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Bilgili F, Barak D. Examining substitution and income effects of oil prices through the Environmental Kuznets Curve framework. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2025; 379:124781. [PMID: 40058052 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124781] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2024] [Revised: 02/28/2025] [Accepted: 02/28/2025] [Indexed: 03/22/2025]
Abstract
This paper focuses on the decomposition of the substitution effect (SE) and income effect (IE) of oil prices within the framework of the EKC hypothesis. The objective is to analyze the contemporaneous impact of oil price shocks on other panel variables. Using panel data for G20 countries covering the period 1985-2022, the paper employs the PSVAR method for empirical analysis. Our results show that the EKC hypothesis is confirmed in G20 countries. Moreover, the SE is estimated to be negative and significant in the model where income is held constant, and oil price changes are allowed. In the model where oil prices are held constant and income changes are allowed, oil behaves as an inferior good at the beginning of economic growth. However, as economic growth progresses and income reaches a critical threshold, oil becomes a normal good. Substitution and income effects can foster sustainable growth by mitigating the environmental consequences of oil price fluctuations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Faik Bilgili
- Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Erciyes University, Kayseri, 38039, Türkiye.
| | - Doğan Barak
- Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingöl University, 12000, Bingöl, Türkiye.
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Rasheed M, Liu J. Unraveling the environmental Kuznets curve: interplay between [Formula: see text] emissions, economic development, and energy consumption. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2024; 31:13372-13391. [PMID: 38244158 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-023-31747-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2023] [Accepted: 12/22/2023] [Indexed: 01/22/2024]
Abstract
The study investigates the complex interplay among [Formula: see text] emissions, energy consumption, and economic growth in China, employing the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) framework to analyze the dynamics from 1990 to 2022. The research contributes to the urgent need for sustainable development by filling important gaps in comprehending China's specific challenges and potential and considering the relationship between economic advancement and environmental quality. This study utilizes advanced econometric tools, including the AutoRegressive Distributed Lag model, Vector Error Correction Model, and AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average, to comprehensively examine the complicated relationship between variables, considering both short-run and long-run dynamics. The study supports the EKC concept, suggesting that targeted measures can reduce environmental degradation as China's economy advances. Strategic policy recommendations include emission reduction targets, investments in green technologies, and promoting sustainable consumption patterns. Furthermore, transitioning from fossil fuels to cleaner energy aligns with global climate objectives. This research provides valuable insights for policymakers, emphasizing the interconnected nature of energy consumption, [Formula: see text] emissions, and economic growth in shaping China's sustainable future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohsin Rasheed
- Department of Management Sciences, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450000, Henan, China
| | - Jianhua Liu
- Department of Management Sciences, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450000, Henan, China.
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Sharma V, Dhamija A, Haseeb M, Khosla S, Tamang S, Sharma U. Transitioning towards a sustainable environment: the dynamic nexus between economic complexity index, technological development and human capital with environmental quality in India. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2023; 30:87049-87070. [PMID: 37420153 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-023-28310-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2023] [Accepted: 06/13/2023] [Indexed: 07/09/2023]
Abstract
This paper aims to investigate the dynamic nexus between economic complexity index (ECI), technological development (TIN), human capital (HC) and environmental quality in India for transition towards a sustainable environment. This study is based on secondary data covering the period from 1985 to 2018. For empirical analysis, this study applied "Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology" (STIRPAT) model framework under the estimation of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model and vector error correction model (VECM) model. The empirical findings of model 1 show ECI, TIN, HC and urbanization (URB) as the helping hands to mitigate the problem of environmental degradation by shrinking the level of EF, whereas for model 2, ECI and TIN failed to influence the CO2 emissions, but HC served as a stimulant for environmental quality enhancement by declining the level of CO2 emissions. In contrast, GDP growth and URB strengthen the CO2 emissions levels. Moreover, in VECM framework, estimated findings reveal that the covariables Granger-cause EF and CO2 emissions, inferring that causality flows asynchronously from its covariables to EF and CO2. Impulse response function (IRF) revealed that the responses in EF and CO2 emissions ascribed to changes in its covariables. The outcome of the study has some implications for environmental policy strategists to prepare sustainable environment policies and other responsible authorities for sustainable development goal (SDGs), academician and scholars. All the stakeholders involved in environmental economics and policymakers can evaluate this study to design proper policy framework with respect to the environment. There are few studies that explore the dynamic nexus between ECI, TIN and HC with environmental quality in the control environment of URB and GDP growth using the STIRPAT model for India.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vishal Sharma
- School of Commerce and Economics, Presidency University, Bengaluru, India.
| | | | - Mohammad Haseeb
- China Institute of Development Strategy and Planning, and Center for Industrial Economics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China
| | - Sunil Khosla
- School of Social Sciences and Humanities, VIT-AP University, Amaravati, India
| | - Srijana Tamang
- Department of Management Studies, National Institute of Technology (NIT), Durgapur, India
| | - Umang Sharma
- Department of Human Resource, Chandigarh University, Mohali, Punjab, 140413, India
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Zhengxia T, Haseeb M, Usman M, Shuaib M, Kamal M, Khan MF. The role of monetary and fiscal policies in determining environmental pollution: Revisiting the N-shaped EKC hypothesis for China. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2023; 30:89756-89769. [PMID: 37460884 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-023-28672-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2023] [Accepted: 07/04/2023] [Indexed: 08/11/2023]
Abstract
The equilibrium between environmental quality and economic growth is one of the contemporary objectives of fiscal and monetary policies in the case of China. In this study, we investigate the extent of the existence of the N-shaped environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis and measure the collision of fiscal and monetary policy on carbon emissions within the economic growth perspectives that China is witnessing. This study examines the dynamic nexus between monetary supply, government expenditure, and carbon emissions in China over the spanning from 1980 to 2019. The findings demonstrate that the money supply reduces carbon emissions in the short- and long-run. Precisely, a 1-unit augmentation in monetary policy tool (money supply) will significantly reduce the pressure on the environment by 0.29332 unit in the long-run and 0.79311 unit in the short-run. In contrast, the fiscal policy instrument (government expenditure) contributes to the increase in carbon emissions. Specifically, a 1-unit increase in government expenditure will increase the carbon emission by 0.17835 and 0.48247 units in the long-run and short-run, respectively. Additionally, the result also confirmed the N-shaped EKC hypothesis. Particularly, at the initial stage of economic growth, there are 1.58659 and 4.29197 unit increas in carbon emission in the long-run and short-run, respectively. However, after taking the square of economic growth, this reduces the environmental pollution by 0.3018 and 0.81665 units in the long-run and short-run, respectively. Finally, the cubic form of economic growth shows the 0.01755 and 0.04747 units increase in the pollution level in the long-run and short-run, respectively. Moreover, the study also found the presence of a causality link between government expenditure, economic growth, and carbon emissions. These findings will aid policymakers in implementing fiscal and monetary policies that promote long-term development while lowering carbon emissions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tang Zhengxia
- School of Economics and Management, Xichang University, Sichuan Province, 1 Xuefu Road, Xichang City, 615000, China
| | - Mohammad Haseeb
- School of Economics and Management, and Center for Industrial Economics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China
| | - Muhammad Usman
- School of Economics and Management, and Center for Industrial Economics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China.
| | - Mohd Shuaib
- School of Economics and Management, and Center for Industrial Economics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China
| | - Mustafa Kamal
- Department of Basic Sciences, College of Science and Theoretical Studies, Saudi Electronic University, Dammam, 32256, Saudi Arabia
| | - Mohammad Faisal Khan
- Department of Basic Sciences, College of Science and Theoretical Studies, Saudi Electronic University, Riyadh, 11673, Saudi Arabia
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Jahanger A, Ali M, Balsalobre-Lorente D, Samour A, Joof F, Tursoy T. Testing the impact of renewable energy and oil price on carbon emission intensity in China's transportation sector. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2023; 30:82372-82386. [PMID: 37326732 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-023-28053-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/26/2023] [Accepted: 05/29/2023] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
As the largest carbon emitter in the world, with its transportation sector contributing the largest shares of its emission, the need for a low-carbon transition economy has become a policy agenda for China because in order to reach carbon neutrality by 2050, lowering the intensity of carbon emissions in the transportation sector will be crucial. In this regard, we used the "bootstrap autoregressive distributed lag model" to explore the impact of clean energy and oil prices on the intensity of carbon emissions in China's transportation sector. The study found that an increase in oil prices decreases the intensity of carbon emissions in the short and long run. Similarly, an increase in the level of renewable energy and economic complexity declines the intensity of carbon emissions in the transportation sector. On the contrary, the research demonstrates that non-renewable energy contributes positively to carbon emission intensity. Therefore, the authorities must promote green technology to neutralize the transportation system's detrimental effects on China's environmental quality. The implications for successfully promoting carbon emission intensity mitigation in the transportation sector are examined in the conclusion.
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Affiliation(s)
- Atif Jahanger
- School of Economics, Hainan University, Haikou City, Hainan, 570228, China.
- Institute of Open Economy, Hainan Province, Haikou, 570228, China.
- International Business School, Hainan University, Haikou City, Hainan, 570228, China.
| | - Mumtaz Ali
- Banking and Finance Department, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, Turkey
| | - Daniel Balsalobre-Lorente
- Department of Applied Economics I, University of Castilla-La, Cuenca, Mancha, 16002, Spain
- Department of Management, Faculty of Economics and Management, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, 16500, Czech Republic
- Department of Applied Economics, University of Alicante, Alicante, Spain
| | - Ahmed Samour
- Accounting Department, Dhofar University, Salalah, Sultanate of Oman
| | - Foday Joof
- Centre for Financial Regulation and Risk Management, Banking and Finance Department, Eastern Mediterranean University, Famagusta, North Cyprus, Turkey
| | - Turgut Tursoy
- Banking and Finance Department, Near East University, Nicosia, North Cyprus, Turkey
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Zhengxia T, Batool Z, Ali S, Haseeb M, Jain V, Raza SMF, Chakrabarti P. Impact of technology on the relation between disaggregated energy consumption and CO 2 emission in populous countries of Asia. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2023; 30:68327-68338. [PMID: 37118399 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-023-26980-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2022] [Accepted: 04/09/2023] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
All around the world, but particularly in developing nations, carbon dioxide emissions are on the rise, and climate change and global warming are brought on by an increase in CO2 emissions. This article provides an overview of the technological effect on energy consumption in the residential, transport, and industrial sector and its ultimate effect on the environment. Using the STIRPAT-Kaya-EKC model for the years 1990 to 2020, this study looked at the threshold impact of technological advancements on the link between disaggregated energy use and CO2 emissions for a panel of 10 Asian countries using the panel threshold regression. Findings demonstrate that the EKC phenomenon is present in the chosen Asian region. Findings also suggest that technology has a threshold influence on the relationship between energy use and carbon emissions; however, this effect varies across sectors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tang Zhengxia
- School of Economics and Management, Xichang University, Sichuan Province, 1 Xuefu Road, Xichang City, 615000, China
| | - Zakia Batool
- National University of Modern Languages (NUML), Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Sajjad Ali
- Quaid-E-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Mohammad Haseeb
- China Institute of Development Strategy and Planning, and Center for Industrial Economics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China
| | - Vipin Jain
- Teerthanker Mahaveer University, Uttar Pradesh, Moradabad, India
| | - Syed Muhammad Faraz Raza
- China Institute of Development Strategy and Planning, and Center for Industrial Economics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China.
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Saqib N, Radulescu M, Usman M, Balsalobre-Lorente D, Cilan T. Environmental technology, economic complexity, renewable electricity, environmental taxes and CO2 emissions: Implications for low-carbon future in G-10 bloc. Heliyon 2023; 9:e16457. [PMID: 37251446 PMCID: PMC10220369 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e16457] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2023] [Revised: 05/16/2023] [Accepted: 05/17/2023] [Indexed: 05/31/2023] Open
Abstract
This study investigates the impact of environmental technological innovation, economic complexity, energy productivity, the use of renewable electricity generation, and environmental taxes on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in the G-10 countries for the timeframe from 1995 to 2020. The purpose of the study is to examine the need for a clear plan or strategy to achieve environmental objectives in G-10 countries. In both short-term and long-term projections, the increased use of environment-based technology, economic complexity, and renewable electricity generation has a major positive impact on carbon emission reduction. Moreover, the results demonstrate both unidirectional and bidirectional causality from carbon emissions to renewable energy, electrical generation, and environment-based technologies, respectively. Based on the results, the study proposes a number of concrete policies, such as updating modernized tax systems, increasing tax collection, providing individuals with the means to finance the Sustainable Development Goals through incentive regulations, and making grants from international organizations and the private sector available to finance investments toward the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and carbon neutrality environment targets. This is the study's most significant contribution in order to attain a sustainable and low-carbon future in the G-10 countries, which has policy implications for governments and policymakers.
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Affiliation(s)
- Najia Saqib
- Department of Finance, College of Business Administration, Prince Sultan University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Magdalena Radulescu
- Department of Finance, Accounting and Economics, University of Pitesti, 110040, Pitesti, Romania
- Institute for Doctoral and Post-Doctoral Studies, University “Lucian Blaga” Sibiu, Bd. Victoriei, No.10, Sibiu, Romania
| | - Muhammad Usman
- China Institute of Development Strategy and Planning, And Center for Industrial Economics, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430072, China
| | - Daniel Balsalobre-Lorente
- Department of Applied Economics I, University of Castilla-La Mancha, 16002, Cuenca, Spain
- Department of Management, Faculty of Economics and Management, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, 16500, Prague, Czech Republic
- Department of Applied Economics, University of Alicante, Spain
| | - Teodor Cilan
- Department of Economics, University Aurel Vlaicu of Arad, Arad, Romania
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Ali M, Seraj M, Türüç F, Tursoy T, Raza A. Do banking sector development, economic growth, and clean energy consumption scale up green finance investment for a sustainable environment in South Asia: evidence for newly developed RALS co-integration. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2023; 30:67891-67906. [PMID: 37118398 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-023-27023-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2022] [Accepted: 04/11/2023] [Indexed: 05/25/2023]
Abstract
Concern about climate change is spreading around the globe. The urge to comprehend the environmental effects and take action is sharply rising. Regarding this, the banking industry has a great chance to offer a solution in terms of green financial solutions and can meet the needs of carbon-conscious organizations to combat and defend our planet. Therefore, in light of this, according to the greatest understanding of the authors, this is the first study to investigate the role of banking sector development, economic growth, and clean energy consumption in scaling up green finance investment in South Asian nations, taking carbon emissions, foreign direct investment, remittances, inflation, and trade openness as control variables. This study uses a novel residual augmented least squares-Engle and Granger (RALS-EG) co-integration to test the long-term link and the quantile autoregressive distributed lag (QARDL) econometric approach to extract the association across the quantiles (q0.05-q0.95) for the period 2000-2020. The outcomes of QARDL show that banking sector development, economic growth, clean energy, carbon emissions, foreign direct investment, remittances, and trade openness play a positive role in attracting green finance in the long term. However, only inflation has a negative influence on scaling up finance in South Asian nations. Therefore, the concerned authorities (government, central banks, environmentalists, and policymakers) are urged to implement green finance policies and strategies as suggested and recommended by the results of this study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mumtaz Ali
- Banking and Finance Department, Near East University, Lefkoşa, North Cyprus.
| | - Mehdi Seraj
- Department of Economics, Near East University, Lefkoşa, North Cyprus
| | - Fatma Türüç
- Department of Economics, Eastern Mediterranean University, Famagusta, North Cyprus
| | - Turgut Tursoy
- Banking and Finance Department, Near East University, Lefkoşa, North Cyprus
| | - Ali Raza
- Banking and Finance Department, Near East University, Lefkoşa, North Cyprus
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