Influence of comorbidity on survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in the United States

Termination of resuscitation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in women and men: An ESCAPE-NET project

AIM

Women have less favorable resuscitation characteristics than men. We investigated whether the Advanced Life Support Termination of Resuscitation rule (ALS-TOR) performs equally in women and men. Additionally, we studied whether adding or removing criteria from the ALS-TOR improved classification into survivors and non-survivors.

METHODS

We analyzed 6,931 female and 14,548 male out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients from Dutch and Swedish registries, and validated in 10,772 female and 21,808 male Danish OHCA patients. Performance measures were calculated for ALS-TOR in relation to 30-day survival. Recursive partitioning analysis was performed with the ALS-TOR criteria, as well as age, comorbidities, and additional resuscitation characteristics (e.g. initial rhythm, OHCA location). Finally, we explored if we could reduce the number of ALS-TOR criteria without loss of prognostic value.

RESULTS

The ALS-TOR had a specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) of ≥99% in both women and men (e.g. PPV 99.9 in men). Classification by recursive partitioning analysis showed a high sensitivity but a PPV below 99%, thereby exceeding the acceptable miss rate of 1%. A combination of no return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) before transport to the hospital and unwitnessed OHCA resulted in nearly equal specificity and PPV, higher sensitivity, and a lower transport rate to the hospital than the ALS-TOR.

CONCLUSION

For both women and men, the ALS-TOR has high specificity and low miss rate for predicting 30-day OHCA survival. We could not improve the classification with additional characteristics. Employing a simplified version may decrease the number of futile transports to the hospital.

Novel Machine Learning Approach to Predict and Personalize Length of Stay for Patients Admitted with Syncope from the Emergency Department

Background: Syncope, a common problem encountered in the emergency department (ED), has a multitude of causes ranging from benign to life-threatening. Hospitalization may be required, but the management can vary substantially depending on specific clinical characteristics. Models predicting admission and hospitalization length of stay (LoS) are lacking. The purpose of this study was to design an effective, exploratory model using machine learning (ML) technology to predict LoS for patients presenting with syncope. Methods: This was a retrospective analysis using over 4 million patients from the National Emergency Department Sample (NEDS) database presenting to the ED with syncope between 2016−2019. A multilayer perceptron neural network with one hidden layer was trained and validated on this data set. Results: Receiver Operator Characteristics (ROC) were determined for each of the five ANN models with varying cutoffs for LoS. A fair area under the curve (AUC of 0.78) to good (AUC of 0.88) prediction performance was achieved based on sequential analysis at different cutoff points, starting from the same day discharge and ending at the longest analyzed cutoff LoS ≤7 days versus >7 days, accordingly. The ML algorithm showed significant sensitivity and specificity in predicting short (≤48 h) versus long (>48 h) LoS, with an AUC of 0.81. Conclusions: Using variables available to triaging ED clinicians, ML shows promise in predicting hospital LoS with fair to good performance for patients presenting with syncope.

One-Year Follow-Up of Patients Admitted for Emergency Coronary Angiography after Resuscitated Cardiac Arrest

(1) Background: Despite the improvement of the in-hospital survival rate after aborted sudden cardiac death (SCD), cerebral anoxia may have severe neurologic consequences and may impair long-term outcome and quality of life of surviving patients. The aim of this study was to assess neurological outcomes at one year after resuscitated cardiac arrest; (2) Methods: This prospective, observational, and multicentre study included patients >18 yo admitted in the catheterisation laboratory for coronary angiography after aborted SCD between 1 May 2018 and 31 May 2020. Only patients who were discharged alive from hospital were evaluated. The primary endpoint was survival without neurological sequelae at one-year follow-up defined by a cerebral performance category (CPC) of one or two. Secondary end points included all-cause mortality, New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class, neurologic evaluation at discharge, three-month and one-year follow-up using the CPC scale, and quality of life at 1 year using the Quality of Life after Brain Injury (QOLIBRI) questionnaire; (3) Results: Among 143 patients admitted for SCD within the study period, 61 (42.7%) were discharged alive from hospital, among whom 55 (90.1%) completed the one-year follow-up. No flow and low flow times were 1.9 ± 2.4 min and 16.5 ± 10.4 min, respectively. For 93.4% of the surviving patients, an initial shockable rhythm (n = 57) was observed and acute coronary syndrome was diagnosed in 75.4% of them (n = 46). At 1 year, survival rate without neurologic sequelae was 87.2% (n = 48). Patients with poor outcome were older (69.3 vs. 57.4 yo; p = 0.04) and had lower body mass index (22.4 vs. 26.7; p = 0.013) and a lower initial Left Ventricle Ejection Fraction (LVEF) (32.1% vs. 40.3%; p = 0.046). During follow-up, neurological status improved in 36.8% of patients presenting sequelae at discharge, and overall quality of life was satisfying for 66.7% of patients according to the QOLIBRI questionnaire; (4) Conclusions: Among patients admitted to the catheterisation laboratory for aborted SCD, mainly related to Acute Coronary Syndrom (ACS), less than a half of them were alive at discharge. However, the one-year survival rate without neurological sequelae was high and overall quality of life was good.

European Resuscitation Council Guidelines 2021: Epidemiology of cardiac arrest in Europe

In this section of the European Resuscitation Council Guidelines 2021, key information on the epidemiology and outcome of in and out of hospital cardiac arrest are presented. Key contributions from the European Registry of Cardiac Arrest (EuReCa) collaboration are highlighted. Recommendations are presented to enable health systems to develop registries as a platform for quality improvement and to inform health system planning and responses to cardiac arrest.

Dementia and Early Do-Not-Resuscitate Orders Associated With Less Intensive of End-of-Life Care: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Dementia is a leading cause of death among US older adults. Little is known about end-of-life care intensity and do-not-resuscitate orders (DNRs) among patients with dementia who die in hospital.

AIM

Examine the relationship between dementia, DNR timing, and end-of-life care intensity.

DESIGN

Observational cohort study.

SETTING/PARTICIPANTS

Inpatient electronic health record extraction for 2,566 persons age 65 and older who died in 2 New York City hospitals in the United States from 2015 to 2017.

RESULTS

Multivariable logistic regression analyses modeled associations between dementia diagnosis, DNR timing, and 6 end-of-life care outcomes. 31% of subjects had a dementia diagnosis; 23% had a DNR on day of hospital admission. Patients with dementia were 18%-40% less likely to have received 4 of 6 types of intensive care (mechanical ventilation AOR: 0.82, 95%CI: 0.67 -1.00; intensive care unit admission AOR: 0.60, 95%CI: 0.49-0.83). Having a DNR on file was inversely associated with staying in the intensive care unit (AOR: 0.57, 95%CI: 0.47-0.70) and avoiding other intensive care measures. DNR placement later during the hospitalization and not having a DNR were associated with more intensive care compared to having a DNR upon admission.

CONCLUSIONS

Having dementia and a do-not resuscitate order upon hospital admission are associated with less intensive end-of-life care. Additional research is needed to understand why persons with dementia receive less intensive care. In clinical practice, encouraging advance care planning prior to and at hospital admission may be particularly important for patients wishing to avoid intensive end-of-life care, including patients with dementia.

Association between prehospital prognostic factors and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: Effect of rural-urban disparities

BACKGROUND

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is associated with a poor prognosis and a highly variable survival rate. Few studies have focused on outcomes in rural and urban groups while also evaluating underlying diseases and prehospital factors for OHCAs.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the relationship between the patient's underlying disease and outcomes of OHCAs in urban areas versus those in rural areas.

METHODS

We reviewed the emergency medical service (EMS) database for information on OHCA patients treated between January 2015 and December 2019, and collected data on pre-hospital factors, underlying diseases, and outcomes of OHCAs. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to evaluate the prognostic factors for OHCA.

RESULTS

Data from 4225 OHCAs were analysed. EMS response time was shorter and the rate of attendance by EMS paramedics was higher in urban areas (p < 0.001 for both). Urban area was a prognostic factor for >24-h survival (odds ratio [OR] = 1.437, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.179-1.761). Age (OR = 0.986, 95% CI: 0.979-0.993). EMS response time (OR = 0.854, 95% CI: 0.811-0.898), cardiac arrest location (OR = 2.187, 95% CI: 1.707-2.795), attendance by paramedics (OR = 1.867, 95% CI: 1.483-2.347), and prehospital defibrillation (OR = 2.771, 95% CI: 2.154-3.556) were independent risk factors for survival to hospital discharge, although the influence of an urban area was not significant (OR = 1.211, 95% CI: 0.918-1.584).

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with rural areas, OHCA in urban areas are associated with a higher 24-h survival rate. Shorter EMS response time and a higher probability of being attended by paramedics were noted in urban areas. Although shorter EMS response time, younger age, public location, defibrillation by an automated external defibrillator, and attendance by Emergency Medical Technician-paramedics were associated with a higher rate of survival to hospital discharge, urban area was not an independent prognostic factor for survival to hospital discharge in OHCA patients.

Impact of Change in 2010 American Heart Association Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation Guidelines on Survival After Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in the United States: An Analysis From 2006 to 2015

BACKGROUND

In October 2010, the American Heart Association/Emergency Cardiovascular Care updated cardiopulmonary resuscitation guidelines. Its impact on the survival rate among out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients (OHCA) is not well studied. We sought to assess the survival trends in OHCA patients before and after the introduction of the 2010 American Heart Association cardiopulmonary resuscitation guidelines in the United States.

METHODS

A retrospective observational study from the National Emergency Department (ED) Sample was designed to identify patients presenting to the ED primarily after an OHCA in the United States between January 1, 2006, and December 31, 2015. The main outcome studied was the change in trends of ED survival and survival-to-discharge rates before and after guideline modification.

RESULTS

Among 1 282 520 patients presenting to the ED after OHCA (mean [SD] age, 65.8 [17.2] years; 62% men), ED survival rate (23%) and survival-to-discharge rate (16%) trends showed significant improvement after implementation of the 2010 American Heart Association cardiopulmonary resuscitation guidelines, 1.25% ([95% CI, 0.72%-1.78%] P=0.001) and 0.89% ([95% CI, 0.35%-1.43%] P=0.006), respectively. Notably, among patients with nonshockable rhythm (change in ED survival rate trend, 1.3% [95% CI, 0.89%-1.74%]; P<0.001 and survival-to-discharge trend, 0.94% [95% CI, 0.42%-1.47%]; P=0.004). Among patients admitted to the presenting hospital (n=145 592), 46% were discharged alive, of which 49% were discharged home. Significant decrease in discharge to home was noted (-1.7% [95% CI, -3.18% to -0.22%]; P=0.03), while a significant increase in neurological complication (0.17% [95% CI, 0.06%-0.28%]; P=0.007) was noted with the guideline modification.

CONCLUSIONS

The change in 2010 American Heart Association cardiopulmonary resuscitation guidelines was associated with only slight improvement in ED survival and survival-to-discharge trends among US OHCA patients and only 1 in 6 OHCA patients survival to discharge.