Geographical variations in gross primary production and evapotranspiration of paddy rice in the Korean Peninsula

Combining machine learning and remote sensing-integrated crop modeling for rice and soybean crop simulation

Machine learning (ML) techniques offer a promising avenue for improving the integration of remote sensing data into mathematical crop models, thereby enhancing crop growth prediction accuracy. A critical variable for this integration is the leaf area index (LAI), which can be accurately assessed using proximal or remote sensing data based on plant canopies. This study aimed to (1) develop a machine learning-based method for estimating the LAI in rice and soybean crops using proximal sensing data and (2) evaluate the performance of a Remote Sensing-Integrated Crop Model (RSCM) when integrated with the ML algorithms. To achieve these objectives, we analyzed rice and soybean datasets to identify the most effective ML algorithms for modeling the relationship between LAI and vegetation indices derived from canopy reflectance measurements. Our analyses employed a variety of ML regression models, including ridge, lasso, support vector machine, random forest, and extra trees. Among these, the extra trees regression model demonstrated the best performance, achieving test scores of 0.86 and 0.89 for rice and soybean crops, respectively. This model closely replicated observed LAI values under different nitrogen treatments, achieving Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies of 0.93 for rice and 0.97 for soybean. Our findings show that incorporating ML techniques into RSCM effectively captures seasonal LAI variations across diverse field management practices, offering significant potential for improving crop growth and productivity monitoring.

Incorporation of machine learning and deep neural network approaches into a remote sensing-integrated crop model for the simulation of rice growth

Machine learning (ML) and deep neural network (DNN) techniques are promising tools. These can advance mathematical crop modelling methodologies that can integrate these schemes into a process-based crop model capable of reproducing or simulating crop growth. In this study, an innovative hybrid approach for estimating the leaf area index (LAI) of paddy rice using climate data was developed using ML and DNN regression methodologies. First, we investigated suitable ML regressors to explore the LAI estimation of rice based on the relationship between the LAI and three climate factors in two administrative rice-growing regions of South Korea. We found that of the 10 ML regressors explored, the random forest regressor was the most effective LAI estimator, and it even outperformed the DNN regressor, with model efficiencies of 0.88 in Cheorwon and 0.82 in Paju. In addition, we demonstrated that it would be feasible to simulate the LAI using climate factors based on the integration of the ML and DNN regressors in a process-based crop model. Therefore, we assume that the advancements presented in this study can enhance crop growth and productivity monitoring practices by incorporating a crop model with ML and DNN plans.

Predicting rice yield at pixel scale through synthetic use of crop and deep learning models with satellite data in South and North Korea

Prediction of rice yields at pixel scale rather than county scale can benefit crop management and scientific understanding because it is useful for monitoring how crop yields respond to various agricultural systems and environmental factors. In this study, we propose a methodology for the early prediction of rice yield at pixel scale combining a crop model and a deep learning model for different agricultural systems throughout South and North Korea. Initially, satellite-integrated crop models were applied to obtain a pixel-scale reference rice yield. Then, the pixel-scale reference rice yields were used as target labels in the deep learning model to leverage the advantages of crop models. Models of five different deep learning network architectures were employed to help determine the hybrid structure of long-short term memory (LSTM) and one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN) layers by predicting the optimal model about two months ahead of harvest time. The suggested model showed good performance [R² = 0.859, Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency = 0.858, root mean squared error = 0.605 Mg ha^-1], with specific spatial patterns of rice yields for South and North Korea. Analysis of the relative importance of the input variables showed the water-related index and maximum temperature in North Korea and the vegetation indices and geographic variables in South Korea to be crucial for predicting rice yields. The proposed approach successfully predicted and diagnosed rice yield at the pixel scale for inaccessible locations where reliable ground measurements are not available, especially North Korea.

Simulation of Crop Yields Grown under Agro-Photovoltaic Panels: A Case Study in Chonnam Province, South Korea

Agro-photovoltaic systems are of interest to the agricultural industry because they can produce both electricity and crops in the same farm field. In this study, we aimed to simulate staple crop yields under agro-photovoltaic panels (AVP) based on the calibration of crop models in the decision support system for agricultural technology (DSSAT) 4.6 package. We reproduced yield data of paddy rice, barley, and soybean grown in AVP experimental fields in Bosung and Naju, Chonnam Province, South Korea, using CERES-Rice, CERES-Barley, and CROPGRO-Soybean models. A geospatial crop simulation modeling (GCSM) system, developed using the crop models, was then applied to simulate the regional variations in crop yield according to solar radiation reduction scenarios. Simulated crop yields agreed with the corresponding measured crop yields with root mean squared errors of 0.29-ton ha−1 for paddy rice, 0.46-ton ha−1 for barley, and 0.31-ton ha−1 for soybean, showing no significant differences according to paired sample t-tests. We also demonstrated that the GCSM system could effectively simulate spatiotemporal variations in crop yields due to the solar radiation reduction regimes. An additional advancement in the GCSM design could help prepare a sustainable adaption strategy and understand future food supply insecurity.

Estimation of Daily Potential Evapotranspiration in Real-Time from GK2A/AMI Data Using Artificial Neural Network for the Korean Peninsula

Evapotranspiration (ET) is a fundamental factor in energy and hydrologic cycles. Although highly precise in-situ ET monitoring is possible, such data are not always available due to the high spatiotemporal variability in ET. This study estimates daily potential ET (PET) in real-time for the Korean Peninsula, via an artificial neural network (ANN), using data from the GEO-KOMPSAT 2A satellite, which is equipped with an Advanced Meteorological Imager (GK2A/AMI). We also used passive microwave data, numerical weather prediction (NWP) model data, and static data. The ANN-based PET model was trained using data for the period 25 July 2019 to 24 July 2020, and was tested by comparing with in-situ PET for the period 25 July 2020 to 31 July 2021. In terms of accuracy, the PET model performed well, with root-mean-square error (RMSE), bias, and Pearson’s correlation coefficient (R) of 0.649 mm day−1, −0.134 mm day−1, and 0.954, respectively. To examine the efficiency of the GK2A/AMI-derived PET data, we compared it with in-situ ET measured at flux towers and with MODIS PET data. The accuracy of the GK2A/AMI-derived PET, in comparison with the flux tower-measured ET, showed RMSE, bias, and Pearson’s R of 1.730 mm day−1, 1.212 mm day−1, and 0.809, respectively. In comparison with the in-situ PET, the ANN model produced more accurate estimates than the MODIS data, indicating that it is more locally optimized for the Korean Peninsula than MODIS. This study advances the field by applying an ANN approach using GK2A/AMI data and could play an important role in examining hydrologic energy for air-land interactions.

Simulation of Wheat Productivity Using a Model Integrated With Proximal and Remotely Controlled Aerial Sensing Information

A crop model incorporating proximal sensing images from a remote-controlled aerial system (RAS) can serve as an enhanced alternative for monitoring field-based geospatial crop productivity. This study aimed to investigate wheat productivity for different cultivars and various nitrogen application regimes and determine the best management practice scenario. We simulated spatiotemporal wheat growth and yield by integrating RAS-based sensing images with a crop-modeling system to achieve the study objective. We conducted field experiments and proximal sensing campaigns to acquire the ground truth data and RAS images of wheat growth conditions and yields. These experiments were performed at Gyeongsang National University (GNU), Jinju, South Gyeongsang province, Republic of Korea (ROK), in 2018 and 2019 and at Chonnam National University (CNU), Gwangju, ROK, in 2018. During the calibration at GNU in 2018, the wheat yields simulated by the modeling system were in agreement with the corresponding measured yields without significant differences (p = 0.27-0.91), according to two-sample t-tests. Furthermore, the yields simulated via this approach were in agreement with the measured yields at CNU in 2018 and at GNU in 2019 without significant differences (p = 0.28-0.86), as evidenced by two-sample t-tests; this proved the validity of the proposed modeling system. This system, when integrated with remotely sensed images, could also accurately reproduce the geospatial variations in wheat yield and growth variables. Given the results of this study, we believe that the proposed crop-modeling approach is applicable for the practical monitoring of wheat growth and productivity at the field level.

Two-Dimensional Simulation of Barley Growth and Yield Using a Model Integrated with Remote-Controlled Aerial Imagery

It is important to be able to predict the yield and monitor the growth conditions of crops in the field to increase productivity. One way to assess field-based geospatial crop productivity is by integrating a crop model with a remote-controlled aerial system (RAS). The objective of this study was to simulate spatiotemporal barley growth and yield based on the development of a crop-modeling system integrated with RAS-based remote sensing images. We performed field experiments to obtain ground truth data and RAS images of crop growth conditions and yields at Chonnam National University (CNU), Gwangju, South Korea in 2018, and at Gyeongsang National University (GNU), Jinju, South Gyeongsang, South Korea in 2018 and 2019. In model calibration, there was no significant difference (p = 0.12) between the simulated barley yields and measured yields, based on a two-sample t-test at CNU in 2018. In model validation, there was no significant difference between simulated yields and measured yields at p = 0.98 and 0.76, according to two-sample t-tests at GNU in 2018 and 2019, respectively. The remote sensing-integrated crop model accurately reproduced geospatial variations in barley yield and growth variables. The results demonstrate that the crop modeling approach is useful for monitoring at-field barley conditions.