Reconstruction of GRACE terrestrial water storage anomalies using Multi-Layer Perceptrons for South Indian River basins

Spatial response of water level and quality shows more significant heterogeneity during dry seasons in large river-connected lakes

The spatial response mechanism of hydrology and water quality of large river-connected lakes is very complicated. In this study, we developed a spatial response analysis method that couples wavelet correlation analysis (WTC) with self-organizing maps (SOM), revealing the spatial response and variation of water level and water quality in Poyang Lake, China's largest river-connected lake, over the past decade. The results show that: (1) there was significant spatial heterogeneity in water level and quality during the dry seasons (2010-2018) compared to other hydrological stages. (2) We identified a more pronounced difference in response of water level and quality between northern and southern parts of Poyang Lake. As the distance increases from the northern lake outlet, the impact of rising water levels on water quality deterioration intensified during the dry seasons. (3) The complex spatial heterogeneity of water level and quality response in the dry seasons is primarily influenced by water level fluctuations from the northern region and the cumulative pollutant entering the lake from the south, which particularly leads to the reversal of the response in the central area of Poyang Lake. The results of this study can contribute to scientific decision-making regarding water environment zoning management in large river-connected lakes amidst complex environment conditions.

A deep learning model for reconstructing centenary water storage changes in the Yangtze River Basin

Since 2002, the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and its Follow-On mission (GRACE-FO) have facilitated highly accurate observations of changes in total water storage anomalies (TWSA). However, limited observations of TWSA derived from GRACE in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB) have hindered our understanding of its long-term variability. In this paper, we present a deep learning model called RecNet to reconstruct the climate-driven TWSA in the YRB from 1923 to 2022. The RecNet model is trained on precipitation, temperature, and GRACE observations with a weighted mean square error (WMSE) loss function. The performance of the RecNet model is validated and compared against GRACE data, water budget estimates, hydrological models, drought indices, and existing reconstruction datasets. The results indicate that the RecNet model can successfully reconstruct historical water storage changes, surpassing the performance of previous studies. In addition, the reconstructed datasets are utilized to assess the frequency of extreme hydrological conditions and their teleconnections with major climate patterns, including the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and North Atlantic Oscillation. Independent component analysis is employed to investigate individual climate patterns' unique or combined influence on TWSA. We show that the YRB exhibits a notable vulnerability to extreme events, characterized by a recurrent occurrence of diverse extreme dry/wet conditions throughout the past century. Wavelet coherence analysis reveals significant coherence between the climate patterns and TWSA across the entire basin. The reconstructed datasets provide valuable information for studying long-term climate variability and projecting future droughts and floods in the YRB, which can inform effective water resource management and climate change adaptation strategies.