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Clinical prediction models for treatment outcomes in newly diagnosed epilepsy: A systematic review. Epilepsia 2024. [PMID: 38687193 DOI: 10.1111/epi.17994] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2024] [Revised: 04/10/2024] [Accepted: 04/10/2024] [Indexed: 05/02/2024]
Abstract
Up to 35% of individuals diagnosed with epilepsy continue to have seizures despite treatment, commonly referred to as drug-resistant epilepsy. Uncontrolled seizures can directly, or indirectly, negatively impact an individual's quality of life. To inform clinical management and life decisions, it is important to be able to predict the likelihood of seizure control. Those likely to achieve seizure control will be able to return sooner to their usual work and leisure activities and require less follow-up, whereas those with a poor prognosis will need more frequent clinical attendance and earlier consideration of epilepsy surgery. This is a systematic review aimed at identifying demographic, clinical, physiological (e.g., electroencephalographic), and imaging (e.g., magnetic resonance imaging) factors that may be predictive of treatment outcomes in patients with newly diagnosed epilepsy (NDE). MEDLINE and Embase were searched for prediction models of treatment outcomes in patients with NDE. Study characteristics were extracted and subjected to assessment of risk of bias (and applicability concerns) using the PROBAST (Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool) tool. Baseline variables associated with treatment outcomes are reported as prognostic factors. After screening, 48 models were identified in 32 studies, which generally scored low for concerns of applicability, but universally scored high for susceptibility to bias. Outcomes reported fit broadly into four categories: drug resistance, short-term treatment response, seizure remission, and mortality. Prognostic factors were also heterogenous, but the predictors that were commonly significantly associated with outcomes were those related to seizure characteristics/types, epilepsy history, and age at onset. Antiseizure medication response was often included as a baseline variable, potentially obscuring other factor relationships at baseline. Currently, outcome prediction models for NDE demonstrate a high risk of bias. Model development could be improved with a stronger adherence to recommended TRIPOD (Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis) practices. Furthermore, we outline actionable changes to common practices that are intended to improve the overall quality of prediction model development in NDE.
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Literature review and protocol for a prospective multicentre cohort study on multimodal prediction of seizure recurrence after unprovoked first seizure. BMJ Open 2024; 14:e086153. [PMID: 38582538 PMCID: PMC11002401 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-086153] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/06/2024] [Accepted: 03/22/2024] [Indexed: 04/08/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Epilepsy is a common neurological disorder characterised by recurrent seizures. Almost half of patients who have an unprovoked first seizure (UFS) have additional seizures and develop epilepsy. No current predictive models exist to determine who has a higher risk of recurrence to guide treatment. Emerging evidence suggests alterations in cognition, mood and brain connectivity exist in the population with UFS. Baseline evaluations of these factors following a UFS will enable the development of the first multimodal biomarker-based predictive model of seizure recurrence in adults with UFS. METHODS AND ANALYSIS 200 patients and 75 matched healthy controls (aged 18-65) from the Kingston and Halifax First Seizure Clinics will undergo neuropsychological assessments, structural and functional MRI, and electroencephalography. Seizure recurrence will be assessed prospectively. Regular follow-ups will occur at 3, 6, 9 and 12 months to monitor recurrence. Comparisons will be made between patients with UFS and healthy control groups, as well as between patients with and without seizure recurrence at follow-up. A multimodal machine-learning model will be trained to predict seizure recurrence at 12 months. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION This study was approved by the Health Sciences and Affiliated Teaching Hospitals Research Ethics Board at Queen's University (DMED-2681-22) and the Nova Scotia Research Ethics Board (1028519). It is supported by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (PJT-183906). Findings will be presented at national and international conferences, published in peer-reviewed journals and presented to the public via patient support organisation newsletters and talks. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER NCT05724719.
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Connectome-based approaches in pediatric epilepsy surgery: "State-of-the art" and future perspectives. Epilepsy Behav 2023; 149:109523. [PMID: 37944286 DOI: 10.1016/j.yebeh.2023.109523] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/25/2023] [Revised: 10/29/2023] [Accepted: 11/03/2023] [Indexed: 11/12/2023]
Abstract
Modern epilepsy science has overcome the traditional interpretation of a strict region-specific origin of epilepsy, highlighting the involvement of wider patterns of altered neuronal circuits. In selected cases, surgery may constitute a valuable option to achieve both seizure freedom and neurocognitive improvement. Although epilepsy is now considered as a brain network disease, the most relevant literature concerning the "connectome-based" epilepsy surgery mainly refers to adults, with a limited number of studies dedicated to the pediatric population. In this review, the Authors summarized the main current available knowledge on the relevance of WM surgical anatomy in epilepsy surgery, the post-surgical modifications of brain structural connectivity and the related clinical impact of such modifications within the pediatric context. In the last part, possible implications and future perspectives of this approach have been discussed, especially concerning the optimization of surgical strategies and the predictive value of the epilepsy network analysis for planning tailored approaches, with the final aim of improving case selection, presurgical planning, intraoperative management, and postoperative results.
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Structural networking of the developing brain: from maturation to neurosurgical implications. Front Neuroanat 2023; 17:1242757. [PMID: 38099209 PMCID: PMC10719860 DOI: 10.3389/fnana.2023.1242757] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/19/2023] [Accepted: 11/09/2023] [Indexed: 12/17/2023] Open
Abstract
Modern neuroscience agrees that neurological processing emerges from the multimodal interaction among multiple cortical and subcortical neuronal hubs, connected at short and long distance by white matter, to form a largely integrated and dynamic network, called the brain "connectome." The final architecture of these circuits results from a complex, continuous, and highly protracted development process of several axonal pathways that constitute the anatomical substrate of neuronal interactions. Awareness of the network organization of the central nervous system is crucial not only to understand the basis of children's neurological development, but also it may be of special interest to improve the quality of neurosurgical treatments of many pediatric diseases. Although there are a flourishing number of neuroimaging studies of the connectome, a comprehensive vision linking this research to neurosurgical practice is still lacking in the current pediatric literature. The goal of this review is to contribute to bridging this gap. In the first part, we summarize the main current knowledge concerning brain network maturation and its involvement in different aspects of normal neurocognitive development as well as in the pathophysiology of specific diseases. The final section is devoted to identifying possible implications of this knowledge in the neurosurgical field, especially in epilepsy and tumor surgery, and to discuss promising perspectives for future investigations.
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Revisiting the concept of drug-resistant epilepsy: A TASK1 report of the ILAE/AES Joint Translational Task Force. Epilepsia 2023; 64:2891-2908. [PMID: 37676719 PMCID: PMC10836613 DOI: 10.1111/epi.17751] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2023] [Revised: 08/08/2023] [Accepted: 08/16/2023] [Indexed: 09/08/2023]
Abstract
Despite progress in the development of anti-seizure medications (ASMs), one third of people with epilepsy have drug-resistant epilepsy (DRE). The working definition of DRE, proposed by the International League Against Epilepsy (ILAE) in 2010, helped identify individuals who might benefit from presurgical evaluation early on. As the incidence of DRE remains high, the TASK1 workgroup on DRE of the ILAE/American Epilepsy Society (AES) Joint Translational Task Force discussed the heterogeneity and complexity of its presentation and mechanisms, the confounders in drawing mechanistic insights when testing treatment responses, and barriers in modeling DRE across the lifespan and translating across species. We propose that it is necessary to revisit the current definition of DRE, in order to transform the preclinical and clinical research of mechanisms and biomarkers, to identify novel, effective, precise, pharmacologic treatments, allowing for earlier recognition of drug resistance and individualized therapies.
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Deep learning distinguishes connectomes from focal epilepsy patients and controls: feasibility and clinical implications. Brain Commun 2023; 5:fcad294. [PMID: 38025275 PMCID: PMC10644981 DOI: 10.1093/braincomms/fcad294] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2023] [Revised: 08/10/2023] [Accepted: 10/30/2023] [Indexed: 12/01/2023] Open
Abstract
The application of deep learning models to evaluate connectome data is gaining interest in epilepsy research. Deep learning may be a useful initial tool to partition connectome data into network subsets for further analysis. Few prior works have used deep learning to examine structural connectomes from patients with focal epilepsy. We evaluated whether a deep learning model applied to whole-brain connectomes could classify 28 participants with focal epilepsy from 20 controls and identify nodal importance for each group. Participants with epilepsy were further grouped based on whether they had focal seizures that evolved into bilateral tonic-clonic seizures (17 with, 11 without). The trained neural network classified patients from controls with an accuracy of 72.92%, while the seizure subtype groups achieved a classification accuracy of 67.86%. In the patient subgroups, the nodes and edges deemed important for accurate classification were also clinically relevant, indicating the model's interpretability. The current work expands the evidence for the potential of deep learning to extract relevant markers from clinical datasets. Our findings offer a rationale for further research interrogating structural connectomes to obtain features that can be biomarkers and aid the diagnosis of seizure subtypes.
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The evolution of antiseizure medication therapy selection in adults: Is artificial intelligence -assisted antiseizure medication selection ready for prime time? J Cent Nerv Syst Dis 2023; 15:11795735231209209. [PMID: 37868934 PMCID: PMC10586013 DOI: 10.1177/11795735231209209] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2023] [Accepted: 10/05/2023] [Indexed: 10/24/2023] Open
Abstract
Antiseizure medications (ASMs) are the mainstay of symptomatic epilepsy treatment. The primary goal of pharmacotherapy with ASMs in epilepsy is to achieve complete seizure remission while minimizing therapy-related adverse events. Over the years, more ASMs have been introduced, with approximately 30 now in everyday use. With such a wide variety, much guidance is needed in choosing ASMs for initial therapy, subsequent replacement monotherapy, or adjunctive therapy. The specific ASMs are typically tailored by the patient's related factors, including epilepsy syndrome, age, sex, comorbidities, and ASM characteristics, including the spectrum of efficacy, pharmacokinetic properties, safety, and tolerability. Weighing these key clinical variables requires experience and expertise that may be limited. Furthermore, with this approach, patients may endure multiple trials of ineffective treatments before the most appropriate ASM is found. A more reliable way to predict response to different ASMs is needed so that the most effective and tolerated ASM can be selected. Soon, alternative approaches, such as deep machine learning (ML), could aid the individualized selection of the first and subsequent ASMs. The recognition of epilepsy as a network disorder and the integration of personalized epilepsy networks in future ML platforms can also facilitate the prediction of ASM response. Augmenting the conventional approach with artificial intelligence (AI) opens the door to personalized pharmacotherapy in epilepsy. However, more work is needed before these models are ready for primetime clinical practice.
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Multi-spectral diffusion MRI mega-analysis in genetic generalized epilepsy: Relation to outcomes. Neuroimage Clin 2023; 39:103474. [PMID: 37441820 PMCID: PMC10509527 DOI: 10.1016/j.nicl.2023.103474] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/18/2023] [Revised: 07/05/2023] [Accepted: 07/07/2023] [Indexed: 07/15/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Genetic generalized epilepsy (GGE) is the most common form of generalized epilepsy. Although individual patients with GGE typically present without structural alterations, group differences have been demonstrated in GGE and some GGE subtypes like juvenile myoclonic epilepsy (GGE-JME). Previous studies usually involved only small cohorts from single centers and therefore could not assess imaging markers of multiple GGE subtypes. METHODS We performed a diffusion MRI mega-analysis in 192 participants consisting of 126 controls and 66 patients with GGE from four different cohorts and two different epilepsy centers. We applied whole-brain multi-site harmonization and analyzed fractional anisotropy (FA), as well as mean, radial and axial diffusivity (MD/RD/AD) to assess differences between controls, patients with GGE and the common GGE subtypes, i.e. GGE with generalized tonic-clonic seizures only (GGE-GTCS), GGE-JME and absence epilepsy (GGE-AE). We also analyzed relationships with patients' response to anti-seizure-medication (ASM). RESULTS Relative to controls, we identified decreased anisotropy and increased RD in patients with GGE. We found no significant effects of disease duration, age of onset or seizure frequency on diffusion metrics. Patients with JME had increased MD and RD when compared to controls, while patients with GGE-GTCS showed decreased MD/AD when compared to controls. Compared to patients with GGE-AE, patients with GGE-GTCS had lower AD/MD. Compared to patients with GGE-GTCS, patients with GGE-JME had higher MD/RD and AD. Moreover, we found lower FA in patients with refractory when compared to patients with non-refractory GGE in the right cortico-spinal tract, but no significant differences in patients with active versus controlled epilepsy. DISCUSSION We provide evidence that clinically defined GGE as a whole and GGE-subtypes harbor marked microstructural differences detectable with diffusion MRI. Moreover, we found an association between microstructural changes and treatment resistance. Our findings have important implications for future full-resolution multi-site studies when assessing GGE, its subtypes and ASM refractoriness.
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Structural connectivity of the ANT region based on human ex-vivo and HCP data. Relevance for DBS in ANT for epilepsy. Neuroimage 2022; 262:119551. [DOI: 10.1016/j.neuroimage.2022.119551] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/25/2021] [Revised: 05/19/2022] [Accepted: 08/06/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
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Altered Structural Brain Networks in Refractory and Nonrefractory Idiopathic Generalized Epilepsy. Brain Connect 2022; 12:549-560. [PMID: 34348477 DOI: 10.1089/brain.2021.0035] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction: Idiopathic generalized epilepsy (IGE) is a collection of generalized nonlesional epileptic network disorders. Around 20-40% of patients with IGE are refractory to antiseizure medication, and mechanisms underlying refractoriness are poorly understood. Here, we characterize structural brain network alterations and determine whether network alterations differ between patients with refractory and nonrefractory IGE. Methods: Thirty-three patients with IGE (10 nonrefractory and 23 refractory) and 39 age- and sex-matched healthy controls were studied. Network nodes were segmented from T1-weighted images, while connections between these nodes (edges) were reconstructed from diffusion magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Diffusion networks of fractional anisotropy (FA), mean diffusivity (MD), radial diffusivity (RD), and streamline count (Count) were studied. Differences between all patients, refractory, nonrefractory, and control groups were computed using network-based statistics. Nodal volume differences between groups were computed using Cohen's d effect size calculation. Results: Patients had significantly decreased bihemispheric FA and Count networks and increased MD and RD networks compared with controls. Alterations in network architecture, with respect to controls, differed depending on treatment outcome, including predominant FA network alterations in refractory IGE and increased nodal volume in nonrefractory IGE. Diffusion MRI networks were not influenced by nodal volume. Discussion: Although a nonlesional disorder, patients with IGE have bihemispheric structural network alterations that may differ between patients with refractory and nonrefractory IGE. Given that distinct nodal volume and FA network alterations were observed between treatment outcome groups, a multifaceted network analysis may be useful for identifying imaging biomarkers of refractory IGE.
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Expedited epilepsy surgery prior to drug resistance in children: a frontier worth crossing? Brain 2022; 145:3755-3762. [PMID: 35883201 DOI: 10.1093/brain/awac275] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/20/2022] [Revised: 06/18/2022] [Accepted: 07/08/2022] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Epilepsy surgery is an established safe and effective treatment for selected candidates with drug-resistant epilepsy. In this opinion piece, we outline the clinical and experimental evidence for selectively considering epilepsy surgery prior to drug resistance. Our rationale for expedited surgery is based on the observations that, 1) a high proportion of patients with lesional epilepsies (e.g. focal cortical dysplasia, epilepsy associated tumours) will progress to drug-resistance, 2) surgical treatment of these lesions, especially in non-eloquent areas of brain, is safe, and 3) earlier surgery may be associated with better seizure outcomes. Potential benefits beyond seizure reduction or elimination include less exposure to anti-seizure medications (ASM), which may lead to improved developmental trajectories in children and optimize long-term neurocognitive outcomes and quality of life. Further, there exists emerging experimental evidence that brain network dysfunction exists at the onset of epilepsy, where continuing dysfunctional activity could exacerbate network perturbations. This in turn could lead to expanded seizure foci and contribution to the comorbidities associated with epilepsy. Taken together, we rationalize that epilepsy surgery, in carefully selected cases, may be considered prior to drug resistance. Lastly, we outline the path forward, including the challenges associated with developing the evidence base and implementing this paradigm into clinical care.
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Abstract
Drug resistant epilepsy is a disorder involving widespread brain network
alterations. Recently, many groups have reported neuroimaging and
electrophysiology network analysis techniques to aid medical
management, support presurgical planning, and understand postsurgical
seizure persistence. While these approaches may supplement standard
tests to improve care, they are not yet used clinically or influencing
medical or surgical decisions. When will this change? Which approaches
have shown the most promise? What are the barriers to translating them
into clinical use? How do we facilitate this transition? In this
review, we will discuss progress, barriers, and next steps regarding
the integration of brain network analysis into the medical and
presurgical pipeline.
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Network differences based on arterial spin labeling related to anti-seizure medication response in focal epilepsy. Neuroradiology 2021; 64:313-321. [PMID: 34251501 DOI: 10.1007/s00234-021-02741-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2021] [Accepted: 05/30/2021] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE The aim of this study was to determine whether anti-seizure medication (ASM) response is associated with structural connectivity in diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) or functional co-variance network in arterial spin labeling (ASL) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in patients with focal epilepsy. METHODS In this retrospective study conducted at a tertiary hospital, we enrolled 105 patients with focal epilepsy, of which 64 patients were good ASM responders, and 41 patients were poor ASM responders. All patients showed normal MRI findings on visual inspection and underwent DTI and ASL MRI from August 2018 to July 2020, with regular follow-up for at least 12 months after epilepsy diagnosis while taking ASMs. We calculated the structural connectivity based on DTI and functional co-variance network based on ASL MRI by using graph theory and analyzed their differences in relation to the ASM response. RESULTS No differences were observed in structural connectivity between the good and poor ASM responders. However, significant differences were observed in functional co-variance network between the good and poor ASM responders. In comparison with good ASM responders, poor ASM responders showed a significantly greater characteristic path length (2.557 vs. 1.753, p = 0.034) and a lower local efficiency (2.311 vs. 3.927, p = 0.048). CONCLUSION Significant differences were observed in functional co-variance network based on ASL MRI between the good and poor ASM responders. These findings suggest that functional co-variance network could serve as a new biomarker of ASM response in focal epilepsy.
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