Can artificial neural networks be used to predict the origin of ozone episodes?

Alzheimer's disease: the role of extrinsic factors in its development, an investigation of the environmental enigma

In the realm of Alzheimer's disease, the most prevalent form of dementia, the impact of environmental factors has ignited intense curiosity due to its substantial burden on global health. Recent investigations have unveiled these environmental factors as key contributors, shedding new light on their profound influence. Notably, emerging evidence highlights the detrimental role of various environmental contaminants in the incidence and progression of Alzheimer's disease. These contaminants encompass a broad spectrum, including air pollutants laden with ozone, neurotoxic metals like lead, aluminum, manganese, and cadmium, pesticides with their insidious effects, and the ubiquitous presence of plastics and microplastics. By meticulously delving into the intricate web connecting environmental pollutants and this devastating neurological disorder, this comprehensive chapter takes a deep dive into their involvement as significant risk factors for Alzheimer's disease. Furthermore, it explores the underlying molecular mechanisms through which these contaminants exert their influence, aiming to unravel the complex interactions that drive the pathogenesis of the disease. Additionally, this chapter proposes potential strategies to mitigate the detrimental effects of these environmental contaminants on brain health, with the ultimate goal of restoring and preserving typical cognitive function. Through this comprehensive exploration, we aim to enhance our understanding of the multifaceted relationship between neurotoxins and Alzheimer's disease, providing a solid foundation for developing innovative in-vivo models and advancing our knowledge of the intricate pathological processes underlying this debilitating condition.

Transforming approach for assessing the performance and applicability of rice arsenic contamination forecasting models based on regression and probability methods

Probability models are preferred over regression models recently in contamination evaluation but lacking proper performance comparison between two model types. Linear regression, logistic regression, XGBoost-based regression, and probability models were built considering soil arsenic and certain soil physicochemical properties of 287 samples to predict arsenic in rice grains. The outputs of all models were binarily classified uniformly for comparison. The complex algorithm-based models--XGBoost-based regression (R² =0.046 ± 0.036) and probability models (cross-entropy = 0.697 ± 0.020)-did not surpass the simple linear regression (R² =0.046 ± 0.031) and logistic regression models (cross-entropy = 0.694 ± 0.021). Accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and F1 score showed that the probability models exhibit no advantage on regression models, although the indicators above did not serve as proper scoring rules for the probability model. When discretizing the contaminant concentration in grains for probabilistic modeling, the limit concentration was considered as the splitting point but not the structure of the datasets, which would reduce the inherent advantage of the probability model. When predicting the contamination of crops, the probability model cannot eliminate the regression model, and simple but robust algorithm-based models are preferred when the quality and quantity of the dataset are undesirable.

Discriminative algorithm approach to forecast Cd threshold exceedance probability for rice grain based on soil characteristics

The relationship between cadmium (Cd) concentration in rice grains and the soil that they are cultivated in is highly uncertain due to the influence of soil properties, rice varieties, and other undetermined factors. In this study, we introduce the probability of exceeding the threshold to characterize this uncertainty and then, build a probabilistic forewarning model. Additionally, a number of associated factors have been used as parameters to improve model performance. Considering that the physicochemical properties and Cd concentration in the soil (Cd_soil) do not follow a normal distribution, and are not independent of each other, a discriminative algorithm, represented by a logistic regression (LR), performed better than generative algorithms, such as the naive Bayes and quadratic discriminant analysis models. The performance of the LR based model was found to be 0.5% better in the case of the univariate model (Cd_soil) and 4.1% better with a multivariate model (soil properties used as additional factors) (p < 0.01). The output of the LR based model predicted probabilities that were positively correlated to the true exceedance rate (R² = 0.949,p < 0.01), within an exceedance threshold range of 0.1-0.4 mg kg^-1 and a mean deviation of 5.75%. A sensitivity analysis showed that the effect of soil properties on the exceedance probability weakens with an increase in Cd concentration in rice grains. When the threshold is below 0.15 mg kg^-1, soil pH strongly influences the exceedance probability. As the threshold increases, the influence of pH on the exceedance probability is gradually superseded. By quantifying the uncertainty regarding the relationship between Cd concentration in rice grains and soil, the discriminative algorithm-based probabilistic forecasting model offers a new way to assess Cd pollution in rice grown in contaminated paddy fields.

Bringing Big Data to Bear in Environmental Public Health: Challenges and Recommendations

Understanding the role that the environment plays in influencing public health often involves collecting and studying large, complex data sets. There have been a number of private and public efforts to gather sufficient information and confront significant unknowns in the field of environmental public health, yet there is a persistent and largely unmet need for findable, accessible, interoperable, and reusable (FAIR) data. Even when data are readily available, the ability to create, analyze, and draw conclusions from these data using emerging computational tools, such as augmented and artificial inteligence (AI) and machine learning, requires technical skills not currently implemented on a programmatic level across research hubs and academic institutions. We argue that collaborative efforts in data curation and storage, scientific computing, and training are of paramount importance to empower researchers within environmental sciences and the broader public health community to apply AI approaches and fully realize their potential. Leaders in the field were asked to prioritize challenges in incorporating big data in environmental public health research: inconsistent implementation of FAIR principles in data collection and sharing, a lack of skilled data scientists and appropriate cyber-infrastructures, and limited understanding of possibilities and communication of benefits were among those identified. These issues are discussed, and actionable recommendations are provided.

Environmental odour management by artificial neural network - A review

Unwanted odour emissions are considered air pollutants that may cause detrimental impacts to the environment as well as an indicator of unhealthy air to the affected individuals resulting in annoyance and health related issues. These pollutants are challenging to handle due to their invisibility to the naked eye and can only be felt by the human olfactory stimuli. A strategy to address this issue is by introducing an intelligent processing system to odour monitoring instrument such as artificial neural network to achieve a robust result. In this paper, a review on the application of artificial neural network for the management of environmental odours is presented. The principal factors in developing an optimum artificial neural network were identified as elements, structure and learning algorithms. The management of environmental odour has been distinguished into four aspects such as measurement, characterization, control and treatment and continuous monitoring. For each aspect, the performance of the neural network is critically evaluated emphasizing the strengths and weaknesses. This work aims to address the scarcity of information by addressing the gaps from existing studies in terms of the selection of the most suitable configuration, the benefits and consequences. Adopting this technique could provide a new avenue in the management of environmental odours through the use of a powerful mathematical computing tool for a more efficient and reliable outcome.

Forecasting Particulate Matter Concentration Using Linear and Non-Linear Approaches for Air Quality Decision Support

Air quality status on the East Coast of Peninsular Malaysia is dominated by Particulate Matter (PM10) throughout the years. Studies have affirmed that PM10 influence human health and the environment. Therefore, precise forecasting algorithms are urgently needed to determine the PM10 status for mitigation plan and early warning purposes. This study investigates the forecasting performance of a linear (Multiple Linear Regression) and two non-linear models (Multi-Layer Perceptron and Radial Basis Function) utilizing meteorological and gaseous pollutants variables as input parameters from the year 2000–2014 at four sites with different surrounding activities of urban, sub-urban and rural areas. Non-linear model (Radial Basis Function) outperforms the linear model with the error reduced by 78.9% (urban), 32.1% (sub-urban) and 39.8% (rural). Association between PM10 and its contributing factors are complex and non-linear in nature, best captured by an Artificial Neural Network, which generates more accurate PM10 compared to the linear model. The results are robust enough for precise next day forecasting of PM10 concentration on the East Coast of Peninsular Malaysia.

7Be spatial and temporal pattern in southwest of Europe (Spain): Evaluation of a predictive model

This study presents a comprehensive statistical analysis of the cosmogenic radioisotope ⁷Be measured in surface air in ten stations over Spain for a 9 years period (from January 2006 to December 2014). Besides the analysis of ⁷Be seasonal and inter-annual variability, ⁷Be frequency distributions and its correlations with meteorological variables observed in the 10 sampling sites were investigated. The second part of this paper focuses on a feasibility study for the application of the Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) to predict monthly ⁷Be activity concentrations using meteorological variables, PM10 concentrations and the sunspot number as input parameters. Notwithstanding the low correlations found between ⁷Be and input parameter, the performance of the ANNs, as evaluated by the relevant statistical parameters, demonstrates their capability to correctly predict ⁷Be monthly activities in the 10 Spanish sampling sites.

Estimating spatio-temporal dynamics of stream total phosphate concentration by soft computing techniques

This study attempts to model the spatio-temporal dynamics of total phosphate (TP) concentrations along a river for effective hydro-environmental management. We propose a systematical modeling scheme (SMS), which is an ingenious modeling process equipped with a dynamic neural network and three refined statistical methods, for reliably predicting the TP concentrations along a river simultaneously. Two different types of artificial neural network (BPNN-static neural network; NARX network-dynamic neural network) are constructed in modeling the dynamic system. The Dahan River in Taiwan is used as a study case, where ten-year seasonal water quality data collected at seven monitoring stations along the river are used for model training and validation. Results demonstrate that the NARX network can suitably capture the important dynamic features and remarkably outperforms the BPNN model, and the SMS can effectively identify key input factors, suitably overcome data scarcity, significantly increase model reliability, satisfactorily estimate site-specific TP concentration at seven monitoring stations simultaneously, and adequately reconstruct seasonal TP data into a monthly scale. The proposed SMS can reliably model the dynamic spatio-temporal water pollution variation in a river system for missing, hazardous or costly data of interest.

Artificial neural network models for prediction of daily fine particulate matter concentrations in Algiers

Neural network (NN) models were evaluated for the prediction of suspended particulates with aerodynamic diameter less than 10-μm (PM10) concentrations. The model evaluation work considered the sequential hourly concentration time series of PM10, which were measured at El Hamma station in Algiers. Artificial neural network models were developed using a combination of meteorological and time-scale as input variables. The results were rather satisfactory, with values of the coefficient of correlation (R (2)) for independent test sets ranging between 0.60 and 0.85 and values of the index of agreement (IA) between 0.87 and 0.96. In addition, the root mean square error (RMSE), the mean absolute error (MAE), the normalized mean squared error (NMSE), the absolute relative percentage error (ARPE), the fractional bias (FB), and the fractional variance (FS) were calculated to assess the performance of the model. It was seen that the overall performance of model 3 was better than models 1 and 2.

Forecasting PM10 in Algiers: efficacy of multilayer perceptron networks

Air quality forecasting system has acquired high importance in atmospheric pollution due to its negative impacts on the environment and human health. The artificial neural network is one of the most common soft computing methods that can be pragmatic for carving such complex problem. In this paper, we used a multilayer perceptron neural network to forecast the daily averaged concentration of the respirable suspended particulates with aerodynamic diameter of not more than 10 μm (PM10) in Algiers, Algeria. The data for training and testing the network are based on the data sampled from 2002 to 2006 collected by SAMASAFIA network center at El Hamma station. The meteorological data, air temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed, are used as inputs network parameters in the formation of model. The training patterns used correspond to 41 days data. The performance of the developed models was evaluated on the basis index of agreement and other statistical parameters. It was seen that the overall performance of model with 15 neurons is better than the ones with 5 and 10 neurons. The results of multilayer network with as few as one hidden layer and 15 neurons were quite reasonable than the ones with 5 and 10 neurons. Finally, an error around 9% has been reached.