The effects of population dispersal and pulse vaccination on disease control

Modelling and Analysis of the Epidemic Model under Pulse Charging in Wireless Rechargeable Sensor Networks

With the development of wireless sensor networks (WSNs), energy constraints and network security have become the main problems. This paper discusses the dynamic of the Susceptible, Infected, Low-energy, Susceptible model under pulse charging (SILS-P) in wireless rechargeable sensor networks. After the construction of the model, the local stability and global stability of the malware-free T-period solution of the model are analyzed, and the threshold R0 is obtained. Then, using the comparison theorem and Floquet theorem, we obtain the relationship between R0 and the stability. In order to make the conclusion more intuitive, we use simulation to reveal the impact of parameters on R0. In addition, the paper discusses the continuous charging model, and reveals its dynamic by simulation. Finally, the paper compares three charging strategies: pulse charging, continuous charging and non-charging and obtains the relationship between their threshold values and system parameters.

Frequent implementation of interventions may increase HIV infections among MSM in China

Intervention measures among men who have sex with men (MSM) are usually designed to reduce the frequency of high risk behaviors (within-community level), but unfortunately may change the contact network and consequently increase the opportunity for them to have sex with new partners (between-community level). A multi-community periodic model on complex network is proposed to study the two-side effects of interventions on HIV transmission among MSM in China, in which the wanning process of the impacts of interventions are modelled. The basic reproduction number for the multi-community periodic system is defined and calculated numerically. Based on the number of annual reported HIV/AIDS cases among MSM in China, the unknown parameters are estimated by using MCMC method and the basic reproduction number is estimated as 3.56 (95%CI [3.556, 3.568]). Our results show that strong randomness of the community-connection networks leads to more new infections and more HIV/AIDS cases. Moreover, main conclusion indicates that implementation of interventions may induce more new infections, depending on relative level of between- and within-community impacts, and the frequency of implementation of interventions. The findings can help to guide the policy maker to choose the appropriate intervention measures, and to implement the interventions with proper frequency.

Epidemic Models with Switching

In this chapter, the methods developed thus far are applied to a variety of infectious disease models with different physiological and epidemiological assumptions. Many of the previous results are immediately applicable, thanks to the flexibility of the simple techniques used here. However, some complicating modeling assumptions lead to a need for different switched systems techniques not present in the previous chapter. First, the so-called SIS model is considered, followed by incorporation of media coverage, network epidemic models with interconnected cities (or patches), and diseases spread by vector agents (e.g., mosquitoes) which are modeled using time delays. Straightforward extensions of eradication results are given for models with vertical transmission, disease-induced mortality, waning immunity, passive immunity, and a model with general compartments.

Extinction and persistence of a nonautonomous stochastic food-chain system with impulsive perturbations

In this paper, a nonautonomous stochastic food-chain system with functional response and impulsive perturbations is studied. By using Itô’s formula, exponential martingale inequality, differential inequality and other mathematical skills, some sufficient conditions for the extinction, nonpersistence in the mean, persistence in the mean, and stochastic permanence of the system are established. Furthermore, some asymptotic properties of the solutions are also investigated. Finally, a series of numerical examples are presented to support the theoretical results, and effects of different intensities of white noises perturbations and impulsive effects are discussed by the simulations.

Global stability of a transport-related infection model with general incidence rate in two heterogeneous cities

To further understand the effects of travel on disease spread, a transport-related infection model with general incidence rate in two heterogeneous cities is proposed and analyzed. Some analytical results on the global stability of equilibria (including disease free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium) are obtained. The explicit formula for the basic reproduction number R0 is derived and it is proved to be a threshold for disease spread. To reveal how incidence rate and travel rate influence the disease spread, effects of general incidence rate and travel rate on the dynamics of system are shown via numeric simulations.

From regional pulse vaccination to global disease eradication: insights from a mathematical model of poliomyelitis

Mass-vaccination campaigns are an important strategy in the global fight against poliomyelitis and measles. The large-scale logistics required for these mass immunisation campaigns magnifies the need for research into the effectiveness and optimal deployment of pulse vaccination. In order to better understand this control strategy, we propose a mathematical model accounting for the disease dynamics in connected regions, incorporating seasonality, environmental reservoirs and independent periodic pulse vaccination schedules in each region. The effective reproduction number, Re, is defined and proved to be a global threshold for persistence of the disease. Analytical and numerical calculations show the importance of synchronising the pulse vaccinations in connected regions and the timing of the pulses with respect to the pathogen circulation seasonality. Our results indicate that it may be crucial for mass-vaccination programs, such as national immunisation days, to be synchronised across different regions. In addition, simulations show that a migration imbalance can increase Re and alter how pulse vaccination should be optimally distributed among the patches, similar to results found with constant-rate vaccination. Furthermore, contrary to the case of constant-rate vaccination, the fraction of environmental transmission affects the value of Re when pulse vaccination is present.

Pulse HIV vaccination: feasibility for virus eradication and optimal vaccination schedule

We modify the classical virus dynamics model by incorporating an immune response with fixed or fluctuating vaccination frequencies and dosages to obtain a system of impulsive differential equations for the virus dynamics of both the wild-type and mutant strains. This model framework permits us to obtain precise conditions for the virus elimination, which are much more feasible compared with existing results, which require frequent vaccine administration with large dosage. We also consider the corresponding impulsive optimal control problem to describe when and how much of the vaccine should be administered in order to maximize levels of healthy CD4(+) T cells and immune response cells. A gradient-based optimization method is applied to obtain the optimal schedule numerically. For a case study when the CTL vaccine is administered in a period of one year, our numerical studies support the optimal vaccination schedule consisting of vaccine administration three times, with the first dosage strong (to boost the immune system), followed by a second dosage shortly after (to strengthen the immune response) and then the third and final dosage long after (to ensure the immune system can handle viruses rebound).

STABILITY ANALYSIS OF A DELAYED SIRS EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH VACCINATION AND NONLINEAR INCIDENCE

In this paper, an SIRS epidemic model with time delay and vaccination is investigated. By analyzing the corresponding characteristic equation, the local stability of disease-free equilibrium of the model is established. By constructing Lyapunov functional, sufficient conditions are established for the local stability of an endemic equilibrium of the model. Further, a threshold value is obtained. By using comparison arguments, it is proved when the threshold value is less than unity, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. When the threshold value is greater than unity, by using an iteration scheme and by constructing appropriate Lyapunov functional, respectively, sufficient conditions are derived for the global stability of the endemic equilibrium of the model. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results.

ROLE OF DISEASE PROPAGATION IN MIGRATORY BIRD POPULATION

Chatterjee considered a predator–prey model with avian migration in the migration prey population [S. Chatterjee, Alternative prey source coupled with prey recovery enhance stability between migratory prey and their predator in the presence of disease, Nonlinear Anal. Real World Appl. 11 (2010) 4415–4430]. In this paper, we modify and analyze the model by taking time dependent parameters and the general functional response into consideration. The conditions for the persistence of the system and the extinction of the disease are obtained. The global attractivity of the system is also studied. By numerical simulations, we find that the qualitative behavior of the system independent on the choice of the functional response. Moreover, it is observed that the infection rate, recruitment rate and the predation rate play a vital role in predicting the behavior of the dynamics.