Value and prognostic impact of a deep learning segmentation model of COVID-19 lung lesions on low-dose chest CT

Additional value of chest CT AI-based quantification of lung involvement in predicting death and ICU admission for COVID-19 patients

Objectives

We evaluated the contribution of lung lesion quantification on chest CT using a clinical Artificial Intelligence (AI) software in predicting death and intensive care units (ICU) admission for COVID-19 patients.

Methods

For 349 patients with positive COVID-19-PCR test that underwent a chest CT scan at admittance or during hospitalization, we applied the AI for lung and lung lesion segmentation to obtain lesion volume (LV), and LV/Total Lung Volume (TLV) ratio. ROC analysis was used to extract the best CT criterion in predicting death and ICU admission. Two prognostic models using multivariate logistic regressions were constructed to predict each outcome and were compared using AUC values. The first model ("Clinical") was based on patients' characteristics and clinical symptoms only. The second model ("Clinical+LV/TLV") included also the best CT criterion.

Results

LV/TLV ratio demonstrated best performance for both outcomes; AUC of 67.8% (95% CI: 59.5 - 76.1) and 81.1% (95% CI: 75.7 - 86.5) respectively. Regarding death prediction, AUC values were 76.2% (95% CI: 69.9 - 82.6) and 79.9% (95%IC: 74.4 - 85.5) for the "Clinical" and the "Clinical+LV/TLV" models respectively, showing significant performance increase (+ 3.7%; p-value<0.001) when adding LV/TLV ratio. Similarly, for ICU admission prediction, AUC values were 74.9% (IC 95%: 69.2 - 80.6) and 84.8% (IC 95%: 80.4 - 89.2) respectively corresponding to significant performance increase (+ 10%: p-value<0.001).

Conclusions

Using a clinical AI software to quantify the COVID-19 lung involvement on chest CT, combined with clinical variables, allows better prediction of death and ICU admission.

A Comprehensive Review of Machine Learning Used to Combat COVID-19

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has had a significant impact on global health since the start of the pandemic in 2019. As of June 2022, over 539 million cases have been confirmed worldwide with over 6.3 million deaths as a result. Artificial Intelligence (AI) solutions such as machine learning and deep learning have played a major part in this pandemic for the diagnosis and treatment of COVID-19. In this research, we review these modern tools deployed to solve a variety of complex problems. We explore research that focused on analyzing medical images using AI models for identification, classification, and tissue segmentation of the disease. We also explore prognostic models that were developed to predict health outcomes and optimize the allocation of scarce medical resources. Longitudinal studies were conducted to better understand COVID-19 and its effects on patients over a period of time. This comprehensive review of the different AI methods and modeling efforts will shed light on the role that AI has played and what path it intends to take in the fight against COVID-19.