individuals with the disease code Z94.0.

RESULTS

We collected data from 1142 patients, with 640 (56%) currently undergoing hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis (PD), including 426 of 763 patients in the derivation cohort and 214 of 379 patients in the validation cohort. The prescription of PD solutions perfectly identified patients undergoing dialysis. After excluding patients prescribed PD solutions, seven laboratory parameters were included in the algorithm. The areas under the receiver operation characteristic curve were 0.95 and 0.98 and the positive and negative predictive values were 90.9% and 91.4% in the derivation cohort and 96.2% and 94.6% in the validation cohort, respectively. The calibrations were almost linear.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified patients on dialysis among those with an eGFR < 15 ml/min/1.73 m2. This study paves the way for database research in nephrology, especially for patients with non-dialysis-dependent advanced CKD.

C-reactive protein promotes diabetic kidney disease via Smad3-mediated NLRP3 inflammasome activation

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is the leading cause of end-stage kidney diseases resulting in enormous socio-economic burden. Accumulated evidence has indicated that C-reactive protein (CRP) exacerbates DKD by enhancing renal inflammation and fibrosis through TGF-β/Smad3 signaling. NLRP3 inflammasome is the key sensor contributing to renal inflammation. However, whether CRP enhances inflammation in DKD via NLRP3 inflammasome-related pathway remains unknown. In this study, we demonstrate that CRP promotes DKD via Smad3-mediated NLRP3 inflammasome activation as mice overexpressing human CRP gene exhibits accelerated renal inflammation in diabetic kidneys, which is associated with the activation of Smad3 and NLRP3 inflammasomes. In contrast, blockade of CPR signaling with a neutralizing anti-CD32 antibody attenuates CRP-induced activation of Smad3 and NLRP3 in vitro. Importantly, genetic deletion or pharmacological inhibition of Smad3 also mitigates CRP-induced activation of NLRP3 in diabetic kidneys or in high glucose-treated cells. Mechanistically, we reveal that Smad3 binds to the NLRP3 gene promoter, which is enhanced by CRP. Taken together, we conclude that CRP induces renal inflammation in DKD via a Smad3-NLRP3 inflammasome-dependent mechanism. Thus, targeting CRP or Smad3-NLRP3 pathways may be a new therapeutic potential for DKD.

Cost-Effectiveness of Empagliflozin in CKD with or without Albuminuria

Key Points

Empagliflozin is cost-effective for the treatment of CKD in patients with an urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio of 30 mg/g or more. Empagliflozin is not cost-effective for the treatment of CKD in patients with an urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio <30 mg/g.

Background

The Study of Heart and Kidney Protection with Empagliflozin (EMPA-KIDNEY) expanded the CKD population that may benefit from sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors in terms of eGFR and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio. This enables a cost-effectiveness analysis of empagliflozin in subgroups stratified by these two parameters.

Methods

A cost–utility analysis using the Markov model was performed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adding empagliflozin to the standard treatment for CKD in Japan over 20 years of observation. Each cohort with the initial eGFR (≥45 but <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2, ≥30 but <45 ml/min per 1.73 m2, or ≥20 but <30 ml/min per 1.73 m2) and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (<30 mg/g, ≥30 but <300 mg/g, or ≥300 mg/g) within the defined ranges was analyzed. The changes in eGFR were determined on the basis of the EMPA-KIDNEY study. An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of <¥5,000,000 (approximately $35,500) per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) was considered cost-effective. One-way deterministic analyses, probabilistic sensitivity analyses, and scenario analyses were conducted to ensure the robustness of the results.

Results

The addition of empagliflozin to the standard treatment was associated with lower costs and higher QALYs in the macroalbuminuria or microalbuminuria cohorts while the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios in the negative albuminuria cohorts were >¥5,000,000 per QALY, regardless of the initial eGFR. The probabilities of empagliflozin being cost-effective were >84% in the macroalbuminuria or microalbuminuria cohorts but <30% in the negative albuminuria cohorts. Scenario analyses where empagliflozin suppressed the eGFR decline in the negative albuminuria cohorts showed that the drug was cost-effective in CKD stage G3b and G4 cohorts. Empagliflozin was not cost-effective in patients with CKD stage G3a and microalbuminuria with the observation period of 10 years.

Conclusions

In patients meeting the enrollment criteria for the EMPA-KIDNEY trial, the addition of empagliflozin to the standard treatment of CKD was judged as cost-effective for patients with albuminuria but not for those without albuminuria in the Japanese health care system.

Risk Factor Analysis for 30-day Mortality After Surgery for Infective Endocarditis

BACKGROUND

 Infective endocarditis (IE) remains a challenging disease associated with high mortality. Several scores have been suggested to assess surgical risk. None was sufficiently adequate. We therefore analyzed risk factors for 30-day mortality.

METHODS

 A total of 438 consecutive patients had surgery for IE in our department between 2002 and 2020. Patients were divided into two groups, one consisting of 30-day survivors (362 patients; 82.6%) and one of nonsurvivors (76 patients; 17.4%). Logistic regression analysis on pre- and intraoperative risk factors was performed and the groups were compared by univariable analyses.

RESULTS

 Patients in mortality group were older (69 [58, 77] vs. 63 [50, 72] years; p < 0.001), EuroSCORE II was higher (24.5 [12.1, 49.0] vs. 8.95 [3.7, 21.2]; p < 0.001) and there were more females. More frequently left ventricular function (below 30%), preoperative acute renal insufficiency, chronic dialysis, insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, NYHA-class IV (New York Heart Association heart failure class IV), and cardiogenic shock occurred. Patients in the mortality group were often intensive care unit patients (40.8 vs. 22.4%; p < 0.001) or had a preoperative stroke (26.3 vs. 16.0%; p = 0.033). In the nonsurvivor group Staphylococcus aureus was prevalent. Streptococcus viridans was common in the survivor group as was isolated aortic valve endocarditis (32.9 vs. 17.1%; p = 0.006). Prosthetic valve endocarditis (PVE) and abscesses occurred more often in nonsurvivors. In the logistic regression analysis, female gender, chronic dialysis, cardiogenic shock, and NYHA IV and from intraoperative variables PVE, cardiopulmonary bypass time, and mitral valve surgery were the strongest predictors for 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

 This study indeed clearly indicates that significant risk factors for 30-day mortality cannot be changed. Nevertheless, they should be taken into account for preoperative counselling, and they will alert the surgical team for an even more careful management.

Association between Visit-to-Visit Ultrafiltration Volume Variability, Vascular Biomarkers and Cardiovascular Parameters in Chronic Hemodialysis Patients

Background. Cardiovascular (CV) diseases are the most common causes of morbidity and mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients. We studied the effect of high visit-to-visit ultrafiltration (UF) variability on CV abnormalities in HD patients. Methods. Twenty-nine consecutive patients (age: 65.6 ± 10.4 years) were recruited. Samples for routine lab tests were drawn pre-HD for syndecan-1 (SDC-1) and endothelin-1 (ET-1) measurements pre-, mid- and post-HD. Applanation tonometry was performed pre-, mid- and post-HD. Visit-to-visit ultrafiltration volume variability (UVSD) was calculated as the standard deviation of the UF volume/dialysis session in the preceding 12 months. Echocardiography was performed post-HD. Results. Patients were divided into two groups based on the median of UVSD (500 mL). The average UF volume/HD was not different between the groups. Blood pressure (BP) values were similar. Pre-HD cfPWV (10.75 m/s) was lower in the high UVSD group (14.1 m/s, p = 0.03). In the high UVSD group, post-HD cfPWV (13.9 m/s) was higher than the pre-HD cfPWV (p < 0.05). Pre-HD ET-1 was lower in the high UVSD group (8.6 ± 3.9 vs. 10.8 ± 2.7 pg/mL, p < 0.05). Left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD) and left ventricular mass index (LVMI) were higher in the high UVSD group (55.7 ± 7.3 vs. 51.0 ± 5.4 mm and 449.9 ± 180.5 vs. 350.3 ± 85.9 g/m², p < 0.005, respectively). Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was lower in the high UVSD group (53.5 vs. 60, p < 0.05). Conclusions. High UVSD was associated with increased left ventricular hypertrophy and dysfunction and decreased LVEF compared to low visit-to-visit UV variability despite similar UF volumes temporarily compensated by more elastic arteries. The observed abnormalities may increase CV risk.

Slope of the estimated glomerular filtration rate and its associated factors among individuals with chronic kidney disease in the general Japanese population

BACKGROUND

To suppress the incidence of end-stage kidney disease, we need to identify chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients with a high risk of rapid decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). However, the current status of eGFR slope and its associated factors in the Japanese population have not been fully elucidated.

METHODS

Among examinees aged 40-70 years in the 2014 Specific Health Checkup conducted by the National Health Insurance in Kobe, Japan (n = 61,985), we prospectively observed 7291 examinees with CKD stage G3 from 2014 to 2018.

RESULTS

Until 2018, 4221 examinees continued to undergo annual SHCs for a total of five checkups per subject and had available records of all necessary data. The median eGFR change was -0.22 ml/min/1.73 m2/year. Only 9.2% of those subjects showed rapid eGFR decline (faster than -2.0 ml/min/1.73 m2/year). Logistic regression analysis identified diabetes, smoking habits, high urinary protein levels, older age, high systolic blood pressure, and low serum low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels as independent predictors for rapid eGFR decline. Hemoglobin A1c levels did not contribute to the eGFR slope in CKD stage-G3 subjects with diabetes and proteinuria.

CONCLUSION

Most Japanese CKD stage-G3 subjects had a very slow decline in eGFR. A small proportion of CKD individuals who have a predictive factor of rapid eGFR decline should receive considerable attention from a nephrologist.

Mediation effect of antithrombin III between chronic renal insufficiency and chronic coronary artery disease in T2DM patients

PURPOSE

The study aimed to investigate the potential effect of Antithrombin III (ATIII) between chronic renal insufficiency and chronic coronary artery disease (chronic CAD) in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients.

METHODS

T2DM patients hospitalized in ZhongDa Hospital from 2013 to 2018 were enrolled. Relationships between renal function, ATIII, and chronic CAD risk were explored using multivariate regression models. Multiplicative and additive interactions were investigated between ATIII and renal function for CAD risk, and the role of ATIII was determined by bootstrap mediation analysis in patients with chronic renal dysfunction.

RESULTS

A total of 4197 patients were included in the study, with a chronic CAD prevalence of 23.02%. Low ATIII level was statistically associated with chronic renal insufficiency and elevated CAD risk even after adjustments (P < 0.05). A positive correlation between renal function and ATIII was demonstrated, and each 1 SD increase in renal function, ATIII increased by 2.947% (2.406-3.488%, P < 0.001) and 0.969% (0.297-1.642%, P < 0.001) in crude and adjusted models respectively. Patients with decreased renal function and ATIII were at the highest chronic CAD risk (OR = 1.51, 95%CI:1.15-1.98, P < 0.05), while no multiplicative and additive interaction effects were significant. Bootstrap mediation analysis estimated that ATIII mediated approximately 4.27% of the effect of chronic renal insufficiency on chronic CAD risk.

CONCLUSION

ATIII may serve as a mediator between chronic renal insufficiency and chronic CAD, providing mechanistic clues for renal-heart association and new insight into clinical therapies.

24-h central pressure is a valuable predictor for left ventricular hypertrophy in non-dialysis patients with chronic kidney disease

The current research on the relationship between 24-h central pressure and 24-h brachial pressure with left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is characterised by limited sample size and inconsistent findings. Furthermore, the association has never been explored in chronic kidney disease (CKD). A multicentre, cross-sectional study among non-dialysis patients with CKD was conducted. All participants underwent brachial and central ambulatory blood pressure monitoring using MobilO-Graph PWA, while trained cardiologists performed echocardiography. In this study, 2117 non-dialysis patients with CKD were examined. 24-h central systolic blood pressure with c2 calibration (24-h c2SBP) demonstrated a stronger association with left ventricular mass index and LVH compared with 24-h brachial systolic blood pressure (24-h bSBP) in the univariate and multivariate regression analyses. The multivariate net reclassification index (NRI) analysis revealed that 24-h c2SBP exhibited greater discriminatory power over 24-h bSBP (NRI = 0.310, 95% CI [0.192-0.429], P < 0.001). Applying 130/135 mmHg as the threshold for 24-h bSBP/c2SBP to cross-classify, the patients were divided into concordant normotension (1509 individuals), isolated brachial hypertension (155 individuals), isolated central hypertension (11 individuals), and concordant hypertension (442 individuals). With concordant normotension as the reference, the multivariable-adjusted ORs were 0.954 (95% CI, 0.534-1.640; P = 0.870) for isolated brachial hypertension and 2.585 (95%CI, 1.841-3.633; P < 0.001) for concordant hypertension. Among non-dialysis patients with CKD, 24-h c2SBP exhibits greater efficacy in identifying the presence of LVH compared with 24-h bSBP. The presence of LVH was greater in cases of concordant hypertension compared with cases of isolated brachial hypertension and concordant normotension.

Association of abnormalities in electrocardiography and ultrasonic echocardiography with the occurrence of cardiovascular disease in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

In patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), the incidence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) increases with disease progression. CVD screening tests in those with CKD were researched to determine whether abnormalities observed in electrocardiography (ECG) and ultrasonic echocardiography (UCG) were risk factors associated with the development of CVD.

METHODS

This study included 604 patients with CKD G4 and G5, for whom both ECG and UCG were performed. They were divided into four groups: those without ECG- and UCG-indicated abnormalities (group A, n = 333), with only ECG abnormalities (group B, n = 106), with only UCG abnormalities (group C, n = 75), and with both ECG and UCG abnormalities (group D, n = 90). Multivariate analysis using Cox regression analysis of the occurrence of CVD was performed during a follow-up period.

RESULTS

During the observation period, 124 patients had clinical events. Among them, 45 patients (13.5%) were in Group A, 25 patients (23.6%) in Group B, 19 patients (25.3%) in Group C, and 35 patients (38.9%) in Group D, respectively. CVD event occurrence was highest in Group D. The results of the multivariate analysis also showed that the CVD event rates were significantly higher in Group C (HR: 2.96, P = < .001) and D (HR: 4.22, P < .001) than in Group A.

CONCLUSION

In patients with advanced CKD, there was a significant correlation of ECG and UCG abnormalities with CVD events. Additionally, those having both types of abnormalities may have a higher risk of coronary artery disease than other groups.

The use of anti-adrenergic agents as a predictor of acute kidney injury and delayed recovery of kidney function: the NARA-AKI cohort study

Association of preoperative regular use of anti-adrenergic agents with postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) and with trajectory of kidney function after AKI is still unknown. In a retrospective cohort study, adults undergoing non-cardiac surgery under general anesthesia were included. Obstetric or urological surgery, missing data, or preoperative dialysis was excluded. The exposure of interest was preoperative regular use of anti-adrenergic agents. The outcomes were AKI within 1 week postoperatively and trajectories of kidney function within 2 weeks postoperatively among patients with AKI. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to examine the association of anti-adrenergic agents with AKI. Linear mixed-effects models were used to compare the trajectories of postoperative kidney function after AKI between patients with and without anti-adrenergic agents. Among 5168 patients, 245 had used anti-adrenergic agents. A total of 309 (6.0%) developed AKI, and the use of anti-adrenergic agents was independently associated with postoperative AKI even after adjustment for preoperative and intraoperative potential confounders [odds ratio (95% confidence interval): 1.76 (1.14-2.71)]. The association was similar across preexisting hypertension or cardiovascular disease. Analyses restricted to patients with AKI suggested that the timing and stage of AKI were similar among those with and without anti-adrenergic agents; however, the recovery of kidney function was delayed among those with anti-adrenergic agents (P for interaction = 0.004). The use of anti-adrenergic agents was associated with postoperative AKI and delayed recovery of kidney function after AKI. Temporary withdrawal of anti-adrenergic agents during perioperative periods may contribute to prevent AKI and shorten the duration of AKI.

The 2021 KDIGO blood pressure target and the progression of chronic kidney disease: Findings from KNOW-CKD

BACKGROUND

The 2021 Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) clinical practice guideline for the management of blood pressure (BP) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) recommends a target systolic BP of <120 mmHg as this target can provide cardiovascular benefits. However, it remains unclear whether implementing the new BP target could improve kidney outcomes.

METHODS

The association between the 2021 KDIGO BP target and CKD progression was examined and compared with the 2012 KDIGO BP target among 1724 participants included in the KoreaN Cohort Study for Outcomes in Patients With CKD. The main exposure was the BP status categorized according to the 2012 or 2021 KDIGO guideline: (1) controlled within the 2021 target, (2) controlled within the 2012 target only, and (3) above both targets. The primary outcome was a composite kidney outcome of ≥50% decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline or the initiation of kidney replacement therapy during the follow-up period.

RESULTS

Composite kidney outcomes occurred in 650 (37.7%) participants during the 8078 person-years of follow-up (median, 4.9 years). The incidence rates of this outcome were 55, 66.5, and 116.4 per 1000 person-years in BP controlled within the 2021 and 2012 KDIGO targets, and BP above both targets, respectively. In the multivariable cause-specific hazard model, hazard ratios for the composite outcome were 0.76 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.60-0.95) for BP controlled within the 2021 target and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.13-1.64) for BP above both targets, compared with BP controlled within 2012 target only.

CONCLUSION

The newly lowered BP target by the 2021 KDIGO guideline was associated with improved kidney outcome compared with BP target by the 2012 KDIGO guideline.

Echocardiographic parameters and cardiovascular disease in Japanese- and US-based CKD cohorts

Japanese and US populations have similar chronic kidney disease prevalence but differing clinical outcomes. A secondary analysis compared cardiovascular outcomes in a Japanese- and a US-based chronic kidney disease cohort and found that the US cohort had markedly worse cardiovascular outcomes. Mediation analysis demonstrated that differences in left ventricular structure and function could explain most of the cardiovascular outcome difference. We examine and contextualize this finding and describe implications for precision nephrology and for population health.