Estimación del riesgo cardiovascular de por vida (IBERLIFERISK): una herramienta nueva en prevención primaria de las enfermedades cardiovasculares

Validation of the IberScore model in a primary care population

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to validate the IberScore cardiovascular risk model in a population attended in the primary care setting.

METHODS

A cohort of patients with no history of cardiovascular disease visited in a primary care center during the years 2008 and/or 2009 and followed up until 2018 was selected. Cardiovascular risk was calculated with the IberScore formula for all the subjects of the cohort and the model was calibrated, graphically represented by risk deciles the proportion of expected events and proportion of observed events at 10-year follow-up, stratified by sex. The area under the ROC curve was calculated to assess the discrimination of the model.

RESULTS

A total of 10,085 patients visited during the years 2008 and/or 2009 were included in the study. Men showed a mean 10-year risk of suffering a fatal or non-fatal cardiovascular events according to IberScore of 17.07% (SD 20.13), with a mean estimated vascular age of more than 4 years higher than the biological age; while women had a mean 10-year risk of 7.91% (SD 9.03), with an estimated vascular age of more than 2 years above the biological age. The area under the ROC curve showed a discrimination index of the model of 0.86 (95% CI 0.84-0.88) in men and 0.82 (95% CI 0.79-0.85) in women.

CONCLUSION

IberScore model discriminates well in the population attended in primary care but the model overestimates the risk.

[Cardiovascular preventive recommendations. PAPPS 2022 thematic updates. Working groups of the PAPPS]

The recommendations of the semFYC's Program for Preventive Activities and Health Promotion (PAPPS) for the prevention of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are presented. The following sections are included: epidemiological review, where the current morbidity and mortality of CVD in Spain and its evolution as well as the main risk factors are described; cardiovascular (CV) risk and recommendations for the calculation of CV risk; main risk factors such as arterial hypertension, dyslipidemia and diabetes mellitus, describing the method for their diagnosis, therapeutic objectives and recommendations for lifestyle measures and pharmacological treatment; indications for antiplatelet therapy, and recommendations for screening of atrial fibrillation, and recommendations for management of chronic conditions. The quality of testing and the strength of the recommendation are included in the main recommendations.

Hypertension mediated kidney and cardiovascular damage and risk stratification: Redefining concepts

Hypertension mediated organ damage (HMOD) refers to structural or functional changes in arteries or target organs that can be present in long-standing hypertension, but it can be also found in naïve never treated patients. Traditionally, cardiovascular risk is stratified with charts or calculators that tend to underestimate the real cardiovascular risk. The diagnosis of HMOD automatically reclassifies patients to the highest level of cardiovascular risk. Subclinical HMOD can be present already at the diagnosis of hypertension and more than 25% of hypertensives are misclassified with the routine tests recommended by hypertension guidelines. Whether HMOD regression improves cardiovascular outcomes has never been investigated in randomized clinical trials and remains controversial. However, different drugs have been probed with promising results in high cardiovascular risk patients, such as the new antidiabetic or the novel non-steroid mineralocorticoid antagonists. Accordingly, trials have shown that lowering blood pressure reduces cardiovascular events. In this narrative review, we will discuss the role of HMOD in cardiovascular risk stratification, the different types of organ damage, and the evidence available to define whether HMOD can be used as a therapeutic target.

Effect of Physical Activity on Cardiovascular Event Risk in a Population-Based Cohort of Patients with Type 2 Diabetes

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the most common cause of morbidity and mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Physical activity (PA) is one of the few modifiable factors that can reduce this risk. The aim of this study was to estimate to what extent PA can contribute to reducing CVD risk and all-cause mortality in patients with T2D. Information from a population-based cohort including 26,587 patients with T2D from the Navarre Health System who were followed for five years was gathered from electronic clinical records. Multivariate Cox regression models were fitted to estimate the effect of PA on CVD risk and all-cause mortality, and the approach was complemented using conditional logistic regression models within a matched nested case-control design. A total of 5111 (19.2%) patients died during follow-up, which corresponds to 37.8% of the inactive group, 23.9% of the partially active group and 12.4% of the active group. CVD events occurred in 2362 (8.9%) patients, which corresponds to 11.6%, 10.1% and 7.6% of these groups. Compared with patients in the inactive group, and after matching and adjusting for confounders, the OR of having a CVD event was 0.84 (95% CI: 0.66-1.07) for the partially active group and 0.71 (95% CI: 0.56-0.91) for the active group. A slightly more pronounced gradient was obtained when focused on all-cause mortality, with ORs equal to 0.72 (95% CI: 0.61-0.85) and 0.50 (95% CI: 0.42-0.59), respectively. This study provides further evidence that physically active patients with T2D may have a reduced risk of CVD-related complications and all-cause mortality.

External validation of the European and American equations for calculating cardiovascular risk in a Spanish working population

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE

This work aims to externally validate the European and American models for calculating cardiovascular risk in the primary prevention.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional study of a nation-wide cohort of individuals who are active in the work force. Workers without a medical history cardiovascular disease who attended occupational health check-ups between 2004 and 2007 were included. They were followed-up on until December 2017.

RESULTS

A total of 244,236 subjects participated. Of them, 24.5% were women and the mean age was 48.10 years (SD 6.26). According to the European SCORE risk chart, the mean risk was 1.70 (SD 1.81) for men and 0.37 (SD 0.53) for women. According to the North American PCE model, the mean risk was 6.98 (SD 5.66) for men and 1.97 (SD 1.96) for women. A total of 1177 events (0.51%) were registered according to the SCORE tool and 2,330 events (1.00%) were registered according to the PCE tool. The Harrell's C-statistic was 0.746 for SCORE and 0.725 for PCE. Sensitivity and specificity for the SCORE'S 5% cut-off point were 17.59% (95%CI 15.52%-19.87%) and 95.68% (95%CI 95.59%-95.76%). Sensitivity and specificity for the PCE's 20% cut-off point were 9.06% (95%CI 7.96%-10.29%) and 97.55% (95%CI 97.48%-97.61%), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The European SCORE and North American PCE models overestimate the risk in our population but with an acceptable discrimination. SCORE showed better validity indices than the PCE. The population's risk is continuously changing; therefore, it is important continue updating the equations to include information on current populations.

Statement of the Spanish Interdisciplinary Vascular Prevention Committee on the updated European Cardiovascular Prevention Guidelines

We present the adaptation for Spain of the updated European Cardiovascular Prevention Guidelines. In this update, greater stress is laid on the population approach, and especially on the promotion of physical activity and healthy diet through dietary, leisure and active transport policies in Spain. To estimate vascular risk, note should be made of the importance of recalibrating the tables used, by adapting them to population shifts in the prevalence of risk factors and incidence of vascular diseases, with particular attention to the role of chronic kidney disease. At an individual level, the key element is personalised support for changes in behaviour, adherence to medication in high-risk individuals and patients with vascular disease, the fostering of physical activity, and cessation of smoking habit. Furthermore, recent clinical trials with PCSK9 inhibitors are reviewed, along with the need to simplify pharmacological treatment of arterial hypertension to improve control and adherence to treatment. In the case of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and vascular disease or high vascular disease risk, when lifestyle changes and metformin are inadequate, the use of drugs with proven vascular benefit should be prioritised. Lastly, guidelines on peripheral arterial disease and other specific diseases are included, as is a recommendation against prescribing antiaggregants in primary prevention.

[Cardiovascular preventive recommendations. PAPPS 2020 update]

The recommendations of the semFYC's Program for Preventive Activities and Health Promotion (PAPPS) for the prevention of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are presented. The following sections are included: Epidemiological review, where the current morbidity and mortality of CVD in Spain and its evolution as well as the main risk factors are described; Cardiovascular (CV) risk tables and recommendations for the calculation of CV risk; Main risk factors such as arterial hypertension, dyslipidemia and diabetes mellitus, describing the method for their diagnosis, therapeutic objectives and recommendations for lifestyle measures and pharmacological treatment; Indications for antiplatelet therapy, and recommendations for screening of atrial fibrillation. The quality of testing and the strength of the recommendation are included in the main recommendations.

[Statement of the Spanish Interdisciplinary Vascular Prevention Committee on the updated European Cardiovascular Prevention Guidelines]

We present the adaptation for Spain of the updated European Cardiovascular Prevention Guidelines. In this update, greater stress is laid on the population approach, and especially on the promotion of physical activity and healthy diet through dietary, leisure and active transport policies in Spain. To estimate vascular risk, note should be made of the importance of recalibrating the tables used, by adapting them to population shifts in the prevalence of risk factors and incidence of vascular diseases, with particular attention to the role of chronic kidney disease. At an individual level, the key element is personalised support for changes in behaviour, adherence to medication in high-risk individuals and patients with vascular disease, the fostering of physical activity, and cessation of smoking habit. Furthermore, recent clinical trials with PCSK9 inhibitors are reviewed, along with the need to simplify pharmacological treatment of arterial hypertension to improve control and adherence to treatment. In the case of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and vascular disease or high vascular disease risk, when lifestyle changes and metformin are inadequate, the use of drugs with proven vascular benefit should be prioritised. Lastly, guidelines on peripheral arterial disease and other specific diseases are included, as is a recommendation against prescribing antiaggregants in primary prevention.

Predictive value of three thermal comfort indices in low temperatures on cardiovascular morbidity in the Iberian peninsula

The natural environment has been considered an important determinant of cardiovascular morbidity. This work seeks to assess the impact of the winter thermal environment on hospital admissions from diseases of the circulatory system by using three biometeorological indices in five regions of the Iberian Peninsula. A theoretical index based on a thermophysiological model (Universal Thermal Climate Index [UTCI]) and two experimental biometeorological ones (Net Effective Temperature [NET] and Apparent Temperature [AT]) were estimated in two metropolitan areas of Portugal (Porto and Lisbon) and in three provinces of Spain (Madrid, Barcelona and Valencia). Subsequently, their relationship with hospital admissions, adjusted by NO₂ concentration, time, and day of the week, was analyzed using a Generalized Additive Model. As the estimation method, a semi-parametric quasi-Poisson regression was used. Around 53% of the hospitalizations occurred during the cold periods. The admissions rate followed an upward trend over the 9-year period in both capitals (Madrid and Lisbon) as well as in Barcelona. An inverse and statistically significant relationship was found between thermal comfort and hospital admissions in the five regions (p < 0.001). The highest relative risk (RR) was found after a cumulative 7-day exposure in Lisbon, where there was a 1.4% increase in hospital admissions for each NET and AT degree Celsius, and 1.0% for each UTCI degree Celsius. In conclusion, low air temperatures are a significant risk factor for hospital admissions from diseases of the circulatory system in the Iberian Peninsula, regardless of the index calculated.