An improved case-based reasoning method and its application in endpoint prediction of basic oxygen furnace

Prediction of Temperature and Carbon Concentration in Oxygen Steelmaking by Machine Learning: A Comparative Study

The basic oxygen steelmaking process (BOS) faces the issue of the absence of information about the melt temperature and the carbon concentration in the melt. Although deterministic models for predicting steelmaking process variables are being developed in metallurgical research, machine-learning models can model the nonlinearities of process variables and provide a good estimate of the target process variables. In this paper, five machine learning methods were applied to predict the temperature and carbon concentration in the melt at the endpoint of BOS. Multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), support-vector regression (SVR), neural network (NN), k-nearest neighbors (k-NN), and random forest (RF) methods were compared. Machine modeling was based on static and dynamic observations from many melts. In predicting from dynamic melting data, a method of pairing static and dynamic data to create a training set was proposed. In addition, this approach has been found to predict the dynamic behavior of temperature and carbon during melting. The results showed that the piecewise-cubic MARS model achieved the best prediction performance for temperature in testing on static and dynamic data. On the other hand, carbon predictions by machine models trained on joined static and dynamic data were more powerful. In the case of predictions from dynamic data, the best results were obtained by the k-NN-based model, i.e., carbon, and the piecewise-linear MARS model in the case of temperature. In contrast, the neural network recorded the lowest prediction performance in more tests.

A fuzzy-ontology-oriented case-based reasoning framework for semantic diabetes diagnosis

OBJECTIVE

Case-based reasoning (CBR) is a problem-solving paradigm that uses past knowledge to interpret or solve new problems. It is suitable for experience-based and theory-less problems. Building a semantically intelligent CBR that mimic the expert thinking can solve many problems especially medical ones.

METHODS

Knowledge-intensive CBR using formal ontologies is an evolvement of this paradigm. Ontologies can be used for case representation and storage, and it can be used as a background knowledge. Using standard medical ontologies, such as SNOMED CT, enhances the interoperability and integration with the health care systems. Moreover, utilizing vague or imprecise knowledge further improves the CBR semantic effectiveness. This paper proposes a fuzzy ontology-based CBR framework. It proposes a fuzzy case-base OWL2 ontology, and a fuzzy semantic retrieval algorithm that handles many feature types.

MATERIAL

This framework is implemented and tested on the diabetes diagnosis problem. The fuzzy ontology is populated with 60 real diabetic cases. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is illustrated with a set of experiments and case studies.

RESULTS

The resulting system can answer complex medical queries related to semantic understanding of medical concepts and handling of vague terms. The resulting fuzzy case-base ontology has 63 concepts, 54 (fuzzy) object properties, 138 (fuzzy) datatype properties, 105 fuzzy datatypes, and 2640 instances. The system achieves an accuracy of 97.67%. We compare our framework with existing CBR systems and a set of five machine-learning classifiers; our system outperforms all of these systems.

CONCLUSION

Building an integrated CBR system can improve its performance. Representing CBR knowledge using the fuzzy ontology and building a case retrieval algorithm that treats different features differently improves the accuracy of the resulting systems.