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Cai W, Zhang C, Zhang S, Bai Y, Callaghan M, Chang N, Chen B, Chen H, Cheng L, Dai H, Fan W, Guan D, Hu Y, Hu Y, Hua J, Huang C, Huang H, Huang J, Huang X, Ji JS, Jiang Q, Jiang X, Kiesewetter G, Li T, Li B, Liang L, Lin B, Lin H, Liu H, Liu Q, Liu Z, Liu Z, Liu Y, Lou S, Lu B, Lu C, Luo Z, Mi Z, Miao Y, Ren C, Romanello M, Shen J, Su J, Su R, Sun Y, Sun X, Walawender M, Wang C, Wang Q, Wang Q, Warnecke L, Wei W, Wei X, Wen S, Xie Y, Xiong H, Xu B, Yang X, Yang Y, Yao F, Yu L, Yu W, Yuan J, Zeng Y, Zhang J, Zhang R, Zhang S, Zhang S, Zhao M, Zhao Q, Zhao Q, Zheng D, Zhou H, Zhou J, Zhou Z, Luo Y, Gong P. The 2024 China report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: launching a new low-carbon, healthy journey. Lancet Public Health 2024; 9:e1070-e1088. [PMID: 39510115 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-2667(24)00241-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2024] [Revised: 09/19/2024] [Accepted: 09/30/2024] [Indexed: 11/15/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Wenjia Cai
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Chi Zhang
- School of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China; School of Global Governance, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Shihui Zhang
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Yuqi Bai
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; Ministry of Education Ecological Field Station for East Asian Migratory Birds, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; Tsinghua Urban Institute, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Max Callaghan
- Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany; Priestley International Centre for Climate, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
| | - Nan Chang
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases and National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Bin Chen
- School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
| | - Huiqi Chen
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Liangliang Cheng
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Hancheng Dai
- College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Weicheng Fan
- School of Safety Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Dabo Guan
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Yixin Hu
- School of Economics and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
| | - Yifan Hu
- School of Safety Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Junyi Hua
- School of International Affairs and Public Administration, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China
| | - Cunrui Huang
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Hong Huang
- School of Safety Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Jianbin Huang
- Beijing Yanshan Earth Critical Zone National Research Station & College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaomeng Huang
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - John S Ji
- Vanke School of Public Health, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Qiaolei Jiang
- School of Journalism and Communication, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaopeng Jiang
- Office of the WHO Representative, World Health Organization, Beijing, China
| | - Gregor Kiesewetter
- Pollution Management Research Group, Energy, Climate, and Environment Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
| | - Tiantian Li
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Bo Li
- School of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Lu Liang
- Department of Landscape Architecture and Environmental Planning, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, USA
| | - Borong Lin
- School of Architecture, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Hualiang Lin
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Huan Liu
- School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Qiyong Liu
- State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control and National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Zhao Liu
- School of Airport Economics and Management, Beijing Institute of Economics and Management, Beijing, China
| | - Zhu Liu
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Yanxiang Liu
- CMA Public Meteorological Service Centre, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
| | - Shuhan Lou
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Bo Lu
- National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China
| | - Chenxi Lu
- Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Berlin, Germany; Sustainability Economics of Human Settlements, Technical University Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Zhenyu Luo
- School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Zhifu Mi
- The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College London, London, UK
| | - Yanqing Miao
- Department of Health Development Strategy and Health Care System Research, China National Health Development Research Centre, Beijing, China
| | - Chao Ren
- Faculty of Architecture, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
| | - Marina Romanello
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Jianxiang Shen
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Jing Su
- School of Humanities, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Rui Su
- School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
| | - Yuze Sun
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Xinlu Sun
- The Bartlett School of Sustainable Construction, University College London, London, UK
| | - Maria Walawender
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | - Can Wang
- School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China; State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Qing Wang
- China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Qiong Wang
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Laura Warnecke
- Pollution Management Research Group, Energy, Climate, and Environment Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
| | - Wangyu Wei
- School of Journalism and Communication, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaohui Wei
- National Key Laboratory of Intelligent Tracking and Forecasting for Infectious Diseases and National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China
| | - Sanmei Wen
- School of Journalism and Communication, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Yang Xie
- School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing, China
| | - Hui Xiong
- The Thrust of Artificial Intelligence and The Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Guangzhou, China
| | - Bing Xu
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Xiu Yang
- Institute of Climate Change and Sustainable Development, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Yuren Yang
- School of Architecture, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Fanghong Yao
- Division of Sports Science and Physical Education, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Le Yu
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Wenhao Yu
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Jiacan Yuan
- Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences & Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Integrated Research on Disaster Risk, International Centre of Excellence on Risk Interconnectivity and Governance on Weather/Climate Extremes Impact and Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - Yiping Zeng
- Schwarzman Scholars, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Jing Zhang
- School of Journalism and Communication, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Rui Zhang
- Department of Physical Education, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Shangchen Zhang
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Shaohui Zhang
- Pollution Management Research Group, Energy, Climate, and Environment Program, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
| | - Mengzhen Zhao
- School of Management, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China; School of Global Governance, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China
| | - Qi Zhao
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China
| | - Qiang Zhao
- Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Institute for Global Change Studies, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Dashan Zheng
- School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Hao Zhou
- Institute for Urban Governance and Sustainable Development, Think Tank Center, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Jingbo Zhou
- Business Intelligence Lab, Baidu Research, Beijing, China
| | - Ziqiao Zhou
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Yong Luo
- Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Peng Gong
- Department of Earth Sciences and Department of Geography, and Institute for Climate and Carbon Neutrality, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.
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Zhou Y, Gu S, Yang H, Li Y, Zhao Y, Li Y, Yang Q. Spatiotemporal variation in heatwaves and elderly population exposure across China. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2024; 917:170245. [PMID: 38278263 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.170245] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2023] [Revised: 01/03/2024] [Accepted: 01/15/2024] [Indexed: 01/28/2024]
Abstract
Heatwaves have been intensified worldwide due to climate change, posing great health risks, especially to elderly populations. However, in China, limited studies have employed the heat index to decipher the spatiotemporal trends of heatwaves and their impacts on the elderly population. By comparing the three heatwave definitions, this study aimed to evaluate the long-term spatiotemporal variations in heatwaves from 1964 to 2022 across China using the Excess Heat Factor (EHF). We took advantage of high-resolution reanalysis temperature data on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform to efficiently calculate the heatwaves. Our results revealed that the frequency and duration of heatwaves increased significantly in approximately 77 % of China's total area, with South China experiencing the most frequent and prolonged heatwaves. Conversely, in most areas, no significant trend was discerned in the growth of the maximum and average heatwave intensities. The total number of elderly people affected by heatwaves surged from approximately 11.96 million in 2001 to over 30.31 million in 2020, with an estimated additional 1.12 million older adults exposed to heatwaves annually across the nation (R2 = 0.60, p < 0.05). The population factor exhibited largest effect on the exposure of heatwaves, followed by climate effects and combined factors, with the corresponding explanatory power about 42.84 %, 34.85 % and 22.31 %, respectively. These individuals predominantly resided in the Northeast China, Southwest China, and South China. We also found geographical variations in heatwave exposure along elevations and land use types. These insights underscore the pressing necessity for formulating strategic interventions to mitigate the health threats presented by mounting heatwave exposure, especially for susceptible groups like the elderly in China.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yun Zhou
- Chongqing Jinfo Mountain National Field Scientific Observation and Research Station for Karst Ecosystem, School of Geographical Sciences, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China; New Liberal Arts Laboratory for Sustainable Development of Rural Western China, Chongqing 400715, China; Key Laboratory of Monitoring, Evaluation and Early Warning of Territorial Spatial Planning Implementation, Ministry of Natural Resources, 401147, China
| | - Songwei Gu
- Chongqing Jinfo Mountain National Field Scientific Observation and Research Station for Karst Ecosystem, School of Geographical Sciences, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China
| | - Hong Yang
- Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Reading, Whiteknights, Reading RG6 6AB, UK.
| | - Yao Li
- Chongqing Jinfo Mountain National Field Scientific Observation and Research Station for Karst Ecosystem, School of Geographical Sciences, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China
| | - Yinjun Zhao
- Key Laboratory of Environment Change and Resources Use in Beibu Gulf, Ministry of Education, Nanning Normal University, Nanning 530001, China
| | - Yuechen Li
- Chongqing Jinfo Mountain National Field Scientific Observation and Research Station for Karst Ecosystem, School of Geographical Sciences, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China
| | - Qingyuan Yang
- Chongqing Jinfo Mountain National Field Scientific Observation and Research Station for Karst Ecosystem, School of Geographical Sciences, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China; New Liberal Arts Laboratory for Sustainable Development of Rural Western China, Chongqing 400715, China; Key Laboratory of Monitoring, Evaluation and Early Warning of Territorial Spatial Planning Implementation, Ministry of Natural Resources, 401147, China.
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