Detection of thermokarst lake drainage events in the northern Alaska permafrost region

Accelerating thermokarst lake changes on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau

As significant evidence of ice-rich permafrost degradation due to climate warming, thermokarst lake was developing and undergoing substantial changes. Thermokarst lake was an essential ecosystem component, which significantly impacted the global carbon cycle, hydrology process and the stability of the Qinghai-Tibet Engineering Corridor. In this paper, based on Sentinel-2 (2021) and Landsat (1988-2020) images, thermokarst lakes within a 5000 m range along both sides of Qinghai-Tibet Highway were extracted to analyse the spatio-temporal variations. The results showed that the number and area of thermokarst lake in 2021 were 3965 and 4038.6 ha (1 ha = 10,000 m[Formula: see text]), with an average size of 1.0186 ha. Small thermokarst lakes ([Formula: see text]1 ha) accounted for 85.65% of the entire lake count, and large thermokarst lakes ([Formula: see text]10 ha) occupied for 44.92% of the whole lake area. In all sub-regions, the number of small lake far exceeds 75% of the total lake number in each sub-region. R1 sub-region (around Wudaoliang region) had the maximum number density of thermokarst lakes with 0.0071, and R6 sub-region (around Anduo region) had the minimum number density with 0.0032. Thermokarst lakes were mainly distributed within elevation range of 4300 m-5000 m a.s.l. (94.27% and 97.13% of the total number and size), on flat terrain with slopes less than 3[Formula: see text] (99.17% and 98.47% of the total number and surface) and in the north, south, and southeast aspects (51.98% and 50.00% of the total number and area). Thermokarst lakes were significantly developed in warm permafrost region with mean annual ground temperature (MAGT) > - 1.5 [Formula: see text]C, accounting for 47.39% and 54.38% of the total count and coverage, respectively. From 1988 to 2020, in spite of shrinkage or even drain of small portion of thermokarst lake, there was a general expansion trend of thermokarst lake with increase in number of 195 (8.58%) and area of 1160.19 ha (41.36%), which decreased during 1988-1995 (- 702 each year and - 706.27 ha/yr) and then increased during 1995-2020 (184.96-702 each year and 360.82 ha/yr). This significant expansion was attributed to ground ice melting as rising air temperature at a rate of 0.03-0.04 [Formula: see text]C/yr. Followed by the increasing precipitation (1.76-3.07 mm/yr) that accelerated the injection of water into lake.

Tracking lake drainage events and drained lake basin vegetation dynamics across the Arctic

Widespread lake drainage can lead to large-scale drying in Arctic lake-rich areas, affecting hydrology, ecosystems and permafrost carbon dynamics. To date, the spatio-temporal distribution, driving factors, and post-drainage dynamics of lake drainage events across the Arctic remain unclear. Using satellite remote sensing and surface water products, we identify over 35,000 (~0.6% of all lakes) lake drainage events in the northern permafrost zone between 1984 and 2020, with approximately half being relatively understudied non-thermokarst lakes. Smaller, thermokarst, and discontinuous permafrost area lakes are more susceptible to drainage compared to their larger, non-thermokarst, and continuous permafrost area counterparts. Over time, discontinuous permafrost areas contribute more drained lakes annually than continuous permafrost areas. Following drainage, vegetation rapidly colonizes drained lake basins, with thermokarst drained lake basins showing significantly higher vegetation growth rates and greenness levels than their non-thermokarst counterparts. Under warming, drained lake basins are likely to become more prevalent and serve as greening hotspots, playing an important role in shaping Arctic ecosystems.

Remotely sensed lake area changes in permafrost regions of the Arctic and the Tibetan Plateau between 1987 and 2017

Both gradual and abrupt changes in lake surface area in permafrost regions are crucial for understanding the water cycles in cold regions under climate change. However, seasonal changes in lake area in permafrost regions are not available, and their occurrence conditions are still unclear. Based on remotely sensed water body products at a 30 m resolution, this study provides a detailed comparison of lake area changes across seven basins characterized by clear gradients in climatic, topographic and permafrost conditions in the Arctic and Tibetan Plateau between 1987 and 2017. The results show that the maximum surface area of all lakes net increased by 13.45 %. Among them, the seasonal lake area net increased by 28.66 %, but there was also a 2.48 % loss. The permanent lake area net increased by 6.39 %, and the area loss was approximately 3.22 %. The total permanent lake area generally decreased in the Arctic but increased in the Tibetan Plateau. At lake region scale (0.1° grid), the changes in permanent area of contained lakes were divided into four types including no change, homogeneous changes (only expansion or only shrinkage), heterogeneous changes (expansion neighboring shrinkage) and abrupt changes (newforming or vanishing). The lake regions with heterogeneous changes accounted for over one-quarter of all lake regions. All types of changes in lake regions, especially the heterogeneous changes and abrupt changes (e.g., vanishing), occurred more extensively and intensely on low and flat terrain, in high-density lake regions and in warm permafrost regions. These findings indicate that, considering the increase in surface water balance in these river basins, surface water balance alone cannot fully explain changes in permanent lake area in the permafrost region, and the thawing or disappearance of permafrost plays a tipping point effect on the lake changes.

Hydrogeochemical characteristics and processes of thermokarst lake and groundwater during the melting of the active layer in a permafrost region of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, China

Permafrost degradation and the development of thermokarst lakes are important factors driving the variability of regional hydrologic processes. Hydrogeochemical and isotopic analyses are important methods for investigating the hydrologic processes of thermokarst lakes. This study focused on comparing the chemical and hydrogeochemical characteristics between lake water and groundwater during the melting of the active layer in a typical thermokarst lake region on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Ninety-five samples were collected during different periods of active layer melting and analyzed using statistical, isotope, hydrogeochemical, and modeling methods. Statistical results showed that the average concentrations of almost all ions were lower in lake water than in groundwater, with wider spatial variability in groundwater. The lake water is of the ClNa and HCO₃-Ca type with low TDS (total dissolved solids), whereas groundwater is of the HCO₃-Ca and mixed type (or transition type) with high TDS. The chemical types of the lake water and groundwater are mainly driven by rock weathering. In terms of the saturation index (SI), halite and gypsum are unsaturated dissolved, whereas dolomite and calcite are generally saturated. Evaporation significantly affects the chemical composition of groundwater, while the hydrochemical compositions of lake water are relatively stable under the joint control of evaporation, precipitation, surface runoff, and groundwater. The isotopic analysis results showed that the contribution of permafrost meltwater and precipitation to groundwater and lake water varied during different stages of active layer melting. According to hydrogeochemical modeling, the main chemical reactions in groundwater are the precipitation of calcite and the dissolution of halite, dolomite, and gypsum. The intensity of groundwater flow determines the degree of chemical reactions along the flow path at different stages of active layer melting. The findings can provide deeper insight into hydrogeochemical processes in thermokarst lake regions under the background of permafrost degradation.