Prognostic value of multiparametric MRI-based radiomics model: Potential role for chemotherapeutic benefits in locally advanced rectal cancer

MRI-based radiomic nomogram for predicting disease-free survival in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer

PURPOSE

Individual prognosis assessment is of paramount importance for treatment decision-making and active surveillance in cancer patients. We aimed to propose a radiomic model based on pre- and post-therapy MRI features for predicting disease-free survival (DFS) in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and subsequent surgical resection.

METHODS

This retrospective study included a total of 126 LARC patients, which were randomly assigned to a training set (n = 84) and a validation set (n = 42). All patients underwent pre- and post-nCRT MRI scans. Radiomic features were extracted from higher resolution T2-weighted images. Pearson correlation analysis and ANOVA or Relief were utilized for identifying radiomic features associated with DFS. Pre-treatment, post-treatment, and delta radscores were constructed by machine learning algorithms. An individualized nomogram was developed based on significant radscores and clinical variables using multivariate Cox regression analysis. Predictive performance was evaluated by the C-index, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

The results demonstrated that in the validation set, the clinical model including pre-surgery carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), chemotherapy after radiotherapy, and pathological stage yielded a C-index of 0.755 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.739-0.771). While the optimal pre-, post-, and delta-radscores achieved C-indices of 0.724 (95%CI: 0.701-0.747), 0.701 (95%CI: 0.671-0.731), and 0.625 (95%CI: 0.589-0.661), respectively. The nomogram integrating pre-surgery CEA, pathological stage, alongside pre- and post-nCRT radscore, obtained the highest C-index of 0.833 (95%CI: 0.815-0.851). The calibration curve and decision curves exhibited good calibration and clinical usefulness of the nomogram. Furthermore, the nomogram categorized patients into high- and low-risk groups exhibiting distinct DFS (both P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram incorporating pre- and post-therapy radscores and clinical factors could predict DFS in patients with LARC, which helps clinicians in optimizing decision-making and surveillance in real-world settings.

MRI-Based Radiomics Features for Prediction of Pathological Deterioration Upgrading in Rectal Tumor

PURPOSE

Our aim is to develop and validate an MRI-based diagnostic model for predicting pathological deterioration upgrading in rectal tumor.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 158 eligible patients from January 2017 to November 2023. The patients were divided into a training group (n = 110) and a validation group (n = 48). Radiomics features were extracted from T2-weighted images to create a radiomics score model. Significant factors identified through multifactor analysis were used to develop the final clinical feature model. By combining these two models, an combined radiomics-clinical model was established. The model's performance was evaluated using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis and the Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A total of 1197 features were extracted, with 11 features selected for calculating the radiomics score to establish the radiomics model. This model demonstrated good predictive performance for pathological upgrading in both the training and validation groups (AUC of 0.863 and 0.861, respectively). Clinical factors such as chief complaint and differential carcinoembryonic antigen levels showed statistical significance (P < 0.05). The clinical model, incorporating these factors, yielded AUC values of 0.669 and 0.651 for the training and validation groups, respectively. Furthermore, the radiomics-clinical combined model outperformed the individual models in predicting preoperative pathological upgrading in both the training and validation groups (AUC of 0.932 and 0.907, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

A radiomics-clinical model, which combines clinical features with radiomics features based on MRI, can predict pathological deterioration upgrading in patients with rectal tumor and provide valuable insights for personalized treatment strategies.

A 18F-FDG PET/CT based radiomics nomogram for predicting disease-free survival in stage II/III colorectal adenocarcinoma

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to establish a clinical nomogram model based on a radiomics signatures derived from 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron-emission tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) and clinical parameters to predict disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with stage II/III colorectal adenocarcinoma. Understanding and predicting DFS in these patients is key to optimizing treatment strategies.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis included 332 cases from July 2011 to July 2021 at The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, with PET/CT assessing radiomics features and clinicopathological features. Univariate Cox regression, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox, and multivariable Cox regression identified recurrence-related radiomics features. We used a weighted radiomics score (Rad-score) and independent risk factors to construct a nomogram. Evaluation involved time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

The nomogram, incorporating Rad-score, pN, and pT demonstrated robust predictive ability for DFS in stage II/III colorectal adenocarcinoma. Training cohort areas under the curve (AUCs) were 0.78, 0.80, and 0.86 at 1, 2, and 3 years, respectively, and validation cohort AUCs were 0.79, 0.75, and 0.73. DCA and calibration curves affirmed the nomogram's clinical relevance.

CONCLUSION

The 18F-FDG PET/CT based radiomics nomogram, including Rad-score, pN, and pT, effectively predicted tumor recurrence in stage II/III colorectal adenocarcinoma, significantly enhancing prognostic stratification. Our findings highlight the potential of this nomogram as a guide for clinical decision making to improve patient outcomes.

Visualization analysis of research hotspots and trends in MRI-based artificial intelligence in rectal cancer

Background

Rectal cancer (RC) is one of the most common types of cancer worldwide. With the development of artificial intelligence (AI), the application of AI in preoperative evaluation and follow-up treatment of RC based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been the focus of research in this field. This review was conducted to develop comprehensive insight into the current research progress, hotspots, and future trends in AI based on MRI in RC, which remains to be studied.

Methods

Literature related to AI based on MRI and RC, as of November 2023, was obtained from the Web of Science Core Collection database. Visualization and bibliometric analyses of publication quantity and content were conducted to explore temporal trends, spatial distribution, collaborative networks, influential articles, keyword co-occurrence, and research directions.

Results

A total of 177 papers (152 original articles and 25 reviews) were identified from 24 countries/regions, 351 institutions, and 81 journals. Since 2019, the number of studies on this topic has rapidly increased. China and the United States have contributed the highest number of publications and institutions, cultivating the most intimate collaborative relationship. The highest number of articles derive from Sun Yat-sen University, while Frontiers in Oncology has published the highest number of relevant articles. Research on MRI-based AI in this field has mainly focused on preoperative diagnosis and prediction of treatment efficacy and prognosis.

Conclusions

This study provides an objective and comprehensive overview of the publications on MRI-based AI in RC and identifies the present research landscape, hotspots, and prospective trends in this field, which can provide valuable guidance for scholars worldwide.

Magnetic resonance imaging-based radiomics analysis for prediction of treatment response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and clinical outcome in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer: A large multicentric and validated study

Our study investigated whether magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics features could predict good response (GR) to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and clinical outcome in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). Radiomics features were extracted from the T2 weighted (T2W) and Apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) images of 1070 LARC patients retrospectively and prospectively recruited from three hospitals. To create radiomic models for GR prediction, three classifications were utilized. The radiomic model with the best performance was integrated with important clinical MRI features to create the combined model. Finally, two clinical MRI features and ten radiomic features were chosen for GR prediction. The combined model, constructed with the tumor size, MR-detected extramural venous invasion, and radiomic signature generated by Support Vector Machine (SVM), showed promising discrimination of GR, with area under the curves of 0.799 (95% CI, 0.760-0.838), 0.797 (95% CI, 0.733-0.860), 0.754 (95% CI, 0.678-0.829), and 0.727 (95% CI, 0.641-0.813) in the training and three validation datasets, respectively. Decision curve analysis verified the clinical usefulness. Furthermore, according to Kaplan-Meier curves, patients with a high likelihood of GR as determined by the combined model had better disease-free survival than those with a low probability. This radiomics model was developed based on large-sample size, multicenter datasets, and prospective validation with high radiomics quality score, and also had clinical utility.

Predicting rectal cancer tumor budding grading based on MRI and CT with multimodal deep transfer learning: A dual-center study

Objective

To investigate the effectiveness of a multimodal deep learning model in predicting tumor budding (TB) grading in rectal cancer (RC) patients.

Materials and methods

A retrospective analysis was conducted on 355 patients with rectal adenocarcinoma from two different hospitals. Among them, 289 patients from our institution were randomly divided into an internal training cohort (n = 202) and an internal validation cohort (n = 87) in a 7:3 ratio, while an additional 66 patients from another hospital constituted an external validation cohort. Various deep learning models were constructed and compared for their performance using T1CE and CT-enhanced images, and the optimal models were selected for the creation of a multimodal fusion model. Based on single and multiple factor logistic regression, clinical N staging and fecal occult blood were identified as independent risk factors and used to construct the clinical model. A decision-level fusion was employed to integrate these two models to create an ensemble model. The predictive performance of each model was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC), DeLong's test, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Model visualization Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) was performed for model interpretation.

Results

The multimodal fusion model demonstrated superior performance compared to single-modal models, with AUC values of 0.869 (95% CI: 0.761-0.976) for the internal validation cohort and 0.848 (95% CI: 0.721-0.975) for the external validation cohort. N-stage and fecal occult blood were identified as clinically independent risk factors through single and multivariable logistic regression analysis. The final ensemble model exhibited the best performance, with AUC values of 0.898 (95% CI: 0.820-0.975) for the internal validation cohort and 0.868 (95% CI: 0.768-0.968) for the external validation cohort.

Conclusion

Multimodal deep learning models can effectively and non-invasively provide individualized predictions for TB grading in RC patients, offering valuable guidance for treatment selection and prognosis assessment.

Artificial Intelligence in Radiology: Opportunities and Challenges

Artificial intelligence's (AI) emergence in radiology elicits both excitement and uncertainty. AI holds promise for improving radiology with regards to clinical practice, education, and research opportunities. Yet, AI systems are trained on select datasets that can contain bias and inaccuracies. Radiologists must understand these limitations and engage with AI developers at every step of the process - from algorithm initiation and design to development and implementation - to maximize benefit and minimize harm that can be enabled by this technology.

Prediction by a multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging-based radiomics signature model of disease-free survival in patients with rectal cancer treated by surgery

Objective

The aim of this study was to assess the ability of a multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics signature model to predict disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with rectal cancer treated by surgery.

Materials and methods

We evaluated data of 194 patients with rectal cancer who had undergone radical surgery between April 2016 and September 2021. The mean age of all patients was 62.6 ± 9.7 years (range: 37-86 years). The study endpoint was DFS and 1132 radiomic features were extracted from preoperative MRIs, including contrast-enhanced T1- and T2-weighted imaging and apparent diffusion coefficient values. The study patients were randomly allocated to training (n=97) and validation cohorts (n=97) in a ratio of 5:5. A multivariable Cox regression model was used to generate a radiomics signature (rad score). The associations of rad score with DFS were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Three models, namely a radiomics nomogram, radiomics signature, and clinical model, were compared using the Akaike information criterion.

Result

The rad score, which was composed of four MRI features, stratified rectal cancer patients into low- and high-risk groups and was associated with DFS in both the training (p = 0.0026) and validation sets (p = 0.036). Moreover, a radiomics nomogram model that combined rad score and independent clinical risk factors performed better (Harrell concordance index [C-index] =0.77) than a purely radiomics signature (C-index=0.73) or clinical model (C-index=0.70).

Conclusion

An MRI radiomics model that incorporates a radiomics signature and clinicopathological factors more accurately predicts DFS than does a clinical model in patients with rectal cancer.

Quantitative MRI-based radiomics analysis identifies blood flow feature associated to overall survival for rectal cancer patients

Radiomics objectively quantifies image information through numerical metrics known as features. In this study, we investigated the stability of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based radiomics features in rectal cancer using both anatomical MRI and quantitative MRI (qMRI), when different methods to define the tumor volume were used. Second, we evaluated the prognostic value of stable features associated to 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). On a 1.5 T MRI scanner, 81 patients underwent diagnostic MRI, an extended diffusion-weighted sequence with calculation of the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) and a multiecho dynamic contrast sequence generating both dynamic contrast-enhanced and dynamic susceptibility contrast (DSC) MR, allowing quantification of Ktrans, blood flow (BF) and area under the DSC curve (AUC). Radiomic features were extracted from T2w images and from ADC, Ktrans, BF and AUC maps. Tumor volumes were defined with three methods; machine learning, deep learning and manual delineations. The interclass correlation coefficient (ICC) assessed the stability of features. Internal validation was performed on 1000 bootstrap resamples in terms of discrimination, calibration and decisional benefit. For each combination of image and volume definition, 94 features were extracted. Features from qMRI contained higher prognostic potential than features from anatomical MRI. When stable features (> 90% ICC) were compared with clinical parameters, qMRI features demonstrated the best prognostic potential. A feature extracted from the DSC MRI parameter BF was associated with both PFS (p = 0.004) and OS (p = 0.004). In summary, stable qMRI-based radiomics features was identified, in particular, a feature based on BF from DSC MRI was associated with both PFS and OS.

MRI-based radiomics model for preoperative prediction of extramural venous invasion of rectal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Extramural venous invasion (EMVI) is an important prognostic factor of rectal adenocarcinoma. However, accurate preoperative assessment of EMVI remains difficult.

PURPOSE

To assess EMVI preoperatively through radiomics technology, and use different algorithms combined with clinical factors to establish a variety of models in order to make the most accurate judgments before surgery.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A total of 212 patients with rectal adenocarcinoma between September 2012 and July 2019 were included and distributed to training and validation datasets. Radiomics features were extracted from pretreatment T2-weighted images. Different prediction models (clinical model, logistic regression [LR], random forest [RF], support vector machine [SVM], clinical-LR model, clinical-RF model, and clinical-SVM model) were constructed on the basis of radiomics features and clinical factors, respectively. The area under the curve (AUC) and accuracy were used to assess the predictive efficacy of different models. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were also calculated.

RESULTS

The clinical-LR model exhibited the best diagnostic efficiency with an AUC of 0.962 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.936-0.988) and 0.865 (95% CI = 0.770-0.959), accuracy of 0.899 and 0.828, sensitivity of 0.867 and 0.818, specificity of 0.913 and 0.833, PPV of 0.813 and 0.720, and NPV of 0.940 and 0.897 for the training and validation datasets, respectively.

CONCLUSION

The radiomics-based prediction model is a valuable tool in EMVI detection and can assist decision-making in clinical practice.

Multisequence MRI-based radiomics model for predicting POLE mutation status in patients with endometrial cancer

OBJECTIVES

Preoperative identification of POLE mutation status would help tailor the surgical procedure and adjuvant treatment strategy. This study aimed to explore the feasibility of developing a radiomics model to pre-operatively predict the pathogenic POLE mutation status in patients with EC.

METHODS

The retrospective study involved 138 patients with histopathologically confirmed EC (35 POLE-mutant vs 103 non-POLE-mutant). After selecting relevant features with a series of steps, three radiomics signatures were built based on axial fat-saturation T2WI, DWI, and CE-T1WI images, respectively. Then, two radiomics models which integrated features from T2WI + DWI and T2WI + DWI+CE-T1WI were further developed using multivariate logistic regression. The performance of the radiomics model was evaluated from discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility aspects.

RESULTS

Among all the models, radiomics model2 (RM2), which integrated features from all three sequences, showed the best performance, with AUCs of 0.885 (95%CI: 0.828-0.942) and 0.810 (95%CI: 0.653-0.967) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) analyses indicated that RM2 had improvement in predicting POLE mutation status when compared with the single-sequence-based signatures and the radiomics model1 (RM1). The calibration curve, decision curve analysis, and clinical impact curve suggested favourable calibration and clinical utility of RM2.

CONCLUSIONS

The RM2, fusing features from three sequences, could be a potential tool for the non-invasive preoperative identification of patients with POLE-mutant EC, which is helpful for developing individualized therapeutic strategies.

ADVANCES IN KNOWLEDGE

This study developed a potential surrogate of POLE sequencing, which is cost-efficient and non-invasive.

Improving prognosis and assessing adjuvant chemotherapy benefit in locally advanced rectal cancer with deep learning for MRI: A retrospective, multi-cohort study

PURPOSE

Adjuvant therapy is recommended to minimize the risk of distant metastasis (DM) and local recurrence (LR) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). However, its role is controversial. We aimed to develop a pretreatment MRI-based deep learning model to predict LR, DM, and overall survival (OS) over 5 years after surgery and to identify patients benefitting from adjuvant chemotherapy (AC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The multi-survival tasks network (MuST) model was developed in a primary cohort (n = 308) and validated using two external cohorts (n = 247, 245). An AC decision tree integrating the MuST-DM score, perineural invasion (PNI), and preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) was constructed to assess chemotherapy benefits and aid personalized treatment of patients. We also quantified the prognostic improvement of the decision tree.

RESULTS

The MuST network demonstrated high prognostic accuracy in the primary and two external cohorts for the prediction of three different survival tasks. Within the stratified analysis and decision tree, patients with CA19-9 levels > 37 U/mL and high MuST-DM scores exhibited favorable chemotherapy efficacy. Similar results were observed in PNI-positive patients with low MuST-DM scores. PNI-negative patients with low MuST-DM scores exhibited poor chemotherapy efficacy. Based on the decision tree, 14 additional patients benefiting from AC and 391 patients who received over-treatment were identified in this retrospective study.

CONCLUSION

The MuST model accurately and non-invasively predicted OS, DM, and LR. A specific and direct tool linking chemotherapy decisions and benefit quantification has also been provided.

Use of patient-derived tumor organoid platform to predict the benefit of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy for poor responders to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) for poor responders to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) remains debatable among patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), necessitating biomarkers to accurately predict the benefits of AC. This study aimed to develop a patient-derived tumor organoid (PDTO) platform to predict the benefit of AC in LARC patients showing poor nCRT response. PDTOs were established using irradiated rectal cancer specimens with poor nCRT responses, and their sensitivity to chemotherapy regimens was tested. The half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) value for the PDTO drug test was defined based on the clinical outcomes, and the accuracy of the PDTO prognostic predictions was calculated. Predictive models were developed and validated using the PDTO drug test results. Between October 2018 and December 2021, 86 PDTOs were successfully constructed from 138 specimens (success rate 62.3%). The optimal IC50 cut-off value for the organoid drug test was 39.31 μmol/L, with a sensitivity of 84.75%, a specificity of 85.19%, and an accuracy of 84.88%. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the PDTO drug test was an independent predictor of prognosis. A nomogram based on the PDTO drug test was developed, showing good prognostic ability in predicting the 2-year and 3-year disease-free survivals (AUC of 0.826 [95% CI, 0.721-0.931] and 0.902 [95% CI, 0.823-0.982], respectively) and overall survivals (AUC of 0.859 [95% CI, 0.745-0.973] and 0.885 [95% CI, 0.792-0.978], respectively). The PDTO drug test can predict the benefit of postoperative AC in poor responders with LARC to nCRT.

Preoperative prediction of tumor budding in rectal cancer using multiple machine learning algorithms based on MRI T2WI radiomics

Objective

This study aimed to explore the radiomics model based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) T2WI and compare the value of different machine algorithms in preoperatively predicting tumor budding (TB) grading in rectal cancer.

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted on 266 patients with preoperative rectal MRI examinations, who underwent complete surgical resection and confirmed pathological diagnosis of rectal cancer. Among them, patients from Qingdao West Coast Hospital were assigned as the training group (n=172), while patients from other hospitals were assigned as the external validation group (n=94). Regions of interest (ROIs) were delineated, and image features were extracted and dimensionally reduced using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO). Eight machine algorithms were used to construct the models, and the diagnostic performance of the models was evaluated and compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the area under the curve (AUC), as well as clinical utility assessment using decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

A total of 1197 features were extracted, and after feature selection and dimension reduction, 11 image features related to TB grading were obtained. Among the eight algorithm models, the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm achieved the best diagnostic performance, with accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.826, 0.949, and 0.723 in the training group, and 0.713, 0.579, and 0.804 in the validation group, respectively. DCA demonstrated the clinical utility of this radiomics model.

Conclusion

The radiomics model based on MR T2WI can provide an effective and noninvasive method for preoperative TB grading assessment in patients with rectal cancer.

MRI-based radiomics approach for the prediction of recurrence-free survival in triple-negative breast cancer after breast-conserving surgery or mastectomy

To explore the value of a radiomics signature and develop a nomogram combined with a radiomics signature and clinical factors for predicting recurrence-free survival in triple-negative breast cancer patients. We enrolled 151 patients from the cancer imaging archive who underwent preoperative contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging. They were assigned to training, validation and external validation cohorts. Image features with coefficients not equal to zero in the 10-fold cross-validation were selected to generate a radiomics signature. Based on the optimal cutoff value of the radiomics signature determined by maximally selected log-rank statistics, patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups in the training and validation cohorts. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed for both groups. Kaplan-Meier survival distributions in these groups were compared using log-rank tests. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to construct clinical and combined models. Concordance index was used to assess the predictive performance of the 3 models. Calibration of the combined model was assessed using calibration curves. Four image features were selected to generate the radiomics signature. The Kaplan-Meier survival distributions of patients in the 2 groups were significantly different in the training (P < .001) and validation cohorts (P = .001). The C-indices of the radiomics model, clinical model, and combined model in the training and validation cohorts were 0.772, 0.700, 0.878, and 0.744, 0.574, 0.777, respectively. The C-indices of the radiomics model, clinical model, and combined model in the external validation cohort were 0.778, 0.733, 0.822, respectively. The calibration curves of the combined model showed good calibration. The radiomics signature can predict recurrence-free survival of patients with triple-negative breast cancer and improve the predictive performance of the clinical model.

Prediction of platinum resistance for advanced high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma using MRI-based radiomics nomogram

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to explore the value of a radiomics nomogram to identify platinum resistance and predict the progression-free survival (PFS) of patients with advanced high-grade serous ovarian carcinoma (HGSOC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In this multicenter retrospective study, 301 patients with advanced HGSOC underwent radiomics features extraction from the whole primary tumor on contrast-enhanced T1WI and T2WI. The radiomics features were selected by the support vector machine-based recursive feature elimination method, and then the radiomics signature was generated. Furthermore, a radiomics nomogram was developed using the radiomics signature and clinical characteristics by multivariable logistic regression. The predictive performance was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic analysis. The net reclassification index (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to compare the clinical utility and benefits of different models.

RESULTS

Five features significantly correlated with platinum resistance were selected to construct the radiomics model. The radiomics nomogram, combining radiomics signatures with three clinical characteristics (FIGO stage, CA-125, and residual tumor), had a higher area under the curve (AUC) compared with the clinical model alone (AUC: 0.799 vs 0.747), with positive NRI and IDI. The net benefit of the radiomics nomogram is typically higher than clinical-only and radiomics-only models. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the radiomics nomogram-defined high-risk groups had shorter PFS compared with the low-risk groups in patients with advanced HGSOC.

CONCLUSIONS

The radiomics nomogram can identify platinum resistance and predict PFS. It helps make the personalized management of advanced HGSOC.

KEY POINTS

• The radiomics-based approach has the potential to identify platinum resistance and can help make the personalized management of advanced HGSOC. • The radiomics-clinical nomogram showed improved performance compared with either of them alone for predicting platinum-resistant HGSOC. • The proposed nomogram performed well in predicting the PFS time of patients with low-risk and high-risk HGSOC in both training and testing cohorts.

Artificial intelligence and radiomics in magnetic resonance imaging of rectal cancer: a review

Rectal cancer (RC) is one of the most common tumours worldwide in both males and females, with significant morbidity and mortality rates, and it accounts for approximately one-third of colorectal cancers (CRCs). Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been demonstrated to be accurate in evaluating the tumour location and stage, mucin content, invasion depth, lymph node (LN) metastasis, extramural vascular invasion (EMVI), and involvement of the mesorectal fascia (MRF). However, these features alone remain insufficient to precisely guide treatment decisions. Therefore, new imaging biomarkers are necessary to define tumour characteristics for staging and restaging patients with RC. During the last decades, RC evaluation via MRI-based radiomics and artificial intelligence (AI) tools has been a research hotspot. The aim of this review was to summarise the achievement of MRI-based radiomics and AI for the evaluation of staging, response to therapy, genotyping, prediction of high-risk factors, and prognosis in the field of RC. Moreover, future challenges and limitations of these tools that need to be solved to favour the transition from academic research to the clinical setting will be discussed.

Development and validation of a machine learning model to predict imminent new vertebral fractures after vertebral augmentation

BACKGROUND

Accurately predicting the occurrence of imminent new vertebral fractures (NVFs) in patients with osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCFs) undergoing vertebral augmentation (VA) is challenging with yet no effective approach. This study aim to examine a machine learning model based on radiomics signature and clinical factors in predicting imminent new vertebral fractures after vertebral augmentation.

METHODS

A total of 235 eligible patients with OVCFs who underwent VA procedures were recruited from two independent institutions and categorized into three groups, including training set (n = 138), internal validation set (n = 59), and external validation set (n = 38). In the training set, radiomics features were computationally retrieved from L1 or adjacent vertebral body (T12 or L2) on T1-w MRI images, and a radiomics signature was constructed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm (LASSO). Predictive radiomics signature and clinical factors were fitted into two final prediction models using the random survival forest (RSF) algorithm or COX proportional hazard (CPH) analysis. Independent internal and external validation sets were used to validate the prediction models.

RESULTS

The two prediction models were integrated with radiomics signature and intravertebral cleft (IVC). The RSF model with C-indices of 0.763, 0.773, and 0.731 and time-dependent AUC (2 years) of 0.855, 0.907, and 0.839 (p < 0.001 for all) was found to be better predictive than the CPH model in training, internal and external validation sets. The RSF model provided better calibration, larger net benefits (determined by decision curve analysis), and lower prediction error (time-dependent brier score of 0.156, 0.151, and 0.146, respectively) than the CPH model.

CONCLUSIONS

The integrated RSF model showed the potential to predict imminent NVFs following vertebral augmentation, which will aid in postoperative follow-up and treatment.

Radiomics-based survival risk stratification of glioblastoma is associated with different genome alteration

BACKGROUND

Glioblastoma (GBM) is a remarkable heterogeneous tumor with few non-invasive, repeatable, and cost-effective prognostic biomarkers reported. In this study, we aim to explore the association between radiomic features and prognosis and genomic alterations in GBM.

METHODS

A total of 180 GBM patients (training cohort: n = 119; validation cohort 1: n = 37; validation cohort 2: n = 24) were enrolled and underwent preoperative MRI scans. From the multiparametric (T1, T1-Gd, T2, and T2-FLAIR) MR images, the radscore was developed to predict overall survival (OS) in a multistep postprocessing workflow and validated in two external validation cohorts. The prognostic accuracy of the radscore was assessed with concordance index (C-index) and Brier scores. Furthermore, we used hierarchical clustering and enrichment analysis to explore the association between image features and genomic alterations.

RESULTS

The MRI-based radscore was significantly correlated with OS in the training cohort (C-index: 0.70), validation cohort 1 (C-index: 0.66), and validation cohort 2 (C-index: 0.74). Multivariate analysis revealed that the radscore was an independent prognostic factor. Cluster analysis and enrichment analysis revealed that two distinct phenotypic clusters involved in distinct biological processes and pathways, including the VEGFA-VEGFR2 signaling pathway (q-value = 0.033), JAK-STAT signaling pathway (q-value = 0.049), and regulation of MAPK cascade (q-value = 0.0015/0.025).

CONCLUSIONS

Radiomic features and radiomics-derived radscores provided important phenotypic and prognostic information with great potential for risk stratification in GBM.

Radiomic features derived from pretherapeutic MRI predict chemoradiation response in locally advanced rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The standard treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) is neoadjuvant concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by surgical excision. Current evidence suggests a favorable prognosis for those with pathological complete response (pCR), and surgery may be spared for them. We trained and validated regression models for CRT response prediction with selected radiomic features extracted from pretreatment magnetic resonance (MR) images to recruit potential candidates for this watch-and-wait strategy.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled patients with LARC who underwent pre-CRT MR imaging between 2010 and 2019. Pathological complete response in surgical specimens after CRT was defined as the ground truth. Quantitative features derived from both unfiltered and filtered images were extracted from manually segmented region of interests on T2-weighted images and selected using variance threshold, univariate statistical tests, and cross-validation least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) regression. Finally, a regression model using selected features with high coefficients was optimized and evaluated. Model performance was measured by classification accuracies and area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC).

RESULTS

We extracted 1223 radiomic features from each MRI study of 133 enrolled patients. After tumor excision, 34 (26 %) of 133 patients had pCR in resected specimens. When 25 image-derived features were selected from univariate analysis, classification AUROC was 0.86 and 0.79 with the addition of six clinical features on the hold-out internal validation dataset. When 11 image-derived features were used, the optimized linear regression model had an AUROC value of 0.79 and 0.65 with the addition of six clinical features on the hold-out dataset. Among the radiomic features, texture features including gray level variance, strength, and cluster prominence had the highest coefficient by Lasso regression.

CONCLUSION

Radiomic features derived from pretreatment MR images demonstrated promising efficacy in predicting pCR after CRT. However, radiomic features combined with clinical features did not result in remarkable improvement in model performance.

Preoperative prediction of miliary changes in the small bowel mesentery in advanced high-grade serous ovarian cancer using MRI radiomics nomogram

PURPOSE

To develop and validate an MRI-based radiomics nomogram for the preoperative prediction of miliary changes in the small bowel mesentery (MCSBM) in advanced high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

One hundred and twenty-eight patients with pathologically proved  advanced HGSOC (training cohort: n = 91; validation cohort: n = 37) were retrospectively included. All patients were initially evaluated as MCSBM-negative by preoperative imaging modalities but were finally confirmed by surgery and histopathology (MCSBM-positive: n = 53; MCSBM-negative: n = 75). Five radiomics signatures were built based on the features from multisequence magnetic resonance images. Independent clinicoradiological factors and radiomics-fusion signature were further integrated to construct a radiomics nomogram. The performance of the nomogram was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves and clinical utility.

RESULTS

Radiomics signatures, ascites, and tumor size were independent predictors of MCSBM. A nomogram integrating radiomics features and clinicoradiological factors demonstrated satisfactory predictive performance with areas under the curves (AUCs) of 0.871 (95% CI 0.801-0.941) and 0.858 (95% CI 0.739-0.976) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The net reclassification index (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) revealed that the nomogram had a significantly improved ability compared with the clinical model in the training cohort (NRI = 0.343, p = 0.002; IDI = 0.299, p < 0.001) and validation cohort (NRI = 0.409, p = 0.015; IDI = 0.283, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Our proposed nomogram has the potential to serve as a noninvasive tool for the prediction of MCSBM, which is helpful for the individualized assessment of advanced HGSOC patients.

MRI-Based Artificial Intelligence in Rectal Cancer

Rectal cancer (RC) accounts for approximately one-third of colorectal cancer (CRC), with death rates increasing in patients younger than 50 years old. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is routinely performed for tumor evaluation. However, the semantic features from images alone remain insufficient to guide treatment decisions. Functional MRIs are useful for revealing microstructural and functional abnormalities and nevertheless have low or modest repeatability and reproducibility. Therefore, during the preoperative evaluation and follow-up treatment of patients with RC, novel noninvasive imaging markers are needed to describe tumor characteristics to guide treatment strategies and achieve individualized diagnosis and treatment. In recent years, the development of artificial intelligence (AI) has created new tools for RC evaluation based on MRI. In this review, we summarize the research progress of AI in the evaluation of staging, prediction of high-risk factors, genotyping, response to therapy, recurrence, metastasis, prognosis, and segmentation with RC. We further discuss the challenges of clinical application, including improvement in imaging, model performance, and the biological meaning of features, which may also be major development directions in the future. EVIDENCE LEVEL: 5 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 2.

Prognostic analysis and risk stratification of lung adenocarcinoma undergoing EGFR-TKI therapy with time-serial CT-based radiomics signature

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the value of time-serial CT radiomics features in predicting progression-free survival (PFS) for lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) patients after epidermal growth factor receptor-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) therapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

LUAD patients treated with EGFR-TKIs were retrospectively included from three independent institutes and divided into training and validation cohorts. Intratumoral and peritumoral features were extracted from time-serial non-contrast chest CT (including pre-therapy and first follow-up images); moreover, the percentage variation per unit time (day) was introduced to adjust for the different follow-up periods of each patient. Test-retest was performed to exclude irreproducible features, while the Boruta algorithm was used to select critical radiomics features. Radiomics signatures were constructed with random forest survival models in the training cohort and compared against baseline clinical characteristics through Cox regression and nonparametric testing of concordance indices (C-indices).

RESULTS

The training cohort included 131 patients (74 women, 56.5%) from one institute and the validation cohort encompassed 41 patients (24 women, 58.5%) from two other institutes. The optimal signature contained 10 features and 7 were unit time feature variations. The comprehensive radiomics model outperformed the pre-therapy clinical characteristics in predicting PFS (training: 0.78, 95% CI: [0.72, 0.84] versus 0.55, 95% CI: [0.49, 0.62], p < 0.001; validation: 0.72, 95% CI: [0.60, 0.84] versus 0.54, 95% CI: [0.42, 0.66], p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Radiomics signature derived from time-serial CT images demonstrated optimal prognostic performance of disease progression. This dynamic imaging biomarker holds the promise of monitoring treatment response and achieving personalized management.

KEY POINTS

• The intrinsic tumor heterogeneity can be highly dynamic under the therapeutic effect of EGFR-TKI treatment, and the inevitable development of drug resistance may disrupt the duration of clinical benefit. Decision-making remained challenging in practice to detect the emergence of acquired resistance during the early response phase. • Time-serial CT-based radiomics signature integrating intra- and peritumoral features offered the potential to predict progression-free survival for LUAD patients treated with EGFR-TKIs. • The dynamic imaging signature allowed for prognostic risk stratification.

Application of Radiomics in Predicting Treatment Response to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: Strategies and Challenges

Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by total mesorectal excision is the standard treatment for locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC). A noninvasive preoperative prediction method should greatly assist in the evaluation of response to nCRT and for the development of a personalized strategy for patients with LARC. Assessment of nCRT relies on imaging and radiomics can extract valuable quantitative data from medical images. In this review, we examined the status of radiomic application for assessing response to nCRT in patients with LARC and indicated a potential direction for future research.

Establishment and validation of novel MRI radiomic feature-based prognostic models to predict progression-free survival in locally advanced rectal cancer

In locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), an improved ability to predict prognosis before and after treatment is needed for individualized treatment. We aimed to utilize pre- and post-treatment clinical predictors and baseline magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomic features for establishing prognostic models to predict progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with LARC. Patients with LARC diagnosed between March 2014 and May 2016 were included in this retrospective study. A radiomic signature based on extracted MRI features and clinical prognostic models based on clinical features were constructed in the training cohort to predict 3-year PFS. C-indices were used to evaluate the predictive accuracies of the radiomic signature, clinical prognostic models, and integrated prognostic model (iPostM). In total, 166 consecutive patients were included (110 vs. 56 for training vs. validation). Eleven radiomic features were filtered out to construct the radiomic signature, which was significantly related to PFS. The MRI feature-derived radiomic signature exhibited better prognostic performance than the clinical prognostic models (P = 0.007 vs. 0.077). Then, we proposed an iPostM that combined the radiomic signature with tumor regression grade. The iPostM achieved the highest C-indices in the training and validation cohorts (0.942 and 0.752, respectively), outperforming other models in predicting PFS (all P < 0.05). Decision curve analysis and survival curves of the validation cohort verified that iPostM demonstrated the best performance and facilitated risk stratification. Therefore, iPostM provided the most reliable prognostic prediction for PFS in patients with LARC.

Dynamic Contrast-enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging Evaluation of Whole Tumour Perfusion Heterogeneity Predicts Distant Disease-free Survival in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

AIMS

To evaluate diffusion-weighted imaging and dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging for the prediction of disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with stage II or III rectal adenocarcinoma undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and surgery were eligible. Patients underwent multi-parametric magnetic resonance imaging (diffusion-weighted imaging and dynamic contrast-enhanced) before CRT, during CRT (week 3) and after CRT (1 week prior to surgery). Whole tumour apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) and K^trans histogram quantiles (10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th) were extracted for analysis. The associations between ADC and K^trans at three timepoints with time to relapse were analysed as a continuous variable using a Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

Thirty-three patients were included in this analysis. The median follow-up was 4.4 years. No patient had locoregional relapse. Nine patients developed distant metastases. The hazard ratios for after CRT K^trans 10th (P = 0.035), 25th (P = 0.048), 50th (P = 0.046) and 75th (P = 0.045) quantiles were statistically significant for DFS. The best K^trans cut-off point after CRT for predicting relapse was 28 × 10^-3 mL/g/min (10th quantile), with a higher K^trans value predicting distant relapse. The 4-year DFS probability was 0.93 for patients with after CRT K^trans value ≤28 × 10^-3 mL/g/min versus 0.45 for patients with after CRT K^trans value >28 × 10^-3 mL/g/min. ADC was not able to predict DFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with higher K^trans values after CRT (before surgery) in a histogram analysis of whole tumour heterogeneity had a significantly lower 4-year distant DFS and could be considered for more intense systemic therapy.

Comparative study of radiomics, tumor morphology, and clinicopathological factors in predicting overall survival of patients with rectal cancer before surgery

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Radiomics analysis of pretreatment MR images could predict overall survival (OS) in patients.

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Clinical, pathological and MRI imaging indexes were included and models were established. Tumor morphological model, clinicopathological model, radiomics model and comprehensive model were used to evaluate the prognosis of patients with rectal cancer. It can explore the influence of the above factors on the prognosis of rectal cancer from multi-level and multi-angle.

•

The proposed radiomics nomogram showed better prognostic performance than the clinicopathological and imaging model in risk stratification and can classify patients into high- and low-risk groups with significant differences in OS.

We compared the ability of a radiomics model, morphological imaging model, and clinicopathological risk model to predict 3-year overall survival (OS) in 206 patients with rectal cancer who underwent radical surgery and had magnetic resonance imaging, clinicopathological, and OS data available. The patients were randomized to a training cohort (n = 146) and a verification cohort (n = 60). Radiomics features were extracted from preoperative T2-weighted images, and a radiomics score model was constructed. Factors that were significant in the Cox multivariate analysis were used to construct the final morphological tumor model and clinicopathological model. A comprehensive model in the form of a line chart was established by combining the three models. Ten radiomics features significantly related to OS were selected to construct the radiomics feature model and calculate the radiomics score. In the morphological model, mesorectal extension depth and distance between the lower tumor margin and the anal margin were significant prognostic factors. N stage was the only significant clinicopathological factor. The comprehensive model combined with the above factors had the best prediction performance for OS. The C-index had a predictive performance of 0.872 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.832–0.912) in the training cohort and 0.944 (95% CI: 0.890–0.990) in the verification cohort, which was better than for any single model. The comprehensive model was divided into high-risk and low-risk groups. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed that all factors were significantly correlated with poor OS in the high-risk group. A comprehensive nomogram based on multi-model radiomics features can predict 3-year OS after rectal cancer surgery.

Radiomics Features at Multiparametric MRI Predict Disease-Free Survival in Patients With Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the potential value of radiomics features based on preoperative multiparameter MRI in predicting disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with local advanced rectal cancer (LARC).

METHODS

We identified 234 patients with LARC who underwent preoperative MRI, including T2-weighted, diffusion kurtosis imaging, and contrast enhanced T1-weighted. All patients were randomly divided into the training (n = 164) and validation (n = 70) cohorts. 414 features were extracted from the tumor from above sequences and the radiomics signature was then generated, mainly based on feature stability and Cox proportional hazards model. Two models, integrating pre- and postoperative variables, were constructed to validate the radiomics signatures for DFS estimation.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature, composed of six DFS-related features, was significantly associated with DFS in the training and validation cohorts (both p < 0.001). The radiomics signature and MR-defined extramural venous invasion (mrEMVI) were identified as the independent predictor of DFS both in the pre- and postoperative models. In both cohorts, the two radiomics-based models exhibited better prediction performance (C-index ≥0.77, all p < 0.05) than the corresponding clinical models, with positive net reclassification improvement and lower Akaike information criterion (AIC). Decision curve analysis also confirmed their clinical usefulness. The radiomics-based models could categorize LARC patients into high- and low-risk groups with distinct profiles of DFS (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The proposed radiomics models with pre- and postoperative features have the potential to predict DFS, and may provide valuable guidance for the future individualized management in patients with LARC.

Role of MRI‑based radiomics in locally advanced rectal cancer (Review)

Colorectal cancer is the third most common type of cancer, with high morbidity and mortality rates. In particular, locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) is difficult to treat and has a high recurrence rate. Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) is one of the standard treatment programs of LARC. If the response to treatment and prognosis in patients with LARC can be predicted, it will guide clinical decision‑making. Radiomics is characterized by the extraction of high‑dimensional quantitative features from medical imaging data, followed by data analysis and model construction, which can be used for tumor diagnosis, staging, prediction of treatment response and prognosis. In recent years, a number of studies have assessed the role of radiomics in NCRT for LARC. MRI‑based radiomics provides valuable data and is expected to become an imaging biomarker for predicting treatment response and prognosis. The potential of radiomics to guide personalized medicine is widely recognized; however, current limitations and challenges prevent its application to clinical decision‑making. The present review summarizes the applications, limitations and prospects of MRI‑based radiomics in LARC.