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Teo PT, Rogacki K, Gopalakrishnan M, Das IJ, Abazeed ME, Mittal BB, Gentile M. Determining risk and predictors of head and neck cancer treatment-related lymphedema: A clinicopathologic and dosimetric data mining approach using interpretable machine learning and ensemble feature selection. Clin Transl Radiat Oncol 2024; 46:100747. [PMID: 38450218 PMCID: PMC10915511 DOI: 10.1016/j.ctro.2024.100747] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2023] [Revised: 01/02/2024] [Accepted: 02/15/2024] [Indexed: 03/08/2024] Open
Abstract
Background and purpose The ability to determine the risk and predictors of lymphedema is vital in improving the quality of life for head and neck (HN) cancer patients. However, selecting robust features is challenging due to the multicollinearity and high dimensionality of radiotherapy (RT) data. This study aims to overcome these challenges using an ensemble feature selection technique with machine learning (ML). Materials and methods Thirty organs-at-risk, including bilateral cervical lymph node levels, were contoured, and dose-volume data were extracted from 76 HN treatment plans. Clinicopathologic data was collected. Ensemble feature selection was used to reduce the number of features. Using the reduced features as input to ML and competing risk models, internal and external lymphedema prediction capability was evaluated with the ML models, and time to lymphedema event and risk stratification were estimated using the risk models. Results Two ML models, XGBoost and random forest, exhibited robust prediction performance. They achieved average F1-scores and AUCs of 84 ± 3.3 % and 79 ± 11.9 % (external lymphedema), and 64 ± 12 % and 78 ± 7.9 % (internal lymphedema). Predictive ML and risk models identified common predictors, including bulky node involvement, high dose to various lymph node levels, and lymph nodes removed during surgery. At 180 days, removing 0-25, 26-50, and > 50 lymph nodes increased external lymphedema risk to 72.1 %, 95.6 %, and 57.7 % respectively (p = 0.01). Conclusion Our approach, involving the reduction of HN RT data dimensionality, resulted in effective ML models for HN lymphedema prediction. Predictive dosimetric features emerged from both predictive and competing risk models. Consistency with clinicopathologic features from other studies supports our methodology.
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Affiliation(s)
- P. Troy Teo
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 251 E. Huron St, Galter Pavilion LC-178, IL 60611. Chicago, United States
| | - Kevin Rogacki
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 251 E. Huron St, Galter Pavilion LC-178, IL 60611. Chicago, United States
| | - Mahesh Gopalakrishnan
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 251 E. Huron St, Galter Pavilion LC-178, IL 60611. Chicago, United States
| | - Indra J Das
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 251 E. Huron St, Galter Pavilion LC-178, IL 60611. Chicago, United States
| | - Mohamed E Abazeed
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 251 E. Huron St, Galter Pavilion LC-178, IL 60611. Chicago, United States
| | - Bharat B Mittal
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Northwestern Memorial Hospital, Robert H. Lurie Comprehensive Cancer Center, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, 251 E. Huron St, Galter Pavilion LC-178, IL 60611. Chicago, United States
| | - Michelle Gentile
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania Hospital, 800 Spruce Street, Philadelphia, PA 19107, United States
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Naderi E, Aguado-Barrera ME, Schack LMH, Dorling L, Rattay T, Fachal L, Summersgill H, Martínez-Calvo L, Welsh C, Dudding T, Odding Y, Varela-Pazos A, Jena R, Thomson DJ, Steenbakkers RJHM, Dennis J, Lobato-Busto R, Alsner J, Ness A, Nutting C, Gómez-Caamaño A, Eriksen JG, Thomas SJ, Bates AM, Webb AJ, Choudhury A, Rosenstein BS, Taboada-Valladares B, Herskind C, Azria D, Dearnaley DP, de Ruysscher D, Sperk E, Hall E, Stobart H, Chang-Claude J, De Ruyck K, Veldeman L, Altabas M, De Santis MC, Farcy-Jacquet MP, Veldwijk MR, Sydes MR, Parliament M, Usmani N, Burnet NG, Seibold P, Symonds RP, Elliott RM, Bultijnck R, Gutiérrez-Enríquez S, Mollà M, Gulliford SL, Green S, Rancati T, Reyes V, Carballo A, Peleteiro P, Sosa-Fajardo P, Parker C, Fonteyne V, Johnson K, Lambrecht M, Vanneste B, Valdagni R, Giraldo A, Ramos M, Diergaarde B, Liu G, Leal SM, Chua MLK, Pring M, Overgaard J, Cascallar-Caneda LM, Duprez F, Talbot CJ, Barnett GC, Dunning AM, Vega A, Andreassen CN, Langendijk JA, West CML, Alizadeh BZ, Kerns SL. Large-scale meta-genome-wide association study reveals common genetic factors linked to radiation-induced acute toxicities across cancer types. JNCI Cancer Spectr 2023; 7:pkad088. [PMID: 37862240 PMCID: PMC10653584 DOI: 10.1093/jncics/pkad088] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/07/2023] [Revised: 09/18/2023] [Accepted: 10/18/2023] [Indexed: 10/22/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND This study was designed to identify common genetic susceptibility and shared genetic variants associated with acute radiation-induced toxicity across 4 cancer types (prostate, head and neck, breast, and lung). METHODS A genome-wide association study meta-analysis was performed using 19 cohorts totaling 12 042 patients. Acute standardized total average toxicity (STATacute) was modelled using a generalized linear regression model for additive effect of genetic variants, adjusted for demographic and clinical covariates (rSTATacute). Linkage disequilibrium score regression estimated shared single-nucleotide variation (SNV-formerly SNP)-based heritability of rSTATacute in all patients and for each cancer type. RESULTS Shared SNV-based heritability of STATacute among all cancer types was estimated at 10% (SE = 0.02) and was higher for prostate (17%, SE = 0.07), head and neck (27%, SE = 0.09), and breast (16%, SE = 0.09) cancers. We identified 130 suggestive associated SNVs with rSTATacute (5.0 × 10‒8 < P < 1.0 × 10‒5) across 25 genomic regions. rs142667902 showed the strongest association (effect allele A; effect size ‒0.17; P = 1.7 × 10‒7), which is located near DPPA4, encoding a protein involved in pluripotency in stem cells, which are essential for repair of radiation-induced tissue injury. Gene-set enrichment analysis identified 'RNA splicing via endonucleolytic cleavage and ligation' (P = 5.1 × 10‒6, P = .079 corrected) as the top gene set associated with rSTATacute among all patients. In silico gene expression analysis showed that the genes associated with rSTATacute were statistically significantly up-regulated in skin (not sun exposed P = .004 corrected; sun exposed P = .026 corrected). CONCLUSIONS There is shared SNV-based heritability for acute radiation-induced toxicity across and within individual cancer sites. Future meta-genome-wide association studies among large radiation therapy patient cohorts are worthwhile to identify the common causal variants for acute radiotoxicity across cancer types.
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Affiliation(s)
- Elnaz Naderi
- Department of Epidemiology, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
- Center for Statistical Genetics, Gertrude H. Sergievsky Center, and the Department of Neurology, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Miguel E Aguado-Barrera
- Fundación Pública Galega Medicina Xenómica, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Line M H Schack
- Department of Experimental Clinical Oncology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
- Department of Oncology, Gødstrup Hospital, Herning, Denmark
- NIDO | Centre for Research and Education, Gødstrup Hospital, Herning, Denmark
| | - Leila Dorling
- Centre for Cancer Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Tim Rattay
- Leicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Laura Fachal
- Wellcome Sanger Institute, Wellcome Genome Campus, Hinxton, UK
- Centre for Cancer Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Oncology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Holly Summersgill
- Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Laura Martínez-Calvo
- Fundación Pública Galega Medicina Xenómica, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Ceilidh Welsh
- Department of Oncology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Tom Dudding
- Bristol Dental School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
- MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Yasmin Odding
- Bristol Cancer Institute, University Hospitals Bristol NHS Foundation Trust, Bristol, UK
| | - Ana Varela-Pazos
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago, SERGAS, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Rajesh Jena
- Department of Oncology, Addenbrooke’s Hospital, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - David J Thomson
- Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
- The Christie NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
| | - Roel J H M Steenbakkers
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Joe Dennis
- Centre for Cancer Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Oncology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Ramón Lobato-Busto
- Department of Medical Physics, Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago, SERGAS, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Jan Alsner
- Department of Experimental Clinical Oncology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Andy Ness
- Bristol Dental School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Chris Nutting
- Head and Neck Unit, The Royal Marsden Hospital, London, UK
| | - Antonio Gómez-Caamaño
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago, SERGAS, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Jesper G Eriksen
- Department of Experimental Clinical Oncology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Steve J Thomas
- Bristol Dental School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Amy M Bates
- Department of Oncology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Adam J Webb
- Department of Genetics and Genome Biology, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ananya Choudhury
- Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Christie Hospital, Manchester, UK
| | - Barry S Rosenstein
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Begona Taboada-Valladares
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago, SERGAS, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Carsten Herskind
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Universitätsmedizin Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Mannheim, Germany
| | - David Azria
- Fédération Universitaire d’Oncologie Radiothérapie d’Occitanie Méditérranée, Département d’Oncologie Radiothérapie, ICM Montpellier, INSERM U1194 IRCM, University of Montpellier, Montpellier, France
| | - David P Dearnaley
- Division of Radiotherapy and Imaging, The Institute of Cancer Research Department, The Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Dirk de Ruysscher
- MAASTRO Clinic, GROW School for Oncology and Developmental Biology, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, Netherlands
| | - Elena Sperk
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Universitätsmedizin Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Mannheim, Germany
| | - Emma Hall
- Clinical Trials and Statistics Unit, The Institute of Cancer Research, London, UK
| | - Hilary Stobart
- Patient Advocate, Independent Cancer Patients’ Voice, London, UK
| | - Jenny Chang-Claude
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany
- University Cancer Center Hamburg, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Kim De Ruyck
- Departments of Basic Medical Sciences and Radiotherapy, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium
| | - Liv Veldeman
- Department of Human Structure and Repair, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium
| | - Manuel Altabas
- Radiation Oncology Department, Vall d’Hebron Hospital Universitari, Vall d’Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | - Marie-Pierre Farcy-Jacquet
- Fédération Universitaire d’Oncologie Radiothérapie d’Occitanie Méditérranée, Département d’Oncologie Radiothérapie, CHU Carémeau, Nîmes, France
| | - Marlon R Veldwijk
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Universitätsmedizin Mannheim, Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Mannheim, Germany
| | - Matthew R Sydes
- MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, University College London, London, UK
| | - Matthew Parliament
- Division of Radiation Oncology, Department of Oncology, Cross Cancer Institute, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada
| | - Nawaid Usmani
- Division of Radiation Oncology, Department of Oncology, Cross Cancer Institute, University of Alberta, Edmonton, AB, Canada
| | | | - Petra Seibold
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - R Paul Symonds
- Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Rebecca M Elliott
- Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Christie Hospital, Manchester, UK
| | - Renée Bultijnck
- Department of Human Structure and Repair, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium
| | - Sara Gutiérrez-Enríquez
- Hereditary Cancer Genetics Group, Vall d’Hebron Institute of Oncology, Vall d’Hebron Hospital Campus, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Meritxell Mollà
- Radiation Oncology Department, Vall d’Hebron Hospital Universitari, Vall d’Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Sarah L Gulliford
- Department of Medical Physics and Biomedical Engineering, University College London, UK
| | - Sheryl Green
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
| | - Tiziana Rancati
- Data Science Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy
| | - Victoria Reyes
- Radiation Oncology Department, Vall d’Hebron Hospital Universitari, Vall d’Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Ana Carballo
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago, SERGAS, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Paula Peleteiro
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago, SERGAS, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Paloma Sosa-Fajardo
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago, SERGAS, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Chris Parker
- Department of Medical Physics and Biomedical Engineering, University College London, UK
| | - Valérie Fonteyne
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium
| | - Kerstie Johnson
- Leicester Cancer Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | | | - Ben Vanneste
- Department of Human Structure and Repair, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium
- Department of Radiation Oncology (Maastro Clinic), GROW School for Oncology and Developmental Biology, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands
| | - Riccardo Valdagni
- Radiation Oncology, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy
- Prostate Cancer Program, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy
| | - Alexandra Giraldo
- Radiation Oncology Department, Vall d’Hebron Hospital Universitari, Vall d’Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Mónica Ramos
- Radiation Oncology Department, Vall d’Hebron Hospital Universitari, Vall d’Hebron Barcelona Hospital Campus, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Brenda Diergaarde
- Department of Human Genetics, School of Public Health, University of Pittsburgh, UPMC Hillman Cancer Center, Pittsburgh, PA, USA
| | - Geoffrey Liu
- Princess Margaret Cancer Centre, Temerty Faculty of Medicine, Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Suzanne M Leal
- Center for Statistical Genetics, Gertrude H. Sergievsky Center, and the Department of Neurology, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, USA
- Taub Institute for Alzheimer’s Disease and the Aging Brain, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, USA
| | - Melvin L K Chua
- Division of Radiation Oncology, National Cancer Centre Singapore, Singapore
- Duke-NUS Medical School, Oncology Academic Clinical Programme, Singapore
| | - Miranda Pring
- Bristol Dental School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Jens Overgaard
- Department of Experimental Clinical Oncology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Luis M Cascallar-Caneda
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Complexo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago, SERGAS, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Fréderic Duprez
- Department of Human Structure and Repair, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium
- Department of Radiation Oncology, Ghent University Hospital, Ghent, Belgium
| | - Christopher J Talbot
- Department of Genetics and Genome Biology, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Gillian C Barnett
- Department of Oncology, Addenbrooke’s Hospital, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Alison M Dunning
- Centre for Cancer Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Oncology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Ana Vega
- Fundación Pública Galega Medicina Xenómica, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
- Grupo de Medicina Xenómica, Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Raras, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain
| | - Christian Nicolaj Andreassen
- Department of Experimental Clinical Oncology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
- Department of Oncology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Johannes A Langendijk
- Department of Radiation Oncology, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Catharine M L West
- Translational Radiobiology Group, Division of Cancer Sciences, University of Manchester, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, Christie NHS Foundation Trust Hospital, Manchester, UK
| | - Behrooz Z Alizadeh
- Department of Epidemiology, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands
| | - Sarah L Kerns
- Department of Radiation Oncology, The Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI, USA
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